Power Ball Investments: Wednesday’s Winners at Keeneland

A group of jockeys riding horses during a race at Keeneland, with trees in bloom in the background.

Wow, the Conductor is going to have to stop taking the train to Parx if he’s going to continue to put up goose eggs.  But we know there are no other alternatives, we need our Monday and Tuesday fix. Thankfully, we get back to Lexington today, where the Conductor has dominated the Keeneland meet.  Eight races, eight winners, and a train filled with loot heading into the back half of the week. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 50000

#8 Shackleford County (5/2) – Well bet in her Keeneland debut, she showed good early speed then faded late.  She drops in class today and gets to run on a fast dirt track for the first time.  The Conductor sees her taking it to this field.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. F.MC 50000

#1 Proud Emma (8/1) – She was bumped at the start and ran a distant 4th in her debut vs tougher.  She’s drawn well to the inside today, drops in class and should improve with the added distance.  Trainer Phillip Sims has a +$0.58 ROI stretching horses out for the first time this year and Lanerie will ride the pine to victory.

Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Alw 69000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Girls Night (15/1) – She pressed a hot pace vs tougher going 6 ½ Furlongs at Kentucky Downs last start and still held on for 4th.  She should step forward in her 2nd race off a short layoff and she’ll appreciate the cutback in distance.  They Conductor is praying for her to stay a big price.

Keeneland

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 67k

#3 Paynter Up Mauk (10/1) – She is posting absolute bullet works leading into today, including her last at 46 and change at 4 furlongs.  Her dam has 3 winners from 5 starters including a stakes winner and the low-profile connections should keep her price juicy.

Race 5: 1 1/8 Mile. Clm 20000n2L

#10 Al Taweel (8/1) – This gelding’s last start was much better than it looks on paper.  He showed good early speed, faced some trouble and dropped back, then rallied and finished strong.  He’s working well and has a win going 1 ¼ Mile, where most of these other runners haven’t shown they can run this far. He’s a must use.

Race 6: 1 3/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 69000n1x

#1 Kallio (4/1) – In a race without any pace, she should be able to work out a comfortable trip on, or near the lead.  In her last race, she pressed a hot pace and was still able to hang on at this distance.  A repeat effort wins this race.

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. OC 80000n3x

*Never a Doubt Etched in Stone Lock of the Day #6 Hot Shot Kid (3/1) – This 4-year-old continues to steadily improve, and the Conductor loves his chances today.  He was routing at this level last time and just came up short, running a solid 2nd.  Cutting back to a sprint he possess the early speed to dictate his own trip and the stamina to finish.

Keeneland

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 67k

#2 St Denman (7/2) – He crossed the wire 1st in his last start, but he was placed 2nd by DQ.  Don’t be selfish Keeneland, let this boy break his maiden.

 

Saturday’s Stocking Stuffers: Keeneland’s Keys to The Late Pick 5

Three festive Christmas stockings in red and green filled with cash, showcasing holiday spirit and gift-giving.

Another great day yesterday as the Conductor handed out 4 winners including two 7/1 shots.  We’ll take our lump of cash and go for Keeneland’s jugular in the late pick 5.  Let’s have a weekend, Let’s Ride.

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Alw 69000n1x

#10 Trappezoid (10/1) – He ran some big figures on dirt as a 3-year-old and has only raced once this year.  With maturity he has room to step forward and his dam has produced a turf winner, so the new surface doesn’t concern the Conductor.  Trainer Bret Calhoun is 19% with a +$0.37 ROI this year with runners off a 3 month+ layoff and the favorites have tough posts in here.

Race 7: 1 Mile. F.Clm 50000b

*Never a Doubt Saturday Stone Cold Lock of the Day #7 Lil Vie (3/1) – She dueled and drew off in her last start in impressive fashion.  This race is devoid of early pace and she should be able to get on the early lead where she does her best running.  She’ll take them all the way around.

Keeneland

Race 8: 1½ Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 71000n2x

#2 Nigh Owl (6/1) – He should improve in the second start off the long layoff and his last start was very solid.  He’ll appreciate the added distance and the Conductor loves the Billy Mott/Leparoux combo going long on the turf.  The Kentucky Downs shippers have been winning the entire Keeneland meet.

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. F.RavenRun-G2

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Blamed (15/1) – She’s dominated her competition at Sunland and Zia Park and now gets a chance to take on the big girls.  The Conductor loves her steady progression, wins at multiple distances and trainer upgrade to Mott.  She’s as fast as any of these other girls on paper and the Conductor prays her price stays high.

You're Crazy Man GIF - OldSchool WillFerrell Shot GIFs

Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 67k

#1 Lady Leah (5/1) – Drawn well to the inside, she was heavily bet in her debut and ran a quality 2nd.  She figures to enjoy the added distance she gets today and the Conductor also loves that Jose Ortiz road her in her debut as well.

Friday’s Heist at Keeneland

View of the Keeneland paddock area with spectators observing horses and handlers in a grassy setting.

Keeneland time, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 67k

#3 Urban Insight (4/1) – She has the highest early pace figs and is working well off a long layoff.  She showed ability in her debut and trainer Charles LoPresti is 19% with a +$2.56 ROI with runners off a 3 month+ layoff this year.

Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs. MC 15000

#6 Gambler’s Choice (3/1) – He’s lightly raced, working well, dropping in class and has run a figure above par for this level at Keeneland.  That’s good enough for the Conductor.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. OC75000n2L

#1 Preamble (7/5) – Tough to go against the heavy favorite in here.  His debut win was far superior to any race run by his competitors today.  He’s working well and looks like a cinch.

Race 4: 1 ½ Mile. (Turf) Alw 71000n2x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Altito (12/1) – With an impressive 4-length victory on dirt last time, this gelding switches back to the turf, where he narrowly missed two starts back.  He can get the distance, is in great form, and is a proven winner, he has every chance.

neck monk GIF

Race 5:  6 Furlongs. F.MC 75000

#6 Carry the One (20/1) – She drops in class today and has been posting bullet works while she’s been away from the track.  She also gets Lasix for the first time and the Conductor won’t be surprised when she wins at a monster number.

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs.  F.Clm 30000b

#5 No Cacha Na (4/1) – She should improve returning to dirt and is taking a major drop in class.  She has figures above par for this level and trainer Tom Amoss is 31% with a +$1.03 moving horses from turf to dirt.

Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F. Alw 69000n1x

*Never a Doubt Bottle Service Lock of the Day #9 Pocket Book (4/1) – She’s the speed of the speed in this sprint and is posting monster works.  She has the best speed figs in the field, shortens in distance, and drops in class.  Give the Conductor his money.

Keeneland

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. F. OC 100000n2x

#6 Jump Ruler (7/2) – This race of devoid of any pace and she should get the easiest of trips on or near the lead.  She was overmatched vs Grade 1 company last time, but her race two back smashes this field.  Another easy winner.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile (Turf) F. G3 Valley View Stakes

#7 Colonia (6/1) – The Conductor thought she ran sneaky well in the G2 Sands Point last start.  It was a moderate pace and she was closing strongly after being hung 7-wide in the turn.  This is a wide open race and she has a good a chance as any with a clean trip.

Race 10: 7 Furlongs. Mdn 67k

#8 Locally Owned (5/2) – 7f is a tough distance for 1st time starters at Keeneland to get.  This colt ran well in his debut, should appreciate the added distance and has experience.

Thursdays Trachea Kicks at Keeneland

Large crowd gathered at a horse racing event with spectators and participants visible.

This is the Conductor’s favorite card of the Keeneland meet thus far.  He is guaranteeing victory, Let’s Ride.

keeneland

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. MC 50000

#3 Yankton (3/1) – He drops out of a tougher race and should improve switching back to the dirt.  The one time he ran at this level, he was only beaten a length and his best figure.  This gelding should get a perfect trip today, up close or leading a slow pace.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. Clm 20000b

#5 Awesome Fu (6/1) – Finishing 3rd at this level last start.  He’ll appreciate the cutback to a sprint and his win two starts back can beat this group. Trainer Wesley Hawley is 24% with a +$0.09 ROI this year with horses going route to sprint.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. F. Clm 10000

#5 Kool Aid Girl (7/2) – She pressed a scorching pace off a year layoff last start and was only beaten two lengths.  She gets back to her preferred dirt surface today and trainer Tom Amoss is a sick 33% with horses 2nd off the claim this year.

Race 4: 7 Furlongs. F.Mdn 67k

#8 Gold Credit (8/1) – She’s posted three very fast works entering her debut today and Jersey Joe ships in to ride.  She was sold for 160k at auction and trainer Ignacio Correas can hit with prices in these spots.  He’s 13% with a +$0.96 ROI with first time starters this year.

Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 67k

*Never a Doubt Mortgage Lock of the Day #1 Souper Wish (5/1) – 5/1 is an asinine morning line, but even if the Conductor gets 2/1 he’ll be ecstatic. He’s been off since May, but the early fractions and speed figs he ran in his first two starts were ultra-impressive.  His work tab looks very solid and inside speed has been great so far this meet at Keeneland.  Call your parents to take a loan out and put it on this boy because he’s going to win for fun.

keeneland

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F. Alw 71000n2x

#3 Factorofwon (5/1) – She ran some wicked early fractions last start vs tougher and was still only beaten two lengths.  If she runs a repeat effort of last time she will likely beat this group, let alone if she steps forward.

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. F. Mdn 67k

#7 Eres Tu (4/1) – The Conductor doesn’t like any of the runners with experience in her besides the #8 Patsy at 4/1, so he’ll use only two here.  Eres Tu is debuting for top connections and her damn has produced two stakes winners from 3 starters.  Her work tab shows she’s ready to run and the Conductor has that feeling in his knee that she’ll put on a show.

Race 8: 1 ½ Mile. (Turf) G3 Sycamore Stakes

*Bonus Gullet Slit #9 Zulu Alpha (10/1) – The Conductor sees the most likely winner in this one to be #5 Arklow (5/2), but he gives this gelding a major chance.  He’s found his form this summer and you don’t see many horses win the way he did in his last star.  He’s got loads of potential and could surprise at a nice number.

Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 67k

#1 Chaps (9/2) – Well bet in his debut at Keeneland, something went wrong and he’s had some time off since. He’s been working like a freight train entering today and has the early speed to make him dangerous.

#4 Unmatchable (4/1) – 225k, top connections, electric work tab, he is the Conductor’s top pick.

Wednesday’s Kill Shots at Keeneland

A lineup of thoroughbred racehorses at the starting gate at Keeneland, featuring jockeys in colorful silks ready for the race.

Parx cancelled racing yesterday due to the jockeys not making weight. That was one of the strangest events the Conductor has seen in his 100 years playing the ponies.  Thankfully we get to take the train back up to Keeneland today where they would never allow such a thing to occur. Amateur hour.  The Conductor is angry his capping went to waste and I would be very scared if I were Keeneland today. He has fire in his eyes, let’s ride.

keeneland

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 15000

#2 Pinotage (8/1) – The Conductor hates that the favorites scratched in here because this is one of his favorite plays of the day.  Pressing a scorching pace vs tougher last start, she had no chance and the Conductor loves the cutback to a sprint.  She has past performances that can beat this level, including one on dirt and trainer Kellyn Gorder is 23% with a +$3.08 ROI moving runners from a sprint to route this year.

Race 2:  6 ½ Furlongs. F. Clm 16000

#2 Ivy’s College Fund (4/1) – Another filly dropping in class after pressing a hot pace last start, she looks like a clear stand out to the Conductor.  She shortens a furlong, likes Keeneland, and has early speed and back class.  She’ll help the Conductor’s college fund.

Race 3: 1 Mile (Turf) Mdn 67k

#9 Fake Solution (5/1) – This colt took money at the windows in his debut and ran an even 5th in a 12-horse field.  The pace was hot that day and this group is much weaker.  Maker’s horses get better with distance and the Conductor thinks this boy’s running style is perfect for a route.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Clm 7500

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Soaring Now (8/1) – She was up close to a hot pace in a race that collapsed behind her last start.  This race is devoid of pace and she should get a favorable trip up close to the lead.  Her speed figures fit for this level, she’s 1/1 at Keeneland and 2/2 at this distance.  Yum.

Image result for long neck animal

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 40000

#10 Jerrid (8/1) – It’s the first time he’ dropped in for a tag in his career and that exactly what he needs.  It’s his first start off a long layoff, but that’s not a concern coming from Brad Cox’s barn.  He is working well and if he steps forward now as a 4-year-old he’ll be right there in the end.

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs (Turf) Alw 71000n2x

*Never a Doubt Free Vacation Lock of the Day #10 Snapper Sinclair (4/1) – He’s by far the class of the field as he battled on the Kentucky Derby trail earlier this year.  Since then he’s rested and returns to the racetrack in a spot he likes most, sprinting on the turf. He’s 2/2 sprinting on the grass in his young career and will make it 3/3 today.

pool drinking GIF

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 75000n2L

#9 Midnight Karma (5/1) – First time in the Asmussen barn, the owners changed to a top trainer after she ran off the screen in her debut.  She didn’t try and ran a competitive figure against this group.  With any step forward she’ll leave them all in the dust.

Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Alw 5000s

Gullet Shot #7 Bacoli (20/1) – Exiting a win and the only runner in the field with a victory at this distance, the Conductor will take a swing with a bomb in the last.  He doesn’t have one favorite on the card today and Keeneland is about to pay dearly for Philly’s mistakes.

Friday’s Breathing Tube Snappers at Keeneland

Horses with jockeys walking in a line at Keeneland Racecourse during an event.

A positive Thursday with a few winners lets the Conductor load up for the late pick 4 at Keeneland.  With a ton of big racing on the route tomorrow, the Conductor narrows his focus today.  What a smart man.  Let’s hit this thing and have a hell of a weekend, Let’s Ride.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 75000b

#1 Parlor (3/1) – Drawn well to the inside, he finished 3rd vs tougher last start.  He closed well into a tepid pace and has the strongest late kick in this field.  Another Kentucky Downs shipper that will win on the Keeneland turf.

Race 8: 1 1/6 Mile. Alw 69000n1x

*Never a Doubt Bottle Service Lock of the Day #6 Hollywood Star (5/1) – Exiting two sprint races at Saratoga, he should show some early speed in a race without much pace.  His best races have been routing and he was Grade 2 placed as a 2-year-old.  He’s working well and looks to be ready for a top performance.

Keeneland

Race 9: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) F. Buffalo Trace Franklin County Stakes – G3

#12 Ruby Notion (5/1) – Winner of her 1st Grade 3 last start, this mare has never been better.  She continues to improve in Darrin Miller’s barn.  She has enough early gas to stay close to the pace, along with the fitness to finish strong.  What a great betting race this is.

Race 10: 7 Furlongs. Clm 20000b

#11 Because It’s Time (4/1) – The long layoff is a concern for the Conductor with these low % connections, but his numbers stand out against this field.  If he shows up with a B effort that will be good enough to beat this group and at 4/1 its worth a bet.

#3 Come On Dover (4/1) – Taking a massive class drop, he showed good early speed before fading last start.  He looks to be rounding into form and has run multiple races early in the year that would blow this field away.

Thursday’s Throat Shots at Keeneland: The Keys to the Pick 6

A horse with the number 12 on its saddle walking in front of a crowd at Keeneland Racecourse.

The rain thankfully missed Keeneland, so the Conductor is happy to see full fields and ample opportunities.  He’s planning on rolling into the weekend with deep pockets, so let’s build that bankroll. Let’s Ride

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. MC 50000

#9 Babeswildweekend (6/1) – Setting a scorching pace going a mile last start, the Conductor loves the cutback in distance.  He has the early speed to dictate good trip from the outside and the stamina to hold on after exiting a route.  Top jockey Shaun Bridgmohan hopping aboard is also a very positive sign.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. F.Clm 20000n2L

#9 Jukebox Money (4/1) – The Conductor likes the #9 again and for similar reasons.  Routing on turf last time, she set a blistering pace before fading late.  She’ll appreciate the cutback in distance and there is not much other speed signed on in here.  She can scamper away from this field.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 69000n1x

#4 Angel of Mischief (9/2) – She’ll be stretching out for the first time, but she has shown a strong finish in her first two starts.  She’s taken money at the windows, backed it up both times and the Conductor loves seeing two sprints to a route.

*Bonus Gullet Slit #2 Haniel (20/1) – Steadily improving, this filly ran a game 3rd setting the pace going longer last time at Kentucky downs.  She’s shortening in distance today and these Kentucky Downs shippers have been running great on the turf at Keeneland so far this meet.  The Conductor can smell a big effort.

Keeneland

Race 8: 1 Mile. OC 75000n2L

*Never a Doubt Speedboat Lock of the Day #4 Pole Setter (7/2) – In his first start last time in the Grade 3 Iroquois Stakes, he ran by far the best dirt race in this field.  He was bumped at the start, made a strong middle move and flattened out late for 3rd.  He’s been working well, shortens in distance and he will win for fun.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 69000n1x

#3 Art Collection (5/1) – The Conductor will play another Kentucky downs shipper on the grass here.  This colt has good early speed and pressed a hot pace to break his maiden last start.  Drawn well to the inside, he should get a perfect ground saving trip up close to the pace and the Conductor will bet KD made him fit enough to finish the job.

Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 7500

#6 Long On Luck (5/1) – Dropping off a win, this gelding is in great form winning two of his last 3 at Keeneland.  He is lightly raced and ran a few giant numbers very early in his career.  He seems to be pointing to one of those big efforts in the Jason Barkley barn and there is nothing special in this field.

Killing Keeneland: Wednesday’s Keys to the Late Pick 5

View of the Keeneland paddock area with spectators observing horses and handlers in a grassy setting.

Not a good day at Parx yesterday, but none of you played anyway.  The Conductor is taking the train back to Kentucky today to find more 23-1 winners at Keeneland.  We need a big day to turn this week around.  The Conductor will be swinging for the fences, Keeneland, you protect your neck.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 50000

#11 Floss Dancer (6/1) – In this wide open maiden claimer, the Conductor will lean on this filly drawn to the outside.  Her dam has produced 4 winners from 8 starters and trainer Albert Stall Jr. is hitting at a preposterous 38% clip with a +$1.47 ROI debuting maiden claimers.  She’s working well and all signs point to her running a big one.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 69000n1x

#3 Lenamarie (5/1) – This $335k filly broke her maiden impressively at Keeneland last fall and has only raced once since.  She’s been working consistently well entering today and the Conductor isn’t concerned about the layoff with these connections.  Drawn well to the inside, she should get a ground saving trip and the Conductor thinks she has the most upside in this field.

Race 6: 6½ Furlongs. OC 100000n2x

#12 Smart Remark (8/1) – Up close to a hot pace at turf last start, this gelding ran better than it looks on paper.  He should improve in his second start off a layoff and switching back to dirt, his preferred surface.  He’s run his two best career races in his two starts on the Keeneland dirt and drawn well to the Conductor is salivating to bet him at 8/1

Race #7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F. G2 JPMorgan Chase Jessamine Stakes

Where else can you get a Grade 2 on a Tuesday? The Conductor loves this place so much.

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Pekhet (8/1) – She finished in front of the likely favorite in here #12 Fierce Scarlett in her debut then broke her maiden in her next start at this distance.  She has a better post than the outside favorites and should be able to dictate her own trip sitting just off the leave.  In a race where many haven’t proven they can go two turns, 8/1 is stealing.

Image result for gullet animal

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. Clm 20000n2L

*Never a Doubt Mortgage Lock of the Day #2 House of Commons (7/2) – The Conductor is going for a new house again today and he will single this gelding in all of his wagers.  He’s taking a major class drop today and made the lead last time out against much better.  He has 2 figures above par for this level in his young career and his early pace figs tower over this field.  Its not a question of whether he wins, the question is by how many.

Keeneland

 

Sunday’s Turf Plays at Keeneland and Belmont Park

A lineup of thoroughbred racehorses at the starting gate at Keeneland, featuring jockeys in colorful silks ready for the race.

High quality racing at Keeneland and Belmont Park again today, so the Conductor will run it back.  He likes a lot of mid-priced horses on the turf and if we can string a few together we’ll have our bookmakers sucking their thumb tonight. Let’s Ride.

Keeneland Late Pick 5

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) IndinSmmrB200K

#2 Strike Silver (4/1) – His last speed figure on dirt is the highest in this bunch and his breeding suggests the grass will be no problem.  He’s posting bullet works and looks like he’s sitting on a big one.

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. F.Mdn 67k

In Charge Annie (6/1) – Heavily bet in her debut, she pressed a hot pace hung wide and still ran 3rd.  Her early pace figs were above par and speed was very advantageous on the Keeneland dirt yesterday.  The Conductor can taste 6/1 on his toungue.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Bourbon-G3

#10 Current (6/1) – Very professional in his last start, this colt had some trouble and still won with ease.  He’s bred to be good one and he should appreciate the added distance.

#13 Mick’s Star (10/1) – Two blowout victories in his first two starts, he’ll try the turf and route for the first time.  He’s bred for these conditions and Tom Amoss doesn’t bring horses who aren’t ready to win to Keeneland.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Spinster-G1

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Champagne Problems (8/1) – This filly is steadily improving and just missed by a nose to the likely 2nd choice #11 Blue Prize in her last start.  The Conductor was very impressed by both their efforts and there is no reason for such a disparity in odds.  Champagne problems has every chance to win this race and the price is right.

homer simpson GIF

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 71000n2x

*Never a Doubt Car Payment Lock of the Day #3 Excellent Sunset (5/2) – Pressing a hot face and still kicking home strong to win easy, this lightly raced filly has shown versatility and talent in her young career.  She’s flat out better than this group.

Car Sliding GIF

Belmont Grade 1 Double:

Race 7: F. G1 Frizette Stakes

*Never a Doubt Mortgage lock of the Day #6 Covfefe (8/5) – You don’t see blowout winners like her debut at Churchill Downs too often.  She’s working well leading into today and the Conductor thinks she’s a full blow freak.  She’ll win by 10.

turf

Race 8: 1 1/4 Mile. (Inner Turf) F. G1 Flower Bowl Stakes

#1 Onthemoonagain (9/2) – The “other Chad” runner in this field hasn’t gotten a fair shot in her first two starts in America.  She’s been trying to close into dismally slow paces and hasn’t had a chance.  Her form in France makes her the class of this field and with a fair trip she’ll have a major shot.

 

Saturday’s Graded Stakes Plays at Keeneland and Belmont Park

A thrilling start of the Belmont Stakes horse race with multiple jockeys and horses at the starting gate.

The Conductor had to lick his wounds after a poor performance Thursday, but he’s been in the pony lab capping all day and night for this monster Saturday card.  Graded stakes action all day across this great country and the Conductor has more than a few prices up his sleeve.  Ponies with college football on a beautiful fall Saturday and the Conductor will pay our rent? Who has it better than us? Nobody. Let’s Ride.

Keeneland Pick 5:

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) G2 Woodford S.

#4 Extravagant Kid (5/1) – He pressed an scorching pace at Saratoga last start and sill held on for victory.  He’s primed to run his best in the third start off the layoff and even a repeat effort will give him every chance.

#8 Undrafted (10/1) – This Ol’ boy will be closing from the clouds.  His last effort was solid, closing into a slow pace, and he’ll have much more pace to run at today.  He loves the Keeneland turf and the Conductor will bet his presence will be known.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F. G2 Thoroughbred Club of America S.

#9 Chalon (4/1) – Her last start was very enticing as she sat just off a hot pace and scampered away in hand.  Her early/turn pace figs are the best of the bunch and she draws well to the outside. 4/1 makes the Contuctor tingle with excitement.

*Bonus Gullet Slit #1 Rich Mommy (20/1) – This filly is an improving 4-year-old and has been making her living as a deep closer at Gulftream Park.  Her running style will be much more favorable in Kentucky and the Conductor thinks she has a major chance to not only hit the board, but win if there is a hot pace in front of her.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) F. G1 First Lady S.

*Never a Doubt Car Payment Lock of the Day #4 Crown Walk (4/1) – She’s been facing much tougher turf horses across the pond and the Conductor doesn’t really like any of these American runners.  She gets Lasix for the first time and Mike Smith comes to ride, which is a sign she’s more than live.  New Car time.

keeneland stakes, belmont stakes

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. G1 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity

#5 Dream Maker (5/1) – He was extremely green in the G1 Hopeful last time and had no idea what he was doing.  His debut win two back was ultra-impressive, and her breeding suggests she’ll like the added distance.  The clockers are raving about how he’s working leading up to today.

#14 Standard Deviation (10/1) – Heavily bet in is debut at Saratoga, this colt rated well and passed horses.  He will appreciate the added distance and Chad will have him poised to run a big one.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 Shadwell Turf Mile

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Synchrony (8/1) – The Conductor loves his last two efforts at Monmouth showing a thunderous kick even with moderate paces to run at.  He’s a grade 2 winner, in career form and this should be his best distance.  Keeneland better wear a neck brace in this race.

Image result for neck brace funny

*Bonus Gullet Slit #1 Next Shares (15/1) – A monster bomb the Conductor like to hit the board, he came from the clouds in his last start against the slowest of paces.  He’s Grade 1 Stakes placed and this race looks to have a lot of pace on paper.  If the race falls apart like the Conductor envisions, he’ll be right there in the end.

Belmont Park Pick 4:

Race #7: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) Belmont Turf Sprint 150K

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Gidu (8/1) – Pressing the star Promisses Fullfilled on the dirt last time out in a Grade 1 Stakes, this colt has real speed and ability.  He gets back to his preferred surface today, he’s won sprinting at Belmont before, and draws a nice outside post.  If the Conductor gets anywhere over 4/1 it’ll be his favorite bet of the day.

stakes

Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. G1 Beldame Stakes

*Never a Doubt Mortgage Lock of the Day #6 Wow Cat (5/2) – This Chilean star was no match for the Elate and Able Tasman duel at Saratoga last time, but there is nobody even close to that quality in this field.  She’ll romp by 5.

stop-motion house GIF by Philippa Rice

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) G2 Hill Prince Stakes

March to the Arch (4/1) – Closing from far back into a tepid pace last time, this gelding finished just as strong as the will be favorite #3 Raging Bull.  With a cleaner trip, he’ll have every chance to turn the tables and will be a better price.

Race 10: 1 Mile. G1 Champagne S.

#4 Complexity (5/2) – Breaking slow from the rail in his debut, this colt’s victory was extremely impressive.  The word on the street is he’s working like a monster and will be tough to beat.

*Bonus Gullet Slit: #6 Listing (15/1) – He was very professional in his debut showing he can rate and pass horses. While almost all others in this field haven’t done.  The Conductor loves the California dirt shippers and trainer Ben Cecil is great stretching horses out to a route the first time. He’s hitting at a 20% clip with a +1.95 ROI this year.