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Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Breakdown

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Two racehorses competing on a dirt track, one in pink and the other in blue, showcasing speed and athleticism during a horse race.

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies time, Let’s Ride.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. F.G1 Tito’s Handmade Vodka Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies

MMMmmmmmmmm Tito’s…… the Conductor loves his Tito’s stew when he’s capping in the lab.  The key to this race is going to be the pace.  It will be scorching, and a late runner may be able to shock the world.  The Conductor thinks there are only three winning contenders and one is a bomb.

Winning Contenders:

#2 Serengeti Empress (7/2) – She’s the only frontrunner who hasn’t proven they can sit and pass horses that the Conductor likes in here.  However, when you’re coming off a 16-length victory without even trying, the Conductor can’t ignore you.  You don’t see horses win like that very often, especially at Churchill Downs, she could be something special.

*Top Pick and Gullet Shot #8 Sippican Harbor (12/1) – This is the price horse the Conductor is licking his chops for in this one.  After his blowout frontrunning win to break his maiden, he closed from last to win with ease.  The Conductor loves that versatility and although he got a favorable setup that day, he should get an even better one on Friday.  He can sit back and make one run while the frontrunners will have wobbly knees in the stretch.

breeders cup juvenile fillies

#10 Bellafina (2/1) – Shipping in from the west coast, she looks like a standout on numbers to the Conductor.  She’s pressed hot paces and hasn’t wavered at all down the stretch.  The post position is the concern as she may have to go too quick early to prevent getting hung out wide.  If Prat can navigate a a good trip for her, she’ll be tough to beat.

Top Picks: 8-10-2

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf Breakdown

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Racehorse named Blessing Bait running on turf during a horse race with jockey in colorful attire.

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf time. Let’s Ride.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

This race is more top heavy and less wide open in the Conductor’s view.  The favorites look extremely tough to beat, but the Conductor isn’t going to single the heavy favorite, there is another filly a with major potential.

Race Win Contenders:

*Top Pick #4 Just Wonderful (6/1) – This is the European shipper the Conductor thinks has a big shot to beat the American favorite.  In her last race in New Market, she showed a thunderous kick after having some traffic trouble.  She gets Lasix for the first time, is steadily improving and has top connections.  She has a major shot.

#6 Newspaperofrecord (2/1) – She’s the filly getting the most buzz around Kentucky as she enters the big weekend as one of the most likely winners.  There is nothing not to like about her first two blowout scores, where she looks like the real deal.  She’ll be very tough to beat, but a baby stubbing her toe in a 14-horse-field has happened many times before and Just Wonderful has much more experience against tougher competition.

Underneath Prices:

#2 The Mackem Bullet (15/1) – The Conductor doesn’t think any of the other American runners are any good in here besides #1 Concrete Rose at 6/1. However, there are a few runners from across the pond with ability.  This filly keeps getting ignored at the windows in England and continues to run bang up races. She’s just missed twice against Fairyland, who would be one of the favorites in here.  Additionally she is 6/6 hitting the board in her career.

#14 East (20/1) – She gets a brutal draw from the 14-hole, but that will ensure her price will be high.  She’s 2/2 in her young career and has been very visually impressive in both starts.  She has enough early speed to prevent being hung wide into the first turn. If that is indeed the case, then she can light up the tote board.

Absolutely No Shot:

#11 Lady Prancelot

The Conductor will not forgive her for not getting by a 35/1 shot last start.

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint Breakdown

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A jockey in purple silks atop a horse adorned with flowers after a race.

0-4 yesterday at Parx was gross, but the posts are drawn for the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint and the Conductor doesn’t have time for that.  His eyes are weary from watching all the tape, but he is giddy with excitement as the opportunity to make life changing scores for his passengers presents itself.  He doesn’t need the money after countless pick 6 gullet shots at Breeders’ Cups gone by, but he cares deeply about all of us. The best ponies from across the globe are all in Louisville this weekend for their shot at eternal glory.  Full race breakdowns for all Championship races will be posted today and tomorrow to get the passengers prepped for Friday and Saturday. Let’s Ride.

Friday’s Breeders’ Cup Pick 5

Race 5: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint

The Europeans targeted this one and this looks like a very competitive group overall.  Babies sprinting on turf is always prone to chaos and there aren’t any standouts.  The Conductor must help us sort this one out.

The Contenders:

#1 Strike Silver (4/1) – You won’t see a more electric win than his victory last start in the Summer Stakes at Keeneland.  It was so jaw dropping that the Conductor called him a her:

He was slammed hard at the break and came from the clouds to get up in the final strides.  He’s shown he is versatile on turf and dirt, winning with different running styles. Strike Silver has also overcome trouble in his young career, proving he has loads of talent.  He’s a major contender and a must use for the conductor. The only concern is the poor post draw.

*Top Pick #2 Soldier’s Call (9/2) – He is the top European contender in this field and colts don’t do what he did last start very often.  As a 2-year-old he took on the best adult sprinters in Europe in the G1 Prix de l’Abbaye and was barely beaten a neck.  He adds Lasix today and has the potential to be an absolute freak.

*Gullet Shot #4 Stillwater Cove (20/1) – She’ll be the Conductor’s key in the race at a nice juicy number.  Last start in the G1 Natalma Stakes she made a strong early move into a hot pace. She rightfully faded late and she was also going a mile. The Conductor loves the cutback in distance. She showed the ability to pass horses and win two starts back. She should get a perfect setup in this race and has as good a chance as any.

#10 So Perfect (12/1) – The “other” Aidan O’Brian Shipper is another filly that the Conductor believes has a big chance.  In 6 career starts she’s never been over a length behind the winner.  She’ll be a bigger price with jockey Ryan Moore choosing to ride #8 Sergei Prokofiev (6/1), but So Perfect beat him by 5 lengths when they squared off in the G1 Keeneland Phoenix.  Give the Conductor double the number, He dares you.

breeders' cup juvenile turf sprint