Tag: Belmont Park

The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park and Churchill Downs

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A group of horses and jockeys competing in a horse race on a dirt track.

The Conductor sucked yesterday at Churchill, not what we wanted heading into the weekend. However, we have nice weather today and a chance to make some scores. The Conductor will focus his attention on the late pick 4’s in Louisville and Belmont. Let’s Ride.

 

Belmont Park Late Pick 4

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Alw 50000s

This is a spread race for the Conductor, but he’s going to TOSS the morning line favorite #10 Xanthique (5/2) drawn to the far outside.

He’ll use #1 Tizaprincessa (8/1), #4 Sun Summers (7/2), #6 Cockstrikestwelve (6/1), #7 Zandora (8/1), and #9 the Nine O (4/1).

Race 8: 6½ Furlongs. S.Alw 66000n1x

#7 The Big Lebanese (5/1) – Cutting back to a sprint, he looks to get a perfect trip today with plenty of speed to run at.  He hasn’t gotten the setup in his prior sprints.

The Conductor will also use #5 Elios Milos (2/1) and #9 Smokin Platinum (3/1).

Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.100K Wild Applause Stakes

#4 Nova Sol (5/2) – 2nd off the layoff, she ran very well last start in the Hilltop after a troubled trip. Chad Brown will in this race.

The Conductor will also use #6 Blowout (2/1)

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) S.MC 40000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Hudson Overpass (12/1) – He split the field vs tougher in his debut and ran sneaky well last time at this level. He dueled, setting a hot pace early and was only beaten 3 ½ lengths even though he finished 10th.

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The Conductor will also use #3 Blue Parrot (10/1), #6 Champagne Chiils (4/1) and #7 Jack the Cat (6/1).

Churchill Downs Late Pick 4

Race 8: 1 Mile. F.OC 80000b

#7 In the Mood (6/1) – She ran a very good 2nd at Churchill last time setting a hot at this level. She’s working even better leading in to today.

The Conductor will also use #2 Clever Serve (5/1) and #3 Devine Queen (7/2).

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) OC 62500n2x

#2 Altito (30/1) – He’s an absolute bomb the Conductor will use and key in the trifecta. He’s a proven winner on dirt and ran a solid 4th closing into a slow pace last time. He hasn’t had many chances on turf, but his race at Kentucky downs last fall makes him competitive in here.

The Conductor will also use #4 Cowboy Culture (6/1), #6 Dontblamerocket (4/1) and #8 Keep Quiet (5/2).

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. F.Roxelana Overnight Stakes

*Never a Doubt Summer Saturday Night Lock of the Day #2 Covfefe (7/5) – The Conductor will toss #10 Mia Mischeif (8/5) and won’t use any backups in this race. This girl put on an absolute show down at Pimlico last start.  She’s the goods.

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Race 11: 6½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 95k

#3 Double Axel (3/1) – She ran a hard charging 2nd after a slow start in her debut. Her recent works suggest she’ll graduate today.

#11 Risky Mandate (5/1) – Is the only backup the Conductor will use.

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

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Horses racing at Belmont Park with a crowd cheering and an ambulance in the foreground.

Decent day at Belmont yesterday, a few short-priced winners including the lock of the day and a couple of decent prices running 2nd.  Looks like off the turf and smaller fields again which is annoying, but we play the hand we’re dealt. Let’s ride.

Race 1: 1 Mile. S.Clm 25000

#1 Blame the Theif (5/1) – Whenever he drops in for a tag, he wins. He also looks to get a favorable trip up close to a slow pace.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 12500

#4 Willdcat Belle (4/1) – 2nd off the layoff and dropping in class, her early pace figs give her an advantage over this field. She can clear to front and dictate the race.

Race 3: 1 Mile. 80k

#1 Sagaponack (7/2) – This colt went for a cool 1 Milly at the Keeneland sale and is working like he’s the goods.

Race 4: 1 Mile. F.S.Alw 66000n1x

#6 My Last Million (7/2) – 2nd off the layoff, this filly is stretching out to her best distance and Rosario hops aboard.

Race 5: 5 Furlongs. (OFF Turf) F.Mdn 80k

#6 Morality Cause (9/2) – The Conductor liked her debut, closing for a good 3rd after trouble at the start. The low % jockey will keep her price high, but the horse comes first in capping.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 62k

#2 Tossup (5/1) – She needed her last race off a long layoff and has posted 3 nice works since. Her race two back at Saratoga she showed real ability.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (OFF Turf) F.Clm 35000n3x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Cartwheel (8/1) – The lone MTO in the field and dropping in class, the Conductor hopes she’s sent right to the front in a race devoid of pace.

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Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. S.OC 40000n2x

#2 Real Dan (9/2) – 2nd off the layoff at Belmont and stretching out to a route for the first time for Pletcher, there is no way they’ll allow the Conductor to get that price, but a man can dream.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (OFF Turf) F.S.Mdn 62k

*Never a Doubt Thursday Night Stews Lock of the Day #13 Amos (2/1) – MTO

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Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday at Belmont Park

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Horses and jockeys at the starting gate of Belmont Park during a race.

Back to back great days at Parx for the Conductor. Winners galore yesterday including a 12/1 #gullet shot in the opening race. Now the train back up to Belmont for the rest of the week. Let’s keep up the momentum and get this baby into 6th gear. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 25000n2L

#4 Bid You Adieu (5/1) – She’s working well for connections that can win off the layoff and any filly who breaks her maiden at Toga has ability.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. (OFF Turf) F.S.Mdn 62k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Lookbothways (8/1) – She had a troubled start last time but has two 2nds at this level on dirt. The other runners in this group have unproven dirt form.

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Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 14000n3L

 #1 Midnightisalright (4/1) – She’ll go right to the front from the rail and should be alone on the lead.

Race 4: 1 Mile. MC 25000

#7 Ari’s Naughty Luca (4/5) – 2nd off the layoff and dropping in class, he’ll handle this group with ease.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. (OFF Turf) MC 40000

#5 Monmouth Dr (5/1) – He’s debuting as the lone MTO in this race and the Conductor likes work tab.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. Alw 40000s

*Never a Doubt Humpday Lock #3 Bon Raison (2/1) – Throw out his last start on a sloppy track, he’s the class of the field and should get a perfect stalking trip just off the speed.

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Race 7: 1 3/8 Mile. (OFF Turf) F.Mdn 90k

#9 Mercy Mercy (5/1) – Shipping in from California, the Conductor likes this girl getting back to dirt.

Race 8: 1 1/16. OC 62500n2x

#2 Dynamix Prime (6/1) – This gelding is in good form, loves to win races and loves Belmont Park.

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. (OFF Turf) Clm 30000n2L

#2 Letzgometz (6/1) – He was pulled up in his last start but is working well leading into today. He showed talent in his maiden breaker two starts back and has the most upside in the field.

The Conductor’s Fathers Day Plays at Churchill Downs

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Entrance of Churchill Downs featuring the Kentucky Derby Museum in Louisville, Kentucky.

Choo Chooooooo!!!!!! Talk about handing out the Pick 5 on a platter.  Thank you Mr. Conductor! I will buy lots of shirts to show my gratitude, and a hat too! Let’s do it again at Churchill, Let’s Ride.

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Stephen Foster Late Pick 5 Plays at Churchill Downs

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

#7 Blunt Force (10/1) – Dropping in class 2nd off the layoff and switching back to dirt, shes the price the Conductor likes most.

This is a spread race however, he’ll also use #2 A. P. Princess (4/1), #3 Singsong Bird (8/1), #4 Traci’s Greeley (15/1), #5 Spackle (3/1) and #8 Fire on High (10/1).

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. Clm 16000n2L

#1 Cosmic Hallelujah (8/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he pressed a hot pace and folded going last time.  The Conductor loves him on the cutback.

He’ll also use #2 British Humor (3/1), #8 Salt Air (4/1), #9 Homeview (8/1), #10 Jimmy Joe (4/1).

Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Alw 97000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Bundibunan (12/1) – She ran a good 3rd last start and is steadily progressing.  Her last work shows she’s ready to fire.

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The Conductor will also use #8 Face of Victory (6/1) and #11 Broth (5/1).

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. F.Clm 50000n2L

*Never a Doubt Fathers Day Lock #1/1A Entry (3/1) – Dropping to the claiming ranks for the first time, the race goes thru the Asmussen runners. One of these girls will fire.

churchill

Race 10: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Mdn 95k

Spread to end it. #1 Dreams are Made (9/2), #4 Drop Dead Gorgeous (12/1), #7 Yes It’s Ginger (4/1), #8 Nikki Beach (6/1), #12 Holiday Time (7/2)

 

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

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Jockeys and horses walking towards the racetrack at Belmont Park during a horse racing event.

8/1 Winner #3 Carlisle Belle in the 5th at Belmont yesterday made it a decent day for the Conductor. Thank god it’s Friday, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.S.MC 40000

#4 Fika (4/1) – The Conductor can’t take the favorite in here. This girl drops to the claiming ranks for the first time and trainer Joe Sharp is 22% with a +$0.47 ROI with runners off a layoff this year.

Race 2: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) S.OC 40000n2x

#2 Ghost Giant (12/1) – The last time he ran at this distance at Belmont, he won easy.  Getting back to what he wants, he offers value.

Race 3: 1 Mile. MC 30000

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Bottle Service Lock of the Day #4 Ari’s Naughty Luca (1/1) – The Conductor sees her winning with ease.

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Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) S.Clm 25000

#7 Big Thicket (8/1) – He’s only run once on the turf, and he ran a good 3rd.  His dirt form is competitive on numbers and trainer James Ferraro is 11% with a +$2.44 ROI switching runners from dirt to turf.

Race 5: 5 Furlongs. Mdn 80k

#5 Three Technique (5/2) – This colt can clog up two gaps nicely.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 80k

#1 Perceived (5/1) – One of the two Chad Brown horses will obviously win the race. The 1st timer on the rail is working very well by all counts.

Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs. S.Clm 40000

#2 Dr Lloyd (5/1) – He’s been working well so the Conductor isn’t concerned about the layoff, especially with these connections. He showed talent in his first two starts.

Race 8: 1 3/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.OC 62500n2x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 War Conoe (10/1) – This mare made up 4 lengths in the stretch, losing into a tepid pace last time. The Conductor will key her in the exacta and trifecta.

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Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.S.Alw 66000n1x

#1 Flush (5/1) – She’s bred to be better on the grass and has shown real ability on dirt. Getting to run on the lawn for the first time, the Conductor loves her.

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

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Two racehorses competing at Belmont Park, showcasing speed and agility during a thrilling horse race with jockeys in colorful attire.

That was sadly the best result for the Conductor at Belmont all day. Very sad indeed, Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 16000n2L

#5 Quest for Fire (5/2) – Drawn well to the outside, he just missed at this level last time and looks to get a perfect trip today.

Race 2: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.S.Mdn 62k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Running on Entry (8/1) – The Conductor liked her debut, closing into a moderate pace.  She should appreciate an added furlong.

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Race 3: 6 Furlongs. Clm 12500

#4 Toohottoevenspeak (3/1) – With pace to run at, he should get a perfect setup to close into. The Conductor will key him in the exacta.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 80k

#2 Funny Flowers (8/1) – She had no chance in her debut, trying to close into the slowest of paces.  The Conductor will she what she is made of today.

Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 40000n2L

#3 Carlisle Belle (8/1) – Its tough to back a filly that is 1/16 lifetime, but you need to zig when others zag in this game. This race is going to have an extremely hot pace and she’ll be running late. The Conductor will key her in the exacta.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) MC 40000

#7 Solar (6/1) – He drops in class and adds blinkers today.  Castellano takes the mount, which is a good sign.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 82000n1x

#7 Go Rose (4/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she ran a strong late pace figure in her American debut and will take a step forward today.

Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Alw 82000n1x

*Never a Doubt US Open Lock of the Day #3 Mizzen Max (5/2) – 2nd off the layoff at Belmont and getting back to a fast track, her race two starts back at Saratoga buries this field.

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Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.S.MC 40000

#7 Traci’s Girl (6/1) – She set a wicked pace on turf last time and switches back to dirt today.  She has a pace edge and the Conductor is salivating at that price.

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday at Belmont Park

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Exciting start of the Belmont Stakes horse race with multiple horses and jockeys at the starting gate.

The Conductor hadn’t played Parx in a while and it showed the last two days with an absolute ass kicking. Thankfully, Belmont is back to on Wednesdays and there are a few decent opportunities on today’s card.  One month until Toga, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. MC 50000

#4 Soul Group (8/1) – He brushed the gate in his debut vs tougher and the Conductor likes that Rosario stays aboard. He has upside.

Race 2: 6½ Furlongs. F.S.Clm 40000

*Never a Doubt Humpday Lock #5 First Forever (4/5) – She looks to be too good for this group.

Belmont

Race 3: 5 Furlongs. F.Mdn 80k

#3 Sweet Kisses (3/1) – Well bred, her sire wins at a 25% clip with 1st time starters. She also has strong connections in her corner.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Clm 35000n3L

#5 Zap Daddy (9/2) – 2nd off the layoff, he’s dropping back into the claiming ranks for the first time in a while. The last time he ran for a tag, he won.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 16000n2L

#6 Eddy Dirt (7/2) – He’s dropping in class and has the best turf form in the field.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.MC 40000

#1 Galadriel’s Light (5/2) – She’s bred to be better on the grass and if she can stand up on turf, she’ll beat this group.

Race 7: 1 Mile. Alw 40000s

#2 Rucksack (4/1) – He took a long time to break his maiden, but his figures fit in here. The Conductor is using the old lightbulb angle.

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.OC 40000n2x

#2 Broken Border (9/2) – She’s 3/4 at this distance at Belmont Park.  Getting back to 7 furlongs, she’s the Conductor’s best bet of the day.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) Clm 40000n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Mend Up (15/1) – This colt is steadily progressing and will try turf for the first time. His dam has produced 2 grass winners and trainer Ubillo Rodrigo is 2/9 with a +15.00 ROI with 1st time turf runners.

Belmont

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Belmont Park

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A crowded horse racing event with multiple horses and riders on the track in front of an audience.

They always run the next day and there is always another race in 20 minutes. Belmont time, Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 16000n2L

#1 Ok Honey (4/1) – Plunging in class, she’s cutting back to a sprint and the rail was the place to be all yesterday.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Mdn 62k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 The Happy Giant (20/1) – 2nd off the layoff for a new barn, her race two back at Laurel gives her a major chance.  The Conductor will key her in the exacta and trifecta.

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Race 3: 6 Furlongs. 150k Jersey Girl Stakes

#3 Break Even (3/5) – Chalk

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. S.F MC 25000

#7 Too Many Tales (7/2) – She has to graduate today or she never will.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) S.MC 40000

#2 Game Break (6/1) – He took money at the windows and set a hot pace before folding in his debut. He’ll take a big step forward today.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) Clm 40000

#8 Bold Daddy (6/1) – He moved early into a hot pace last time. He’s very dangerous in his 2nd start for Servis.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. Clm 32000

*Never a Doubt Lock From God #3 Flat Rate (4/1) – The Conductor liked his maiden breaker at Parx and that he shortens a furlong today.

belmont

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) S.Alw 66000n1x

#1 Everyonelovesjames (2/1) – He has a major early pace edge over this Belmont group.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) OC 80000n1x

#2 Honey Won’t (5/2) – The Conductor doesn’t have a strong opinion in this race.

Race 10: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) S.MC 40000

#6 Dove Shoot (5/1) – He pressed a hot pace vs tougher last start. He drops back to where he fits today.

The Conductors Belmont Stakes Day Plays

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A racehorse with a jockey wearing a red and white uniform, galloping on a racetrack.

Belmont Stakes Day, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. Alw 92000n1x

#2 Shadow Rider (8/1) – The Conductor is going to key him underneath in the exacta.  He has the strongest late pace figures and should get a decent pace to close into.

Race 2: 1 ¼ Mile. Mdn 90k

#2 Better Tapit (6/1) – This jockey/trainer combo hit with a 1st timer yesterday. This cold is well-bred.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. 150K Easy Goer Stakes

#4 Outshine (9/5) – He got wiped out in the Wood last time, his 2nd in the Tampa Bay Derby makes him the one to beat.

Race 4: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 Just A Game Stakes

#4 Rushing Fall (4/5) – She’s the Goods

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. F. G1 Ogden Phipps Stakes

#1 Come Dancing (6/5) – She has an early pace edge over the favorite #2 Midnight Bisou (1/1) and the rest of the field.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) G1 Jaipur Invitational Stakes

#8 World of Trouble (1/1) – He’s nails right now.

Race 7: 1 Mile. F.G1 Acorn Stakes

*Never a Doubt Under Card Lock of the Day #7 Guarana (2/1) – The birdies are chirping that she is a freak. Jose Ortiz also chose to jump off the Oaks winner #1 Serengeti Empress (5/2) to ride her.

belmont stakes

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. G1 Woody Stephens Stakes

#1 Honest Mischief (6/1) – Finally somewhat of a price to play. This colt’s maiden breaker at Keeneland last start dropped the Conductor’s jaw.

Race 9: 1 Mile. G1 Met Mile

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Pavel (20/1) – #2 Mckinzie, #3 Mitole, #4 Thunder Snow and #7 Firenze Fire should all be used on top, but the Conductor is going to key this bomb in the trifecta. He’s always wanted to go shorter in the Conductor’s opinion and he sees him getting a perfect stalking trip from the outside.

belmont stakes

Race 10: 1 1/4 Mile. (Inner Turf) G1 Manhattan Stakes

#3 Robert Bruce (6/1) – He gets back to firm turf today and also has tactical speed in a race devoid of pace. However, one of the Chad Brown runners will obviously win.

Race 11: 1½ Mile. G1 Belmont Stakes

#5 Bourbon of War (12/1) – The Conductor’s Belmont Stakes Preview

Race 12: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) OC 62500n2x

#5 Near Gold (8/1) – The Conductor isn’t impressed with any of the American runners so he’ll turn to the French import.

Race 13: 1½ Mile. G2 Woodford Reserve Stakes

#3 Sonateer (10/1) – He romped in his 1st try at the distance last start. Moreover, this may be what he’s wanted all along.

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

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A racehorse with a green and yellow jockey competing on a racetrack at KY Downs.

The Conductor had a shorty winner in the opener yesterday, then couldn’t hit the broad side of a barn. This week is a can’t lose Conductor! Tighten it up! We need money to play with tomorrow at Belmont, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 7 Furlongs. Mdn 90k

#2 Per Capita (8/1) – The “other” Chad in this race.  His dam has produced 3 stakes winners from 6 starters, he’s posting bullet works and will be a bigger price.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.S. Mdn 72k

#8 Lead Guitar (5/1) – 200k at auction, George Weaver can surprise with 1st time starters and the Conductor likes his work tab. His bullet work at Keeneland April 30th did not go unnoticed.

Race 3: 1 Mile. (Turf) OC 80000n1x

#1 Wild Medegliad’oro (5/1) – He took a little while to break his maiden, but he was very impressive stretching out on the grass for the 1st time.  This is what he’s wanted all along.

Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs. S.OC 40000n2x

#7 Fiery Opal (10/1) – The favorites look tough to beat, but the Conductor is going to key this gelding in the trifecta, mostly underneath. Cutting back to a sprint after racing last weekend, he will come running late.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. F.G3 Bed of Roses Stakes

#7 Separationofpowers (5/2) – Drawn well to the outside, she looks primed for this spot 2nd off the layoff.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) OC 100000n3x

#6 Gidu (8/1) – He has an early pace edge on this field and is working well entering today. The Conductor will root for him to get to the front and scamper away.

Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs. 150k Tremont Stakes

#2 Maven (7/5) – The son of American Pharoah, he looked great in his debut win last time.

Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs. G2 True North Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Do Share (5/1) – He ran solid last time closing into a moderate pace against Mitole, who we’ll see tomorrow in the Met Mile. The Conductor loves him in this spot, its his best bet on the card.

Belmont

Race 9: 1 ¼ Mile. (Inner Turf) F.G2 New York Stakes

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Bottle Service Lock of the Day #8 Homerique (6/5) – She’s too classy for this group.

Belmont

Race 10: 2 Miles. (Turf) G2 Belmont Gold Cup

#4 Red Knight (7/2) – He’s proven at the distance, 2nd off the layoff and does his best running at Belmont.

Race 11: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.Alw 40000s

#8 Queen Kahen (10/1) – 1st off the claim for Linda Rice, his win last time on dirt gives him every chance if he takes to the lawn.