Tag: belmont park picks

The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Belmont Park

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A large crowd of people gathered at an outdoor event, with various clothing styles and accessories visible.

Not a great day at Belmont yesterday for the Conductor. His best opinion was #4 Lucky Ramsey running in the exacta at 12/1 in the finale. He likes a few bombs Wednesday as well.

Race 1: 1 Mile. Mdn 75k

#2 Ajaaweed (7/2) – This colt ran evenly in his debut and is stretching out for the first time. Kiaran McLaughlin trainees usually take big steps forward in their 2nd career start.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) Clm 35000n3L

#6 Carot (9/2) – Dropping back to the claiming ranks, this colt has very fast early pace figures and his race two back at this track and distance will give him every chance.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.S.MC 25000

#1/1A Entry – The Conductor likes both of these fillies.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 10000

#5 Tiz R Bella (6/5) – Chalk.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Clm 30000n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 True Prosperity (20/1) – Stretching out to a route and trying turf for the first time, this girl is steadily progressing. Trainer Rory Huston has won with bombs recently with this move. The Conductor will key her in the trifecta.

belmont park

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. F.S.OC 40000n2x

#1 Cartwheel (7/2) – She’s dropping in class at Belmont and shortening in distance after pressing a hot pace going longer. She looks to get a nice trip sitting behind a hot pace.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.OC 80000n2x

#6 Fierce Scarlett (4/5) – Chad chalk.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.S.Mdn 62k

#10 Amos (20/1) – Returning to a route and trying grass for the 1st time, she has good early speed and turf in her pedigree. Trainer Kelsey Danner is 2/10 with +$6.18 ROI this year moving runners to the lawn for the 1st time.

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Belmont Park

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A vine-covered building with large arched windows and a crowd of spectators seated in front, surrounded by greenery and trees.

Chalk fest at Belmont yesterday, which never suits the Conductor. Kentucky Downs also played as a turf highway, gate to wire all day. Let’s pray to the pony gods for a good end to the week. The first NFL Sunday, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) S.Mdn 62k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Hudson Overpass (8/1) – This boy has improved in every start and the Conductor likes the aggressive bump up in class. His early pace figures give him an edge here as well. The Conductor will key him in the exacta.

Belmont

Race 2: 1 Mile. F.Clm 16000n2L

#5 Movie Score (7/5) – Its tough to like any of these fillies.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) MC 40000

#6 Mo Fun (6/1) – He was bumped at the break, forced 5 wide, and still ran a good 4th in his debut at this level. The conductor likes his upside.

Race 4: 7 Furlongs. Clm 16000

#3 Javelin (9/2) – Dropping in class, his effort at Belmont two back will give him every chance.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) S.Mdn 62k

#9 Portfolio Hedge (3/1) – The conductor never hedges.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.Alw 66000n1x

#3 Matzo Bella (8/5) – Servis looks tough to beat.

Race 7: 1 Mile. F.Mdn 75k

#1 Abilene Trail (8/5) – She ran a figure well above par in her debut sprinting. Her even pace figures tell the Conductor she’ll appreciate the stretchout.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) 100K Allied Forces Stakes

#2 Uncle Benny (4/1) – He stumbled bad in his return to the races last start and didn’t do much running. He’s the most talented runner in the field and that would be a delicious price.

#3 No Bang No Boom (5/1) – The Conductor can see him wiring this field.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Clm 25000

#4 Lucky Ramsey (8/1) – This gelding is coming in off a year layoff but is a hard knocker and loves the track and distance. Most importantly he looks to get a perfect setup today, with a hot pace to close into.

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

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A thrilling horse race at Belmont Park with a leading horse and a cheering crowd in the background, showcasing the excitement of equestrian sports.

Green Bay +155 made the Conductor a happy man last night, but he’ll never get that 3 hours back of his life. What a brutal game to watch. Belmont Park racing has returned and its time to head into the weekend with train gaining speed. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 Mile. S.Alw 66000n1x

#1 Bebe Banker (20/1) – She ran an even 4th at this level at Saratoga last start and will closer to the lead today in a race whatsoever. The Conductor sees him hitting the board at a big price.

#6 Red Zinger (7/2) – Returning to dirt and stretching out to a route, he’s the Conductor’s top pick in here. He has a major early pace advantage over this field.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.Mdn 62k

#1A Strongerthanuknow (5/2) – Her early speed gives her a major edge against this group.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. F.S.Clm 25000

#7 First Forevor (6/1) – 1st off the claim for a red hot Englehart barn, she looks to get a favorable trip on or near a slow pace.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) Mdn 75k

#8 Imperial Moment (9/2) – Bred well for the grass, the Conductor likes his work tab and bullet August 17. Castellano rarely rides for Mott, which also catches the Conductor’s eye.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.OC 40000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Stonefactor (12/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she’s 1/1 at Belmont and it came at this distance. She set a hot pace last time and ran well to hang on for 3rd. She’s very dangerous on the early lead and she should get it again today.

belmont park

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Mdn 75k

#2 Stand for the Flag (6/5) – She ran an extremely strong late pace figure last time at Belmont Par, closing into a slow pace. She’ll like the added distance.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) Christiecat Stakes 100k

#5 Dancing Vega (5/1), #7 Turf War (10/1) – Whenever Chad has two runners that aren’t favorites, one of them wins.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.S.Mdn 62k

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Stew Lock of the Day #9 Astoria Kitten (7/2) – Heavily favored in her debut, she hit the gate at the start and moved early into a hot pace. The Conductor sees a monster effort coming today.

belmont park

The Conductor’s Belmont Derby Day Plays

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A group of jockeys in colorful silks riding horses during a race on a grassy track.

A great late half of the card at Belmont on this fine Saturday. If the Conductor spends more time in the sun this weekend he’s going to be a part of the leather skin club. Time to head to the beach and pick up a lump of cash. This late pick 4 looks delightful headlined by the Belmont Derby. Let’s Ride.

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. G2 John A. Nerud Stakes

*Never a Doubt Late Pick 4 Single Lock of the Day #7 Do Share (7/2) – He had a troubled trip and no pace to run at last time. The Conductor has been awaiting to play him back.

belmont derby

Race 9: 1 1/4 Mile. (Inner Turf) G1 Belmont Derby

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Cape of Good Hope (10/1) – This is a spread race for the Conductor. This colt has very strong European form and had a troubled trip over soft ground last start. The Conductor will forgive that effort.

belmont derby

Also Use: 2,3,7,8,11,12,13,14

Race 10: 1 1/4 Mile. G2 Suburban Stakes

#2 Preservationist (5/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he’s steadily progressing and gets the acid test today. The Conductor is a little against #1 Catholic Boy (9/5) in this spot.

#7 Wooderson (12/1) – He looks to get a good trip up close to a slow pace and the Conductor likes his steady progression.

#11 Pavel (8/1) – If he doesn’t show up today, he’s dead to the Conductor. The Conductor is a suborn man and will give him one more chance.

Race 11: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 80k

#1 Downstream (12/1) – The Conductor will use her with the with the Chad Brown runners, #9 and #11. In her debut she contested the pace with Newspaperofrecord. That’s all the Conductor needs to see at a big price.

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

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Horses racing at Belmont Park with jockeys in colorful silks on a dirt track.

Another decent day yesterday at Belmont in this battle to survive another vacation. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Alw 82000n1x

#7 Salsa Bella (7/2) – G3 placed, she’s the one you want if your trying to beat Chad Brown.

Race 2: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.OC 40000n2x

#9 Saratoga Treasure (3/1) – She ran a good 2nd at this level last time and making her 3rd start off the layoff she looks primed for victory.

Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 14000n3L

#3 There He Goes (1/1) – Chalk.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) Clm 30000n2L

#10 Gallant Bid (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she takes a big class drop today and gets a rider upgrade. She’s lightly raced while most runners in here are proven losers.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. Alw 55000s

*Never a Doubt Not Even the Weekend Yet Lock of the Day #1 Happy Farm (4/5) – He looks like a cinch for Servis.

belmont park

Race 6: 1 1/4 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Mdn 90k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Giulia Ammannati (15/1) – The Conductor doesn’t think she cared for the yielding turf last time and liked her debut effort two back. She pressed a hot pace and moved early before being run down late. The Conductor also likes that Jose Ortiz takes the mount for an out of town trainer.

belmont park

Race 7: 1½ Mile. (Turf) F.River Memories Stakes 100K

#5 Homeland Security (10/1) – This mare gets back to Belmont where she’s 4/6 lifetime and she’s 2/3 at the distance.

Race 8: 6½ Furlongs. F.G3 Victory Ride Stakes

#2 Cookie Dough (3/1) – She pressed a hot pace vs G1 company last start, the Conductor loves the cutback.

Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.S.MC 40000

#3 Report to the Rail (8/1) – The Conductor doesn’t like the runners with experience in here and likes he work tab. Rosario takes the mount as well.

The Conductor’s 4th of July Plays at Belmont Park

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Four racehorses with jockeys in colorful silks in front of an American flag.

A few decent opinions yesterday started the train slowly moving in the right direction. On America’s birthday what better way to fire away at the ponies, drink stews and exploit your friend’s private beach? As George Washington once said, “No taxation without representation and the Conductor never loses on Thursdays at Belmont.” Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 50000n3L

#6 Carot (9/2) -She offers value and the Conductor likes the way Dylan Davis has been riding on the turf.

Race 2: 1 1/6 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 80k

#3 Ownitifyouwantit (5/1) – He’s run well on dirt and bred to be much better on the lawn.

Race 3: 1 Mile. Clm 10000

#3 Big Muddy (5/1) – 1st off the claim and 2nd off the layoff, his good race can beat the odds-on favorite.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) OC 62500n2x

#3 Greek Alphabet (7/2) – He looks to get a favorable trip up close or on a slow pace.

Race 5: 5½ Furlongs. Mdn 80k

#3 Extreme Force (7/2) – His sire, Constitution, is winning at a ridiculous 57% clip with 1st time starters.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.MC 40000

*Never a Doubt Independence Day Lock #3 Ghosting (5/1) – 1st off the claim for Servis, she adds blinkers today an Irad hops aboard.

Belmont Park

Race 7: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) S.Alw 66000n2x

#1 El Hermano (8/1) – Drawn well to the inside, the Conductor will back Mott runners going long on the grass every day.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) 100K Manila S

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Current (8/1) – He’s had no pace to run at in his last two starts and has run some thunderous late pace figures. He’s very dangerous.

Belmont Park

#7 Win Win Win (7/2) – After playing him in the Preakness and Derby, the Conductor has to use him cutting back in distance and making his 1st start on grass.

Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 40000

#2 Peggy Sue (2/1) – She’ll graduate today at Belmont.

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday at Belmont Park

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Crowd of spectators watching a horse race at a racetrack with horses and jockeys in view.

The Conductor may have to ban himself from Parx after the last two days. Heinous performances, but the train is heading back to his bread and butter, Belmont Park, today. Let’s hit some prices so we don’t have to eat sand for dinner on America’s birthday. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 14000n3L

*Never a Doubt Five Day Vacation Starter Lock of the Day #1A Taylor’s the Boss (9/5) – She looks like a standout in this group.

belmont park

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.Alw 40000s

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Chorus Line (20/1) – The Conductor sees this race as wide open and this filly has past pps that give her a chance. She’s shown signs of rounding into form in her last two starts and Rosario hops aboard which gives the Conductor confidence.  He’ll key her in the exacta.

belmont park

Race 3: 1 ¼ Mile. (Turf) Mdn 90k

#4 Channel Island (6/1) – Well-bred and 1st time in the barn for Mike Maker, his horses improve going long on the lawn.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Clm 32000

#8 Awesome Quick (8/1) – 2nd off the layoff, this mare has an early pace advantage in this spot. The Conductor sees her getting the lone lead which is always dangerous.

Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 80k

#8 Paterson (9/2) – This daughter of Uncle Mo is drawn well to the outside and posting nice works for strong connections.

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs. Alw 50000

#4 Smile Bryan (4/1) – The Churchill shippers have run well in dirt races coming to Belmont.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) OC 100000b

#3 Noble Indy (7/2) – 2nd off the layoff, he ran a good 3rd at this level in his turf debut last time. He looks to get a favorable trip today in a race without any other early speed.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. Clm 16000n2L

#5 Heyitsnricopalazo (8/1) – He’s coming in off a layoff but is a 1st time gelding and has run well vs tougher.  The Conductor likes his work tab and will key him in the exacta at a price.

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Belmont Park

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Horses racing at Belmont Park with a crowd cheering and an ambulance in the foreground.

Woof. The Conductor is tucking his between his legs and taking the train back to Belmont. Churchill kicked him in the teeth yesterday, luckily the casino was a little kinder to the Conductor. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Clm 25000

#1/1A Entry – The Conductor likes both fillies and he get two for the price of 1.

Race 2: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.Mdn 62k

*Double Barreled Gullet Shots of the Day #4 Running on Entry (5/1) – She ran very well in her debut closing into a moderate pace for 2nd. A natural step forward makes her dangerous.

Belmont

#5 A Little Faith (12/1) – When Castellano shows up for low % barns on debut take notice.

Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 16000

#1 Professor Snape (5/2) – He’s been facing weaker but is consistently running figures that can beat this group.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. Turf) F,Mdn 80k

#6 Livin at the Beach (6/1) – The Conductor like her breeding and she is working well for strong connections.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. MC 25000

#7 Fortune Smiles (5/1) – Plunging in class, he’s run ok against much tougher.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) Alw 40000s

#5 Cardiac Kitten (6/1) – Bred to be better on grass, she won very impressively last start at Keeneland. The Conductor will empty the caboose at that price.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. S.100K Saginaw Stakes

#4 Dynamax Prime (5/1) – He looks to get a perfect trip sitting just behind dueling front runners.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Clm 50000n2L

*Never a Doubt Lock From God #5 Course Correction (6/5) – Chad Brown at Belmont.

Belmont

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday at Belmont Park

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Dynamic horse racing scene at Belmont Park featuring multiple horses and jockeys competing on a grassy track under a cloudy sky.

What a great exploitation by the Conductor. Buy Stuff. 500k Pick 6 carryover at Belmont today, let’s take this bad boy down, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16. (Turf) S.Mdn 62k

#8 Overland (15/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he didn’t have a chance last time behind a very slow pace. He’s working well and Rosario hops aboard. The Conductor will toss the M/L favorite Chad Brown runner #5 Graded On a Curve (9/5) on all tickets.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. S.OC 40000n2x

#3 H Man (3/5) – Simple chalk.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Clm 40000

#3 Mr Maybe (4/1) – 3rd off the layoff and dropping back to the claiming ranks, he ran a huge late pace figure closing into a slow pace last start.

The Conductor will also use #7 Harv Won’t Tap (3/1) in the pick 6.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) OC 80000n1x

*Never a Doubt Pick 6 Single Lock of the Day #8 Mutakatif (6/5) – The Conductor will only use Chad Brown her.

belmont

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) MC 50000

The Conductor like two price horses in here, this is were he becomes bold.

#5 On Spree (12/1) – A 1st time gelding dropping to the claiming ranks for the first time, he has upside.

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Spindletop (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff and dropping in class, she has a chance to wire this field without other speed horses.

belmont

Race 6: 5 Furlongs. S.Mdn 62k

Baby races are always tough, the Conductor will ride with Rudy Rod here and use #1 Bull of Bayern (7/2) and #6 Justin Vision (5/2).

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.Alw 66000n1x

#11 Summer Squeeze (10/1) – She set a blistering pace last time before fading. She likes Belmont and is turning back in distance.

The Conductor will also use #9 Sadie Lady (2/1) and #10 Jaded Lady (5/2) 

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.S.MC 40000

#8 Funderella (12/1) – Her low % connections will keep her price high, but the Conductor liked her debut effort vs much tougher. The Conductor will also use #6,#7 and #10 to close it out.

The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park and Churchill Downs

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A group of horses and jockeys competing in a horse race on a dirt track.

The Conductor sucked yesterday at Churchill, not what we wanted heading into the weekend. However, we have nice weather today and a chance to make some scores. The Conductor will focus his attention on the late pick 4’s in Louisville and Belmont. Let’s Ride.

 

Belmont Park Late Pick 4

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Alw 50000s

This is a spread race for the Conductor, but he’s going to TOSS the morning line favorite #10 Xanthique (5/2) drawn to the far outside.

He’ll use #1 Tizaprincessa (8/1), #4 Sun Summers (7/2), #6 Cockstrikestwelve (6/1), #7 Zandora (8/1), and #9 the Nine O (4/1).

Race 8: 6½ Furlongs. S.Alw 66000n1x

#7 The Big Lebanese (5/1) – Cutting back to a sprint, he looks to get a perfect trip today with plenty of speed to run at.  He hasn’t gotten the setup in his prior sprints.

The Conductor will also use #5 Elios Milos (2/1) and #9 Smokin Platinum (3/1).

Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.100K Wild Applause Stakes

#4 Nova Sol (5/2) – 2nd off the layoff, she ran very well last start in the Hilltop after a troubled trip. Chad Brown will in this race.

The Conductor will also use #6 Blowout (2/1)

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) S.MC 40000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Hudson Overpass (12/1) – He split the field vs tougher in his debut and ran sneaky well last time at this level. He dueled, setting a hot pace early and was only beaten 3 ½ lengths even though he finished 10th.

churchill

The Conductor will also use #3 Blue Parrot (10/1), #6 Champagne Chiils (4/1) and #7 Jack the Cat (6/1).

Churchill Downs Late Pick 4

Race 8: 1 Mile. F.OC 80000b

#7 In the Mood (6/1) – She ran a very good 2nd at Churchill last time setting a hot at this level. She’s working even better leading in to today.

The Conductor will also use #2 Clever Serve (5/1) and #3 Devine Queen (7/2).

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) OC 62500n2x

#2 Altito (30/1) – He’s an absolute bomb the Conductor will use and key in the trifecta. He’s a proven winner on dirt and ran a solid 4th closing into a slow pace last time. He hasn’t had many chances on turf, but his race at Kentucky downs last fall makes him competitive in here.

The Conductor will also use #4 Cowboy Culture (6/1), #6 Dontblamerocket (4/1) and #8 Keep Quiet (5/2).

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. F.Roxelana Overnight Stakes

*Never a Doubt Summer Saturday Night Lock of the Day #2 Covfefe (7/5) – The Conductor will toss #10 Mia Mischeif (8/5) and won’t use any backups in this race. This girl put on an absolute show down at Pimlico last start.  She’s the goods.

churchill

Race 11: 6½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 95k

#3 Double Axel (3/1) – She ran a hard charging 2nd after a slow start in her debut. Her recent works suggest she’ll graduate today.

#11 Risky Mandate (5/1) – Is the only backup the Conductor will use.