Ponies

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductors Belmont Stakes Day Plays

Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. Alw 92000n1x

#2 Shadow Rider (8/1) – The Conductor is going to key him underneath in the exacta.  He has the strongest late pace figures and should get a decent pace to close into.

Race 2: 1 ¼ Mile. Mdn 90k

#2 Better Tapit (6/1) – This jockey/trainer combo hit with a 1st timer yesterday. This cold is well-bred.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. 150K Easy Goer Stakes

#4 Outshine (9/5) – He got wiped out in the Wood last time, his 2nd in the Tampa Bay Derby makes him the one to beat.

Race 4: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 Just A Game Stakes

#4 Rushing Fall (4/5) – She’s the Goods

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. F. G1 Ogden Phipps Stakes

#1 Come Dancing (6/5) – She has an early pace edge over the favorite #2 Midnight Bisou (1/1) and the rest of the field.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) G1 Jaipur Invitational Stakes

#8 World of Trouble (1/1) – He’s nails right now.

Race 7: 1 Mile. F.G1 Acorn Stakes

*Never a Doubt Under Card Lock of the Day #7 Guarana (2/1) – The birdies are chirping that she is a freak. Jose Ortiz chose to jump off the Oaks winner #1 Serengeti Empress (5/2) to ride her.

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Race 8: 7 Furlongs. G1 Woody Stephens Stakes

#1 Honest Mischief (6/1) – Finally somewhat of a price to play. This colt’s maiden breaker at Keeneland last start dropped the Conductor’s jaw.

Race 9: 1 Mile. G1 Met Mile

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Pavel (20/1) – #2 Mckinzie, #3 Mitole, #4 Thunder Snow and #7 Firenze Fire should all be used on top, but the Conductor is going to key this bomb in the trifecta. He’s always wanted to go shorter in the Conductor’s opinion and he sees him getting a perfect stalking trip from the outside.

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Race 10: 1 1/4 Mile. (Inner Turf) G1 Manhattan Stakes

#3 Robert Bruce (6/1) – He gets back to firm turf today and has tactical speed in a race devoid of pace. One of the Chad Brown runners will obviously win.

Race 11: 1½ Mile. G1 Belmont Stakes

#5 Bourbon of War (12/1) – The Conductor’s Belmont Stakes Preview

Race 12: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) OC 62500n2x

#5 Near Gold (8/1) – The Conductor idnt impressed with any of the American runners so he’ll turn to the French import.

Race 13: 1½ Mile. G2 Woodford Reserve Stakes

#3 Sonateer (10/1) – He romped in his 1st try at the distance last start. This may be what he’s wanted all along.

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The Conductor’s Belmont Stakes Preview

The posts drew for the Belmont last night and now it’s time to go to work.  There is an inordinate number of deep closers in this race, and the Conductor hopes all the suckers fall for them because of the added distance.  This race will favor those in the first flight like it has the last in the last decade.

Race 11: 1 1/2 Mile. G1 Belmont Stakes

#1 Joevia (30/1) – He caused the chaos in the Wood and came back for a gate to wire win in a prep race last start. He’s the bomb the Conductor is most intrigued about in this race.  He’s the lone horse that want the lead. If he breaks well and goes right to the front, he can get brave late and surprise everyone but the Conductor.  The Conductor will use him heavily in 2nd and 3rd in the trifecta and possibly a sprinkle on top.

#2 Everfast (12/1) – He road a gold rail and got a hot pace to close into in the Preakness, the Conductor won’t use him anywhere especially at that price.

#3 Master Fencer (8/1) – The Derby was a funky race with the track and he’ll be coming from way out of it.  He missed the break and ran well, but if he’s not double-digit odds the Conductor won’t use anywhere.  The Conductor will make him prove him wrong

#4 Tax (15/1) – The Conductor is drawing a line thru his Derby race.  If you do that he fits very nicely in this spot. The distance is a question, but he’ll get a perfect trip up close to a slow pace. The Conductor will use him heavily in 2nd and 3rd and maybe a few saver tickets on top.

*#5 Bourbon War (12/1) – He ran a dud in the Preakness, but the Conductor will give him another shot taking the blinkers back off.  He can run all day and the Conductor thinks he may have the most potential of any runner in this group.  The Conductor will lean on that live Florida Derby form.

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#6 Spinoff (15/1) – Just copy and paste what the Conductor said about tax. He looks to get a dream trip and the Conductor sees him running well.

#7 Sir Wisnston (15/1) – He took a major step forward in the Peter Pan last start, but he helped with a hot pace to close into. The Conductor can’t see him any better than 3rd.

#8 Intrepid Heart (10/1) – He stumbled at the start in the Peter Pan and was prepping for this race all along.  He adds blinkers, will be forwardly placed and is very dangerous. The Conductor will use him in all 3 spots in the trifecta.

#9 War of Will (2/1) – He won nicely in the Preakness, but you can’t ask for a better trip.  Its hard to see him not running well here, but the stubborn Conductor will take a stand against him on top.  He’ll allow him to run 2nd or 3rd.

*#10 Tacitus (9/5) – The Conductor liked him a lot going into the Derby and he ran a solid race. He should be mid-pack and will grind all day like Belmont winners do. He’s the one to beat.

triple crown GIF by Mashable

A Contenders: #5 Bourbon War, #10 Tacitus

B Contenders: #8 Intrepid Heart

C Contenders: #1 Joevia, #4 Tax, #6 Spinoff