Tag: keeneland

High quality racing at Keeneland and Belmont Park again today, so the Conductor will run it back.  He likes a lot of mid-priced horses on the turf and if we can string a few together we’ll have our bookmakers sucking their thumb tonight. Let’s Ride.

Keeneland Late Pick 5

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) IndinSmmrB200K

#2 Strike Silver (4/1) – His last speed figure on dirt is the highest in this bunch and his breeding suggests the grass will be no problem.  He’s posting bullet works and looks like he’s sitting on a big one.

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. F.Mdn 67k

In Charge Annie (6/1) – Heavily bet in her debut, she pressed a hot pace hung wide and still ran 3^rd.  Her early pace figs were above par and speed was very advantageous on the Keeneland dirt yesterday.  The Conductor can taste 6/1 on his toungue.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Bourbon-G3

#10 Current (6/1) – Very professional in his last start, this colt had some trouble and still won with ease.  He’s bred to be good one and he should appreciate the added distance.

#13 Mick’s Star (10/1) – Two blowout victories in his first two starts, he’ll try the turf and route for the first time.  He’s bred for these conditions and Tom Amoss doesn’t bring horses who aren’t ready to win to Keeneland.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Spinster-G1

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Champagne Problems (8/1) – This filly is steadily improving and just missed by a nose to the likely 2^nd choice #11 Blue Prize in her last start.  The Conductor was very impressed by both their efforts and there is no reason for such a disparity in odds.  Champagne problems has every chance to win this race and the price is right.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 71000n2x

*Never a Doubt Car Payment Lock of the Day #3 Excellent Sunset (5/2) – Pressing a hot face and still kicking home strong to win easy, this lightly raced filly has shown versatility and talent in her young career.  She’s flat out better than this group.

Belmont Grade 1 Double:

Race 7: F. G1 Frizette Stakes

*Never a Doubt Mortgage lock of the Day #6 Covfefe (8/5) – You don’t see blowout winners like her debut at Churchill Downs too often.  She’s working well leading into today and the Conductor thinks she’s a full blow freak.  She’ll win by 10.

Race 8: 1 1/4 Mile. (Inner Turf) F. G1 Flower Bowl Stakes

#1 Onthemoonagain (9/2) – The “other Chad” runner in this field hasn’t gotten a fair shot in her first two starts in America.  She’s been trying to close into dismally slow paces and hasn’t had a chance.  Her form in France makes her the class of this field and with a fair trip she’ll have a major shot.

The Conductor had to lick his wounds after a poor performance Thursday, but he’s been in the pony lab capping all day and night for this monster Saturday card.  Graded stakes action all day across this great country and the Conductor has more than a few prices up his sleeve.  Ponies with college football on a beautiful fall Saturday and the Conductor will pay our rent? Who has it better than us? Nobody. Let’s Ride.

Keeneland Pick 5:

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) G2 Woodford S.

#4 Extravagant Kid (5/1) – He pressed an scorching pace at Saratoga last start and sill held on for victory.  He’s primed to run his best in the third start off the layoff and even a repeat effort will give him every chance.

#8 Undrafted (10/1) – This Ol’ boy will be closing from the clouds.  His last effort was solid, closing into a slow pace, and he’ll have much more pace to run at today.  He loves the Keeneland turf and the Conductor will bet his presence will be known.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F. G2 Thoroughbred Club of America S.

#9 Chalon (4/1) – Her last start was very enticing as she sat just off a hot pace and scampered away in hand.  Her early/turn pace figs are the best of the bunch and she draws well to the outside. 4/1 makes the Contuctor tingle with excitement.

*Bonus Gullet Slit #1 Rich Mommy (20/1) – This filly is an improving 4-year-old and has been making her living as a deep closer at Gulftream Park.  Her running style will be much more favorable in Kentucky and the Conductor thinks she has a major chance to not only hit the board, but win if there is a hot pace in front of her.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) F. G1 First Lady S.

*Never a Doubt Car Payment Lock of the Day #4 Crown Walk (4/1) – She’s been facing much tougher turf horses across the pond and the Conductor doesn’t really like any of these American runners.  She gets Lasix for the first time and Mike Smith comes to ride, which is a sign she’s more than live.  New Car time.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. G1 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity

#5 Dream Maker (5/1) – He was extremely green in the G1 Hopeful last time and had no idea what he was doing.  His debut win two back was ultra-impressive, and her breeding suggests she’ll like the added distance.  The clockers are raving about how he’s working leading up to today.

#14 Standard Deviation (10/1) – Heavily bet in is debut at Saratoga, this colt rated well and passed horses.  He will appreciate the added distance and Chad will have him poised to run a big one.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 Shadwell Turf Mile

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Synchrony (8/1) – The Conductor loves his last two efforts at Monmouth showing a thunderous kick even with moderate paces to run at.  He’s a grade 2 winner, in career form and this should be his best distance.  Keeneland better wear a neck brace in this race.

*Bonus Gullet Slit #1 Next Shares (15/1) – A monster bomb the Conductor like to hit the board, he came from the clouds in his last start against the slowest of paces.  He’s Grade 1 Stakes placed and this race looks to have a lot of pace on paper.  If the race falls apart like the Conductor envisions, he’ll be right there in the end.

Belmont Park Pick 4:

Race #7: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) Belmont Turf Sprint 150K

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Gidu (8/1) – Pressing the star Promisses Fullfilled on the dirt last time out in a Grade 1 Stakes, this colt has real speed and ability.  He gets back to his preferred surface today, he’s won sprinting at Belmont before, and draws a nice outside post.  If the Conductor gets anywhere over 4/1 it’ll be his favorite bet of the day.

Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. G1 Beldame Stakes

*Never a Doubt Mortgage Lock of the Day #6 Wow Cat (5/2) – This Chilean star was no match for the Elate and Able Tasman duel at Saratoga last time, but there is nobody even close to that quality in this field.  She’ll romp by 5.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) G2 Hill Prince Stakes

March to the Arch (4/1) – Closing from far back into a tepid pace last time, this gelding finished just as strong as the will be favorite #3 Raging Bull.  With a cleaner trip, he’ll have every chance to turn the tables and will be a better price.

Race 10: 1 Mile. G1 Champagne S.

#4 Complexity (5/2) – Breaking slow from the rail in his debut, this colt’s victory was extremely impressive.  The word on the street is he’s working like a monster and will be tough to beat.

*Bonus Gullet Slit: #6 Listing (15/1) – He was very professional in his debut showing he can rate and pass horses. While almost all others in this field haven’t done.  The Conductor loves the California dirt shippers and trainer Ben Cecil is great stretching horses out to a route the first time. He’s hitting at a 20% clip with a +1.95 ROI this year.