Tag: keeneland picks

The Conductor’s Closing Day Plays at Keeneland

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Horses and jockeys lined up at the starting gate at Keeneland Racecourse during a race.

Closing day at Keeneland, opening day at Belmont. The train will stay in the bluegrass for one more slumber then will be stationed at big sandy for the meet moving forward.  From now thru Saratoga is horse racing heaven.  Let’s change our silly little lives. Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. Clm 40000b

#1/1A Entry (9/2) – The Conductor like both of the Presque Isle shippers, he’ll take either if one scratches.

Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Alw 50000s

#6 Change of Control (5/2) – 2nd off the layoff, she has an early pace edge and is steadily improving.

Race 3: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 79k

#7 Scattered Strikes (5/2) – He’s the one to beat after dueling in his debut on a scorching pace and hanging on for 3rd. #10 Sandy Lane Kitten (12/1) is a price horse the Conductor likes.

Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs. Alw 50000s

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Free Stews Lock of the Day #2 West Texas (2/1) – 3rd behind two next out winners last start, she’ll handle this group.

Keeneland

Race 5: 1 3/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 79k

#7 Passionof the Nile (4/1) – This filly was well bet in her debut, was very wide and only beaten 2 lengths closing into a slow pace. Easy bet back.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. Alw 81000n1x

#6 Uber Kick (8/1) – 3rd off the layoff, he ran a good 2nd at this level last start and the Conductor sees him taking another step forward.

Race 7: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Alw 81000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Crafty Daddy (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he’s steadily progressing for top connections.

Keeneland

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 100000n3L

#3 Lady T N T (5/2) – 3rd off the layoff, she looks to run her best today.

Race 9: 1 ½ Mile. (Turf) F.G3 Bewitch Stakes

#7 Maroubra (5/1) – The Conductor liked her late kick, closing into a slow pace last start. 2nd off the layoff, she’ll be even better.

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 40000

#2 Baladera (8/1) – She just missed at this level last start in her 1st try on the Keeneland dirt. 2nd off the layoff, she has a big chance.

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

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Three thoroughbred horses racing on a dirt track with jockeys in colorful silks during a horse race.

Only 9 more sleeps until the Derby, Keeneland time, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 3/16. (Turf) F.Alw 81000n1x

#5 Darling Vera (8/1) – She was very impressive in her maiden breaker closing from the clouds into a moderate pace. Her late pace figures give her a chance even though she’s taking on winners for the first time.

Race 2: 1 Mile. F.OC 80000n3x

*Never a Doubt Friday Eve Lock of the Day #4 Jala Jala (7/5) – The Conductor liked her in a stakes race that he can’t remember the name of that she scratched out of last week. This field is much weaker.

Keeneland

Race 3: 1 ½ Miles. (Turf) Alw 81000n1x

#7 Kurlin Rock (4/5) – Chalk.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. MC 20000

#5 Strafford (15/1) – None of the runners with experience have run a figure even close to par for this level.  Trainer Lee Thomas can surprise with debut runners.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 81000n1x

#5 Lessons From Avery (7/2) – With lots of speed signed on in here, she looks to get a perfect stalking trip.

Race 6: 4 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 60k

#1 Johnny Unleashed (8/1) – He showed real early gas in his debut, he’ll be more fit today.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 85000b

#4 Sensitive (2/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she looks ultra-tough to beat.

Race 8: 4 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 60k

#6 Apple Empire (8/1) – His dam has produced a ridiculous 10 winners from 11 starters and two stakes winners.  This colt is also posting bullet works at Keeneland.

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 79k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Oxburger (10/1) – This son of tapit was well bet in his debut and had a troubled start.  He’ll be a nice price and has a lot of upside.

Keeneland

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday at Keeneland

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Horses racing at Keeneland Racecourse with a large crowd watching the event.

The final wind pipe whack Wednesday at Keeneland is upon us. Sad yes, but we can’t get too down with the Triple Crown season right around the corner.  Let’s rob Keeneland blind, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/8 Mile. OClm 10000

*Never a Doubt Hump Day Lock #3 Strut The Ring (2/1) – He’s clearly the one to beat in the Conductor’s eyes. Struuuuut.

Keeneland

Race 2: 1½ Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 81000n1x

#5 Cured by Kitten (5/2) – Chalk again.

Race 3: 4½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 60k

#11 Anna’s Fast (2/1) – This 470k Wesley Ward trainee will certainly blow them away.

Race 4: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 79k

#6 Miss Rombauer (6/1) – She was well bet in her debut at Saratoga and had a troubled trip. Now she adds blinkers today and is also bred to be a good one.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. Clm 40000n2L

#4 Psychoanalyze (8/1) – He’s coming off a long layoff, but has strong back class and early speed in a race completely devoid of pace.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 79k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Keepme in Thegame (10/1) – 435k at auction, she’s bred for the lawn for top connections. The Conductor also doesn’t like the runners with experience in here.

Keeneland

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. Mdn 79k

#8 Cavaradossi (9/2) – Stretching out 2nd off the layoff, her lone race at Keeneland was also his best and would beat this group.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 81000n1x

#1A Vegas Kitten (4/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she was hung wide and closed well into a slow pace. Additionally, Rosario is also red hot in the irons.

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Play at Keeneland

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There wasn’t much good yesterday at Keeneland after the lock got home. We need prices Conductor! Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. MC 30000

#4 Lovesomuch (9/2) – Not much to like in this group, he has upside switching back to dirt.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 20000n2L

#4 Tally Ho (3/1) – She looks like a standout.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. F.MC 20000

#5 Hassle (20/1) – She has early speed in a race devoid of pace and this group is weak.

Race 4: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Alw 85000n3x

#4 Shahroze (3/1) – He’s getting better with every start and was very impressive in win last out.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 40000n2L

#4 Hoptown Honey (12/1) – Her figures fit and she loves to hit the board. The Conductor will key her underneath in the exacta and tri.

Race 6: 1 1/8 Mile. Clm 20000n2L

#2 Hollywood Strike (5/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he’s another one that doesn’t like to win but a great key underneath with a sprinkle on top.

Race 7: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Alw 83000n2x

#1 Closer Still (8/1) – This girl will go guns blazing on the front end. Hoooolllldddd!!!!!

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. OC 75000n1x

#10 Distant Shore (4/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he’s working well and getting better with each start.

Race 9: 1½ Mile. (Turf) G2 Dixiana Elkhorn Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Tiz a Slam (15/1) – He got in great form last summer and has big races to run back to.  The Conductor wants him on the lead.

keeneland

Race 10: 6½ Furlongs. Mdn 79k

*Never a Doubt Chad Brown Lock #1 Highest Honors (3/1) – Word on the street at Keeneland is that he’s the goods.

keeneland

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

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Horses racing on a turf track with jockeys in colorful silks during a competition.

The Conductor got all of his losers out of the way yesterday. Great strategy before the weekend at Keeneland. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 7 Furlongs. OClm 10000

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Bottle Service Lock of the Day #3 Turner Time (2/1) – He’s got an early pace edge over this group.  The Conductor’s pick 5 single.

Keeneland

Race 2: 1„ Mile. F.Mdn 79k

#1A Temperit (6/1) – She closed into a slow pace for a good 2nd last time. She graduates today.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 75000n1x

#6 Into Mystic (4/1) – Making her 1st start of the year, she showed talent in her first two starts. She’s working like she’s ready to roll.

Race 4: 7 Furlongs. F.MC 20000

#1 Out Til Dawn (4/1) – The Conductor was out until dawn last night, it was Thursday.

Race 5: 6½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 79k

#9 Better Biz (12/1) – Her sire wins at an 18% clip with first timers and she’s working well.

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Alw 83000n2x

#3 Johnny Obvious (8/1) – The speed of the speed.

Race 7: 6½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 79k

#8 Twelve Monarchs (20/1) – The Conductor doesn’t care about the low % connections at a big price.  She ran well on debut and is cutting back.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 85000n3x

#1 Munchkin Money (4/1) – This filly is versatile and in good form.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. F.G3 Hilliard Lyons-Baird Doubledogdare Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Jala Jala (6/1) – Her race two back at Keeneland gives her a chance to take down #2 Blue Prize (5/2). She’ll love stretching back out to a route.

Keeneland

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 79k

#5 Job Security (12/1) – 700k at auction, the Conductor will bet he has ability.

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

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A large crowd of people gathered in a park area surrounded by flowering trees.

Only two short priced winners yesterday wasn’t what the Conductor ordered to start the week at Keeneland. Nothin throat shot Thursday can’t fix. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 50000n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Trapper Peak (10/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he just missed last start and will be more fit today.  He showed talent in his debut.

Race 2: 4 1/2 Furlongs. Mdn 60k

#5 Snake River Ward (5/2) – The Conductor will use the two Wesley Ward 1st time starters and toss Pletcher.

Race 3: 1 ½ Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 83000n2x

#1 Room to Finish (5/1) – This filly is drawn well to the inside and has yet to run out of the exacta in his young career.

Race 4: 7 Furlongs. MC 20000

#10 Hart Hall (12/1) – The Conductor doesn’t like anyone with experience in this field. Trainer Danny Gargan is 4/11 with a +$0.67 ROI debuting maiden claimers this year.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 81000n2x

#2 Ebullient (3/1) – She looks best on paper and Johnny V is hot in the irons.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 100000

#4 Bourbon Girl (10/1) – This filly showed ability in her debut, then lost all chance at the start last time. She can surprise this field at a big number.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Clm 20000n2L

#7 So Aristocratic (3/1) – This filly will get a favorable trip leading a slow pace.

Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) Alw 81000n1x

#5 Get Western (4/1) – Dropping out of stakes company, this gelding has serious early pace figures.

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. MC 20000

*Never a Doubt Closing Leg Lock of the Day #7 Ogre’s Cat (6/1) – Cutting back to a sprint after setting a hot pace going longer, the Conductor will hammer him at that price.

Keeneland

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday at Keeneland

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A group of jockeys riding horses during a race at a crowded racetrack.

Getting quality racing on Wednesdays make the Conductor’s life so much better. Keeneland time, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6½ Furlongs. F.OClm 20000

#4 Trusty Roll (5/1) – Going 45’ flat to the half at Parx last start is serious speed.  She scan scamper away on the front end and make the heavy favorite #5 Honey Bunny (4/5) run her down.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. F.OClm 10000

*Never a Doubt Hump Day Lock #3 Picasso Moon (3/1) – In a race without much pace, she’ll get a nice trip on or near the lead.

Keeneland

Race 3: 4 ½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 60k

#2 Chili Petin (2/1) – Wesley Ward and Johnny V in a baby sprint, carry on.

Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Alw 81000n1x

#7 Tap Tap Taparoo (3/1) – She broke last in her previous start and still just missed.  Her maiden breaker at Saratoga was very impressive.

Race 5: 4 ½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 60k

#4 Diamonds Are A (8/1) – 120k at the Keeneland sale, she has a steady work tab and Luiz Saez is hot in the irons.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 79k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Higher Authority (15/1) – Setting a hot pace in her first try on grass last start, she dug in and was only beaten 1 ½ lengths.  The Conductor is praying his price stays high.

Race 7: 1 Mile. Clm 50000

#5 Tiznoble (3/1) – He’s in great form and is 3/5 at the distance.

Race 8: 1 1/2. (Turf) Alw 83000n2x

#7 Take That for Data (8/1) – He’s steadily progressing and gets stronger the further they go.

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

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Let’s keep the train rolling at Keeneland. Let’s Ride

 

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 40000n2L

#5 Three Twins (8/1) – He dominated a 12-horse field last start and is bred to be better on the grass.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.OClm 10000

#9 Kalispell (5/1) – Winner of 3 of her last 4 starts, she got cooked setting a hot pace going a mile last start. She’ll be tough on the cutback.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

#7 Yes I’s a Miller (6/1) – She just missed in her debut and showed good fight.  Going 22 flat on synthetic is very quick.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 81000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Bluegrass (8/1) – Dropping out of stakes company, his was only beaten a length last time closing into a slow pace. He has a thunderous late kick.

Keeneland

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. Mdn 79k

#9 Unicorn (4/1) – He made an early move into a scorching pace last race.  He takes the blinkers off today.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. OC 80000n3x

#1 Copper Town (2/1) – Cutting back to a sprint, he’ll put on a show.

Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Limestone Turf Sprint

#10 Stillwater Cove (5/1) – She’s had legitimate excuses in her last two, she has the most talent in the field.

Race 8: 1 Mile. OC 62500n2x

#4 Telekinesis (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he made an early move into a hot pace last time. The Conductor loves him.

Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 Maker’s Mark Mile

*Never a Doubt Stew Lock of the Day #4 Delta Prince (7/2) – Grade 1 stakes race on a Friday? What a treat. Getting back to his best distance, the Conductor loved his effort in the Pegasus turf, making a big early move into a hot pace.  Afterwards, the Conductor can’t wait to celebrate his victory tonight.

Keeneland

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 79k

#10 Sail On (5/1) – Favored in her Keeneland debut, she was bumped at the break and still showed good early speed. She’s also bred to be a good one.

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

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Horses and jockeys lined up at the starting gate at Keeneland Racecourse during a race.

Only the 3/5 lock hit for the Conductor yesterday at Keeneland.  That’s never a good. Inside speed was dominant on the dirt and speed held on the turf too, something to keep an eye on moving forward.  There was lots of rain last night in Lexington, so the Conductor believes the undercard will be off the turf.  With a monster Saturday of racing ahead of us, we need to build our bankroll. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. F.MC 30000

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Bottle Service Lock of the Day #7 Resurrection Road (7/2) – 2nd off the layoff he’s lightly raced and steadily progressing.

Keeneland

Race 2: 4 ½ Furlongs. Man 60k

#6 Main Squeeze (7/2) – His dam is 3/3 producing winners and Wesley Ward is dominant in these baby races.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. F.Mdn 79k

#1 Amos (8/1) – The rail was golden yesterday and the Conductor is intrigued that Jose Ortiz is taking the mount for a smaller barn.

Race 4: 1 Mile. (OFF TURF) F.Alw 83000n2x

#2 Oh My (6/1) – Both of her wins have been in races taken off the grass and she has good early speed.

Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 20000n2L

#3 Soul of Discretion (8/1) – Only 1/19 lifetime, the Conductor will use this boy mostly underneath in the exscta and trifecta. He’ll be on the early lead and has an early pace edge.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. F.Mdn 79k

#7 Blip Says Bye (8/1) – She’s working well, her sire hits at 19% with 1st time starters and her dam has produced a stakes winner.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (OFF TURF) Alw 87000b

#1A Don’t Be So Salty (20/1) – 3rd off the layoff, the Conductor loves this boy on the main track. He has blazing early speed and loves to win.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. OC 75000n1x

#3 High Cime (6/1) – Pressing a hot pace vs G3 company last start, he still hung on for a good 4th. The Conductor likes the stretch out in distance.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) G3 Transylvania Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 The Black Album (10/1) – Drawn well to the inside, he’s run well with some cut in the ground. Additionally, he ran decent against miles tougher in the Breeders Cup last start.

Keeneland

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. Alw 81000n1x

#2 Chaps (12/1) – His early pace figures are overwhelmingly fast.

Throat Shot Thursday at Keeneland

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A large group of people posing together outdoors, some holding drinks and making gestures.

Opening day at Keeneland, the most beautiful place the Conductor’s eyes have ever seen. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 4½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 60k

#4 Quality H Two O (6/1) – Three sharp works for a barn that can surprise with 1st time starters. Trainer Teresa Connelly is 14% with a +1.15 ROI debuting runners this year.

Race 2: 7 Furlongs. F.OC 20000

*Never a Doubt Opening Day Lock #3 Honey Bunny (6/5) – They won’t beat her.

Keeneland

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. MC 30000

#3 Watch Cairo (8/1) – Stretching out for the 1st time, he’s lightly raced and has been well bet in his starts. He’s adding blinkers today and has also been clipped.

Race 4: 6½ Furlongs. OClm 10000

#3 Zaevion (5/1) – 2nd of the layoff, he won well last start and winning was no easy task at Oaklawn this meet.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 83000n2x

#5 Frankincense (20/1) – Steadily progressing and a winner of two in a row, he’s run even better than it looks closing into slow paces.  The Conductor will key him in the trifecta.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. F.OC 75000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Mo Gayle (12/1) – Any winner on debut for Dallas Stewart has talent.  Stretching out today after two sprints, the Conductor loves her.

Keeneland

Race 7: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Palisades Turf Sprint Stakes

#11 Strike Silver (12/1) – He had a brutal trip in the BC Juvenile trip last start. His win at Keeneland two back made the Conductor a fan for life.

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. F.Clm 20000n2L

#8 Tally Ho (4/1) – She showed guts last race winning a gutter war stretch duel.