Aqueduct Saturday Picks — May 11, 2024 | Best Bets & Full Card Handicapping

A vibrant depiction of a horse race featuring multiple horses and jockeys in colorful silks, with a large crowd in the background.

Well the rail certainly wasn’t the place to be Friday at Aqueduct and that’s exactly where the Conductor’s horses faltered. Back to fast and firm today in New York, other than race 11 which was taken off the turf. Time to get the train moving in the right direction. Skip.

Race 6: 1 1/8 Mile. G3 Peter Pan Stakes

#1 Protective (8/1) – The Conductor likes both Pletcher colts at square prices in the Peter Pan. Protective got a good ground saving trip after a poor start in the Wood, but he was absolutely flying late. He’s clearly improving and the Wood was a better race than the public gives it credit for. He is very dangerous today with Irad taking the mount in the feature dirt race at Aqueduct.

#6 Antiquarian (6/1) – This gelding broke thru the gate prior to the start of the Louisiana Derby. That ruins your chances 99% of the time and the Conductor was impressed he still ran well. He pressed a decent pace while wide and was only beaten 4 lengths. Now shortening in distance he looks to get an ideal trip here, pressing a slow pace. He’s moving in the right direction and should take a big jump up today.

Race 7: 1 3/8 Mile. (Turf) G2 Man o’ War Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Greek Order (15/1) – The Conductor sees #9 Nation’s Pride (8/5) winning this race and will pair him up with Greek Order underneath. Greek Order showed real quality in Europe, never missing the board over multiple distances and surfaces. He was bet to favoritism in his US debut in an allowance race at Keeneland last month. He ran evenly after a poor start that day, in a race controlled by the frontrunners. Greek Order will step forward with that race under his belt and the Conductor likes the added distance for him here. A 9/6 exacta here will make it a great Saturday.

NYRA Aqueduct Picks

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Belmont Park Saturday Picks — May 13, 2023 | Peter Pan Stakes Day Best Bets

Keeneland Picks

Boom. Lady of Thoroton at 11/1 and Reflexivity at 6/1 down Belmont’s throat latch Friday.

Belmont

We needed a big day and got it. The Conductor is rearing to go Saturday…and then he saw the card. There are only a handful of quality races. The Peter Pan is a great race, but other than that this card stinks for a Saturday. Whatever, we’ll make do. Let’s Ride

Race 5: 1 3/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) G1 Man o’ War Stakes

#2 Warren Point (9/5) – The Conductor hates chalk, but this looks like easy pickings for Godolphin and Appleby. This is a very weak American group for a Grade 1. The rich get richer.

Race 6: 1 1/8 Mile. G3 Peter Pan Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Arcangelo (10/1) – This colt is steadily progressing and and his maiden breaker last time caught the Conductor’s eye. He didn’t have the best dirt trip and blew by the heavy favorite with ease. He’s a little goofy and has a ton of upside. He should have beaten Louisiana Derby winner Kingsbarn two back with a cleaner trip as well. If Pletcher or Chad were his trainer, he’d be 4/1. The Conductor will happily take his inflated odds at Belmont.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) S.Alw 80000n1x

#7 Twenty Six Black (4/1) – This is a wide open allowance race and you could make a case for many. The one horse in this field that could romp is this colt. He was loaded behind horses until the thee final 1/8th of a mile and still got the job done. He won by a neck, but his gallop out was thunderous.

Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.OC 62500n1x

#10 Juniper’s Mood (8/1) – There are some salty fillies in this race, but this is the one price the Conductor finds interesting. She was very rank early in the Florida Oaks and spent the first turn fighting Paco. She wasted a ton of energy early and the Conductor was shocked she held on for 3rd. The Conductor likes the rider switch to Castellano today and this filly has upside.