Ponies

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

What a three-day card we have in front of us at Belmont. Strap in, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 3/8 Mile. (Turf) OC 25000n1x

#2 Pillar Mountain (5/2) – 2nd off the layoff, he closed nicely into a slow pace last time.  The Conductor really like his effort at Saratoga as well.

Race 2: 1 Mile. S.Alw 74000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Joe’s Smokin Gun (15/1) – The favorites in here are exiting good efforts over sloppy tracks, while he ran a poorly over one. His fast dirt track form makes him competitive in here and he has upside stretching out to a mile for the 1st time. The Conductor will key him in the trifecta.

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Race 3: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.G3 Wonder Again Stakes

#3 Newspaperofrecord (1/5) – She’ll strut her stuff today.

Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 90k

#1 Liza Jambalaya (5/1) – She’s well-bred and working like a good thing by all accounts in the mornings. The rail has been good so far this meet.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 90k

*Never a Doubt Conductor Note Playback Lock of the Day #9 Keepme in Thegame (7/2) – This filly ran a solid closing 3rd into a slow pace in her debut at Keeneland. The Conductor had a note on her to play her back, which makes her an absolute lock.

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Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs. Alw 92000n1x

#1 Hersh (7/2) – This colt’s maiden breaker at Saratoga was eye catching.  With natural progression he’s very dangerous and just posted a bullet work.

Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.150k Astoria Stakes

#3 Perfect Alibi (5/2) – She was with the Conductor the night of the murder, she swears.

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.G3 Intercontinental Stakes

#1 Enthusiastic Gal (20/1) – She’s taking a big step up in class, but steadily progressing and making her 2nd start off a layoff.  She’s 4/4 at Belmont and the Conductor will key her in the trifecta at a big number.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) S.Mdn 72k

#3 Blue Parrot (10/1) – Well-bred for top connections, the runners with experience in here are nothing special.

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The Conductor’s Kentucky Oaks Day Pick 6 Preview

Full card plays will be up Friday, but the Conductor is generously giving us his contenders in the feature races on the Oaks card. Nothing like hitting the pick 4,5 and 6 Friday so we can unload on Saturday. Let’s Ride.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F. G3 Edgewood Stakes

#1 Newspaperofrecord (3/5) – This super filly is making her 1st start of the year, but she can’t possibly lose.  The ground will have some cut in it as well, which she’s proven to relish.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. G2 Alysheba Stakes

#1 McKinzie (8/5) and #8 Seeking the Soul (5/2) look to be the only two contenders to the Conductor.

*UPDATE – Upon Further Review the Conductor will also use #6 Instilled Regard (8/1) as a backup.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. G1 La Troienne Stakes

#1 She’s a Julie (7/2), #2 Blue Prize (3/1) and #9 Secret Spice (3/1) are all logical contenders that have big chances, but the Conductor has a price he will key in the exacta and trifecta and use in the horizontal wagers.

#7 Teresa Z (15/1) – This mare is a closer and looks to get a nice setup with lots of speed signed on in this one.  She impressed the Conductor last fall and looks primed to run a top effort 2nd off the layoff.  She’s done her best running on a wet surface as well and the forecast calls for rain like every derby weekend.

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Race 9: 7 Furlongs. OC 62500n2x

This is the most open race in the sequence and the Conductor will likely spread wide and deep unless number #15 Soul Streit (2/1) gets into the field. He’ll be tough to beat.  #7 Solid Wager (5/2) is a solid favorite but can be beaten.

#12 Fuel the Burn (20/1) – The Conductor’s favorite bomb in the race is this horse exiting a solid win at Keeneland. Winner of 3 of his last 4, he’s become a new animal on the dirt. His figures fit against this group and the Conductor sees a peak performance coming 2nd off the layoff.

Race 10: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) G2 Twin Spires Turf Sprint

#6 World of Trouble (1/1) – He’s the best turf sprinter in the country period.  The Conductor will likely single but may use a saver with #8 Undrafted (8/1) and #9 Will Call (10/1). He can see a scenario where #1 Bound for Nowhere (3/1) makes World of Trouble go too quick on the lead and give the two best closers a shot down the lane.

Race 11: 1 1/8 Mile. F. G1 Longines Kentucky Oaks

In the feature race of the day, the Conductor is going to TOSS the favorite Bellafina (2/1). She’s been beating up on nobodies in California and this looks like a complete pace meltdown on paper.  The Conductor will look for contenders who can pass horses down the lane.

He’ll use #1 Out for a Spin (15/1), #3 Lady Apple (20/1), #10 Champagne Anyone (6/1), #11 Jeltrin (15/1), #14 Restless Rider (6/1) and #15 Dunbar Road (5/1) and #16 Point of Honor (20/1) if there are scratches and they draw in.

UPDATE: The Conductor will also be using #2 Chocolate Kisses (20/1) 

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Toooooooooooooooooossssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssss!!!!!!!