Tag: chad brown

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

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Two racehorses competing on the track at Belmont Park during a horse race event.

Solid Wednesday for the Conductor, as he handed out the 50/1 exacta in race 6 on a platter and his gullet shot of the day ran 2nd at 16/1 in race 3. If you couldn’t make money yesterday at Belmont, then the Conductor can’t help you. Start playing checkers or the violin. Let’s keep the train rolling, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.MC 50000

#2 Days of Spring (6/5) – She’s dropping to the claiming ranks for the 1st time and the race she’s exiting has come back live. There is nothing else to like in this field.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. Clm 14000n3L

#5 Gyoza (3/1) – He’s working well coming in off a layoff and looks to get a perfect trip from the outside.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) MC 50000

#5 Bail Out (3/5) – Chalk

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. S.MC 25000

#8 Sobersick N Sorry (6/1) – The Conductor is neither sober or sick and he will not apologize.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 35000n3L

#4 Clyde’s Runner (4/1) – He looks to get a perfect trip with a hot pace to close into.

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 50000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Lookn Fine as Wine (8/1) – This filly had a brutal trip in her Belmont debut. She switches to the dirt, adds blinkers, and Castellano takes the mount. Javier has only ridden twice for trainer Martin Carlos in the last two months and won both times.

Belmont park

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 40000s

#5 Dream Passage (3/5) – Nothing creative.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Clm 30000n2L

#7 Fotis (9/2) – The Conductor doesn’t like anybody in here, its him by default.

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Belmont Park

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Horses and jockeys racing out of the starting gate at Belmont Park, showcasing a competitive horse racing event.

Saturday was a compete gambling debacle. Nothing more, nothing less. A weaker man would suck his thumb and lay rotting in bed while reevaluating his decision making. It takes a real warrior to get up the following morning, drink a stew and prepare to fire away with both fists at Belmont. That’s why he is the Conductor and we are passengers. Never Surrender! Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. S.Clm 25000

#3 Summer Bourbon (4/1) – Mmmmhhmmmm bourbon.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.MC 40000

#9 Ghostly Beauty (8/1) – Moving into a higher % barn, her race at Belmont two back will give her every chance. Trainer David Duggan is 21% with a +$2.17 ROI this year 1st off the claim.

Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs. G2 Gallant Bloom Stakes

#3 Come Dancing (1/5) – Chalk

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.Mdn 75k

#1 My Happy Place (9/2) – The Conductor likes her steady progression and she’s bred to take to the furf just fine. The Conductor will be in his happy place today, his couch.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.OC 62500n2x

#5 Reversethedecision (2/1) – This filly ran some very strong pace figures last year. With maturity, she’ll be tough to beat.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 62k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Courted (6/1) – Trainer Jorge Abreau is 24% with a +$1.68 ROI with first time starters this year and this girls sire is winning at a 16% clip with debut runners. Castellano taking the mount also catches the Conductor’s eye.

belmont park

Race 7: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) S.Ashley T. Cole Stakes 125k

#3 Gucci Factor (5/2) – This gelding loves to win and Belmont Park.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. F.Alw 77000n1x

#1/1A Entry (7/2) – The Conductor thinks both Cannizzo’s runners have a major chance.

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.S. John Hettinger Stakes 125k

#7 Wegetsdamunnys (8/1) – #9 Fifty Five (6/5) will be tough to beat, but the Conductor will key around this girl. She ran a good 4th last time closing into a slow pace and will have every chance today with a more favorable setup.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) S.Alw 66000n1x

*Underneath Uppercut #6 Nutzforboltz (10/1) – He doesn’t like to win, but he should get a hot pace to close into and will be finishing late. The Conductor will key him underneath in the exacta and trifecta.

belmont park

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

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Large crowd of spectators gathered at a horse racing event, observing the race on the track.

Not a great Thursday for the Conductor, but that’s why there is Friday. This is by far the best betting card at Belmont thus far this week. Don’t think, just keep throwing. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 25000n3L

#2 Promise Me Roses (8/1) – You passengers don’t want roses, you just want the cash.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 32000

#6 Shimmering Moon (7/2) – 2nd off the layoff today, she made an early move into a hot pace last start. She’ll be ready to roll here.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. S.Bertram F. Bongard Stakes 150k

#2 Cleaon Jones (9/2) – He’s the best closer in the race and he should get a perfect trip with a hot pace to run at. The Conductor will key him in the exacta.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Alw 77000n1x

#7 Restructure (2/1) – She’s very logical.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) OC 622500n2x

#11 Aquaphobia (6/1) – 3rd off the layoff, he ran a strong late pace figure closing into a slow pace last time. With plenty of speed in this one, he should have every opportunity.

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 75k

#3 Comic (4/1) – This filly is posting bullet works at Belmont and trainer Rodolphe Brisset is 21% with a +$0.54 ROI this year with 2nd time starters. Jose Ortiz stays aboard as well.

Race 7: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) OC 100000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Devamani (9/2) – He got absolutely no pace to run at last time and has the best last kick in this group. He also gets back to his favorite distance today. The Conductor will hammer him at that morning line.

belmont park

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) S.Mdn 62k

Underneath Uppercut #4 Imperio D (15/1) – This colt showed good early speed in his debut in a race taken off the turf. The Conductor sees him taking a big step forward on the lawn, where Rudy Rod wanted him to start. He will key him in the exacta and tri.

belmont park

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Belmont Park

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Two women wearing colorful hats reading a program at a crowded outdoor event, surrounded by attendees in various outfits.

We couldn’t get the prices around him, but the Conductor’s best bet #2 Amundson got the job done at 5/2 at Belmont Park yesterday. There is nothing better than Sundays in the fall. Ponies and football, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6½ Furlongs. F.Clm 16000n2L

#6 Peggy Sue (9/5) – This is an incredibly weak group of fillies.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) S.MC 40000

#8 Alphastest (3/1) – This colt just missed at this level two back and looks to get a favorable trip today alone on the lead.

#9 Clear the Ramp (15/1) – He’s a bomb the Conductor can get into the trifecta.

Race 3: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) F.OC 100000n1x

#1 Chipolata (6/5) – This is bad betting race.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.S.MC 50000

#9 Top Hat Invasion (10/1) – This filly showed decent early speed vs tougher in her debut. She gets lasix today for the first time and is drawn well.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Clm 35000n3L

#1/1A Entry (1/1) – Servis looks tough to beat.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. Alw 77000n3x

#1 Off the Record (9/5) – Chalky.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Mdn 90k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Cardiff Cay (15/1) – This colt made a big early moved into hot pace in his debut. The no name trainer will keep his price high. The Conductor will key him in the trifecta.

belmont park

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. S.Mdn 62k

#4 Dream Bigger (3/5) – He’s going to be tough beat based on his debut.

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) S.OC 40000n2x

#2 Discretionary Marq (5/1) – This gelding set a hot pace and held on for a close 4th last time. He gets back to Belmont today where he is a different animal. He’s 5/8 over this turf course.

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) Clm 25000

#5 Fear (6/1) – Dropping in class, the Conductor will forgive this gelding’s last effort over a yielding turf course. He looks to get a good trip today forwardly placed and is tough as nails.

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

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A jockey riding a chestnut horse during the 2018 Belmont Stakes race at Belmont Park.

It’s finally Friday at Belmont, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 Mile. MC 30000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Other Things Equal (5/1) – Cutting back 2nd off the layoff and returning to dirt, the Conductor loves him here. He’ll be in good position early in a race without much pace and will be the Conductor’s best bet of the day at that price.

belmont

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) Mdn 62k

#5 Grudge (7/2) – The Conductor will never forgive.

Race 3: 1 Mile. F.S.Alw 66000n1x

#1 Nasty Affair (9/2) – She came from the clouds to nail them at the wire last start and ran a strong late pace figure. Trainer Linda Rice is a gaudy 40% this year with a +$1.13 ROI moving horses from a sprint to a route.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.S.Mdn 62k

#5 Strongerthanuknow (5/1) – She carried her speed a long way and had a troubled trip last time out. She’s also dropping back to the maiden ranks after facing stakes company.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 77000n2x

#3 Altea (2/1) – Chad Brown.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. S.MC 50000

#3 Imperioso (9/5) – This colt is posting bullet works at Belmont and was only 3k at auction so the Conductor doesn’t mind his debut for a tag.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.OC 100000

#5 Jc’s Shooting Star (8/5) – She’s the only runner in the field with a victory over this turf course and she has 3

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 50000n2L

#7 Scoreswhenhewants (5/1) – Dropping to the claiming ranks for the first time, this colt moved early into a hot pace last time and was a good 2nd. His breeding suggests he’ll be just fine on the grass.

The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Belmont Park

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A large crowd of people gathered at an outdoor event, with various clothing styles and accessories visible.

Not a great day at Belmont yesterday for the Conductor. His best opinion was #4 Lucky Ramsey running in the exacta at 12/1 in the finale. He likes a few bombs Wednesday as well.

Race 1: 1 Mile. Mdn 75k

#2 Ajaaweed (7/2) – This colt ran evenly in his debut and is stretching out for the first time. Kiaran McLaughlin trainees usually take big steps forward in their 2nd career start.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) Clm 35000n3L

#6 Carot (9/2) – Dropping back to the claiming ranks, this colt has very fast early pace figures and his race two back at this track and distance will give him every chance.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.S.MC 25000

#1/1A Entry – The Conductor likes both of these fillies.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 10000

#5 Tiz R Bella (6/5) – Chalk.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Clm 30000n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 True Prosperity (20/1) – Stretching out to a route and trying turf for the first time, this girl is steadily progressing. Trainer Rory Huston has won with bombs recently with this move. The Conductor will key her in the trifecta.

belmont park

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. F.S.OC 40000n2x

#1 Cartwheel (7/2) – She’s dropping in class at Belmont and shortening in distance after pressing a hot pace going longer. She looks to get a nice trip sitting behind a hot pace.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.OC 80000n2x

#6 Fierce Scarlett (4/5) – Chad chalk.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.S.Mdn 62k

#10 Amos (20/1) – Returning to a route and trying grass for the 1st time, she has good early speed and turf in her pedigree. Trainer Kelsey Danner is 2/10 with +$6.18 ROI this year moving runners to the lawn for the 1st time.

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Belmont Park

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A vine-covered building with large arched windows and a crowd of spectators seated in front, surrounded by greenery and trees.

Chalk fest at Belmont yesterday, which never suits the Conductor. Kentucky Downs also played as a turf highway, gate to wire all day. Let’s pray to the pony gods for a good end to the week. The first NFL Sunday, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) S.Mdn 62k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Hudson Overpass (8/1) – This boy has improved in every start and the Conductor likes the aggressive bump up in class. His early pace figures give him an edge here as well. The Conductor will key him in the exacta.

Belmont

Race 2: 1 Mile. F.Clm 16000n2L

#5 Movie Score (7/5) – Its tough to like any of these fillies.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) MC 40000

#6 Mo Fun (6/1) – He was bumped at the break, forced 5 wide, and still ran a good 4th in his debut at this level. The conductor likes his upside.

Race 4: 7 Furlongs. Clm 16000

#3 Javelin (9/2) – Dropping in class, his effort at Belmont two back will give him every chance.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) S.Mdn 62k

#9 Portfolio Hedge (3/1) – The conductor never hedges.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.Alw 66000n1x

#3 Matzo Bella (8/5) – Servis looks tough to beat.

Race 7: 1 Mile. F.Mdn 75k

#1 Abilene Trail (8/5) – She ran a figure well above par in her debut sprinting. Her even pace figures tell the Conductor she’ll appreciate the stretchout.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) 100K Allied Forces Stakes

#2 Uncle Benny (4/1) – He stumbled bad in his return to the races last start and didn’t do much running. He’s the most talented runner in the field and that would be a delicious price.

#3 No Bang No Boom (5/1) – The Conductor can see him wiring this field.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Clm 25000

#4 Lucky Ramsey (8/1) – This gelding is coming in off a year layoff but is a hard knocker and loves the track and distance. Most importantly he looks to get a perfect setup today, with a hot pace to close into.

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

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A horse with a jockey in red and white polka dots racing ahead at the Belmont Derby 2019.

The races getting taken off the turf last minute displeased the Conductor yesterday. We’re on the turf today at Belmont and the Conductor cannot wait to sink into his couch and stare at screens for the next 48 hours. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.S.Alw 66000n1x

#1 Girl of Tosconova (6/1) – Making her 1st start of the year, she was thrust into Grade 2 competition in her 3rd career last winter. With natural maturity as a 3-year-old, she can improve mightily today. The odds on favorite #2 Cash Offer (3/5) will have early pace pressure to contend with.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.S.MC 40000

#5 Cape Cod Diva (6/5) – Dropping to the maiden claiming ranks for the first time against a heinous field, she’s an absolute cinch.

Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 40000

#2 Happy Form (7/5) – A two horse race on paper, the Conductor leans towards the Servis runner.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) MC 40000

#3 Crypto Gold (3/1) – 2nd off the claim for Linda Rice, she’s 37% with a +$0.78 ROI this year with runners 2nd out.

#1 Highway Flyer (6/1) – He had a brutal trip last time. The Conductor likes his upside at a decent price.

Race 5: 6½ Furlongs. Mdn 75k

#1 Hemlock (3/1) – He went off favored for Mott in his debut, who doesn’t get his 1st timers cranked. The Conductor thinks there is a lot more under the hood.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Alw 50000s

#4 Take Charge Tina (10/1) – This filly was much improved on the turf two back and returns to the lawn 1st off the claim today. The Conductor will key her in the exacta and trifecta.

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) Alw 77000n1x

*Double Barreled Buckshot #6 Lonhtwist (6/1) – This colt is progressing and has run well every time sprinting on turf. The Conductor sees him going off at and even bigger price with low % connections.

#9 Quarky (4/1) – He has a major early pace edge over this group and has a chance to wire them.

Belmont

Race 8: 1½ Mile. Grand Prix American Jockey Club Invitational Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Highland Sky (8/1) – He didn’t beat much in his blowout off the turf win at Belmont last start, but the Conductor loved the way he traveled over the surface. He’s faced tougher turf fields most of his career and the Conductor will hammer him if he’s close to that morning line.

Belmont

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) F.Jockey Club Oaks Invitational Stakes

#6 Wonderment (7/2) – The Conductor likes her European form and this distance should hit her right between the eyes.

Race 10: 1½ Mile. (Turf) Jockey Club Derby Invitational Stakes

#9 Spanish Mission (3/1) – This isn’t the strongest group of American runners and the Conductor is going to try to beat Chad Brown here. This boy has very strong form vs tougher across the pond. The Conductor will also use the Euro shippers #4 Pedro Cara (12/1) and #5 San Huberto (10/1).

Race 11: 7 Furlongs. S.MC 25000

#1 Champagne Chills (8/5) – He’s the logical choice, if he doesn’t win at Belmont you could see a bomb in here. The Conductor doesn’t have a strong opinion here.

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

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A thrilling horse race at Belmont Park with a leading horse and a cheering crowd in the background, showcasing the excitement of equestrian sports.

Green Bay +155 made the Conductor a happy man last night, but he’ll never get that 3 hours back of his life. What a brutal game to watch. Belmont Park racing has returned and its time to head into the weekend with train gaining speed. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 Mile. S.Alw 66000n1x

#1 Bebe Banker (20/1) – She ran an even 4th at this level at Saratoga last start and will closer to the lead today in a race whatsoever. The Conductor sees him hitting the board at a big price.

#6 Red Zinger (7/2) – Returning to dirt and stretching out to a route, he’s the Conductor’s top pick in here. He has a major early pace advantage over this field.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.Mdn 62k

#1A Strongerthanuknow (5/2) – Her early speed gives her a major edge against this group.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. F.S.Clm 25000

#7 First Forevor (6/1) – 1st off the claim for a red hot Englehart barn, she looks to get a favorable trip on or near a slow pace.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) Mdn 75k

#8 Imperial Moment (9/2) – Bred well for the grass, the Conductor likes his work tab and bullet August 17. Castellano rarely rides for Mott, which also catches the Conductor’s eye.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.OC 40000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Stonefactor (12/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she’s 1/1 at Belmont and it came at this distance. She set a hot pace last time and ran well to hang on for 3rd. She’s very dangerous on the early lead and she should get it again today.

belmont park

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Mdn 75k

#2 Stand for the Flag (6/5) – She ran an extremely strong late pace figure last time at Belmont Par, closing into a slow pace. She’ll like the added distance.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) Christiecat Stakes 100k

#5 Dancing Vega (5/1), #7 Turf War (10/1) – Whenever Chad has two runners that aren’t favorites, one of them wins.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.S.Mdn 62k

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Stew Lock of the Day #9 Astoria Kitten (7/2) – Heavily favored in her debut, she hit the gate at the start and moved early into a hot pace. The Conductor sees a monster effort coming today.

belmont park

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Saratoga

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Saratoga Picks

Two more racing days left at Saratoga. Bitter sweet, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Mdn 75k

#4 Bahamian Prince (6/1) – 1st off the claim for George Weaver, he moves to turf where this gelding is bred to improve. He was favored in his debut on dirt and ran decent, pressing a hot pace.

Race 2: 7 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

#2 Elegant Rose (7/5) – Chalk

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. Clm 25000n2L

#6 Laughing Manners (6/1) – His early pace figures give him an advantage over this group.

Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Alw 92000n1x

#9 Honey I’m Good (8/1) – Returning to the races off a long layoff, she ran competitive figures for this level on dirt as a two-year-old. With natural progression she is very dangerous, and she has turf in her pedigree.

Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs. MC 50000

#10 Bobbyfromthepalm (4/1) – This colt is working well for strong connections and this race is wide open. The Conductor likes that he was only 50k at auction, so he can be well spotted.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. Clm 32000

#6 Always Forgiven (8/5) – The Conductor never forgives.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 90k

#3 Bridal Path (6/1) – She lunged at the start in her debut and made a middle move before flattening out late. The Conductor sees her taking a big step forward today.

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. F.Mdn 90k

#2 Orsay (3/1) – This daughter of American Pharoah was 1.2 million at auction and is working well for Chad.

Race 9: 1 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Clm 75000

#3 Connectivity (5/2) – She looks to get a perfect trip, with a hot pace up front to close into.

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. F.Alw 50000s

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Olive Kat (6/1) – She set a blistering pace in the mud at this level last time and posted a bullet last work. She’ll appreciate the shorter distance today.

Saratoga

Race 11: 7 Furlongs. F. G1 Spinaway Stakes

#7 Shippy (9/2) – Drawn well to the outside, the Conductor liked this girl’s grit last time at Saratoga. 9/2 would be an absolute joke.

Race 12: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) S.Alw 80000n1x

#5 Opt (7/2) – He ran a good 2nd behind a next out winner this last start. This is a very weak field and the Conductor is against the Chad Brown runner in this spot.