Month: June 2019

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Belmont Park

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A crowded horse racing event with multiple horses and riders on the track in front of an audience.

They always run the next day and there is always another race in 20 minutes. Belmont time, Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 16000n2L

#1 Ok Honey (4/1) – Plunging in class, she’s cutting back to a sprint and the rail was the place to be all yesterday.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Mdn 62k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 The Happy Giant (20/1) – 2nd off the layoff for a new barn, her race two back at Laurel gives her a major chance.  The Conductor will key her in the exacta and trifecta.

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Race 3: 6 Furlongs. 150k Jersey Girl Stakes

#3 Break Even (3/5) – Chalk

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. S.F MC 25000

#7 Too Many Tales (7/2) – She has to graduate today or she never will.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) S.MC 40000

#2 Game Break (6/1) – He took money at the windows and set a hot pace before folding in his debut. He’ll take a big step forward today.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) Clm 40000

#8 Bold Daddy (6/1) – He moved early into a hot pace last time. He’s very dangerous in his 2nd start for Servis.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. Clm 32000

*Never a Doubt Lock From God #3 Flat Rate (4/1) – The Conductor liked his maiden breaker at Parx and that he shortens a furlong today.

belmont

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) S.Alw 66000n1x

#1 Everyonelovesjames (2/1) – He has a major early pace edge over this Belmont group.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) OC 80000n1x

#2 Honey Won’t (5/2) – The Conductor doesn’t have a strong opinion in this race.

Race 10: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) S.MC 40000

#6 Dove Shoot (5/1) – He pressed a hot pace vs tougher last start. He drops back to where he fits today.

The Conductors Belmont Stakes Day Plays

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A racehorse with a jockey wearing a red and white uniform, galloping on a racetrack.

Belmont Stakes Day, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. Alw 92000n1x

#2 Shadow Rider (8/1) – The Conductor is going to key him underneath in the exacta.  He has the strongest late pace figures and should get a decent pace to close into.

Race 2: 1 ¼ Mile. Mdn 90k

#2 Better Tapit (6/1) – This jockey/trainer combo hit with a 1st timer yesterday. This cold is well-bred.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. 150K Easy Goer Stakes

#4 Outshine (9/5) – He got wiped out in the Wood last time, his 2nd in the Tampa Bay Derby makes him the one to beat.

Race 4: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 Just A Game Stakes

#4 Rushing Fall (4/5) – She’s the Goods

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. F. G1 Ogden Phipps Stakes

#1 Come Dancing (6/5) – She has an early pace edge over the favorite #2 Midnight Bisou (1/1) and the rest of the field.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) G1 Jaipur Invitational Stakes

#8 World of Trouble (1/1) – He’s nails right now.

Race 7: 1 Mile. F.G1 Acorn Stakes

*Never a Doubt Under Card Lock of the Day #7 Guarana (2/1) – The birdies are chirping that she is a freak. Jose Ortiz also chose to jump off the Oaks winner #1 Serengeti Empress (5/2) to ride her.

belmont stakes

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. G1 Woody Stephens Stakes

#1 Honest Mischief (6/1) – Finally somewhat of a price to play. This colt’s maiden breaker at Keeneland last start dropped the Conductor’s jaw.

Race 9: 1 Mile. G1 Met Mile

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Pavel (20/1) – #2 Mckinzie, #3 Mitole, #4 Thunder Snow and #7 Firenze Fire should all be used on top, but the Conductor is going to key this bomb in the trifecta. He’s always wanted to go shorter in the Conductor’s opinion and he sees him getting a perfect stalking trip from the outside.

belmont stakes

Race 10: 1 1/4 Mile. (Inner Turf) G1 Manhattan Stakes

#3 Robert Bruce (6/1) – He gets back to firm turf today and also has tactical speed in a race devoid of pace. However, one of the Chad Brown runners will obviously win.

Race 11: 1½ Mile. G1 Belmont Stakes

#5 Bourbon of War (12/1) – The Conductor’s Belmont Stakes Preview

Race 12: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) OC 62500n2x

#5 Near Gold (8/1) – The Conductor isn’t impressed with any of the American runners so he’ll turn to the French import.

Race 13: 1½ Mile. G2 Woodford Reserve Stakes

#3 Sonateer (10/1) – He romped in his 1st try at the distance last start. Moreover, this may be what he’s wanted all along.

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

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A racehorse with a green and yellow jockey competing on a racetrack at KY Downs.

The Conductor had a shorty winner in the opener yesterday, then couldn’t hit the broad side of a barn. This week is a can’t lose Conductor! Tighten it up! We need money to play with tomorrow at Belmont, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 7 Furlongs. Mdn 90k

#2 Per Capita (8/1) – The “other” Chad in this race.  His dam has produced 3 stakes winners from 6 starters, he’s posting bullet works and will be a bigger price.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.S. Mdn 72k

#8 Lead Guitar (5/1) – 200k at auction, George Weaver can surprise with 1st time starters and the Conductor likes his work tab. His bullet work at Keeneland April 30th did not go unnoticed.

Race 3: 1 Mile. (Turf) OC 80000n1x

#1 Wild Medegliad’oro (5/1) – He took a little while to break his maiden, but he was very impressive stretching out on the grass for the 1st time.  This is what he’s wanted all along.

Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs. S.OC 40000n2x

#7 Fiery Opal (10/1) – The favorites look tough to beat, but the Conductor is going to key this gelding in the trifecta, mostly underneath. Cutting back to a sprint after racing last weekend, he will come running late.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. F.G3 Bed of Roses Stakes

#7 Separationofpowers (5/2) – Drawn well to the outside, she looks primed for this spot 2nd off the layoff.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) OC 100000n3x

#6 Gidu (8/1) – He has an early pace edge on this field and is working well entering today. The Conductor will root for him to get to the front and scamper away.

Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs. 150k Tremont Stakes

#2 Maven (7/5) – The son of American Pharoah, he looked great in his debut win last time.

Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs. G2 True North Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Do Share (5/1) – He ran solid last time closing into a moderate pace against Mitole, who we’ll see tomorrow in the Met Mile. The Conductor loves him in this spot, its his best bet on the card.

Belmont

Race 9: 1 ¼ Mile. (Inner Turf) F.G2 New York Stakes

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Bottle Service Lock of the Day #8 Homerique (6/5) – She’s too classy for this group.

Belmont

Race 10: 2 Miles. (Turf) G2 Belmont Gold Cup

#4 Red Knight (7/2) – He’s proven at the distance, 2nd off the layoff and does his best running at Belmont.

Race 11: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.Alw 40000s

#8 Queen Kahen (10/1) – 1st off the claim for Linda Rice, his win last time on dirt gives him every chance if he takes to the lawn.

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

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A jockey in red and white attire riding a brown racehorse at the Breeders' Cup event, showcasing excitement and victory.

What a three-day card we have in front of us at Belmont. Strap in, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 3/8 Mile. (Turf) OC 25000n1x

#2 Pillar Mountain (5/2) – 2nd off the layoff, he closed nicely into a slow pace last time.  The Conductor really like his effort at Saratoga as well.

Race 2: 1 Mile. S.Alw 74000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Joe’s Smokin Gun (15/1) – The favorites in here are exiting good efforts over sloppy tracks, while he ran a poorly over one. His fast dirt track form makes him competitive in here and he has upside stretching out to a mile for the 1st time. The Conductor will key him in the trifecta.

belmont park

Race 3: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.G3 Wonder Again Stakes

#3 Newspaperofrecord (1/5) – She’ll strut her stuff today.

Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 90k

#1 Liza Jambalaya (5/1) – She’s well-bred and working like a good thing by all accounts in the mornings. The rail has been good so far this meet.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 90k

*Never a Doubt Conductor Note Playback Lock of the Day #9 Keepme in Thegame (7/2) – This filly ran a solid closing 3rd into a slow pace in her debut at Keeneland. The Conductor had a note on her to play her back, which makes her an absolute lock.

belmont park

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs. Alw 92000n1x

#1 Hersh (7/2) – This colt’s maiden breaker at Saratoga was eye catching.  With natural progression he’s very dangerous and just posted a bullet work.

Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.150k Astoria Stakes

#3 Perfect Alibi (5/2) – She was with the Conductor the night of the murder, she swears.

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.G3 Intercontinental Stakes

#1 Enthusiastic Gal (20/1) – She’s taking a big step up in class, but steadily progressing and making her 2nd start off a layoff.  She’s 4/4 at Belmont and the Conductor will key her in the trifecta at a big number.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) S.Mdn 72k

#3 Blue Parrot (10/1) – Well-bred for top connections, the runners with experience in here are nothing special.

The Conductor’s Belmont Stakes Preview

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Image displaying the entries for the 151st Belmont Stakes horse race with horse names and numbers.

The posts drew for the Belmont Stakes last night and now it’s time to go to work.  There is an inordinate number of deep closers in this race, and the Conductor hopes all the suckers fall for them because of the added distance. This race will favor those in the first flight like it has the last in the last decade.

 

Race 11: 1 1/2 Mile. G1 Belmont Stakes

#1 Joevia (30/1) – He caused the chaos in the Wood and came back for a gate to wire win in a prep race last start. He’s the bomb the Conductor is most intrigued about in this race.  He’s the lone horse that want the lead. If he breaks well and goes right to the front, he can get brave late and surprise everyone but the Conductor.  The Conductor will use him heavily in 2nd and 3rd in the trifecta and possibly a sprinkle on top.

#2 Everfast (12/1) – He road a gold rail and got a hot pace to close into in the Preakness, the Conductor won’t use him anywhere especially at that price.

#3 Master Fencer (8/1) – The Derby was a funky race with the track and he’ll be coming from way out of it.  He missed the break and ran well, but if he’s not double-digit odds the Conductor won’t use anywhere.  The Conductor will make him prove him wrong

#4 Tax (15/1) – The Conductor is drawing a line thru his Derby race.  If you do that he fits very nicely in this spot. The distance is a question, but he’ll get a perfect trip up close to a slow pace. The Conductor will use him heavily in 2nd and 3rd and maybe a few saver tickets on top.

*#5 Bourbon War (12/1)

– He ran a dud in the Preakness, but the Conductor will give him another shot taking the blinkers back off.  He can run all day and the Conductor thinks he may have the most potential of any runner in this group.  The Conductor will lean on that live Florida Derby form.

belmont stakes

#6 Spinoff (15/1) – Just copy and paste what the Conductor said about tax. He looks to get a dream trip and the Conductor sees him running well.

#7 Sir Wisnston (15/1) – He took a major step forward in the Peter Pan last start, but he helped with a hot pace to close into. The Conductor can’t see him any better than 3rd.

#8 Intrepid Heart (10/1) – He stumbled at the start in the Peter Pan and was prepping for this race all along.  He adds blinkers, will be forwardly placed and is very dangerous. The Conductor will use him in all 3 spots in the trifecta.

#9 War of Will (2/1) – He won nicely in the Preakness, but you can’t ask for a better trip.  Its hard to see him not running well here, but the stubborn Conductor will take a stand against him on top.  He’ll allow him to run 2nd or 3rd.

*#10 Tacitus (9/5) – The Conductor liked him a lot going into the Derby and he ran a solid race. He should be mid-pack and will grind all day like Belmont Stakes winners do. He’s the one to beat.

belmont stakes

A Contenders: #5 Bourbon War, #10 Tacitus

B Contenders: #8 Intrepid Heart

C Contenders: #1 Joevia, #4 Tax, #6 Spinoff

Trachea Kick Tuesday: The Conductor’s Plays at Parx

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Parx Racing starting gate signage with colorful numbers and logo, indicating horse racing event details.

He’s back. The Conductor has returned from his much deserved vacation and he will never leave us passengers to fend for ourselves again until Christmas when the ponies don’t run. Is there a herder working man in the business? I think not. Its Belmont Stakes week and the Conductor is now off the golf course and sunny beaches and in his dark handicapping den the way he should be. He will be watching replays until his eyes bleed. Time to start building our bankroll for Saturday. Parx time.  Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs. MC 10000

#4 Dramaized (4/1) – His debut effort makes him competitive against this group of proven losers.  He should take a step forward today with a race under his belt.

Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 12500n2L

#6 Oh K Funnybone (4/1) – This group is tightly bunched on numbers and he’s been running vs much tougher competition.

Race 3: 1 Mile. Clm 7500n4L

#7 Informally (4/1) – While the others are very sporadic, he’s consistent and incrementally improving.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 5000

#3 Cinco Y Cinco (10/1) – He took a step forward with a drop in class last start. He has multiple races to run back to that can beat this group.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 7500

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 My Candy Forest (6/1) – The Conductor will drive his train straight to the windows for 6/1 on this filly. She hasn’t faced a field this weak.

parx

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.Alw 25000n1x

#5 Nth Degree (5/1) – Making her 3rd start off the layoff she’s been consistent against stronger fields. The Conductor will make the favorite #6 Mary Costa (7/5) prove it to him vs tougher.

Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs. S.OC 40000

#2 Midnight Poker (1/2) – The Conductor can’t see him losing.

Race 8: 5 Furlongs. Alw 460001x

#9 Xy Speed (3/1) – He’s lightly raced and the Conductor likes his upside.

Race 9: 5 ½ Furlongs. MC 10000

*Never a Doubt Return to the Den Lock of the Day #2 Eliav (6/5) – If he doesn’t graduate today at Parx, he never will.

parx