The Conductor needs to slumber. See ya in the mornin.
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Tag: horse racing picks
The Conductor’s Preakness Day Late Pick 5 Plays at Pimlico
It was a chalky Friday at Pimlico, but if you listened to the Conductor you passengers at least Cashed the pick 5. The late pick 5 will be the Conductor’s focus Saturday as well. We are not in this game for little cashes. Let’s hit a monster and change our little lives. Let’s Ride.
Race 9: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) F.100K The Very One Stakes
The Conductor is spreading. #3 Eye On Berlin (10/1), #4 Souper Echo (9/2), #6 Jo Jo Air (3/1), #7 Angel at War (12/1), #8 Misericordia (4/1), #9 Wild About Star (9/2)
Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.G3 Gallorette Stakes
#1 I’m So Fancy (7/2) – Her European form can’t be denied, she’s quality.
#2 Inflexibility (3/1) – Chad Brown.
#3 Thewayiam (10/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she looks perfectly pointed for this spot. She’s Grade 1 placed and will be a nice number.
#4 Mitchell Road (6/1) – She’s steadily progressing and answering every test. The Conductor won’t get beat by her.
#9 Barkaa (6/1) – Chad Brown.
Race 11 6 Furlongs. G3 Chick Lang Stakes
#3 Malpais (3/1) – He’s in great form, the Conductor can’t knock her.
#6 Gladiator King (6/1) – When this colt is sprinting on dirt, he is dangerous.
#8 Preamble (5/2) – The Conductor will heavily press him. 2nd off the layoff, he’ll have him singled on some tickets.
Race 12: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) G2 Dixie Stakes
*Never a Doubt Preakness Lock of the Day #12 Catholic Boy – Tough post, but if he runs his race its over. He’ll either run 1st or last and the Conductor will bet its the first one.
Race 13: The Conductor’s Preakness Preview
*Gullet Shot of the Day #13 Win Win Win (15/1) – We will find out if the Conductor was right all along.
Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Black Eyed Susan Day Plays at Pimlico
14 race card, what a war. Let’s Ride.
Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 10000
#2 Midnight Mass (5/1) – She pressed a hot pace vs tougher going a mile and is cutting back to a sprint. Easy winner to start the card.
Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) OClm 25000
#8 Family Tree (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, dropping in class, he showed good form across the pond. He also adds blinkers today.
Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 50k
#1 China Cat (4/1) – She bets this group and graduates today.
Race 4: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) MC 40000
#5 Ready to Run (15/1) – He’s the quickest early and with a name like that you know this boy is live.
Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.Alw 52000n1x
#8 The Aurelia Factor (6/1) – If Baffert is shipping in this filly, she’s ready to run.
Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 52000n1x
#7 Seeking the Sunset (6/1) – Her last two blowout wins have caught the Conductor’s eye. 2nd off the layoff there is no reason not to play her.
Race 7 – 11: Black-Eyed Susan Day Late Pick 5 Preview
Race 12: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) Turf Sprint Stakes 100K
*Never a Doubt Friday Night Lock of the Day #3 Bound for Nowhere (1/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he’s a class above.
Race 13: 1 1/8 Mile. D.G3 Allaire DuPont Distaff Stakes
#5 Another Broad (7/2) – The fillies come and the fillies go.
Race 14: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.MC 25000
*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Go Amanda (10/1) – She’s run well on the dirt and her breeding suggests she’ll step forward on the turf. The Conductor will go for the throat in the finally.
The Conductor’s Preakness Preview
The Conductor can feel the excitement brewing in his plumbs. Black-Eyed Susan Day tomorrow then the big Saturday in Baltimore and the 2nd leg of the Triple Crown. With the top finishers in the Derby not running, it makes for a very intriguing race and the Conductor sees prices in his crystal ball. With speed horses drawn to the inside and outside, this pace is going to heat up. The Conductor will try to put himself in a similar situation as Derby day. Survive until the big race and try to get alive to all of King Midas’s silver. This is our time! Let’s Ride. PS Buy a shirt.
Race 13: 1 3/16 Mile. G1 Preakness Stakes
#1 War of Will (4/1) – The horse most effected by the Derby chaos, he looked loaded before getting tangled with Maximum Security on the far turn. He has a major chance, but will have to send from the rail, put away the frontrunners, hold off the closers and will be overly bet. The Conductor will not use him on top.
*#2 Bourbon War (12/1) – No chance we get 12/1, but he’s one of the horses the Conductor really likes. He had no shot in the Florida Derby closing into a slow pace and that race has come back very live. Code of Honor’s 2nd in the Derby gives the Conductor more confidence.
#3 Warrior’s Charge (12/1) – He’s run solid figures in his last two blowout wins, but he’s been alone on the lead setting slow paces. This colt has never seen the pace and competition he will on Saturday. The Conductor won’t use him.
#4 Improbable (5/2) – This is a favorite the Conductor will love to bet against. He had favorable trip in the Derby and came up empty. He’ll likely run 2nd or 3rd, but the Conductor won’t allow him to win.
*#5 Owendale (10/1) – The Conductor must use him after his last performance at Keeneland. He made a jaw dropping move on the far turn and engulfed the field on a speed favoring track. Classic swoop and pounce move the Conductor loves so much.
#6 Market King (30/1) – Get him out of here.
*#7 Alwaysmining (8/1) – This gelding is no joke. He’s been throttling his competition at Laurel Park and will get the acid test Saturday, but the Conductor thinks he’s a monster. He’s a must use on top.
#8 Signalman (30/1) – He ran well in the Bluegrass, but the Conductor sees him as a notch below the Contenders. He doesn’t hate him underneath for 3rd or 4th though.
#9 Bodexpress (20/1) – He clearly doesn’t like the slop, so ignore his Derby effort. He can sit behind the fronrunners and get a great trip. The Conductor will use him in 2nd and 3rd.
#10 Everfast (50/1) – Ignore him.
#11 Laughing Fox (20/1) – The Conductor can see him closing for 3rd or 4th, but nothing more. He narrowly beat much weaker with a good setup last start.
#12 Anothertwistafate (6/1) – He’ll show speed out of the gate and contribute to the hot pace. He ran solid in the Lexington Stakes last start, but Owendale ran him down even though he had a more favorable trip. 3rd at best.
*#13 Win Win Win (15/1) – The Conductor’s great white buffalo. He had no chance after the start of the Derby to no fault of his own. The Conductor’s eyes lit up when it was announced he was running back in the Preakness. He should get a perfect setup Saturday and we’ll get to see what he is made of. Redemption will be served Tall, Neat and Strong, just the way the Conductor likes it. Win Contenders:
Win Contenders: #2 Bourbon War (12/1), #5 Owendale (10/1), #7 Always Mining (8/1), #13 Win Win Win (15/1)
Top Pick:
#13 Win Win Win (15/1)
Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday: The Conductor’s Plays at Louisiana Downs
The Conductor has no idea why the Preakness draw is not until 5:00pm today when Friday’s card was available Monday. That doesn’t make any sense, just like most things in horse racing. Whatever, I guess his Preakness day preview will have to wait until tomorrow. Until then, we might as well pick up a few bucks on our way to Baltimore. It is wind pipe whack Wednesday after all, Let’s Ride.
Race 1: 1m70yds. Clm 5000b
#3 Dry Wood Creek (4/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he’ll get a good trip up close to the front in a race with absolutely no pace.
Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 5000b
*Never a Doubt Humpday Lock #1A Angel d’Oro (6/5) – She looks to be a step above this group.
Race 3: 1m70yds. Clm 5000n2L
#3 Vivinsky (10/1) – He showed ability in his debut, maybe he’ll find new life running for a new barn. This field is very weak, so he doesn’t have to wake up much to be a factor.
Race 4: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 7500b
#6 Hawks Peak (3/1) – He’ll go right to the front and shouldn’t get much pressure. Gate to wire.
Race 5: 7 Furlongs. S.F.Clm 5000n2L
*Gullet Shot of the Day Weavemeawinr (12/1) – She’s been facing tougher and is trending in the right direction.
Race 6: 5 Furlongs. F.S.Clm 5000n2L
#1 Lil Kylie (5/2) – She’s taking a significant class drop and has good early speed.
Race 7: 7 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) S.MC 12500
#9 Quisty Busty (8/1) – He has a chance to improve trying the lawn and stretching out for the first time. He’s bred to be better than these colts.
Black-Eyed Susan Day Late Pick 5 Preview
Props to Pimlico on putting together a great Friday card. Full 14 race plays will be up Friday, but the Conductor will preview the stakes pick 5, which will get most of his attention. A big Friday means we can go for the jugular on Saturday and we know how much the Conductor like to kill. Let’s Ride.
Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F. Skipat Stakes 100k
#3 Chalon (6/5) – Nothing like starting the pick 5 with a stone cold single. We’ll find out if we’re alive or dead right from the jump. She looks like a clear stand out.
Race 8: 6 Furlongs. F. G3 Adena Springs Miss Preakness Stakes
#2 Covfefe (7/2) – She’s the lone A for the Conductor and he’ll heavily press her. 2 of her 3 career races blow this field away.
#1 Iva (15/1), #6 Never Enough Time (6/1), #7 Miss Imperial (8/1), #10 By Bye Jay (12/1), #11 Fighting Mad (4/1), and #12 Midnight Fantasy (12/1) will be used as backups.
#12 Midnight Fantasy (12/1) – She’s undefeated sprinting and is the price the Conductor will key in the trifecta.
Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) F. Hilltop Stakes 100k
#2 Nova Sol (7/2), #5 Dogtag (9/2) – Chad Brown wins every turf race.
#12 Orra Moor (10/1) – If there is somebody that can beat Chad, it’s Todd. This girl has run quality races on the dirt vs tough competition, if her form can translate to the turf she’ll be dangerous.
Race 10: 1 ¼ Mile. G3 Pimlico Special Stakes
This is going to be a spread race for the Conductor, this field is wide open and almost everyone has a chance.
#7 Just Whistle (20/1) – This is the Conductor’s favorite bomb in here and the one he’ll be keying in the exacta and trifecta. The distance will be no problem with his strong late pace figures and his last race was better than it looks, trying to close into a tepid pace on a speed favoring track. He can make the Conductor’s day.
Race 11: 1 1/8 Mile. F.G2 Black-Eyed Susan Stakes
#7 Brill (5/1) – Making her 3rd start off the layoff, she looks to get a perfect trip sitting just behind the leaders. She has loads of talent and her last race in the Fantasy stakes has come back live.
#8 Point of Honor (5/2) – Her late pace figures are thunderous. If she gets any pace to run at she’ll be tough to beat.
#2 Off Topic (8/1) – She’s the price the Conductor likes most. She’s a closer who caught a slow pace last start. She won’t surprise the Conductor.
Moon Shot Monday: The Conductor’s Plays at Louisiana Downs
Rain took the races off the dirt yesterday at Belmont, but a nice 9/1 winner in Race 2 made it a good Sunday. Its officially Preakness week and the Conductor’s head is spinning. He’ll give us some winners at Louisiana today, then his focus will turn to the upcoming feature races at Pimlico. We let the Derby slip through our fingers in the slop, we can’t let it happen again. Let’s Ride.
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 18k
#5 Track Binder (5/1) – His low % jockey/trainer combo have lit up the tote board recently and this boy’s sire wins at a 20% clip with 1st time starters.
Race 2: 7 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.OC 25000n1x
#6 Zarelda (4/1) – She’s been facing much tougher and has run quality races on the dirt in her young career. She’s bred to be even better on the lawn.
Race 3: 1m70yds. S.Clm 7500n2x
#5 Crooked as Can Be (9/5) – He bounced back nicely last race and has strong back class.
Race 4: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.MC 12500
#10 Betty’s Joy’s Star (5/2) – Shipping in from the Fair Grounds, she must beat this field.
Race 5: 6 Furlongs. S.MC 12500
#6 Shot On Windy Hill (6/1) – He’s shown good early speed and gets a major trainer upgrade to Beverly Burress, who has a +$2.04 ROI running horses for the 1st time this year.
Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 19000n1x
*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Thegreyspider (6/1) – The drop in class helped him last time. He consistently runs the highest figures in the field.
Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 5000
*Never a Doubt Week Starter #6 Cool Sis (1/1) – She can’t lose.
Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Mothers Day Prayers at Belmont Park
We finally found a few winners yesterday at Belmont. Heading into Preakness week, we need more than a few. The Conductor’s mother hopes he gets hot soon or he’s going to move back into her basement. Happy Mother’s Day! Let’s Ride.
Race 1: 7 Furlongs. Clm 10000
#1 Zap Zap Zap (12/1) – He always runs well at Belmont and this race is wide open. The Conductor will key him in the exacta.
Race 2: 6½ Furlongs. S.MC 25000
#1 Bustin Shout (12/1) – He was eased in his debut but was well bet at the windows and has been gelded since. He can surprise the bettors who don’t follow the Conductor.
Race 3: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.Clm 40000n2L
#4 Roses From Ben (8/1) – She’s 1/1 on the lawn and will be a big price. Most of these runners haven’t proven anything on the grass.
Race 4: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 80k
#6 Sneakiness (9/2) – Drawn well to the outside, he showed ability in his debut last fall and is working like a monster entering today.
Race 5: 7 Furlongs. S.Clm 40000
#4 Stink Man (4/1) – The Conductor has no idea what happened last start, but he showed real talent in hist 1st career start.
Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 30000n2L
*Never a Doubt Pay For Moms Brunch Lock of the Day #3 Hope Again (3/1) – These Tampa shippers continue to run very well.
Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 62500n2x
*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Saguaro Row (4/1) – She’s going to get a perfect trip, sitting behind a hot pace. She’s steadily progressing and has run against some classy fillies.
Race 8: 6 Furlongs. 100K Gold Fever Stakes
#3 Sombeyay (9/2) – This is a loaded non-graded stakes. The Conductor would love him to be the third betting choice.
Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 62k
#9 Quiet Out East (4/1) – The Conductor doesn’t have a clue in here.
Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park
Belmont has completely baffled the Conductor the last two days. Hell of a card today, it would be a great time for the Conductor to get hot. Let’s Ride.
Race 1: 6½ Furlongs. F.G3 Vagrancy Handicap
#4 Separationofpowers (7/5) – This filly looks like a cinch to start the card.
Race 2: 1 Mile. Mdn 80k
#6 Principled (5/2) – Heavily bet at Saratoga last summer and drawn well to the outside, this colt has talent.
Race 3: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.Alw 82000n1x
#2 Miss Mystique (6/1) – They layoff and low % trainer should keep her price high, she’s run well of breaks before and hast the best turf figures in the field.
Race 4: 1 1/8 Mile. G3 Peter Pan Stakes
*Never a Doubt Saturday Lock of the Day #3 Global Campaign (8/5) – The Florida Derby has come back very live and he moved into the teeth of the hot pace in there. He’s going to win for fun today.
Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) MC 40000
#2 Whiskey Is My Wine (8/1) – Whiskey is the Conductor’s water.
Race 6: 7 Furlongs. Clm 50000
#4 Felix in Fabula (7/5) – He looks extremely tough to beat on the cutback.
Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F. G3 Beaugay Stakes
#1 Chipolata (4/1) – She ran well to close into a slow pace and get the job done last start. She has back class and looks poised to run her best 2nd off the layoff.
Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 80k
#4 Structural Deficit (5/1) – A well-bred Chad Brown filly is going to be 2nd choice? The Conductor will take her.
Race 9: 6 Furlongs. 150K Runhappy Stakes
#3 Firenze Fire (7/2) – 2nd off the layoff, he looks to get a perfect stalking trip, tracking a fast pace.
Race 10: 1 3/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) G1 Man O’ War Stakes
*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Hunting Horn (10/1) – He’s caught a yielding course and has legitimate excuses in most of his North American races. He fits with this group and the Conductor will key him in the trifecta at a nice number.
Race 11: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Mdn 62k
#4 Electronic (3/1) – She acted up at the gate and still ran a good 4th, closing into a slow pace in her debut. She’ll take a step forward today.
Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park
https://www.instagram.com/ponyconductor/p/BxSCDF8FDiO/?utm_source=ig_share_sheet&igshid=wiwdm7pr6wfx
New day, Let’s Ride.
Race 1: 6 1⁄2 Furlongs. F.Clm 14000n3L
*Never a Doubt Friday Night Bottle Service Lock of the Day #1 Reata’s Reward (3/1) – She has a huge early pace edge over this group.
Race 2: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.MC 40000
#9 Tabor Fleet (15/1) – The Conductor doesn’t like any of the runners with experience in here. Contessa never wins with 1st time starters, so why is Rosario taking the mount? Hmmm…smells like a bomb.
Race 3: 7 Furlongs. Clm 20000
#2 Indian Guide (7/2) – He closed into a slow pace for a good 2nd last start. He’ll get a better setup today.
Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 30000n2L
#2 All Clear (6/1) – His best races have come on the turf, where he finally gets back to today. He’ll go off higher than 60/1.
Race 5: 5 Furlongs. S.Mdn 62k
#6 Uncle George (7/2) – This 310k colt’s sire wins at 16% with 1st time starters. Castellano is red hot to start the meet.
Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.S.MC 40000
#8 Slamin Sammy Brown (8/1) – She’s bred to for the lawn and we get top connections in a wide open race.
Race 7: Furlongs. Alw 82000n1x
#5 American Power (5/1) – This colt will love the cutback to a sprint.
Race 8: 1 Mile. OC 80000n1x
*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Direct Order (6/1) – He’s going to get a perfect stalking trip, the Conductor loves him.
Race 9: 6 1⁄2 Furlongs. MC 20000
#10 Mandatory Payout (9/2) – Cutting back to a sprint after pressing a hot pace routing. Easy bet back.