Ponies

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Pick 6 Mandatory Payout Play at Churchill Downs

The Conductor was heinous at Churchill yesterday, but it was a classic bait and switch.  He got all his losers out of the way and saved his winners for the mandatory pick 6 payout today.  What a smart Conductor, Let’s Ride.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 97000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #10 Salvator Mundi (10/1) – This is a very tough race to start the sequence and the Conductor will be spreading. This colt is the price horse he likes most. 2nd off the layoff and getting back to the turf, he just missed being a Grade 3 winner by a head last year. That’s by far the best effort in this group to date.

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The Conductor will also use: 1,2,4,8,11,12

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. 120K Kelly’s Landing Stakes

#7 Petrov (6/1) – The Conductor will include a price with the favorite.  This horse ran a good 2nd vs similar last start and has gotten better with each start this year. His win at Saratoga last summer gives him a chance.

The Conductor will also use: 1

Race 9: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) Alw 104000n1x

The Conductor is going to play against the heavy favorite #12 Om (2/1) in this spot. Drawn to the outside, his weapon is speed going longer, cutbacks don’t work on the turf like they do in dirt.

The Conductor will use: 1,2,5,7,8,9,10

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. F.125K Debutante Stakes

*Never a Doubt Pick 6 Single Lock #7 Magic Dance (8/5) – You couldn’t ask for much more in her debut.  She would have to take a step backwards to be beat today. The Conductor will take a stand.

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Race 11: 6 Furlongs. G3 Bashford Manor Stakes

#2 Snell Yea (8/1) – The Conductor liked how hard he tried last start and he doesn’t have to improve too much to have a chance.

The Conductor will also use: 1,10

Race 12: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 95k

#12 On d’Oro (12/1) – Going two sprints to a route and trying turf for the first time, he can take a big step forward.

The Conductor will also use: 2,5,9

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Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Churchill Downs

Nice little 30/1 double for the Conductor yesterday.  He’s going to keep playing Churchill until Saratoga, Belmont is unplayable right now. Thank god it’s the weekend, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 40000

#7 Windy City Kitty (6/1) – This filly’s sire is winning at a whopping 42% clip with 1st time starters. The Conductor also likes her work tab.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 50000n2L

#4 Grit to Glory (3/1) – Lightly raced and dropping back to the claiming ranks, he has the most upside.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. F.MC 20000

#1 Princess Kiah (10/1) – 1st time blinkers, her race two starts back gives her every chance. The rail has good in routes.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 95k

#12 Crossing the Moon (8/1) – This colt is well-bred, and the Conductor loves to see a bullet work two back followed by a slow one leading into the debut. He’s ready to run.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 97000n1x

#7 Domonette (6/1) – Stretching out to a route, she will get a favorable trip all alone on the lead.  This race has absolutely no pace.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. OClm 10000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Greeleys Charm (8/1) – This old man is very consistent and ran a strong 2nd last time at this level closing into a slow pace. The M/L price would be an absolute treat.

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Race 7: 7 Furlongs. Clm 20000

#1 Sharp Witted (5/1) – 3rd off the layoff and shortening back to a sprint, trainer Tom Amoss is winning at a 40% clip dropping horses more than 2 class levels this year.

Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) OC 62500n2x

#7 Mister Maestro (7/2) – 2nd off the layoff, the Conductor sees him cycling up to his best self.

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. Clm 40000

#1 Commandeering (10/1) – He set a hot pace for this level last start and is cutting back to a sprint. His race 3 back gives him every chance and the Conductor will key him in the exacta and trifecta.

Race 10: 1 Mile. OC 75000n1x

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Bottle Service Lock of the Day #1A High Crime (5/2) – If this colt draws into the field, he’s your winner.

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Race 11: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 95k

#2 Wildlife (12/1) – This well-bred daughter of Animal Kingdom caught a sloppy track in her debut. The Conductor will take a swing trying what she wants today.

Ponies

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

What a great exploitation by the Conductor. Buy Stuff

500k Pick 6 carryover at Belmont today, let’s take this bad boy down, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16. (Turf) S.Mdn 62k

#8 Overland (15/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he didn’t have a chance last time behind a very slow pace. He’s working well and Rosario hops aboard. The Conductor will toss the M/L favorite Chad Brown runner #5 Graded On a Curve (9/5) on all tickets.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. S.OC 40000n2x

#3 H Man (3/5) – Simple chalk.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Clm 40000

#3 Mr Maybe (4/1) – 3rd off the layoff and dropping back to the claiming ranks, he ran a huge late pace figure closing into a slow pace last start.

The Conductor will also use #7 Harv Won’t Tap (3/1) in the pick 6.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) OC 80000n1x

*Never a Doubt Pick 6 Single Lock of the Day #8 Mutakatif (6/5) – The Conductor will only use Chad Brown her.

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Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) MC 50000

The Conductor like two price horses in here, this is were he becomes bold.

#5 On Spree (12/1) – A 1st time gelding dropping to the claiming ranks for the first time, he has upside.

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Spindletop (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff and dropping in class, she has a chance to wire this field without other speed horses.

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Race 6: 5 Furlongs. S.Mdn 62k

Baby races are always tough, the Conductor will ride with Rudy Rod here and use #1 Bull of Bayern (7/2) and #6 Justin Vision (5/2).

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.Alw 66000n1x

#11 Summer Squeeze (10/1) – She set a blistering pace last time before fading. She likes Belmont and is turning back in distance.

The Conductor will also use #9 Sadie Lady (2/1) and #10 Jaded Lady (5/2) 

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.S.MC 40000

#8 Funderella (12/1) – Her low % connections will keep her price high, but the Conductor liked her debut effort vs much tougher.

The Conductor will also use #6,#7 and #10 to close it out.

 

Ponies

Esophagus Slice Saturday: Mandatory Pick 6 Payout Day at Gulfstream Park

The Conductor has been terrible this week, that’s a fact.  He owns it like the leader of men that he is, but he does not accept it.  We have a great opportunity to with a mandatory pick 6 payout with a 1.5 Million Dollar carryover to make everything right in the world.  This is a very tough sequence for smaller players, but the Conductor will help us passengers out.  Let’s win a lump, Let’s Ride.

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PT 3:07pm ET: The Conductor’s 20cent Ticket – $126

Race 7: 2,3,4,6,11,12,15

Race 8: 2,5,9

Race 9: 3,4

Race 10: 2,3,5

Race 11: 2,3,5,8,9

Race 12: 1

*Never a Doubt 98 MPH Closer Lock of the Day #1 Cafe Americano (3/1) – You have to make a stand somewhere and if the Conductor can survive the first 5 legs, he wants his life in Chad Brown’s hands.  This well-bred, 675k filly is working well by all accounts and is drawn well to the inside.  In Chad we trust.

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Esophagus Slice Saturday at Santa Anita: Mandatory Pick 6 Payout Day

Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6½ Furlongs. S.OC 20000n1x

#1 Red Envelope (5/1)  – He’s steadily improving and the Conductor was impressed with his maiden breaking score last start.  This field is not very good.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. Clm 32000

#2 Denman’s Call (5/2) – He loves Santa Anita and ran a strong figure with his win off a layoff last start.  He’s working well and has back class.

Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 50000

#6 Calm Down Lady (8/5) – Chalk.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.Alw 57000n1x

#7 Tiz Toffee (3/1) – Drawn well to the outside, she ran a good 2nd last race and is working well. She also gets a weight break.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. Mdn 55k

#1 Polar (4/1) – Tough to draw the rail in your debut, but the birdies are chirping that this boy is the goods.  His works make it look that way too.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. Robert B. Lewis Stakes

*Never a Doubt Saturday Starter Lock #5 Mucho Gusto (8/5) – This Baffert runner has a pace advantage against this group and has steadily progressed.  The Conductor loves him.

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Race 7: 5½ Furlongs. MC 30000

#5 Toby Time (5/1) – Tough to like anyone in this field.  He adds blinkers, plunges in class and is working well.

Race 8: 6½ Furlongs. Mdn 55k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 C Falls (20/1) – Low volume trainer Shelbe Ruiz has surprised with some 1st starters recently.  His dam is 2/2 producing winners including a stakes winner and Desormeaux takes the mount.

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Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. G2 San Pasqual Stakes

#7 Mckinzie (4/5) – He put on a show in his comeback race in the Malibu.  He’s got loads of talent and the Conductor can’t see him losing.

Race 10: 5½ Furlongs. Clm 12500n2L

#4 Das Bear (8/1) – He ran a solid figure to break his maiden last start and is lightly raced.  He has potential and this race is wide open.

Ponies

Wednesday’s Winners at Aqueduct: The Conductor’s Plays

On the Turf today at Aqueduct? What a treat, Thanksgiving came a day early for the Conductor.  We have late pick 5 and pick 6 carryovers to swing at.  Let’s make it a bountiful feast.  Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 7 Furlongs. MC 40000

#5 Catch Me If U Can (4/1) – This race is devoid of any early pace and this boy should get a comfortable on the lead.  This field will not catch him today.

Race 2: 1 Mile. Clm 14000n3L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Fifty (8/1) – He got vanned off last start, but he’s coming back quickly to the track, so the Conductor is not concerned.  He’s dropping to his lowest career class level today and his best races smash this group.  His bullet works leading into today get the Conductor excited.

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Race 3: 6½ Furlongs. OC 62500n2x

#5 Pete’s Play Call (3/1) – He should get a perfect stalking trip drawn to the outside, sitting just off dueling leaders.  He’s cycling up in form, while the others are looking to find their best race.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 70k

*Never a Doubt Stone Cold Lock of the Day #8 Malthael (3/1) – His last race was good enough to break almost any maiden.  He pressed a hot pace and finished 2nd to a next out winner in Empire of War.  He’s the one to beat.

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#11 Tintoretto (12/1) – He ran a decent fifth behind #8 Malthael in his debut last start and that race came up very fast on the Conductor’s numbers.  He can step forward with experience and also adds Lasix today.  The Conductor will key him underneath in the trifecta.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. (Outer Turf) F.OC 62500n2x

#7 Eloweasel (4/1) – She’s dropping out of open company and has the fastest speed figures sprinting on firm turf in this field.  She’ll appreciate getting back to firmer ground today.

Race 6: 1 Mile. S.MC 25000

#8 Local Edition (5/1) – The heavy favorite #7 Okeamo (6/5) will be tough to beat, but Local Edition is the only other possible win candidate.  He’s run some decent efforts vs tougher on turf and gets his first try on dirt today.  He adds blinkers for the first time as well.

Race 7: 1 3/16 Mile. (Outer Turf) Mdn 70k

#3 Rhode Island (7/2) – He’s steadily progressing and exiting the fastest maiden race in this field on the Conductor’s numbers. In his 2nd start off a layoff he’ll beat this group.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. S.OC 40000n2x

*Gobbler Grabber of the Day #8 Cerretalto (8/1) – The Conductor will cry with joy if he gets anything close to 8/1 on this gelding.  His speed figures make him very competitive in here and his last race was a solid 3rd vs much tougher open company at Saratoga.  He should get a perfect trip sitting behind a speed duel and he’s 2/2 at Aqueduct.

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Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) S.Clm 25000

#1 Mobridge (3/1) – Stepping up in class last start, he had no chance trying to close into a tepid pace.  He drops back to a class level which he has dominated and should get a solid setup today.