Tag: keeneland picks

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

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A group of racehorses with jockeys in colorful silks competing on a dirt racetrack.

The Conductor’s head hurts this morning very much. That always leads to a day filled with winners at Keeneland. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. MC 15000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Wrath (8/1) – He set a wicked pace vs tougher last start and he’ll be more fit today 2nd off the bench.

keeneland

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 16000

#2 Cowboy Rhythm (5/2) – Nothing creative here.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. OC 100000n2x

#6 En Wye Cee (4/1) – This colt’s debut win at Saratoga got the Conductor’s attention. He could be a good one.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 50000

#3 Zabava (5/2) – She’s well drawn and looks to get a favorable trip.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 50000

#1A Ashley’s New Shoes (5/1) – Ashley will get her new footwear today and the Conductor will get a new house.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. F.MC 150000

#6 Raggedy Annie (5/1) – Throw out her last effort on turf, she’s dropping in class and will improve returning to dirt.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 73000n1x

#5 Bizzee Channel (8/1) – Stretching out after a good 2nd against a quality field, he looks to get a favorable trip on or near the lead. There is not a lot of pace signed on in here.

Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 71k

#9 Young Phillip (7/2) – Drawn well to the outside, he ran very well last time cutting out hot fractions. He’ll graduate today.

Race 9: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) Buffalo Trace Franklin County Stakes 150k

#11 Girls Know Best (6/1) – Her opinion is up for debate, but her early pace figures are not. Her early speed makes her very dangerous.

Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 7500

#1 Satellite (4/1) – This gelding returned to form at Keeneland last start and the Conductor sees him running a similar effort.

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

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A thrilling horse race featuring multiple jockeys in colorful silks on a dirt track, with a large crowd in the background.

Nothing you can do but hop back in the train and keep chugging along the rails at Keeneland. Let’s Ride

 

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 7500

#7 Served Cold (4/1) – She took a step forward last time and the Conductor sees her continuing her progression.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 71k

#3 Keepme in Thegame (7/2) – She adds blinkers today, which should help her be for forwardly placed. She’s run some extremely strong late pace figures.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Clm 30000

#5 Blunt Force (5/2) – She’s best and looks to get a good trip.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 15000

#9 Starvana (6/1) – Dropping back to the claiming ranks, the Conductor sees her taking a big step forward 2nd off the layoff.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 73000n2x

#5 Thanks Be (3/1) – Chad Brown.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. MC 150000

*Atom Bomb Shot of the Day #4 Jerzees One (20/1) – Only 15k at auction, the Conductor likes that this colt is debuting for this much money and that Rosario takes the mount for a barn he never rides for. He’s also working well.

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Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 73000n2x

#6 Dabinett (3/1) – Chad Brown.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. Clm 25000

#12 Drunken Fridays (12/1) – Nothing like a barrel of stew to start the weekend.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 80000b

#3 Sacred Life (5/2) – The Conductor sees her as a single against this field.

Race 10: 7 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 It’s a Ford (6/1) – Dropping in class and cutting back in distance after pressing the pace last time at Keeneland, the Conductor loves her here.

keeneland

The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Keeneland

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A group of racehorses with jockeys in colorful silks competing on a dirt racetrack.

Elate let us down yesterday in the late pick 5 at Keeneland, in a sequence that the Conductor otherwise saw perfectly. Never too early to prep for Wednesday.

Race 1: 1 1/8 Mile. Clm 30000n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Treasure Trove (6/1) – Switching back to dirt 3rd off the layoff, this boy is also a 1st time gelding. Trainer Kellyn Gorder is adept with this move, being 28% with a +$0.29 ROI switching runners from turf to dirt this year.

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Race 2: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 71k

#3 Shared Legacy (6/1) – This colt bobbled at the start and pressed a hot pace last time and still ran well. He should step forward and appreciate the shorter distance here.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. Clm 50000n3L

#6 Senor Jobim (5/1) – The Conductor sees him rounding back to a peak effort.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 20000

#4 Dreaming Diamonds (4/1) – This filly stepped forward last start and the Conductor sees her continuing the progression.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 71k

#2 Ramsey Solution (4/1) – This colt is bred to be a good one and the Conductor doesn’t like the runners with experience in this group.

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs. Alw 73000n1x

#9 Breaking News (15/1) – #4 Honest Mischief (1/1) looks tough to beat, but the Conductor likes this colt to hit the board at a big price. 2nd off the layoff, he ran a monster late pace figure in his return to the races last start. The Conductor will key him in the exacta and tri.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.G2 JP Morgan Chase Jessamine Stakes

#9 Diamond Sparkles (6/1) – This filly ran very well last time vs Grade 1 company closing into a slow pace. She looks to get a much better setup in here with a hot pace to run at. Anywhere close to 6/1 would be glorious.

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. MC 30000

#12 New York Style (9/2) – The only concern is the post at Keeneland.

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

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A large crowd gathered at a horse racing event, with spectators enjoying the races and horses on the track under a blue sky.

The Conductor couldn’t see the ball at Keeneland on opening day, but he learned a few things with his scars. Its a great Saturday of racing ahead of us. The Conductor loves the card, prices everywhere. Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 71k

#6 Miss Imperfection (15/1) – This filly’s work tab screams to the Conductor that she’s ready to roll and her sire wins at a 16% clip with 1st time starters. Trainer Kellyn Gorder has a positive ROI this year with debut runners as well.

Race 2: 1 Mile. F.OC 80000b

#6 Whoa Nellie (4/1) – This filly looks to get a perfect trip, stalking a hot pace and swooping on the turn.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. OC 62500n2x

#6 Major Cabbie (10/1) – Throw out his last race on turf, his two dirt efforts in the Miller barn give him every chance. He’s working well leading up to this one.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. Mdn 71k

#3 Portos (4/1) – This colt closed into a tepid pace and ran a huge late pace figure in his debut. The Conductor would love 4/1.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. OC 75000n2L

#7 Peruvian Boy (8/1) – He’s faced the toughest competition in the field and the Conductor sees him in a great spot when they turn from home. His works suggest he’s on the improve.

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) G2 Woodford Stakes

#3 Imprimis (2/1) – With a clean trip he towers over this field.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.G2 Thoroughbred Club of America Stakes

#4 Danuska’s My Girl (6/1) – West coast shippers are always dangerous in dirt sprints at Keeneland. This girl is also steadily progressing and has a major chance to wire this field.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 First Lady Stakes

#7 Indian Blessing (12/1) – There is an abundance of pace signed on in here and this mare looks to get a nice setup. She’s hit the board in every start in America and the Conductor will key her in the exacta and trifecta. The Conductor certainly sees #4 Uni (4/1) as the likeliest winner.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. G1 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity

#5 Enforceable (15/1) – #1 Tap It To Win (3/1) is the one to beat, but this colt will be the Conductor’s key to the race. Additionally, he’s the only one proven he can go this far and will be closing late with a hot pace in front of him.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 Shadwell Turf Mile Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Vintager (10/1) – The Conductor isn’t impressed with the American contingent. Obviously Chad Brown can’t be ignored with #4 Valid Point (5/1), but he’s going to take a swing with this European shipper. He’s in good form and trainer Charles Appleby has also had success in America.

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Race 11: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 71k

#5 Further Lane (4/1) – She’s certainly working like she’s a good one at Keeneland for top connections.

The Conductor’s Opening Day Plays at Keeneland

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Crowd watching horse racing at Keeneland with horses on the track.

Opening day at Keeneland, the most beautiful place the Conductor’s eyes have ever seen. Belmont picks will be up before post time as well. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. OC 10000

#5 Got My Mo (5/1) – Mo Money, less problems.

Race 2: 7 Furlongs. Alw 77000n1y

#1 Knicks Go (4/1) – This colt is finally getting the cutback in distance and class relief he needs.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 30000n3L

#8 Lngtermrelationship (6/1) – Seems like a bad decision.

Race 4: 1½ Mile. (Turf) Alw 75000n2x

#5 Stella d’Oro (2/1) – She had no chance last time with the slowest of paces in front of her. She should handle this group.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 71k

#3 Boss Onthe Horizon (8/1) – You always need to know where your boss when you have your paycheck on the race right before a meeting.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. F.OC 75000n2L

#2 Fifthatnarraganset (8/1) – The Conductor liked both of her races at Arlington Park and she’s working well entering today.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 71k

#2 Urban Fairytale (8/1) – 2nd off the layoff, the Conductor sees this filly taking a big step forward stretching out to a route for the first time.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. G2 Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 American Pastime (12/1) – This gelding has had trouble staying on the track but has always possessed major ability. His last race shows he’s trending in the right direction and the Conductor sees him running to his potential today. He’ll key him in the exacta and trifecta.

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Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. F. G1 Darley Alcibiades Stakes

#7 Perfect Alibi (5/2) – She hasn’t done anything wrong in her young career and looks to get a perfect setup in this one at Keeneland, staking a hot pace.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 71k

#10 Across (4/1) – She ran a good 2nd in her debut, closing into a slow pace. With natural progression she’ll be tough to beat.

The Conductor’s Closing Day Plays at Keeneland

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Horses and jockeys lined up at the starting gate at Keeneland Racecourse during a race.

Closing day at Keeneland, opening day at Belmont. The train will stay in the bluegrass for one more slumber then will be stationed at big sandy for the meet moving forward.  From now thru Saratoga is horse racing heaven.  Let’s change our silly little lives. Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. Clm 40000b

#1/1A Entry (9/2) – The Conductor like both of the Presque Isle shippers, he’ll take either if one scratches.

Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Alw 50000s

#6 Change of Control (5/2) – 2nd off the layoff, she has an early pace edge and is steadily improving.

Race 3: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 79k

#7 Scattered Strikes (5/2) – He’s the one to beat after dueling in his debut on a scorching pace and hanging on for 3rd. #10 Sandy Lane Kitten (12/1) is a price horse the Conductor likes.

Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs. Alw 50000s

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Free Stews Lock of the Day #2 West Texas (2/1) – 3rd behind two next out winners last start, she’ll handle this group.

Keeneland

Race 5: 1 3/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 79k

#7 Passionof the Nile (4/1) – This filly was well bet in her debut, was very wide and only beaten 2 lengths closing into a slow pace. Easy bet back.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. Alw 81000n1x

#6 Uber Kick (8/1) – 3rd off the layoff, he ran a good 2nd at this level last start and the Conductor sees him taking another step forward.

Race 7: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Alw 81000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Crafty Daddy (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he’s steadily progressing for top connections.

Keeneland

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 100000n3L

#3 Lady T N T (5/2) – 3rd off the layoff, she looks to run her best today.

Race 9: 1 ½ Mile. (Turf) F.G3 Bewitch Stakes

#7 Maroubra (5/1) – The Conductor liked her late kick, closing into a slow pace last start. 2nd off the layoff, she’ll be even better.

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 40000

#2 Baladera (8/1) – She just missed at this level last start in her 1st try on the Keeneland dirt. 2nd off the layoff, she has a big chance.

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

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Three thoroughbred horses racing on a dirt track with jockeys in colorful silks during a horse race.

Only 9 more sleeps until the Derby, Keeneland time, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 3/16. (Turf) F.Alw 81000n1x

#5 Darling Vera (8/1) – She was very impressive in her maiden breaker closing from the clouds into a moderate pace. Her late pace figures give her a chance even though she’s taking on winners for the first time.

Race 2: 1 Mile. F.OC 80000n3x

*Never a Doubt Friday Eve Lock of the Day #4 Jala Jala (7/5) – The Conductor liked her in a stakes race that he can’t remember the name of that she scratched out of last week. This field is much weaker.

Keeneland

Race 3: 1 ½ Miles. (Turf) Alw 81000n1x

#7 Kurlin Rock (4/5) – Chalk.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. MC 20000

#5 Strafford (15/1) – None of the runners with experience have run a figure even close to par for this level.  Trainer Lee Thomas can surprise with debut runners.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 81000n1x

#5 Lessons From Avery (7/2) – With lots of speed signed on in here, she looks to get a perfect stalking trip.

Race 6: 4 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 60k

#1 Johnny Unleashed (8/1) – He showed real early gas in his debut, he’ll be more fit today.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 85000b

#4 Sensitive (2/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she looks ultra-tough to beat.

Race 8: 4 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 60k

#6 Apple Empire (8/1) – His dam has produced a ridiculous 10 winners from 11 starters and two stakes winners.  This colt is also posting bullet works at Keeneland.

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 79k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Oxburger (10/1) – This son of tapit was well bet in his debut and had a troubled start.  He’ll be a nice price and has a lot of upside.

Keeneland

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday at Keeneland

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Horses racing at Keeneland Racecourse with a large crowd watching the event.

The final wind pipe whack Wednesday at Keeneland is upon us. Sad yes, but we can’t get too down with the Triple Crown season right around the corner.  Let’s rob Keeneland blind, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/8 Mile. OClm 10000

*Never a Doubt Hump Day Lock #3 Strut The Ring (2/1) – He’s clearly the one to beat in the Conductor’s eyes. Struuuuut.

Keeneland

Race 2: 1½ Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 81000n1x

#5 Cured by Kitten (5/2) – Chalk again.

Race 3: 4½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 60k

#11 Anna’s Fast (2/1) – This 470k Wesley Ward trainee will certainly blow them away.

Race 4: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 79k

#6 Miss Rombauer (6/1) – She was well bet in her debut at Saratoga and had a troubled trip. Now she adds blinkers today and is also bred to be a good one.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. Clm 40000n2L

#4 Psychoanalyze (8/1) – He’s coming off a long layoff, but has strong back class and early speed in a race completely devoid of pace.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 79k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Keepme in Thegame (10/1) – 435k at auction, she’s bred for the lawn for top connections. The Conductor also doesn’t like the runners with experience in here.

Keeneland

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. Mdn 79k

#8 Cavaradossi (9/2) – Stretching out 2nd off the layoff, her lone race at Keeneland was also his best and would beat this group.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 81000n1x

#1A Vegas Kitten (4/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she was hung wide and closed well into a slow pace. Additionally, Rosario is also red hot in the irons.

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Play at Keeneland

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keeneland

There wasn’t much good yesterday at Keeneland after the lock got home. We need prices Conductor! Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. MC 30000

#4 Lovesomuch (9/2) – Not much to like in this group, he has upside switching back to dirt.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 20000n2L

#4 Tally Ho (3/1) – She looks like a standout.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. F.MC 20000

#5 Hassle (20/1) – She has early speed in a race devoid of pace and this group is weak.

Race 4: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Alw 85000n3x

#4 Shahroze (3/1) – He’s getting better with every start and was very impressive in win last out.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 40000n2L

#4 Hoptown Honey (12/1) – Her figures fit and she loves to hit the board. The Conductor will key her underneath in the exacta and tri.

Race 6: 1 1/8 Mile. Clm 20000n2L

#2 Hollywood Strike (5/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he’s another one that doesn’t like to win but a great key underneath with a sprinkle on top.

Race 7: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Alw 83000n2x

#1 Closer Still (8/1) – This girl will go guns blazing on the front end. Hoooolllldddd!!!!!

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. OC 75000n1x

#10 Distant Shore (4/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he’s working well and getting better with each start.

Race 9: 1½ Mile. (Turf) G2 Dixiana Elkhorn Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Tiz a Slam (15/1) – He got in great form last summer and has big races to run back to.  The Conductor wants him on the lead.

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Race 10: 6½ Furlongs. Mdn 79k

*Never a Doubt Chad Brown Lock #1 Highest Honors (3/1) – Word on the street at Keeneland is that he’s the goods.

keeneland

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

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Horses racing on a turf track with jockeys in colorful silks during a competition.

The Conductor got all of his losers out of the way yesterday. Great strategy before the weekend at Keeneland. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 7 Furlongs. OClm 10000

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Bottle Service Lock of the Day #3 Turner Time (2/1) – He’s got an early pace edge over this group.  The Conductor’s pick 5 single.

Keeneland

Race 2: 1„ Mile. F.Mdn 79k

#1A Temperit (6/1) – She closed into a slow pace for a good 2nd last time. She graduates today.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 75000n1x

#6 Into Mystic (4/1) – Making her 1st start of the year, she showed talent in her first two starts. She’s working like she’s ready to roll.

Race 4: 7 Furlongs. F.MC 20000

#1 Out Til Dawn (4/1) – The Conductor was out until dawn last night, it was Thursday.

Race 5: 6½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 79k

#9 Better Biz (12/1) – Her sire wins at an 18% clip with first timers and she’s working well.

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Alw 83000n2x

#3 Johnny Obvious (8/1) – The speed of the speed.

Race 7: 6½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 79k

#8 Twelve Monarchs (20/1) – The Conductor doesn’t care about the low % connections at a big price.  She ran well on debut and is cutting back.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 85000n3x

#1 Munchkin Money (4/1) – This filly is versatile and in good form.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. F.G3 Hilliard Lyons-Baird Doubledogdare Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Jala Jala (6/1) – Her race two back at Keeneland gives her a chance to take down #2 Blue Prize (5/2). She’ll love stretching back out to a route.

Keeneland

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 79k

#5 Job Security (12/1) – 700k at auction, the Conductor will bet he has ability.