Tag: jenny wiley stakes

Keeneland Saturday Picks — April 12, 2025 | Best Bets & Turf Racing Analysis

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A group of horses racing at Keeneland, with jockeys in colorful silks and a crowd in the background.

A 3rd and 4th behind the chalk Friday at Keeneland. The Conductor thinks the prices on the lawn will come home today. The sun is out and we have the first beautiful Saturday of the meet. Let’s Ride.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 120000n1x

#1 Forty N Five (12/1) – The more the Conductor looks at this race, the more he likes this horse at a price. He showed ability on turf last year and the barn had the confidence in him to try him in a Grade 1. He returned off the bench sprinting on dirt last time, and ran a solid 2nd. That race was a clear prep for this spot and he looks primed to run a career best today switching back to the lawn. Forty N Five looks to get a favorable trip too, with the favorites drawn to the outside.

Race 9: 1 1/16 G3 Stonestreet Lexington Stakes

#3 Bullard (9/2) – This colt has shown by far the most talent in this field. He blew by some strong Baffert runners this summer over a Del Mar track the was very speed biased. He stretches out for the first time today and his breeding suggests the added distance will only help him. Bullard will be the key to the Conductor’s Saturday.

Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F. G1 Jenny Wiley Stakes

#8 Sacred Wish (8/1) – The European invaders will take the most money in this race, but the Conductor thinks two American prices have a shot. Sacred Wish is in career best form. After winning a Grade 1 in Santa Anita two back, she was finishing best last time against a frontrunner flow. There will be pace to run at in this race and the Conductor thinks she’s a bit underrated.

#9 No Show Sammy Jo (15/1) – This mare was ultra impressive last year, answering every challenge at multiple distances and race tracks. She is working well off the bench and has yet to run a bad race in her career. This isn’t the strongest group of Europeans the Conductor has seen and thinks she stacks up if she fires her best.

Race 11: 7 Furlongs. F.Alw 50000s

#2 Autumn Rhythm (8/1) – This filly will be less than 8/1, but has a clear inside speed advantage over this field. The way this Keeneland dirt track has been playing, the Conductor sees her stealing this race on the front end. Gate to wire.

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Keeneland Saturday Picks — April 15, 2023 | Best Bets & Full Card Handicapping

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Crowd at a Kentucky Wildcats tailgate event with people socializing and enjoying drinks under a tent.

0/3 Friday brought the train to a screeching halt. We’ll let Keeneland have win one round, but that’s it. Back to domination today when the pools are the fattest. Start shoveling. Skip.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. Alw 110000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Tepeu (9/2) – This 1st time gelding showed talent last summer when they switched him over to dirt. He’s working well entering today and should take a step forward in his first start as a 4-year-old. Any improvement will make him tough to beat and we should get a fair price with this contentious field. The Conductor will happily bet against the favorite #1 Barber Road (5/2), who loves to settle for 2nd and 3rd.

keeneland

Race 8: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Giant’s Causeway Stakes

#5 Amy C (6/1) – This turf sprint is going to have a scorching pace and the Conductor is looking for a closer. The Conductor loves the versatility this mare has shown in her career. She’s won over synthetic, routing on turf and sprinting down the hill at Santa Anita. She has enough early speed to keep in touch with this field and will be flying late.

#7 Opening Buzz (15/1) – This filly also has a strong late punch and she’s 5/7 sprinting on turf and synthetic. Her fastest race came sprinting at 5 furlongs at Del Mar on the grass, so the Conductor likes the surface switch. She looks to get a perfect trip and will be a juicy number.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. G3 Stonestreet Lexington Stakes

#6 Disarm (7/2) – The Conductor thinks we’ll get a fair 7/2 on this colt and he’s by far the most likely winner.  His 2nd in the Louisiana Derby was much better than it looks on paper. He closed strongly into a slow pace and against a track that was favoring speed.

Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 Jenny Wiley Stakes

#2 In Italian (7/5) – While #3 Queen Goddess (4/1) and #5 With The Moonlight (5/2) pose legitimate threats, the Conductor has to eat chalk and trust her early pace edge. She ran too good too lose in last year’s Breeders’ Cup over this Keeneland turf course and Tuesday isn’t in this field.

Race 11: 6½ Furlongs. F.OC 80000n2x

#9 My Kentucky Girl (10/1) – All four of this filly’s races on a fast dirt track give her a chance to win this race. She is the best closer in the field and there will be plenty of pace in front of her to run at. In her only start at Keeneland vs similar, she dominated at 7/1.

#1 Your So Sillea (20/1) – The Conductor has to mention this girl as well. She exits the same synthetic race as My Kentucky Girl, where she ran very well despite a troubled trip. She also has past dirt form that makes her competitive at this level and a win over this Keeneland surface.