The posts drew for the Belmont last night and now it’s time to go to work. There is an inordinate number of deep closers in this race, and the Conductor hopes all the suckers fall for them because of the added distance. This race will favor those in the first flight like it has the last in the last decade.
Race 11: 1 1/2 Mile. G1 Belmont Stakes
#1 Joevia (30/1) – He caused the chaos in the Wood and came back for a gate to wire win in a prep race last start. He’s the bomb the Conductor is most intrigued about in this race. He’s the lone horse that want the lead. If he breaks well and goes right to the front, he can get brave late and surprise everyone but the Conductor. The Conductor will use him heavily in 2nd and 3rd in the trifecta and possibly a sprinkle on top.
#2 Everfast (12/1) – He road a gold rail and got a hot pace to close into in the Preakness, the Conductor won’t use him anywhere especially at that price.
#3 Master Fencer (8/1) – The Derby was a funky race with the track and he’ll be coming from way out of it. He missed the break and ran well, but if he’s not double-digit odds the Conductor won’t use anywhere. The Conductor will make him prove him wrong
#4 Tax (15/1) – The Conductor is drawing a line thru his Derby race. If you do that he fits very nicely in this spot. The distance is a question, but he’ll get a perfect trip up close to a slow pace. The Conductor will use him heavily in 2nd and 3rd and maybe a few saver tickets on top.
*#5 Bourbon War (12/1) – He ran a dud in the Preakness, but the Conductor will give him another shot taking the blinkers back off. He can run all day and the Conductor thinks he may have the most potential of any runner in this group. The Conductor will lean on that live Florida Derby form.
#6 Spinoff (15/1) – Just copy and paste what the Conductor said about tax. He looks to get a dream trip and the Conductor sees him running well.
#7 Sir Wisnston (15/1) – He took a major step forward in the Peter Pan last start, but he helped with a hot pace to close into. The Conductor can’t see him any better than 3rd.
#8 Intrepid Heart (10/1) – He stumbled at the start in the Peter Pan and was prepping for this race all along. He adds blinkers, will be forwardly placed and is very dangerous. The Conductor will use him in all 3 spots in the trifecta.
#9 War of Will (2/1) – He won nicely in the Preakness, but you can’t ask for a better trip. Its hard to see him not running well here, but the stubborn Conductor will take a stand against him on top. He’ll allow him to run 2nd or 3rd.
*#10 Tacitus (9/5) – The Conductor liked him a lot going into the Derby and he ran a solid race. He should be mid-pack and will grind all day like Belmont winners do. He’s the one to beat.
A Contenders: #5 Bourbon War, #10 Tacitus
B Contenders: #8 Intrepid Heart
C Contenders: #1 Joevia, #4 Tax, #6 Spinoff
