It was a chalky Friday at Pimlico, but if you listened to the Conductor you passengers at least Cashed the pick 5. The late pick 5 will be the Conductor’s focus Saturday as well. We are not in this game for little cashes. Let’s hit a monster and change our little lives. Let’s Ride.
Race 9: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) F.100K The Very One Stakes
The Conductor is spreading. #3 Eye On Berlin (10/1), #4 Souper Echo (9/2), #6 Jo Jo Air (3/1), #7 Angel at War (12/1),#8 Misericordia (4/1), #9 Wild About Star (9/2)
The Conductor can feel the excitement brewing in his plumbs. Black-Eyed Susan Day tomorrow then the big Saturday in Baltimore and the 2nd leg of the Triple Crown. With the top finishers in the Derby not running, it makes for a very intriguing race and the Conductor sees prices in his crystal ball. With speed horses drawn to the inside and outside, this pace is going to heat up. The Conductor will try to put himself in a similar situation as Derby day. Survive until the big race and try to get alive to all of King Midas’s silver. This is our time! Let’s Ride. PS Buy a shirt.
Race 13: 1 3/16 Mile. G1 Preakness Stakes
#1 War of Will (4/1) – The horse most effected by the Derby chaos, he looked loaded before getting tangled with Maximum Security on the far turn. He has a major chance, but will have to send from the rail, put away the frontrunners, hold off the closers and will be overly bet. The Conductor will not use him on top.
*#2 Bourbon War (12/1) – No chance we get 12/1, but he’s one of the horses the Conductor really likes. He had no shot in the Florida Derby closing into a slow pace and that race has come back very live. Code of Honor’s 2nd in the Derby gives the Conductor more confidence.
#3 Warrior’s Charge (12/1) – He’s run solid figures in his last two blowout wins, but he’s been alone on the lead setting slow paces. This colt has never seen the pace and competition he will on Saturday. The Conductor won’t use him.
#4 Improbable (5/2) – This is a favorite the Conductor will love to bet against. He had favorable trip in the Derby and came up empty. He’ll likely run 2nd or 3rd, but the Conductor won’t allow him to win.
*#5 Owendale (10/1) – The Conductor must use him after his last performance at Keeneland. He made a jaw dropping move on the far turn and engulfed the field on a speed favoring track. Classic swoop and pounce move the Conductor loves so much.
#6 Market King (30/1) – Get him out of here.
*#7 Alwaysmining (8/1) – This gelding is no joke. He’s been throttling his competition at Laurel Park and will get the acid test Saturday, but the Conductor thinks he’s a monster. He’s a must use on top.
#8 Signalman (30/1) – He ran well in the Bluegrass, but the Conductor sees him as a notch below the Contenders. He doesn’t hate him underneath for 3rd or 4th though.
#9 Bodexpress (20/1) – He clearly doesn’t like the slop, so ignore his Derby effort. He can sit behind the fronrunners and get a great trip. The Conductor will use him in 2nd and 3rd.
#10 Everfast (50/1) – Ignore him.
#11 Laughing Fox (20/1) – The Conductor can see him closing for 3rd or 4th, but nothing more. He narrowly beat much weaker with a good setup last start.
#12 Anothertwistafate (6/1) – He’ll show speed out of the gate and contribute to the hot pace. He ran solid in the Lexington Stakes last start, but Owendale ran him down even though he had a more favorable trip. 3rd at best.
*#13 Win Win Win (15/1) – The Conductor’s great white buffalo. He had no chance after the start of the Derby to no fault of his own. The Conductor’s eyes lit up when it was announced he was running back in the Preakness. He should get a perfect setup Saturday and we’ll get to see what he is made of. Redemption will be served Tall, Neat and Strong, just the way the Conductor likes it. Win Contenders:
Props to Pimlico on putting together a great Friday card. Full 14 race plays will be up Friday, but the Conductor will preview the stakes pick 5, which will get most of his attention. A big Friday means we can go for the jugular on Saturday and we know how much the Conductor like to kill. Let’s Ride.
Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F. Skipat Stakes 100k
#3 Chalon (6/5) – Nothing like starting the pick 5 with a stone cold single. We’ll find out if we’re alive or dead right from the jump. She looks like a clear stand out.
Race 8: 6 Furlongs. F. G3 Adena Springs Miss Preakness Stakes
#2 Covfefe (7/2) – She’s the lone A for the Conductor and he’ll heavily press her. 2 of her 3 career races blow this field away.
#1 Iva (15/1), #6 Never Enough Time (6/1), #7 Miss Imperial (8/1), #10 By Bye Jay (12/1), #11 Fighting Mad (4/1), and #12 Midnight Fantasy (12/1) will be used as backups.
#12 Midnight Fantasy (12/1) – She’s undefeated sprinting and is the price the Conductor will key in the trifecta.
Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) F. Hilltop Stakes 100k
#2 Nova Sol (7/2), #5 Dogtag (9/2) – Chad Brown wins every turf race.
#12 Orra Moor (10/1) – If there is somebody that can beat Chad, it’s Todd. This girl has run quality races on the dirt vs tough competition, if her form can translate to the turf she’ll be dangerous.
Race 10: 1 ¼ Mile. G3 Pimlico Special Stakes
This is going to be a spread race for the Conductor, this field is wide open and almost everyone has a chance.
#7 Just Whistle (20/1) – This is the Conductor’s favorite bomb in here and the one he’ll be keying in the exacta and trifecta. The distance will be no problem with his strong late pace figures and his last race was better than it looks, trying to close into a tepid pace on a speed favoring track. He can make the Conductor’s day.
Race 11: 1 1/8 Mile. F.G2 Black-Eyed Susan Stakes
#7 Brill (5/1) – Making her 3rd start off the layoff, she looks to get a perfect trip sitting just behind the leaders. She has loads of talent and her last race in the Fantasy stakes has come back live.
#8 Point of Honor (5/2) – Her late pace figures are thunderous. If she gets any pace to run at she’ll be tough to beat.
#2 Off Topic (8/1) – She’s the price the Conductor likes most. She’s a closer who caught a slow pace last start. She won’t surprise the Conductor.
Rain took the races off the dirt yesterday at Belmont, but a nice 9/1 winner in Race 2 made it a good Sunday. Its officially Preakness week and the Conductor’s head is spinning. He’ll give us some winners at Louisiana today, then his focus will turn to the upcoming feature races at Pimlico. We let the Derby slip through our fingers in the slop, we can’t let it happen again. Let’s Ride.
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 18k
#5 Track Binder (5/1) – His low % jockey/trainer combo have lit up the tote board recently and this boy’s sire wins at a 20% clip with 1st time starters.
Race 2: 7 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.OC 25000n1x
#6 Zarelda (4/1) – She’s been facing much tougher and has run quality races on the dirt in her young career. She’s bred to be even better on the lawn.
Race 3: 1m70yds. S.Clm 7500n2x
#5 Crooked as Can Be (9/5) – He bounced back nicely last race and has strong back class.
Race 4: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.MC 12500
#10 Betty’s Joy’s Star (5/2) – Shipping in from the Fair Grounds, she must beat this field.
Race 5: 6 Furlongs. S.MC 12500
#6 Shot On Windy Hill (6/1) – He’s shown good early speed and gets a major trainer upgrade to Beverly Burress, who has a +$2.04 ROI running horses for the 1st time this year.
Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 19000n1x
*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Thegreyspider (6/1) – The drop in class helped him last time. He consistently runs the highest figures in the field.
Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 5000
*Never a Doubt Week Starter #6 Cool Sis (1/1) – She can’t lose.
We finally found a few winners yesterday at Belmont. Heading into Preakness week, we need more than a few. The Conductor’s mother hopes he gets hot soon or he’s going to move back into her basement. Happy Mother’s Day! Let’s Ride.
Race 1: 7 Furlongs. Clm 10000
#1 Zap Zap Zap (12/1) – He always runs well at Belmont and this race is wide open. The Conductor will key him in the exacta.
Race 2: 6½ Furlongs. S.MC 25000
#1 Bustin Shout (12/1) – He was eased in his debut but was well bet at the windows and has been gelded since. He can surprise the bettors who don’t follow the Conductor.
Race 3: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.Clm 40000n2L
#4 Roses From Ben (8/1) – She’s 1/1 on the lawn and will be a big price. Most of these runners haven’t proven anything on the grass.
Race 4: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 80k
#6 Sneakiness (9/2) – Drawn well to the outside, he showed ability in his debut last fall and is working like a monster entering today.
Race 5: 7 Furlongs. S.Clm 40000
#4 Stink Man (4/1) – The Conductor has no idea what happened last start, but he showed real talent in hist 1st career start.
Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 30000n2L
*Never a Doubt Pay For Moms Brunch Lock of the Day #3 Hope Again (3/1) – These Tampa shippers continue to run very well.
Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 62500n2x
*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Saguaro Row (4/1) – She’s going to get a perfect trip, sitting behind a hot pace. She’s steadily progressing and has run against some classy fillies.
Race 8: 6 Furlongs. 100K Gold Fever Stakes
#3 Sombeyay (9/2) – This is a loaded non-graded stakes. The Conductor would love him to be the third betting choice.
Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 62k
#9 Quiet Out East (4/1) – The Conductor doesn’t have a clue in here.
#1 Chipolata (4/1) – She ran well to close into a slow pace and get the job done last start. She has back class and looks poised to run her best 2nd off the layoff.
Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 80k
#4 Structural Deficit (5/1) – A well-bred Chad Brown filly is going to be 2nd choice? The Conductor will take her.
Race 9: 6 Furlongs. 150K Runhappy Stakes
#3 Firenze Fire (7/2) – 2nd off the layoff, he looks to get a perfect stalking trip, tracking a fast pace.
Race 10: 1 3/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) G1 Man O’ War Stakes
*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Hunting Horn (10/1) – He’s caught a yielding course and has legitimate excuses in most of his North American races. He fits with this group and the Conductor will key him in the trifecta at a nice number.
Race 11: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Mdn 62k
#4 Electronic (3/1) – She acted up at the gate and still ran a good 4th, closing into a slow pace in her debut. She’ll take a step forward today.
A nice little twilight card with no rain today in New York. With the Preakness only 9 days away, we need to fill up the train with funds fast. Let’s Ride!
Race 1: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.OC 62500n2x
#5 Crimson Forest (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she’s been running competitive figures for this level on dirt and has only tried the turf once in her career. She’s bred to handle the lawn just fine.
Race 2: 5 Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 62k
#3 American Song (5/2) – Trainer Jeremiah Englehart has a positive ROI this year with 1st time starters and this girl’s sire hits at 18% with debut runners.
Race 3: 1 ¼ Mile. (Inner Turf) Mdn 90k
*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Tiberius Mercurius (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, this colt ran a strong 2nd last start, closing into a slow pace. He also gets a rider upgrade to Jose Ortiz.
Race 4: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 40000
#2 Thomond Park (6/1) – Just missing last time at Tampa, he’ll appreciate the shorter distance and the Conductor has seen a lot of Tampa shippers run very well lately.
Race 5: 7 Furlongs. S.OC 40000n2x
#5 Real Dan (4/1) – 2/2 in his 1st two starts, he looks to get a perfect trip stalking a quick pace.
#7 Sicilia Mike (8/1) – He won’t win, but he’ll hit the board. The Conductor will key him underneath in the exacta and trifecta.
Race 6: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 12500
#6 Riot Worthy (9/2) – The Conductor will key her in the exacta because she loves to run 2nd. She looks to get a dream trip, closing into a hot pace.
Race 7: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) Mdn 80k
#1/1A Entry (5/2) – The Conductor likes both runners, he hopes neither scratch and he can single here.
Race 8: 1 3/8 Mile. Flat Out Stakes 100k
*Never a Doubt Tell Your Boss Your Taking Friday Off and Have Yourself a Long Weekend Lock of the Day #5 Rocketry (9/5) – He had no chance last start at Gulfstream trying to close into a ridiculously slow pace. 2nd off the layoff, he’ll annihilate this field.
Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.S.Alw 66000n1x
#4 Love and Love (20/1) – The Conductor will take a shot in a wide-open race. She’s run well both sprinting and routing, which the Conductor like to see.
Looks like rain for both Friday and Saturday can be counted on and the scratch of Omaha Beach has made everyone lose their minds. The Conductor’s eyes are bleeding from all of the capping this week and rest assured he is not done. Full card plays for the Oaks card will be up in the morning and the same for the Derby Day Saturday morning. This is why we bet all of those Tuesday’s at Parx. Sharpen the axe, Let’s Ride.
#4 Beau Recall (10/1), #5 Daddy is a Legend (5/1), #6 Precieuse (3/1), #8 Got Stormy (8/1) are all win contenders the Conductor will be using on top, but his top pick and key in the exacta and trifecta will be the “other” Chad Brown filly #9 Environs (8/1). She blew away the field with ease in her prep race for this spot, which was also her first start in America. She’s won multiple times over soft turf and a step forward off that last effort gives her every chance.
Race 8: 7 Furlongs. G1 Churchill Downs Stakes
Another spread race for the Conductor, this is a horserace. He’ll use #1 Do Share (10/1), #3 Majestic Dunhill (30/1), #6 Promises Fulfilled (4/1), #8 Mitole (7/2), #9 Uncontested (10/1) and #12 Whitmore (4/1) on top.
#3 Majestic Dunhill (30/1) – The Conductor will key this bomb in the trifecta with the other horses surrounding him in each spot as well. He had no pace to run at last start over a speed favoring Keeneland track and still ran a strong late pace figure to split the field. He’ll get a perfect setup in here and will make the Conductor a rich man when he hits the board.
Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) G2 American Turf Stakes
#2 Social Paranoia (10/1) – The Conductor doesn’t care that it was a maiden score last start, you don’t see bigger beatdowns on turf than his last start. He’s steadily progressing and 10/1 would be more than juicy. The Conductor will use him, #3 Digital Age (6/1) and #8 Avie’s Flatter (6/1) in this leg.
Race 10: 1 Mile. G3 Pat Day Mile
#10 Instagrand (6/5) – Cutting back to a mile he’s clearly the one to beat, if he doesn’t win you can make a case for anyone else in the field.
#7 Mr. Money (12/1) – The only other horse the Conductor will use on top here, he’s been up close to solid paces vs very tough competition in his last 3 starts. The shorter distance will be perfect for him.
Another very difficult race, but the Conductor will only use 3. #9 Synchrony (8/1) and #12 Bricks and Mortar (5/2) are the class of the field, but the Conductor will also use #8 Ticonderoga (8/1). Ticonderoga has really progressed in his last few starts and has a thunderous late punch. He looks primed to run a monster race.
The Conductor will use #3 By My Standards (20/1), #5 Improbable (6/1), #8 Tacitus (10/1), #14 Win Win Win (15/1) and #16 Game Winner (5/1). On a few tickets the Conductor will get greedy and use only the 3 non-Bafferts on top.