Tag: picks

The Conductor’s Louisiana Derby Day Plays at Fair Grounds

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Three women wearing colorful and decorative hats, expressing excitement at an outdoor event.

Enormous Louisiana Derby day. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. S.Mdn 50k

#8 Malasong (8/1) – This colt took money in his debut and was hung wide. He adds blinkers today and has top connections.

Race 2: 1m70yds. F.S.75K Crescent City Oaks

#3 D’wildcat Indian (8/1) – Steadily progressing and stretching out for the 1st time, the Conductor sees her being better going longer.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.S.75K New Orleans Ladies Stakes

#7 La Sola Ranger (8/1) – 2nd off the layoff, this mare ran a thunderous late pace figure closing into a slow pace last start.  This race should heat up on the lead and the Conductor will key her in the tri.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. S.OC 20000n2x

#2 Big Bella Brown (9/2) – Pressing a hot pace last start, he’ll get first run at the leader. Jose Ortiz hops aboard as well.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 50k

#1 Curriusly (20/1) – Getting back to her preferred turf surface, she’s run some very strong late pace figures.  She should get a good trip, saving ground and a getting a hot pace to run at.  The Conductor will key her in the trifecta at a bomb.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. S.75K Crescent City Derby

*Never a Doubt Vegas Bailout Lock of the Day #2 Shang (9/5) – He is going to eviscerate this field.  Absolute standout.

Louisiana Derby

 Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 50k

#4 Rock On Kitten (9/2) – 2nd off the layoff today, he ran by far the best last race in this field pressing a hot pace and just missing.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. Mdn 50k

#3 Copper King (5/1) – He had a brutal trip in his debut and still closed for a good 2nd into a slow pace.  The Conductor loves that he has experience going this distance as well.

Race 9: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) S. 60K Costa Rising Stakes

#6 Fame Feather (12/1) – This filly is 4/5 with one 2nd on the Fair Grounds turf course going this distance.  The Conductor will use her in both the horizontal and vertical wagers.

Race 10: 1 1/8 Mile. G2 New Orleans H.

#10 Copper Bullet (4/1) – The Conductor loved her 2nd last time off a layoff in the G3 Razor Back last time and Rated R Superstar came back to win his next race who finished 3rd.  He’ll get a perfect stalking trip just behind the early leaders.

Race 11: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) G2 Muniz Memorial H.

#7 Bricks and Mortar (2/1) – The Conductor saw his Pegasus Cup win with his own eyes.  He’s a stud.

Race 12: 1 1/16 Mile. F.G2 Twinspires.com Fair Grounds Oaks

#6 Eres Tu (6/1) – There is a ton of speed signed on in this race and this filly has the best late kick.  With a setup, she’ll have every chance.

Race 13: 1 1/8 Mile. G2 Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Sueno (8/1) – This colt is steadily progressing and will like the additional 1/16 of a mile today. The Southwest and Sham Stakes have come back strong and he’ll get a perfect trip sitting just off the #6 War of Will (6/5), who will hopefully be pressured by #10 Spinoff (8/1).

Louisiana Derby

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Fair Grounds

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Horses and jockeys starting a race at Fair Grounds Race Course with starting gates open.

Vegas is kicking the Conductor’s ass. Fair Grounds time, Let’s Ride,

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. OC 50000n1x

#4 Distant Shore (5/2) – The Conductor really liked her race two back in the Street Sense Stakes. He’s hammering her to start the Fair Grounds day if he can get 2/1.

Race 2: 1m70yds. F.S.Clm 5000

#4 Compromising (5/1) – The Conductor never compromises.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. Clm 25000

#1 Rule Taylor Rule (5/1) – He’s rounding into form and the Conductor sees him taking a step forward today.

Race 4: 1 Mile. S.Clm 12500b

#4 Point the Way (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she’ll stretch out to a route for the 1st time.  Her running style suggests she’ll be better longer.

Race 5: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 20000b

#5 Uncle Youdge (8/5) – This gelding can scoot.

Race 6: 1 Mile. S.MC 15000

#9 Brahms’ Regal (6/5) – Chalk

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.OClm 10000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Catty Krys (20/1) – This mare ran well at this level on dirt last start.  She’s won on the turf before and is in good form.

Fair Grounds

Race 8: 1m70yds. S.Alw 47000n3L

#5 Tensas Talk (6/1) – He won nicely last start and hasn’t missed the board in 7 career starts.  You can rely on him.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.MC 30000

#12 Tupelo Hon E (9/2) – 2nd off the layoff, dropping to the claiming ranks for the 1st time, she’ll kick by them down the lane.

Race 10: 5½ Furlongs. F.S.MC 12500

*Never a Doubt Friday Night in Vegas Lock of the Day #6 Deal Fever (7/2) – She took money at the windows against miles tougher in her debut and had a tough trip.  She’s more than likely.

Fair Grounds

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Fair Grounds

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A group of racehorses competing on a grassy racetrack with jockeys in colorful uniforms.

College basketball and ponies from dawn until dusk. Fair Grounds time, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1m70yds. F.S.Clm 5000b

#6 Born to D’ Wild (10/1) – Stretching back out to a route, she’s done her best running going longer. The Conductor will key her in the exacta.

Race 2: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 20000n3L

#3 Irritator (3/1) – He switches back to grass, where he’s run his best.  He also has the best early pace figures in the field.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. Clm 15000b

#4 B W P Express (4/1) – This colt will get the early lead. Moreover, none of these runners like to pass horses.

Race 4: 5½ Furlongs. S.Clm 5000b

*Never a Doubt NCAA Tip Off Lock of the Day #7 Snapper Bite (7/5) – A standout that loves to win. Bite!

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. S.Clm 5000n3L

#2 Lookingforroses (5/1) – 2nd off the layoff and also getting a weight break, she’ll take them all the way around.

Race 6: 7½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.OC 20000n2x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Starmaline (9/2) – She was bumped at the break, set a hot pace and was only beaten 2 ¾ lengths.  The Conductor loves her.

Fair Grounds

Race 7: 5 1/2 Furlongs. Mdn 43k

#6 U Never Know (8/1) – The Conductor always knows.

Race 8: 5 1/2 Furlongs.  (Turf) OC 35000n4L

#7 Calamity Jane (7/2) – She’s been facing much tougher and is drawn well to the outside.

Race 9: 5 1/2 Furlongs. S.Alw 45000n2L

#9 Buckets (8/1) – Nothin but net.

Race 10: 1 Mile (Turf) MC 300000

#4 Jemography (7/2) – He stepped up in a big way last start. Another step forward and he’ll obviously win for fun.

Race 11: 6 Furlongs. S.Clm 50000

#6 Born Again George (7/2) – 11 race cards at Fair Grounds on a Thursday are a little much.

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday at the Fair Grounds

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Horses racing on a dirt track with a large grandstand in the background filled with spectators.

The train arrives in Vegas tonight. The Conductor will be playing the Fair Grounds all week leading up to the Louisiana Derby.  He will also sweep the NCAA tournament and win billion dollars.  Going to be a hell of a weekend.  Love to see a quick billion business trip. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs. S.F. Clm 5000n4L

#5 Dale’s Lil Sis (5/2) – She’s the one to beat.

Race 2: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.MC 30000

#4 Touch of Gray (9/2) – She has good early speed and dropping back to the claiming ranks. Trainer Tim Glyshaw is 10% with a +$0.74 ROI switching runners from dirt to turf.

Race 3: 1 Mile. S. Clm 5000n4L

#6 Weidenbachers Gent (15/1) – He has a chance to scamper away in the early lead.  That’s good enough for the Conductor at a bomb.

Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) S. OC 30000n1x

#7 Boston Bind (6/1) – His figures fit for this level.

Race 5: 1m70yds. F.MC 30000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Analyze This Cat (8/1) – 3rd off the layoff and going two sprints to a route, the Conductor sees her improving on the stretch out.

Fair Grounds

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Clm 30000b

*Never a Doubt Nonstop Flight to Vegas Lock of the Day #1 Divine Quality (5/2) – She towers over this group.  She’ll win handily.

Fair Grounds

Race 7: 1m70yds. OC 17500n1x

#6 California Swing (4/1) – He’s in good form and should get a perfect trip with a contested pace to close into.

Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) OC 30000n1x

#10 Jake the Band Man (6/1) – He’s quick and should be able to clear from the outside.  He has a major shot.

Race 9: 5½ Furlongs. S.MC 12500

#5 Behinda Angel (15/1) – He broke last in his Fair Grounds debut and ran decent to get 4th.  With a clean break he can take a big step forward and surprise at a monster number.

Trachea Kick Tuesday: The Conductor’s Plays at Mahoning Valley

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Two horses racing at Mahoning Valley Race Course with a gaming facility in the background.

This is a big week in the Conductor’s life. A very big week. The Conductor and the Bat will arrive in Vegas tomorrow night. Yikes, Mahoning Valley time, Let’s Ride.

Mahoning Valley

Race 1: 5 1/2 Furlongs. Mdn 22.1k

#7 Double Take (4/1) – As soon as the tote opened, the boy took money. They know.

Race 2: 1m70yds. Clm 75000n4L

#3 Flying Ghost (5/2) – He won nicely last start, closing into a slow pace.  He looks to get a perfect trip today with lots of speed signed on.

Race 3: 1 Mile. Clm 4000n3L

#6 Replay (4/1) – He’s coming into the race in good form at Mahoning Valley and looks poised to run his best today.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 25000n3x

#2 Fionetta (7/2) – 2nd off the layoff, she’ll get back to a fast track today.  She loves to win races.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 29.6k

#12 Wafflesorpancakes (9/2) – She ran a good 2nd at this level last start in a race with a very fast pace.  She gets a rider upgrade today.

Race 6: 5 1/2 Furlongs. F.Clm 5000n2x

#3 She’s a City Gal (15/1) – This jockey/trainer combo has connected with some bombs recently and this race is wide open.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. S.Clm 7500n2L

*Never a Doubt Bracket Bankroll Lock of the Day #5 Love Strut (5/2) – A heavy favorite last start, he got cooked in a hot pace.  He wont have that trouble today and will struuuuuuuttttttt his way to victory.

Mahoning Valley

Race 8: 5 1/2 Furlongs. F.Clm 5000n3L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Adale (4/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she pressed a really hot pace last time.  She’ll step forward today and is the best bet on the card for the Conductor if her price stays above 7/2.

Mahoning Valley

Moon Shot Monday: The Conductor’s Plays at Mahoning Valley

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Entrance of Hollywood Gaming with a prominent sign featuring the words 'Hollywood' and 'Gaming'.

The Conductor strung 4 winners in a row yesterday, highlighted by a 6/1 winner. It was also St Patrick’s Day, so he doesn’t remember much else.  The Conductor needs to tighten it up a little bit again. Wait a minute, he’s taking the train with the Bat to Vegas for March Madness this week? Yikes, that’s going to get extra leaky. We’re going to have to build our bankroll at Mahoning Valley.  Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1m70yds. Clm 5000n1y

#5 Colony Classic (15/1) – Its tough to take a 8 year old off a long layoff, but that’s why he’s the Conductor, he’s never scared. If this gelding is even remotely himself he can surprise at a big number.

Race 2: 1 Mile. F.Clm 4000n3y

*Never a Doubt Work Week Starter Lock of the Day 1/1A Entry (8/5) – Both these girls have good early speed in a race devoid of pace.

Mahoning Valley

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. S.Alw 33100n1x

#7 Lunar Heat (2/1) – Drawn well to the outside, she’ll control the race.

Race 4: 1 Mile. Alw 23500n2L

#5 Chairman (5/1) – His speed figures at Mahoning Valley fit against this group.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. Clm 4000n1y

#4 Dazzling Debuty (15/1) – This gelding contested a hot pace last time and faded late.  Without much other speed signed on here, she’ll get a more favorable trip today.

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.S.Clm 7500n3L

#1 Even on the Run (8/1) – She stepped up in a big way last start. Another step forward gives her every chance.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 5000n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Let’er Eat (5/1) – She ran a good closing 3rd vs tougher last start. She’s hungry today.

Mahoning Valley

Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs. Clm 4000n1y

#8 Drinkinatthebar (8/1) – Speed kills.

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Oaklawn Park

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A group of racehorses competing on a dirt track during a horse race event.

The Conductor’s brain is in a pretzel there are too many games, too many races, too much action going on right now.  He believes he stunk yesterday, but he’s alive an that’s all that matters. If you live to fight another day in March, then you are a winner.  Come get some Oaklawn, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. MC 10000

#4 Hesluck (15/1) – Dropping in class going two sprints to a route, he is untested going longer.  He’s a wildcard that can hit the board at a monster number.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. S.Clm 16000n2L

#3 Oh So Tall (6/1) – His early pace figures make him dangerous in a sprint without much early speed.

Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 10000

#9 Paddydunalot (5/1) – 1st off the claim for solid connections, this girl once hit the board vs maiden special weights in New York.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 62500n1x

#6 Kada (5/2) – She’s got an early pace edge over this group. Gate to wire.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. MC 30000

#5 I’m Happy (3/1) – Dropping in class, this colt has good early speed and has run a couple of races that will eviscerate this field.

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.Alw 10000s

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Bottle Service Lock of the Day #4 Honey Bunny (2/1) – 3rd off the layoff, she’s a standout. Stalk and pounce.

Oaklawn Park

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 30000

 #1 Secret House (2/1) – The Conductor is a sucker for speed. Gate to wire.

Race 8: 1 Mile. OC 16000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Determinant (6/1) – He closed nicely into a slow pace last start for 4th.  He’ll get a better setup today.

Oaklawn Park

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. Clm 10000n2L

#14 Dedicated (20/1) – The Conductor is hoping he draws in with some scratches at Oaklawn. He’s routed over wet tracks and has run terribly in his last two starts, but he gets back to what he wants today. Sprinting on a fast dirt track, his figures fit at this level and he can light up the tote board.

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Oaklawn Park

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Two horses being loaded into the starting gate by handlers at a racetrack, showcasing the excitement of horse racing.

Highlighted by a 6/1 winner, another decent day for the Conductor yesterday.  Slow and steady, it’s grind time.  College basketball games everywhere you look, ponies running left and right, the Players golf tournament.  The Conductor has action anywhere and everywhere.  We need to keep it sharp and keep it tight! Off to Oaklawn we go, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 30000n3L

#2 King’s Reckoning (12/1) – He needed his last race off a long layoff and an ok 4th. Dropping in class and more fit today, he looks poised to run his best and his figures fit against this group.  He likes to run 2nd more than win, so the Conductor will key him in the exacta.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 40000

*Never a Doubt College Basketball Tournament Losing Bets Refund Lock of the Day #7 Honest N Lucky (4/1) – She took money vs maidens in her debut and was jostled at the start. She’s plunging in class today and trainer McLean Robertson is 4 for his last 8.

Oaklawn Park

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. MC 30000

#1 Praetorian (9/2) – Dropping in class of a long layoff, he’s gotten clipped since is last start and is working well.  His race two back vs tougher gives him every chance today.

Race 4: 1 1/8 Mile. Clm 10000n1y

#10 Solar Maximus (8/1) – He had a troubled trip last start and still ran 4th at this level last time.  He comes running from the clouds, so the Conductor will use him more heavily underneath in the exacta and tri.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. MC 10000

#10 C Dub (10/1) – Taking a big drop in class he has very strong early pace figures and he’ll carry his speed farther vs this group.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. F.10000n3L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Well Maid (10/1) – Cutting back to a sprint after pressing a hot pace vs tougher last time, the Conductor loves her.

Oaklawn Park

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 83k

#4 Firm Alexis (9/2) – The Conductor doesn’t have a strong opinion here, she has a good chance.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. S.OC 25000n2x

#1 By Bye J (1/2) – Chalk.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. Alw 84000n2L

#6 Mojovation (5/1) – 1st off the claim for Broberg, this colt has faced the toughest competition at Oaklawn.

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday at Fair Grounds

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Horses racing on a track with a grandstand and sunset in the background.

Lock and gullet shot winner along with a few 2nds made it a slightly positive Tuesday for the Conductor.  Now he gets to take little mid-week trip down to the Fair Grounds. The Conductor likes the card today, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.S.Clm 12500n3L

#5 Bellas Run (6/1) – She needed her last race after a long layoff and still ran ok against tougher.  Dropping in class for solid connections, she’ll be more fit today and can beat this group.

Race 2: 7½ Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 15000b

#3 Shakes Creek (7/2) – Taking a massive class drop for top trainer Brad Cox, his race two starts back at the Fair Grounds crushes this field.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 12500

*Never a Doubt Hump Day Lock #8 Captain Livi (3/1) – 2nd off the layoff she’s shown strong early pace figures against miles tougher.  She’s a cinch.

fair grounds

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) MC 30000

#9 Federal Dominance (6/1) – 1st time gelding and dropping to the claiming ranks for the 1st time, over 4/1 and the Conductor will be happy.

Race 5: 1 Mile. Clm 5000n3L

#8 Opportunity Cost (12/1) – He was very rank in his last start and the Conductor will ignore it.  Switching back to dirt and working well, he has the back class to surprise this field at a big number.

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Mdn 40k

#2 Sail On (3/1) – This 475k filly is working like she’s the goods.

Race 7: 1 Mile. Clm 5000b

#1 Felipe (8/1) – Going two sprints to a route, he’s drawn well to the inside and his best races were going longer.  He hasn’t faced this weak of competition in his career.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) OC 50000n1x

#3 Moon Launch (6/1) – He moved up in a big way last start in his first try on the lawn.  A repeat effort will give him every chance and he’ll be able to get the early lead again today.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. S.Clm 5000b

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Sean (8/1) – Close to a hot pace last start going longer, the Conductor loves the cutback to a sprint for him today.

fair grounds

Mahoning Valley: Moon Shot Monday

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Two horses racing at Mahoning Valley Race Course with a gaming facility in the background.

A nice Sunday for the Conductor at Oaklawn yesterday, multiple 4/1 winners and a few shorter prices as well.  A solid weekend has the caboose filled with cash as we reset and start a new workweek.  First stop will be Mahoning Valley for the Conductor today.  A little Midwest racing with some nice full fields.  Let’s keep the train rolling, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 Mile. Mdn 22.1K

#1 Mr Zydeco (9/2) – He’s been facing the toughest company of the group.

Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.S.Alw 38000nc

#4 Totally Obsessed (3/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she won nicely last start and is drawn well to the outside of the favorite.  She’ll get a great stalking trip just off the speed.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 22.1K

#4 Sassy Seta (6/1) – She’s posting very consistent, quick works for a barn that can win first out.  This field is ripe for a debut runner.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.S.Clm 7500b

#6 Graduation Gift (8/1) – 1st off the claim and 3rd off the layoff, this old mare is very consistent and will be finishing strongly. The Conductor will key her in the exacta.

Race 5: 1m70yds. Alw 23500n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Last Drop of Wine (15/1) – No chance we get 15/1 on this gelding at Mahoning Valley, but hopefully a decent price.  His figures fit at this level and he has an early pace advantage over this field.

Mahoning Valley

Race 6: 1 Mile. Clm 40001y

#6 Saint’s Bro (8/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he didn’t run a step last start but needed the race badly.  His races last year give him every chance.

Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs. Clm 4000n2L

#9 Compulsive (8/1) – Shipping in from Turf Paradise, he set the pace over a tiring surface last start and ran a good 3rd.  He also gets class relief today.

Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs. Clm 5000n3L

*Never a Doubt Finisher Lock of the Day #4 Tap You’re It (5/2) – Lock it up, rub it down.

Mahoning Valley