Ponies

Wrapping Up Saratoga and Del Mar

No, that is not the Conductor…..but he ride on this train any day. Get that passenger a coupon code!

Saratoga, Del Mar and the summer have come to an end. The Conductor couldn’t get up to Toga as much as he’d like this year and the betting success was not what the ductor ordered. He can’t remember being knocked out in the last leg of the horizontal wagers by head scratching winners or “they knew” horses winning at crazy underlays.

He’ll focus his attention on Belmont and Santa Anita leading up to Breeders’ Cup, as well as the Keeneland meet.  Football is back, the weather is turning and the Conductor is going to be in the trenches for the foreseeable future. Absolutely no vitamin D for him. He’s also got a few more #content ideas up his sleeve, so be on the lookout for that moving forward.

Conductor life isn’t for the faint of heart, but he will never quit. The battle is what gets him up in the morning. This train is throttling it until it goes off the rails or eternal glory is reached.

As the great Winston Churchill once said, “We shall defend our train, whatever the cost may be, we shall fight on the turf, we shall fight on the dirt, we shall fight in the paddock and in the winners circle, we shall fight in the grandstands; we shall never surrender.”

God Bless the Passengers.

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Ponies

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Saratoga

Two more racing days left at Saratoga. Bitter sweet, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Mdn 75k

#4 Bahamian Prince (6/1) – 1st off the claim for George Weaver, he moves to turf where this gelding is bred to improve. He was favored in his debut on dirt and ran decent, pressing a hot pace.

Race 2: 7 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

#2 Elegant Rose (7/5) – Chalk

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. Clm 25000n2L

#6 Laughing Manners (6/1) – His early pace figures give him an advantage over this group.

Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Alw 92000n1x

#9 Honey I’m Good (8/1) – Returning to the races off a long layoff, she ran competitive figures for this level on dirt as a two-year-old. With natural progression she is very dangerous, and she has turf in her pedigree.

Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs. MC 50000

#10 Bobbyfromthepalm (4/1) – This colt is working well for strong connections and this race is wide open. The Conductor likes that he was only 50k at auction, so he can be well spotted.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. Clm 32000

#6 Always Forgiven (8/5) – The Conductor never forgives.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 90k

#3 Bridal Path (6/1) – She lunged at the start in her debut and made a middle move before flattening out late. The Conductor sees her taking a big step forward today.

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. F.Mdn 90k

#2 Orsay (3/1) – This daughter of American Pharoah was 1.2 million at auction and is working well for Chad.

Race 9: 1 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Clm 75000

#3 Connectivity (5/2) – She looks to get a perfect trip, with a hot pace up front to close into.

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. F.Alw 50000s

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Olive Kat (6/1) – She set a blistering pace in the mud at this level last time and posted a bullet last work. She’ll appreciate the shorter distance today.

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Race 11: 7 Furlongs. F. G1 Spinaway Stakes

#7 Shippy (9/2) – Drawn well to the outside, the Conductor liked this girl’s grit last time. 9/2 would be an absolute joke.

Race 12: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) S.Alw 80000n1x

#5 Opt (7/2) – He ran a good 2nd behind a next out winner this last start. This is a very weak field and the Conductor is against the Chad Brown runner in this spot.

Ponies, Videos

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Woodward Day Plays at Saratoga

This where the Conductor is at heading into Saratoga’s final Saturday. Be good to him pony gods, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Mdn 90k

#1 Structor (2/1) – 850k Chad Brown 1st timer. It’s Scructor for the Conductor in the first.

Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 40000n2L

#2 No Regrets (7/2) – The Conductor regrets nothing about his decision to live his life on the rails.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.G2 Prioress Stakes

#5 Royal Charlotte (4/1) – Dropping out of a loaded G1 Test stakes where she was heavily bet, The Conductor likes that Chad brings her back quickly. She’s drawn nicely to the outside and the Conductor thinks the odds on favorite #3 Break Even (1/2) is vulnerable.

Race 4: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) OC 62500n2x

#4 Fig Jelly (5/2) – She should get the lone lead in this turf sprint and that’s all the Conductor needs to see.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. Mdn 90k

#8 Mud Pie (10/1) – This colt debuts for a small barn that has a winner from only two starters this meet. He’s posting solid works, his sire is 16% with 1st timers and his dam has produced a stakes winner. The Conductor has that feeling in his left knee that he’s going to pop.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) G3 Saranac Stakes

#2 Good Governance (2/1) – Chad Brown

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. Mdn 90k

#4 Extreme Force (8/1) – She hasn’t broken well in her 1st two career starts but showed talent in her debut, running 3rd in a race that has come back live. With a clean break today, she’ll have every chance at a nice number.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 90k

#1 Get Set (5/1) – Exiting two decent sprint efforts on dirt, he stretches out and tries turf for the 1st time. Trainer Steve Klesaris is 17% with a +$2.75 ROI moving horses to the lawn for the 1st time this year.

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. F.Alw 92000n1x

#3 Arrifana (7/2) – This filly looked like the goods in her debut and is working like a monster entering today.

Race 10: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) G2 Glens Falls Stakes

#2 Fools Gold (5/2) – One of the Chad Brown runners will win this race, you passengers figure out which one.

Race 11: 1 1/8 Mile. G1 Woodward Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Mongolian Groom (15/1) – This gelding is in good form and has run two bang up races in a row. He was only beaten a length by Catalina Cruiser two back and he hung on for 3rd after chasing a lone front-runner around the track in the Pacific Classic last time out. He looks to get a great trip sitting in the first flight of runners behind a moderate pace up front today and there aren’t any superstars in this field. The Conductor is going to key him in the exacta and trifecta and use mainly the three runners exiting the Whitney around him (#3 Vino Rosso (7/2), #5 Preservationist (7/2) and #7 Yoshida (5/2).

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Race 12: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 90k

#4 Tolerant (4/1) – The Chad Brown and Pletcher trainees are the ones to beat, but this 1st timer catches the Conductor’s eye. He posted a bullet 46 flat work two back and his sire is winning at a 16% clip with runners in their debut. This jockey/trainer combo is also red hot.

Ponies, Videos

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Saratoga

……BYU did not go well for the Conductor. American Power at 7/2 in Race 8 was the Conductor’s best opinion yesterday, but we need more big prices running in. Only 4 days left in the meet, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 7 Furlongs. Mdn 78k

#7 Financialstability (2/1) – The Conductor likes his work tap b for Chad and he has what the Conductor will never have.

Race 2: 1 1/8 Mile. Clm 12500

#8 Kahramani (9/2) – He stumbled at the start and was fanned wide last start. He’ll improve 2nd off the layoff and will be a fair price.

Race 3: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) S.MC 40000

#6 Exchange Fever (6/1) – This colt showed ability in his debut last summer at Saratoga, pressing a hot pace and only beaten 1 ¾ lengths vs tougher. Coming in fresh off a long layoff, this is a weak group and he has the most upside.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. OC 100000b

#1 Wonderful Light (2/1) – The other contenders are wildcards in here, coming in off long layoffs. This horse is making his 3rd start of the year and is in good form, the Conductor trusts him.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Alw 40000s

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Bramble Queen (8/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she’s a mile specialist and looks to get a perfect trip today with a hot pace in front to run at.

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Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) S.Mdn 78k

#3 Shandian (6/1) – This colt pressed a scorching pace and still hung on for 3rd in his first try on turf last start. 6/1 would be a mouthwatering price.

Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 90k

#3 Leaveuwithasmile (4/1) – She showed good early speed in her debut and hung on for 3rd behind an impressive runner. She’ll be in a good spot early and should improve with experience.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.S.Alw 80000n1x

#4 Noble Jewel (8/1) – Stretching out to a route for the 1st time last start, she made a move on the turn and then flattened out. She broke her maiden impressively in her debut, is lightly raced, and will appreciate the shorter distance today.

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. Clm 50000

#1 Tour De Force (8/5) – The Conductor doesn’t have anything clever here.

Race 10: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) Lucky Coin Stakes 100k

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Stew Lock of the Day #3 Disco Partner (8/5) – After scratches, he’ll be tough to beat.

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Race 11: 1 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.S.Alw 80000n1x

#8 Star of the East (9/2) – She had a troubled trip last start and the Conductor sees her getting a perfect one today stalking a hot pace.

Ponies

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Saratoga

Please get the Conductor to Labor Day Weekend, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 78k

#1 Tequila Fog (6/1) – Her dam has produced 3 winners from 4 starters, including a stakes winner. The Conductor likes her work tab and trainer Dermot Magner is 25% with a +$1.49 ROI this year at the maiden special weight level.

Race 2: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) S.OC 40000n2x

#6 Cross Border (8/5) – Winner of two in a row, he loves Saratoga and the distance. His price may float up with two Chad Brown runners in the field as well.

Race 3: 6½ Furlongs. F.Clm 20000n3L

*Atom Bomb Shot of the Day #4 Parlapiano (20/1) – She made a wide move on the turn last start after getting vanned off in her start prior. 3rd off the layoff today, the Conductor sees her running her A race, which fits against this tepid group. The Conductor will key her in the exacta and trifecta.

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Race 4: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Alw 50000s

#4 He Iz Gone (12/1) – This gelding folded in his 1st time routing last start. He cuts back to sprinting today, where he won 3 straight prior and will step forward in his 2nd start for the Clement barn.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. Clm 16000n2L

#2 Bronxville (5/1) – He mad an early move into a hot pace vs tougher last start. 2nd off the layoff he will improve and the Conductor thinks he has every chance to beat the heavy favorite #1 Business Cycle (1/1) at a much better price.

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) S.Mdn 78k

#8 Corey Scores (4/1) – Chad not being the favorite in a turf sprint paid nicely yesterday.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 78k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Saratoga Beauty (9/2) – He was favored in his debut and ran ok after breaking slowly. Paco returns to Saratoga to ride him and trainer Patrick McBurney is 32% with a +$0.11 ROI with 2nd time starters this year.

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Race 8: 6 Furlongs. OClm 50000

#3 American Power (5/1) – Winner of two in a row, this colt looks to get a great setup with a hot pace to run at.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.P. G. Johnson Stakes 100k

#3 Ginseng (8/1) – Castellano hops aboard the Indiana shipper for Brad Cox. The Conductor really liked her debut win, showing a nice turn of foot on the turn.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.S. MC 40000

#13 Ideational (5/2) – Chad draws in.

Ponies

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday: The Conductor’s Spot Play of the Day at Saratoga

Fast and firm for now at Saratoga. The rain forecast has been pushed back until late afternoon, so lets most of the card shouldn’t be heavily affected.  Let us pray, only 6 more days left in both meet, Let’s Ride.

Full Card Top Picks: The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Saratoga

Spot Play Race 3:

Pick 3 – 1,5,6,8 / 3,4 / 5,6,7,9

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Ponies

The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Saratoga

The final week at Saratoga is upon us. It all comes down to this. The Conductor is in a hole deeper than the grand canyon……but it only takes one pony. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: Hurdle Race – Pass

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 25000s

#5 Le Weekend (3/1) – This mare is a hark knocker and her figures fit right in with the favorites in here. Shipping in Colonial, the Conductor is expecting her to be an overlay.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.S.OC 40000n2x

#1 Dynamite Kitten (4/1) – She showed a good late lick last time, closing into a slow pace. She gets back to her best distance today.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 90k

#3 Doll Collercion (4/1) – She stumbled at the break last time and she was steadily progressing until then. The Conductor likes that Johnny V hops aboard.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Clm 40000

*Atom Bomb Shot of the Day #5 Alvernia (30/1) – This filly didn’t a run a step in the slop last time, but her win two back on dirt was competitive for this level. She’s stretching out and trying the grass for the first time and her breeding has some turf influences. She’ll be the biggest price on the board and the Conductor will key her underneath in the trifecta like the sicko he is.

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Race 6: 6 Furlongs. S.Mdn 78k

#4 Lorenzen (5/1) – This colt is working well for Casse and his dam has produced 7 winners from 9 starter. RIP to the legend Hefty Lefty who passed away this year.

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Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Mdn 90k

#5 Jazzique (5/1), #6 Selflessly (8/1) – The Conductor will take the two Chads and carry on.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. Alw 50000s

#6 Smile Bryan (3/1) – He’s drawn well to the outside and looks to get a perfect stalking trip in this one. He just missed at this level last time.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) G3 With Anticipation Stakes

#2 Our Country (7/2) – The Conductor was very impressed by his maiden breaker last start. He showed a thunderous finish, blowing away the field.

Race 10: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 40000

#12 Beans and Rice (30/1) – Did Carona racing Buy a Conductor t- shirt?

Ponies, Videos

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Saratoga

Saratoga is killing the Conductor. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 90k

#3 Strike Magic (6/1) – This filly was 200k at auction and trainer Mark Hennig is 15% with a +$0.62 ROI with 1st timers this year. Jose Ortiz also rarely rides for Hennig, which is a good sign

Race 2: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Mdn 90k

#5 Tench (5/1) – He is very quick early and switches to grass for the 1st time. Trainer Timothy Hamm is 18 % with a +$3.24 ROI moving runners to the lawn this year.

Race 3: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) OC 25000n1x

#4 Tide of the Sea (8/5) – He looks tough to beat.

Race 4: 7 Furlongs. F.Clm 25000n2L

#5 Wisconsin Night (7/2) – 1st off the claim for Linda Rice, her early pace figures give her an advantage over this group.

Race 5: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.OC 62500n2x

*Never a Doubt Sunday Night Scaries Preventer Lock of the Day #6 Violent Times (5/2) – She looks to get a perfect trip on or near a moderate pace for a turf sprint.

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Race 6: 6 Furlongs. Clm 12500

#8 Scarf It Down (7/2) – The Conductor won’t be scarfing anything but rice down for months.

Race 7: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.MC 75000

#8 Darken a Day (12/1) – Dropping to the claiming ranks for the first time, this filly’s first two starts have been rained off the turf. She’ll finally get a chance on the surface she’s bred for.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Inner Turf) Better Talk Now Stakes 100k

#1 Front Run the Fed (2/1) – You don’t see colts win by 13 lengths in a turf sprint like she did last time.

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. Alw 92000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Felix in Fabula (6/1) – 3rd vs similar last start, this colt has a win at the distance and more wins period than the rest of this field combined.

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Race 10: 1 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.MC 40000

#2 Art Theif (7/2) – 1st off the claim for George Weaver, she adds blinkers today and has the strongest late pace figures in the field.

Ponies

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Travers Day Plays at Saratoga

The time has come. The biggest day at the biggest meet. It’s put up or shut up time for the Conductor. Will Saratoga defeat him? Or will he come out on top? Only time will tell, but Toga best believe the Conductor is coming out swinging. Protect your neck Toga, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 Mile. (Inner Turf) OC 62500n2x

#8 Lemonist (4/1) – Last time was too long for him and he still ran a good 2nd at this level. 3rd off the layoff and shortening to his preferred distance, the Conductor gives him a major chance to upset the chalk.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 90k

7 Onward (7/2) – Drawn well to the outside for strong connections, this boy is well bred and working well.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 90k

#5 New York Charmer (15/1) – Stretching out to a route and trying grass for the first time, this filly can drastically improve for top connections. She gets a rider upgrade and the Conductor will key her in the exacta and tri.

Race 4: 6½ Furlongs. Alw 92000n1x

#2 Dark N Cloudy (20/1) – He ran 2nd vs similar last start and has past performances above par for this level. He has good early speed and doesn’t need the lead to win. If he can sit just behind a hot pace, he’ll be very dangerous.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. G1 Forego Stakes

#3 Mitole (4/5) – He was finally defeated last start after having a little trouble at the gate. The Conductor sees him rebounding today and putting on a show.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. F.G1 Ketel One Ballerina Stakes

#6 Minit to Stardom (8/1) – She’s become a new animal this year in the Camejo barn. She wired the field to upset the Honorable Miss last time and the Conductor sees her having a chance to do the same today.

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. G1 H. Allen Jerkens Stakes

#1 Shancelot (1/2) – The Conductor wanted to take a shot against him from the rail, but his early pace edge looks too much for this group to handle.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.G2 Woodford Reserve Ballston Spa Stakes

#7 Scottish Jig (10/1) – Shortening in distance, she’s the lone speed in the race. She’s a nice price and looks to get a favorable trip setting a slow pace. The Conductor will key her in the exacta and trifecta. This race is wide open on the win end.

Using ALL

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. G1 Personal Ensign Stakes

#5 Wow Cat (5/1) – The Conductor will use this mare along with #4 Elate (7/5). She needed that last race off a long layoff, and this has been the goal for Chad all along. The Conductor sees her running back to her Breeders Cup Distaff effort, which will give her every chance.

The Conductor will TOSS #1 Midnight Bisou (6/5)

Race 10: 1½ Mile. (Inner Turf) Grade 1 Sword Dancer Stakes

#7 Annals of Time (5/2) – This Grade 1 winner was dominant last time and has the most talent in the field. The majority of the Conductor’s play will go through him.

Backups: #6 Ya Primo (7/2), #5 Pillar Mountain (10/1)

Race 11: 1 1/4 Mile. Travers G1 Runhappy Travers Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Mucho Gusto (6/1) – The Conductor’s Travers Preview

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Race 12: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) S.OC 40000n2x

#11 Discretionary Marq (4/1) – Dropping out of open company, his early speed will put him in a great spot turning for home.

Race 13: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Mdn 90k

#1 Aymara (12/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she was favored last time and ran like a short horse. She has talent and the Conductor sees her running a big effort today.

Ponies, Videos

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Saratoga

Good day for the Conductor overall yesterday, but all of the photo finishes took a little off his life.

We need to get the train into 2nd gear heading into Travers Saturday.

Race 1: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.Mdn 78k

#4 Stretchthestory (6/1) – The Conductor likes her work tab best and the Alvarado/Clement jockey/trainer combo are a scorching 4/6 with a +$6.38 ROI at the Saratoga meet.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) S.Mdn 78k

#4 Waynes Footsteps (7/2) – Making his 2nd start for Brad Cox, he took a big step forward last start, pressing a hot pace and holding on for 3rd. The Conductor sees another improvement coming.

Race 3: 1 1/8 Mile. F.S. Fleet Indian Stakes 200k

#4 Wait a Minute (6/1) – In her two starts routing, she’s won with ease. She’s working well entering today and Finger Lakes shippers have surprised at big prices this meet.

Race 4: 5½ Furlongs. S.Mdn 78k

#2 Solar Fire (12/1) – Posting quick works, this colt’s sire wins at a 38% clip with 1st time starters. Trainer John Toscano Jr. is also 25% this year with 2-year-olds.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.S. Yaddo Stakes 150k

*Never a Doubt Chad Brown Lock of the Day #1 Fifty Five (1/1) – Dropping back into state bred company, this mare hates losing at this level.

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Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) S.Alw 80000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Preferred Outcome (12/1) – Her recent figures sprinting on dirt fit right in with this group and she’s hit the board in her two career turf starts. She has good early speed, is very consistent and looks primed to run her best 2nd off the layoff.

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Race 7: 6½ Furlongs. F.S.Seeking the Ante Stakes

#2 Big Q (6/1) – Thrust into G2 company last start, she made a nice early move on the turn before fading late. She adds Lasix today and the Conductor sees her taking a big step forward.

Race 8: 6½ Furlongs. S.Funny Cide Stakes 200k

#7 Cleon Jones (8/1) – His maiden breaker last start is the fastest performance this field has on the Conductor’s numbers. 8/1 would be a treat.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) S.West Point Stakes 150k

#8 Dot Matrix (9/2) – 2nd off the layoff for Brad Cox, he’s been facing open company and has very strong late pace figures. He looks to get a perfect trip today, with a hot pace to run at.

Race 10: 1 1/8 Mile. S. Albany Stakes 250k

#1 Daddy Knows (12/1) – Stretching back out to the distance he won two starts back. The Conductor really liked his effort that day pressing a hot pace. He is steadily progressing for strong connections.