Tag: belmont stakes picks

Belmont Stakes Day Key Horses

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Logo of the Belmont Stakes featuring a green skyline and the text 'Belmont Stakes'.

Estilo Talentoso and Baron Samedi got the job done yesterday, but no juicy prices. The Conductor is tingling looking at this Belmont Stakes card. Its time for battle, Let’s Ride.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. G1 Woody Stephens Stakes

#6 Caddo River (4/1) – Cutting back to a sprint after dueling going longer, this colt looks to get a perfect stalking trip from the outside. There looks to be a scorching pace for #3 Jackie’s Warrior (7/5) to deal with. #4 Dream Shake (5/2) would be the Ductor’s 2nd choice.

Race 5: 1 Mile. F.G1 Acorn Stakes

#3 Miss Brazil (5/1) – This filly was only beaten only 1/2 length by #6 Search Results (1/1), the deserving favorite, in March. She couldn’t have looked better last time and the Ductor thinks she’s improving and will be very tough to pass in the stretch at a nice number. #4 Dayoutoftheoffice (4/1) has a major chance 2nd off the layoff as well.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. F.G1 Ogden Phipps Stakes

#7 Bonny South (10/1) – Its a small field after scratches, but she’ll likely be an overlay in the horizontals. She ran some monster races last year and is working her eyeballs out 2nd off the layoff. She can upset the heavy favorites #3 Letruska (9/5) and #5 Shedaresthedevil (5/2).

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf F.G1 Longines Just a Game Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Summer Romance (6/1) – The Conductor likes both the Appleby runners in here and prefers this filly after the scratch of Blowout. She’ll be on the lead and be very tough to run down.

Belmont Stakes

Race 9: 1 Mile. G1 Hill ‘N’ Dale Met Mile

#6 Knicks Go (6/5) – Gate to wire.

Race 10: 1 1/4 Mile. (Inner Turf) Manhattan-G1

#4 Domestic Spending (3/1) – He’s a monster and the clear one to beat in the Ductor’s opinion. However, there are some prices the he likes as well. #2 Bye Bye Melvin (30/1) was wide around both turns last time and has been wide in his last few starts. 3rd off the layoff today, he runs his best on softer ground and will get a ground saving trip today. #7 Channel Cat (12/1) was incredibly gutsy last time on the front end and although he’ll take early pressure today, the Conductor will be including him.

Race 11: 1½ Mile. G1 Belmont Stakes

#7 Rock Your World (9/2) – Any of the contenders would not surprise the Ductor in here, but he has to give this colt another try after getting wiped out in the Derby. With a clean break today, he looks to be the controlling speed and he doesn’t need the lead if he doesn’t want it. If you watch his gallop outs, the distance should be no issue and he could be the most talented of this bunch. The Ductor will be pressing Rock Your World in his bets, but can’t knock #2 Essential Quality (2/1), #3 Rombaur (3/1), #4 Hot Rod Charlie (7/2) and #6 Known Agenda (6/1).

The Conductors Belmont Stakes Day Plays

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A racehorse with a jockey wearing a red and white uniform, galloping on a racetrack.

Belmont Stakes Day, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. Alw 92000n1x

#2 Shadow Rider (8/1) – The Conductor is going to key him underneath in the exacta.  He has the strongest late pace figures and should get a decent pace to close into.

Race 2: 1 ¼ Mile. Mdn 90k

#2 Better Tapit (6/1) – This jockey/trainer combo hit with a 1st timer yesterday. This cold is well-bred.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. 150K Easy Goer Stakes

#4 Outshine (9/5) – He got wiped out in the Wood last time, his 2nd in the Tampa Bay Derby makes him the one to beat.

Race 4: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 Just A Game Stakes

#4 Rushing Fall (4/5) – She’s the Goods

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. F. G1 Ogden Phipps Stakes

#1 Come Dancing (6/5) – She has an early pace edge over the favorite #2 Midnight Bisou (1/1) and the rest of the field.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) G1 Jaipur Invitational Stakes

#8 World of Trouble (1/1) – He’s nails right now.

Race 7: 1 Mile. F.G1 Acorn Stakes

*Never a Doubt Under Card Lock of the Day #7 Guarana (2/1) – The birdies are chirping that she is a freak. Jose Ortiz also chose to jump off the Oaks winner #1 Serengeti Empress (5/2) to ride her.

belmont stakes

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. G1 Woody Stephens Stakes

#1 Honest Mischief (6/1) – Finally somewhat of a price to play. This colt’s maiden breaker at Keeneland last start dropped the Conductor’s jaw.

Race 9: 1 Mile. G1 Met Mile

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Pavel (20/1) – #2 Mckinzie, #3 Mitole, #4 Thunder Snow and #7 Firenze Fire should all be used on top, but the Conductor is going to key this bomb in the trifecta. He’s always wanted to go shorter in the Conductor’s opinion and he sees him getting a perfect stalking trip from the outside.

belmont stakes

Race 10: 1 1/4 Mile. (Inner Turf) G1 Manhattan Stakes

#3 Robert Bruce (6/1) – He gets back to firm turf today and also has tactical speed in a race devoid of pace. However, one of the Chad Brown runners will obviously win.

Race 11: 1½ Mile. G1 Belmont Stakes

#5 Bourbon of War (12/1) – The Conductor’s Belmont Stakes Preview

Race 12: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) OC 62500n2x

#5 Near Gold (8/1) – The Conductor isn’t impressed with any of the American runners so he’ll turn to the French import.

Race 13: 1½ Mile. G2 Woodford Reserve Stakes

#3 Sonateer (10/1) – He romped in his 1st try at the distance last start. Moreover, this may be what he’s wanted all along.

The Conductor’s Belmont Stakes Preview

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Image displaying the entries for the 151st Belmont Stakes horse race with horse names and numbers.

The posts drew for the Belmont Stakes last night and now it’s time to go to work.  There is an inordinate number of deep closers in this race, and the Conductor hopes all the suckers fall for them because of the added distance. This race will favor those in the first flight like it has the last in the last decade.

 

Race 11: 1 1/2 Mile. G1 Belmont Stakes

#1 Joevia (30/1) – He caused the chaos in the Wood and came back for a gate to wire win in a prep race last start. He’s the bomb the Conductor is most intrigued about in this race.  He’s the lone horse that want the lead. If he breaks well and goes right to the front, he can get brave late and surprise everyone but the Conductor.  The Conductor will use him heavily in 2nd and 3rd in the trifecta and possibly a sprinkle on top.

#2 Everfast (12/1) – He road a gold rail and got a hot pace to close into in the Preakness, the Conductor won’t use him anywhere especially at that price.

#3 Master Fencer (8/1) – The Derby was a funky race with the track and he’ll be coming from way out of it.  He missed the break and ran well, but if he’s not double-digit odds the Conductor won’t use anywhere.  The Conductor will make him prove him wrong

#4 Tax (15/1) – The Conductor is drawing a line thru his Derby race.  If you do that he fits very nicely in this spot. The distance is a question, but he’ll get a perfect trip up close to a slow pace. The Conductor will use him heavily in 2nd and 3rd and maybe a few saver tickets on top.

*#5 Bourbon War (12/1)

– He ran a dud in the Preakness, but the Conductor will give him another shot taking the blinkers back off.  He can run all day and the Conductor thinks he may have the most potential of any runner in this group.  The Conductor will lean on that live Florida Derby form.

belmont stakes

#6 Spinoff (15/1) – Just copy and paste what the Conductor said about tax. He looks to get a dream trip and the Conductor sees him running well.

#7 Sir Wisnston (15/1) – He took a major step forward in the Peter Pan last start, but he helped with a hot pace to close into. The Conductor can’t see him any better than 3rd.

#8 Intrepid Heart (10/1) – He stumbled at the start in the Peter Pan and was prepping for this race all along.  He adds blinkers, will be forwardly placed and is very dangerous. The Conductor will use him in all 3 spots in the trifecta.

#9 War of Will (2/1) – He won nicely in the Preakness, but you can’t ask for a better trip.  Its hard to see him not running well here, but the stubborn Conductor will take a stand against him on top.  He’ll allow him to run 2nd or 3rd.

*#10 Tacitus (9/5) – The Conductor liked him a lot going into the Derby and he ran a solid race. He should be mid-pack and will grind all day like Belmont Stakes winners do. He’s the one to beat.

belmont stakes

A Contenders: #5 Bourbon War, #10 Tacitus

B Contenders: #8 Intrepid Heart

C Contenders: #1 Joevia, #4 Tax, #6 Spinoff