Tag: chad brown

Ponies

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Aqueduct

The Conductor's Scribe

The Conductor doesn’t want a big day, he needs one. We will execute and we will thrive. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. (OFF Turf) F.S.MC 40000

#11 Happy Music (8/1) – 2nd off the layoff this filly drops to the claiming ranks for the firt time and has been well bet vs tougher. She draws in as an MTO.

Race 2: 1 Mile. F.Clm 16000n2L

#2 True Prosperity (6/1) – She had a troubled trip last time and she gets back to a route today where she ran her best two back. She’ll run in the exacta at a nice number.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 50000s

#6 Overheated (10/1) – This girl stretches out to a turf route for the first time and this group is very average. Rosario has hit with some big prices riding for Ray Handal recently.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) Mdn 70k

#2 Tan and Tight (6/5) – Keep it tight, keep it light.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. F.Clm 25000n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Abraxan (10/1) – She’s dropping to the claiming ranks for the first time and has run on turf and a sloppy track in her last two starts. Her form sprinting on a fast dirt track gives her every chance.

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Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Outer Turf) S.Clm 25000

#9 Whatawonderflworld (9/2) – Dropping to her lowest career class level, she ran very well last time vs tougher and looks to get a good setup today with pace to run at.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.OC 100000b

#3 Chipolata (4/1) – This filly has the back class and figures to beat the favorite #2 Dream Passage (1/1) and will be a much better price. She’s also 1/1 over the Aqueduct surface.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. F.S.MC 40000

#1 Maru (7/2) – She showed speed vs tougher in her debut and hung on for 3rd. She can run this group off their feet.

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Ponies

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Spot Plays at Aqueduct

The Conductor's Scribe

Swing in a miss yesterday, the Conductor is picking his spots carefully today. Let’s Ride,

Race 5: 1 1/8 Mile. (Outer Turf) S.Alw 66000n1x

#2 Southern Brigade (6/1) – He got cooked in a hot pace last time, so the Conductor will forgive him. His best race came at this distance three starts back and he gets a rider upgrade to Rosario today.

Race 7: 6½ Furlongs. F.S.Alw 66000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Overtime Olivia (20/1) – This mare is stepping up in class after a victory. She has strong early pace figures and looks to get a favorable trip in a sprint without much early pace. The Conductor will key her in the exact and trifecta.

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Ponies, Videos

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayer at Aqueduct

The Conductor's Scribe

The Conductor’s brain is too mushy to get complicated today. Keep it light and keep it tight! Let’s Ride.

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. F.150K New York Stallion Series Stakes

#3 Newly Minted (7/2) – Classic early move into a hot pace last time and shortening in distance today. She’s a stone cold chilly lock and likely wont be the favorite.

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Ponies

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Plays at Aqueduct

The Conductor's Scribe

Great capping yesterday by the Conductor. Let’s keep up the momentum with prices winning and running in the exacta. Hell of a Saturday to sit on the couch. Let’s Ride.

Race 2: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 70k

#5 Soul Kitchen (15/1) – She’s well bred for the lawn and trainer Jorge Abreu is 23% with a +$1.44 ROI with 1st time starters this year. Irad hops aboard for a barn he rarely rides for as well.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Outer Turf) Clm 30000n2L

#12 Devoted Kitten (6/1) – The Conductor like this gelding’s maiden breaker last time out. Lezcano has won 4 of his last 5 mounts for Gargan

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) 150K Artie Schiller Stakes

#3 Golden Brown (12/1) – Switching back to turf, it doesn’t matter what surface or distance he’s trying, he loves to win. This gelding has run well fresh and looks to get a nice trip sitting behind a hot pace today.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Outer Turf) 100K Atlantic Beach Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #11 Mystic Lancelot (6/1) – He ran huge in his debut win at Saratoga and is steadily progressing for Pletcher. This colt has faced stiff competition and has the most upside in this group.

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Ponies

The Conductor’s Breeders’ Cup Turf Preview

The Conductor's Scribe

Race 11: 1½ Mile. (Turf) G1 Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf

#4 Mount Everest (15/1) – This is a simple race for the Conductor he’s against all the American runners besides Bricks and he thinks a few of the Euros will run well. The Conductor likes this boy’s steady progression.

*#5 Anthony Van Dyck (3/1) – The Conductor thinks he’s the most likely winner and he won’t be the favorite. His European form has been very strong and Aiden O’brien has him pointed for this spot. He’ll be the Conductor’s win bet.

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#9 Bricks and Mortar (9/5) – He must be respected, he keeps answering the bell for Chad.

#10 Old Persian (4/1) – He’s another with strong form across the pond and his win at Woodbine last time caught the Conductor’s eye.

Ponies

The Conductor’s Breeders’ Cup Mile Preview

The Conductor's Scribe

Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 TVG Breeders’ Cup Mile

#9 Circus Maximus (3/1) and #11 Uni (7/2) – The Conductor is tightening up in this race. He loves Uni in this spot and thinks the only one that can beat he is this colt from across the pond. They are the two favorites, but the Conductor will not get cute here. Use these two and carry on with your Saturday.

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Ponies

The Conductor’s Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf Preview

The Conductor's Scribe

Race 7: 1 1/4 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 Maker’s Mark Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf

#2 Sistercharlie (8/5) – The more the Conductor looks at this race, the more he can’t see her getting beat. He certainly won’t be using any of the American runners and its not the strongest European contingent. Winner of six Grade 1’s in a row she’ll be the singled on most of the Conductor’s tickets.

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#9 Villa Marina (8/1) and #12 Fanny Logan (15/1) – These are the only two Europeans the Conductor will use as savers on a few tickets and will use with Sistercharlie in the exacta. Both are in good form and have upside.

Ponies

The Conductor’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf Preview

The Conductor's Scribe

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

#1 Living in the Past (15/1) – The Conductor didn’t like her finish last race.

#2 Croughavouke (20/1) – The west coast turf runners aren’t in this class.

#3 Shadn (10/1) – This filly has been very consistent across the pond and a good foundation. The Conductor won’t rule her out.

#4 Abscond (15/1) – She had a favorable trip last time up close to a slow pace. The Conductor doesn’t think she’s good enough.

#5 Daahyeh (5/1) – She’s the best of the Euros and is a definite contender with a good draw.

#6 Unforgetable (20/1) – The Conductor will forget about her.

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Crystalle (8/1) – She looks to be the Conductor’s best bet on Friday’s card if we get anything close to that morning line. This girl ran a monster late pace figure closing into a slow pace and looks to get a much better setup in this one. With a solid draw and Rosario aboard, the Conductor is licking his chops.

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#8 Tango (10/1) – This filly is a seasoned vet at this point and has faced quality competition in Europe. Her blowout victory last time caught the Conductor’s attention.

#9 Albigna (9/2) – Another European contender.

#10 Fair Maiden (12/1) – She’s the other American that intrigues the Conductor. She’s obliterated fields sprinting and will get a firm turf course for the first time Friday, which the Conductor expects her to appreciate.

#11 Sharing (12/1) – The Conductor can’t knock her too much, but he doesn’t think she can win from this post.

#12 Sweet Melania (5/1) – She’s been impressive in her young career, but the Conductor doesn’t like her in this spot. She has a wide draw and will be contesting a hot early pace. She’ll be over bet in the Conductor’s opinion.

#13 Selflessly (8/1) – She beat #7 Crystalle, who the Conductor likes best, last time but she doesn’t look to get as favorable a trip here and will be heavily bet from the Chad Brown barn.

#14 Etoile (12/1) – This filly has talent, but the Conductor will fade her from out there.

Ponies

The Conductor’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Preview

The Conductor's Scribe

The Europeans have dominated this race, but with tough draws this year they’re not a cinch. The Conductor isn’t in love with Chad Brown either

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf

*#1 Our Country (15/1) – The Conductor likes this colt at a big price in this spot. He’s run very strong late pace figures and has some troubled trips that have muddied up his form. He was hung very wide last time and will be able to save ground here from the rail. His maiden breaker was as good as you’ll see on turf.

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#2 Structor (5/1) – 2/2 in his 1st two career starts, he hasn’t done anything wrong, but hasn’t shown the Conductor anything special. At a short price for Chad Brown he is a contender, but will be over bet.

#3 Peace Achieved (10/1) – Winner of three in a row and steadily progressing, the Conductor can’t knock him, but doesn’t think he’s fast enough to win.

#4 Decorated Invador (4/1) – He’s shown versatility, winning convincingly over firm and soft turf. The Conductor likes him, but he may be over bet as well.

#5 Vitalogy (GB) (10/1) – The Conductor would take this colt 10/10 times over #3 Peace Achieved who held him off last start. He has a very strong late kick and the Conductor will absolutely be using him.

#6 Graceful Kitten (15/1) – He won’t be able to get the distance.

*#7 Andesite (12/1) – The Conductor likes him better than Structor in here. He showed fight in the Pilgrim and galloped out back in front of Structor by a mile after the wire. He’ll be a big price and will be tough to pass down the lane.

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#8 Billy Bats (20/1) – The Conductor won’t be using any California turf horses.

#9 Gear Jockey (20/1) – He can’t win going this far.

#10 War Beast (20/1) – No California horses.

#11 Proven Strategies (30/1) – This colt needs shorter.

#12 Arizona (5/2) – Undoubtedly the class of the field, this colt has been running against the best across the pond. Pinatubo would be odds on against this group and is a serious race horse. The wide draw will not make this an easy task, but the Conductor will absolutely be using him.

#13 Fort Meyers (12/1) – A tough draw, but with the success of the Europeans in this race, the Conductor can’t ignore him. His European form is strong and he has a lot of experience.

#14 Hit the Road (10/1) – No California turf horses.

Ponies

The Conductor’s Columbus Day Late Pick 5 Play at Belmont Park

The Conductor's Scribe

Monday racing at Belmont, that helps the Conductor’s head feel a little but better. Let’s hit this thing, Let’s Ride.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.MC 50000

#7 I Am Aine (8/1) – She ran decent in her debut in a race taken off the turf. She gets to the surface she’s bred for today and Michelle Nevin runners always improve in their second starts.

Other Contenders: 3,5,8,10

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Mdn 75k

#4 So Gracious (6/1) – The Conductor likes her cutting back to a sprint.

Other Contenders: 3,7

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. Alw 77000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Dark Storm (3/1) – This gelding is steadily progressing and looks to get a nice trip today sitting behind a hot early pace. The Conductor will try and beat the odds on favorite #5 Mubarmaj (3/5).

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Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) G2 Knickerbocker Stakes

#7 Catholic Boy (7/5) – This is a salty field with some runners with upside, but this versatile and classy horse is a cut above them.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. Clm 16000n2L

The Conductor will spread in the last leg.

Contenders: 1,2,3,6