Tag: travers

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Saratoga

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Saratoga Picks

Saratoga is killing the Conductor. Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 90k

#3 Strike Magic (6/1) – This filly was 200k at auction and trainer Mark Hennig is 15% with a +$0.62 ROI with 1st timers this year. Jose Ortiz also rarely rides for Hennig, which is a good sign

Race 2: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Mdn 90k

#5 Tench (5/1) – He is very quick early and switches to grass for the 1st time. Trainer Timothy Hamm is 18 % with a +$3.24 ROI moving runners to the lawn this year.

Race 3: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) OC 25000n1x

#4 Tide of the Sea (8/5) – He looks tough to beat.

Race 4: 7 Furlongs. F.Clm 25000n2L

#5 Wisconsin Night (7/2) – 1st off the claim for Linda Rice, her early pace figures give her an advantage over this group.

Race 5: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.OC 62500n2x

*Never a Doubt Sunday Night Scaries Preventer Lock of the Day #6 Violent Times (5/2) – She looks to get a perfect trip on or near a moderate pace for a turf sprint.

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Race 6: 6 Furlongs. Clm 12500

#8 Scarf It Down (7/2) – The Conductor won’t be scarfing anything but rice down for months.

Race 7: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.MC 75000

#8 Darken a Day (12/1) – Dropping to the claiming ranks for the first time, this filly’s first two starts have been rained off the turf. She’ll finally get a chance on the surface she’s bred for.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Inner Turf) Better Talk Now Stakes 100k

#1 Front Run the Fed (2/1) – You don’t see colts win by 13 lengths in a turf sprint like she did last time.

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. Alw 92000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Felix in Fabula (6/1) – 3rd vs similar at Saratoga last start, this colt has a win at the distance and more wins period than the rest of this field combined.

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Race 10: 1 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.MC 40000

#2 Art Theif (7/2) – 1st off the claim for George Weaver, she adds blinkers today and has the strongest late pace figures in the field.

The Conductor’s Travers Day Plays at Saratoga

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Group of racehorses with jockeys in colorful silks competing on a racetrack.

The time has come. The biggest day at the biggest meet. It’s put up or shut up time for the Conductor. Will Saratoga defeat him? Or will he come out on top? Only time will tell, but Toga best believe the Conductor is coming out swinging. Protect your neck in the Travers Toga, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 Mile. (Inner Turf) OC 62500n2x

#8 Lemonist (4/1) – Last time was too long for him and he still ran a good 2nd at this level. 3rd off the layoff and shortening to his preferred distance, the Conductor gives him a major chance to upset the chalk.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 90k

7 Onward (7/2) – Drawn well to the outside for strong connections, this boy is well bred and working well.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 90k

#5 New York Charmer (15/1) – Stretching out to a route and trying grass for the first time, this filly can drastically improve for top connections. She gets a rider upgrade and the Conductor will key her in the exacta and tri.

Race 4: 6½ Furlongs. Alw 92000n1x

#2 Dark N Cloudy (20/1) – He ran 2nd vs similar last start and has past performances above par for this level. He has good early speed and doesn’t need the lead to win. If he can sit just behind a hot pace, he’ll be very dangerous.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. G1 Forego Stakes

#3 Mitole (4/5) – He was finally defeated last start after having a little trouble at the gate. The Conductor sees him rebounding today and putting on a show.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. F.G1 Ketel One Ballerina Stakes

#6 Minit to Stardom (8/1) – She’s become a new animal this year in the Camejo barn. She wired the field to upset the Honorable Miss last time and the Conductor sees her having a chance to do the same today.

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. G1 H. Allen Jerkens Stakes

#1 Shancelot (1/2) – The Conductor wanted to take a shot against him from the rail, but his early pace edge looks too much for this group to handle.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.G2 Woodford Reserve Ballston Spa Stakes

#7 Scottish Jig (10/1) – Shortening in distance, she’s the lone speed in the race. She’s a nice price and looks to get a favorable trip setting a slow pace. The Conductor will key her in the exacta and trifecta. This race is wide open on the win end.

Using ALL

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. G1 Personal Ensign Stakes

#5 Wow Cat (5/1) – The Conductor will use this mare along with #4 Elate (7/5). She needed that last race off a long layoff, and this has been the goal for Chad all along. The Conductor sees her running back to her Breeders Cup Distaff effort, which will give her every chance.

The Conductor will TOSS #1 Midnight Bisou (6/5)

Race 10: 1½ Mile. (Inner Turf) Grade 1 Sword Dancer Stakes

#7 Annals of Time (5/2) – This Grade 1 winner was dominant last time and has the most talent in the field. The majority of the Conductor’s play will go through him.

Backups: #6 Ya Primo (7/2), #5 Pillar Mountain (10/1)

Race 11: 1 1/4 Mile. Travers G1 Runhappy Travers Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Mucho Gusto (6/1) – The Conductor’s Travers Preview

travers stakes

Race 12: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) S.OC 40000n2x

#11 Discretionary Marq (4/1) – Dropping out of open company, his early speed will put him in a great spot turning for home.

Race 13: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Mdn 90k

#1 Aymara (12/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she was favored last time and ran like a short horse. She has talent and the Conductor sees her running a big effort today.

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Saratoga

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Large crowd of spectators at a horse racing event with raised hands and cameras.

Good day for the Conductor overall yesterday, but all of the photo finishes took a little off his life. We need to get the train into 2nd gear at Saratoga heading into Travers Saturday.

Race 1: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.Mdn 78k

#4 Stretchthestory (6/1) – The Conductor likes her work tab best and the Alvarado/Clement jockey/trainer combo are a scorching 4/6 with a +$6.38 ROI at the Saratoga meet.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) S.Mdn 78k

#4 Waynes Footsteps (7/2) – Making his 2nd start for Brad Cox, he took a big step forward last start, pressing a hot pace and holding on for 3rd. The Conductor sees another improvement coming.

Race 3: 1 1/8 Mile. F.S. Fleet Indian Stakes 200k

#4 Wait a Minute (6/1) – In her two starts routing, she’s won with ease. She’s working well entering today and Finger Lakes shippers have surprised at big prices this meet.

Race 4: 5½ Furlongs. S.Mdn 78k

#2 Solar Fire (12/1) – Posting quick works, this colt’s sire wins at a 38% clip with 1st time starters. Trainer John Toscano Jr. is also 25% this year with 2-year-olds.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.S. Yaddo Stakes 150k

*Never a Doubt Chad Brown Lock of the Day #1 Fifty Five (1/1) – Dropping back into state bred company, this mare hates losing at this level.

Saratoga

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) S.Alw 80000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Preferred Outcome (12/1) – Her recent figures sprinting on dirt fit right in with this group and she’s hit the board in her two career turf starts. She has good early speed, is very consistent and looks primed to run her best 2nd off the layoff.

Saratoga

Race 7: 6½ Furlongs. F.S.Seeking the Ante Stakes

#2 Big Q (6/1) – Thrust into G2 company last start, she made a nice early move on the turn before fading late. She adds Lasix today and the Conductor sees her taking a big step forward.

Race 8: 6½ Furlongs. S.Funny Cide Stakes 200k

#7 Cleon Jones (8/1) – His maiden breaker last start at Saratoga is the fastest performance this field has on the Conductor’s numbers. 8/1 would be a treat.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) S.West Point Stakes 150k

#8 Dot Matrix (9/2) – 2nd off the layoff for Brad Cox, he’s been facing open company and has very strong late pace figures. He looks to get a perfect trip today, with a hot pace to run at.

Race 10: 1 1/8 Mile. S. Albany Stakes 250k

#1 Daddy Knows (12/1) – Stretching back out to the distance he won two starts back. The Conductor really liked his effort that day pressing a hot pace. He is steadily progressing for strong connections.

The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Saratoga

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Horses and jockeys racing at the Saratoga Race Course with starting gates in view.

Scattered thunderstorms forecast for tomorrow, so the Conductor will adjust accordingly if the races are taken off the turf. The Conductor is still hurting after being knocked out of the pick 6 in the last leg on Sunday. He keeps putting himself in position to KO Saratoga, but it keeps escaping from his grasp. Only two weeks left to get its gullet, its Travers week baby. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: Hurdle Race

Race 2: 1 1/8 Mile. F.OC 25000n1x

#1 South of the Shore (8/5) – 2nd behind Dunbar Road who came back to win the Alabama on Saturday. 8/5 in a 5 horse field would not be a bad price.

Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs. MC 75000

#4 Rejected Again (2/1) – He’s most likely, the Conductor doesn’t have a strong opinion in here.

Race 4: 1 5/8 Mile. (Turf) John Call Stakes 100k

#6 Nakamura (4/1) – The Conductor’s best opinion on Saturday when she won at 5/1, the Conductor wishes more horses returned to the races this quickly when they are feeling good.

Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 78k

#2 Sophie Rules (9/2) – This filly is working well and the Jose Ortiz/Englehart jockey/trainer combo have been red hot this meet.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Mdn 75k

#3 Justintimeforwine (15/1) – Stretching out to a route on turf for the first time, she could drastically improve. She was favorited sprinting on dirt at Saratoga two starts back, which tells the Conductor she has more talent than she’s shown. At a bomb the Conductor will key her in the exacta and trifecta.

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. Clm 20000n3L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Autostrade (6/1) – Switching back to dirt and cutting back to a sprint, he made an early move into a hot pace last time at Saratoga. The Conductor loves him here.

Saratoga

Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Clm 50000b

#8 Morisette (8/1) – Dropping back to the claiming ranks today, she was favored against much tougher last time and had trouble at the break. With a clean break, she’ll have every chance.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. S.Alw 80000n1x

#3 Our Last Buck (8/1) – Switching back to dirt and dropping out of open company, his race two back at Aqueduct would be tough for this field to beat. 2nd off the layoff, he’ll be ready to roll.

Race 10: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Clm 40000n2L

#6 Zandora (5/1) – 1st off the claim and switching to turf, her early pace figures give her an advantage over this field.