Give a man a fish and he'll eat for a day, Give a man a pony and he'll eat for a lifetime
Hopefully you passengers were able to make some money yesterday, the Conductor had some good opinions and some bad ones. Over 3 million in free money in the pick 6 pot getting paid out today, so we have to play. Let’s Ride
Race 6: 5,6, (7)
Race 7: 1,3, (4)
Race 8: 1,5,8,9
Race 9: 1,4,5,6,8,10
Rae 10: 2,3,4,7,9,10
Race 11: 7,(9)
He’s Baaaaaaaaaccccccccckkkkkkkkkkk. The Conductor apologizes for his recent absence, but not really. The train went off the rails and needed some maintenance, that’s just part of ductor life. Nothing a few weeks back at the station can’t fix. You passengers didn’t think he’d miss the Pegasus did you? Silly passengers, after all this time you still can’t figure out the Conductor. Great card today at Gulfstream, big fields and the Conductor is salivating. Time to take a nice slow ride THROTTLE IT! Let’s Ride.
This is a very intriguing race to start the Pick 6 sequence. We’ll have to see if the dirt is a speed highway, but this looks like a meltdown race with a blistering pace on paper. The Conductor will turn to the closers.
#5 Phat Man (10/1) – Exiting a good 2nd last start, splitting War Story and Bode Express (who we’ll talk about later), he looks to get a great trip with Irad aboard. The Conductor will key him in the exacta as well.
#7 Tale of Silence (10/1) – He’s had time off after running a dud last start. His race two back closing into a slow pace and finishing 1 ¾ lengths behind Maximum Security makes him a must use.
Other contenders #8 Free Enterprise (4/1), #10 Gray Magician (6/1), and the Conductor can see #9 Olympic Village (20/1) hitting the board underneath.
#6 Lady Paname (3/1) – She’s clearly the one to beat from the Conductor’s perspective and will single her on most tickets. The long layoff doesn’t concern him with Chad.
#3 Kelsey’s Cross (8/1) – This filly is making her first start as a four-year-old and has sneaky back class. She’s run behind Cambier Parc and Concrete Rose and this field is much weaker than what she’s used to.
#4 Mean Mary (8/1) – She’s the controlling speed and the Conductor likes her steady progression.
Another race with what looks like a hot pace, the Conductor sees only 3.
#7 Spiced Perfection (8/5) – The heavy favorite, she’d clearly the class of the field and can dictate her own trip.
#6 Nonna Madeline (8/1) – She didn’t live up to the hype last year but took care of business in her comeback race. The Conductor thinks she has the potential to take a big step forward.
#11 Pink Sands (8/1) – This mare is going to get a good setup like she did in her last victory and loves Gulfstream.
Nothing creative, the logical contenders, no strong opinion: #1 Red Night (3/1), #7 Cross Border (9/2), #8 Pumpkin Rumble (8/1), #12 American Tattoo (7/2)
The Conductor is going to toss #12 Magic Wand (7/2) from that post. She’s classy and can win, but loves to run 2nd and will be hammered at the windows. There is a trainer named Chad Brown you may have heard of who will win this race.
#3 Without Parole (4/1) – He ran well behind Uni on Breeders Cup Day last time and the Conductor thinks he’s a cut above this field. Most of his money will go through him.
#6 Instilled Regard (10/1) – The Conductor has always been a fan of this horse and is improving on the turf.
#11 Sacred Life (12/1) – He’s a hard knocker and the Conductor will use him defensively.
This race obviously completely changed with the scratch of Omaha Beach, but the Conductor thinks its now a much better betting race.
*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Seeking the Soul (30/1) – He went off form last fall but has had a long time off and is training well. His 2nd behind Seeking the Soul in last years Pegasus behind City of life would win this year’s running and he has the most back class. The Conductor has a feeling he’s going to run a big one and will key him in the exacta and trifecta.
#12 Bode Express (30/1) – He won’t be that price, but he’ll be on the lone lead and has the talent to take them all the way around if he can tick off favorable fractions. He was fractious last start and went too fast early, but his race two back and run behind Maximum Security as a 3-year-old show he has the talent.
#6 Higher Power (6/1) – He ran a very good 3rd in the BC Classic and there aren’t any Vino Rosso’s or Mckinzie’s in this field.
#10 Mucho Gusto (9/2) – The Conductor can’t toss him with his form against Maximum Security.
Glad to be back.
The Conductor doesn’t want a big day, he needs one. We will execute and we will thrive. Let’s Ride.
#11 Happy Music (8/1) – 2nd off the layoff this filly drops to the claiming ranks for the firt time and has been well bet vs tougher. She draws in as an MTO.
#2 True Prosperity (6/1) – She had a troubled trip last time and she gets back to a route today where she ran her best two back. She’ll run in the exacta at a nice number.
#6 Overheated (10/1) – This girl stretches out to a turf route for the first time and this group is very average. Rosario has hit with some big prices riding for Ray Handal recently.
#2 Tan and Tight (6/5) – Keep it tight, keep it light.
*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Abraxan (10/1) – She’s dropping to the claiming ranks for the first time and has run on turf and a sloppy track in her last two starts. Her form sprinting on a fast dirt track gives her every chance.
#9 Whatawonderflworld (9/2) – Dropping to her lowest career class level, she ran very well last time vs tougher and looks to get a good setup today with pace to run at.
#3 Chipolata (4/1) – This filly has the back class and figures to beat the favorite #2 Dream Passage (1/1) and will be a much better price. She’s also 1/1 over the Aqueduct surface.
#1 Maru (7/2) – She showed speed vs tougher in her debut and hung on for 3rd. She can run this group off their feet.
Swing in a miss yesterday, the Conductor is picking his spots carefully today. Let’s Ride,
#2 Southern Brigade (6/1) – He got cooked in a hot pace last time, so the Conductor will forgive him. His best race came at this distance three starts back and he gets a rider upgrade to Rosario today.
*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Overtime Olivia (20/1) – This mare is stepping up in class after a victory. She has strong early pace figures and looks to get a favorable trip in a sprint without much early pace. The Conductor will key her in the exact and trifecta.
The Conductor’s brain is too mushy to get complicated today. Keep it light and keep it tight! Let’s Ride.
#3 Newly Minted (7/2) – Classic early move into a hot pace last time and shortening in distance today. She’s a stone cold chilly lock and likely wont be the favorite.
Great capping yesterday by the Conductor. Let’s keep up the momentum with prices winning and running in the exacta. Hell of a Saturday to sit on the couch. Let’s Ride.
#5 Soul Kitchen (15/1) – She’s well bred for the lawn and trainer Jorge Abreu is 23% with a +$1.44 ROI with 1st time starters this year. Irad hops aboard for a barn he rarely rides for as well.
#12 Devoted Kitten (6/1) – The Conductor like this gelding’s maiden breaker last time out. Lezcano has won 4 of his last 5 mounts for Gargan
#3 Golden Brown (12/1) – Switching back to turf, it doesn’t matter what surface or distance he’s trying, he loves to win. This gelding has run well fresh and looks to get a nice trip sitting behind a hot pace today.
*Gullet Shot of the Day #11 Mystic Lancelot (6/1) – He ran huge in his debut win at Saratoga and is steadily progressing for Pletcher. This colt has faced stiff competition and has the most upside in this group.
#4 Mount Everest (15/1) – This is a simple race for the Conductor he’s against all the American runners besides Bricks and he thinks a few of the Euros will run well. The Conductor likes this boy’s steady progression.
*#5 Anthony Van Dyck (3/1) – The Conductor thinks he’s the most likely winner and he won’t be the favorite. His European form has been very strong and Aiden O’brien has him pointed for this spot. He’ll be the Conductor’s win bet.
#9 Bricks and Mortar (9/5) – He must be respected, he keeps answering the bell for Chad.
#10 Old Persian (4/1) – He’s another with strong form across the pond and his win at Woodbine last time caught the Conductor’s eye.
#9 Circus Maximus (3/1) and #11 Uni (7/2) – The Conductor is tightening up in this race. He loves Uni in this spot and thinks the only one that can beat he is this colt from across the pond. They are the two favorites, but the Conductor will not get cute here. Use these two and carry on with your Saturday.
#2 Sistercharlie (8/5) – The more the Conductor looks at this race, the more he can’t see her getting beat. He certainly won’t be using any of the American runners and its not the strongest European contingent. Winner of six Grade 1’s in a row she’ll be the singled on most of the Conductor’s tickets.
#9 Villa Marina (8/1) and #12 Fanny Logan (15/1) – These are the only two Europeans the Conductor will use as savers on a few tickets and will use with Sistercharlie in the exacta. Both are in good form and have upside.
#1 Living in the Past (15/1) – The Conductor didn’t like her finish last race.
#2 Croughavouke (20/1) – The west coast turf runners aren’t in this class.
#3 Shadn (10/1) – This filly has been very consistent across the pond and a good foundation. The Conductor won’t rule her out.
#4 Abscond (15/1) – She had a favorable trip last time up close to a slow pace. The Conductor doesn’t think she’s good enough.
#5 Daahyeh (5/1) – She’s the best of the Euros and is a definite contender with a good draw.
#6 Unforgetable (20/1) – The Conductor will forget about her.
*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Crystalle (8/1) – She looks to be the Conductor’s best bet on Friday’s card if we get anything close to that morning line. This girl ran a monster late pace figure closing into a slow pace and looks to get a much better setup in this one. With a solid draw and Rosario aboard, the Conductor is licking his chops.
#8 Tango (10/1) – This filly is a seasoned vet at this point and has faced quality competition in Europe. Her blowout victory last time caught the Conductor’s attention.
#9 Albigna (9/2) – Another European contender.
#10 Fair Maiden (12/1) – She’s the other American that intrigues the Conductor. She’s obliterated fields sprinting and will get a firm turf course for the first time Friday, which the Conductor expects her to appreciate.
#11 Sharing (12/1) – The Conductor can’t knock her too much, but he doesn’t think she can win from this post.
#12 Sweet Melania (5/1) – She’s been impressive in her young career, but the Conductor doesn’t like her in this spot. She has a wide draw and will be contesting a hot early pace. She’ll be over bet in the Conductor’s opinion.
#13 Selflessly (8/1) – She beat #7 Crystalle, who the Conductor likes best, last time but she doesn’t look to get as favorable a trip here and will be heavily bet from the Chad Brown barn.
#14 Etoile (12/1) – This filly has talent, but the Conductor will fade her from out there.