Keeneland: Spot Plays for Friday, October 9

A group of jockeys riding horses during a race at Keeneland, with trees in bloom in the background.

The Conductor is going to shorten up on Keeneland today. He’ll focus on the higher quality races. Let’s Ride.

 

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. OC 80000n3x

Doubled Barreled Buckshot Play of the Day #6 Lasting Legacy (9/2) – This is a very competitive field and a great betting race. This horse crossed the wire 1st last time off a short break and looks primed to run his best 2nd off the layoff. He has class in his form lines and hasn’t run a bad race in the last two years. He’ll have good early position as well.

#7 Rubus (12/1) – This gelding has progressed in each of his 4 starts this year and is exiting a nice victory at Churchill Downs. He gets back to Keeneland, where he does his best running and is in the best form of his career.

Keeneland

Race 9: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Buffalo Trace Franklin County Stakes

#2 Into Mystic (6/1) – #10 Got Stormy (6/5) is clearly the one to beat, but this will be her first time going this short of a distance. The distance was too long for Into Mystic last time. However, she will shorten up to her preferred 5 ½ furlongs today. She has good early speed and will be able to get the jump on Got Stormy turning for home. Whether Got Stormy runs her down her not will be up to the pony gods, but it is a simple exacta either way.

Friday’s Breathing Tube Snappers at Keeneland

Horses with jockeys walking in a line at Keeneland Racecourse during an event.

A positive Thursday with a few winners lets the Conductor load up for the late pick 4 at Keeneland.  With a ton of big racing on the route tomorrow, the Conductor narrows his focus today.  What a smart man.  Let’s hit this thing and have a hell of a weekend, Let’s Ride.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 75000b

#1 Parlor (3/1) – Drawn well to the inside, he finished 3rd vs tougher last start.  He closed well into a tepid pace and has the strongest late kick in this field.  Another Kentucky Downs shipper that will win on the Keeneland turf.

Race 8: 1 1/6 Mile. Alw 69000n1x

*Never a Doubt Bottle Service Lock of the Day #6 Hollywood Star (5/1) – Exiting two sprint races at Saratoga, he should show some early speed in a race without much pace.  His best races have been routing and he was Grade 2 placed as a 2-year-old.  He’s working well and looks to be ready for a top performance.

Keeneland

Race 9: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) F. Buffalo Trace Franklin County Stakes – G3

#12 Ruby Notion (5/1) – Winner of her 1st Grade 3 last start, this mare has never been better.  She continues to improve in Darrin Miller’s barn.  She has enough early gas to stay close to the pace, along with the fitness to finish strong.  What a great betting race this is.

Race 10: 7 Furlongs. Clm 20000b

#11 Because It’s Time (4/1) – The long layoff is a concern for the Conductor with these low % connections, but his numbers stand out against this field.  If he shows up with a B effort that will be good enough to beat this group and at 4/1 its worth a bet.

#3 Come On Dover (4/1) – Taking a massive class drop, he showed good early speed before fading last start.  He looks to be rounding into form and has run multiple races early in the year that would blow this field away.