Tag: keeneland

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

on By
Horses and jockeys lined up at the starting gate at Keeneland Racecourse during a race.

Only the 3/5 lock hit for the Conductor yesterday at Keeneland.  That’s never a good. Inside speed was dominant on the dirt and speed held on the turf too, something to keep an eye on moving forward.  There was lots of rain last night in Lexington, so the Conductor believes the undercard will be off the turf.  With a monster Saturday of racing ahead of us, we need to build our bankroll. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. F.MC 30000

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Bottle Service Lock of the Day #7 Resurrection Road (7/2) – 2nd off the layoff he’s lightly raced and steadily progressing.

Keeneland

Race 2: 4 ½ Furlongs. Man 60k

#6 Main Squeeze (7/2) – His dam is 3/3 producing winners and Wesley Ward is dominant in these baby races.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. F.Mdn 79k

#1 Amos (8/1) – The rail was golden yesterday and the Conductor is intrigued that Jose Ortiz is taking the mount for a smaller barn.

Race 4: 1 Mile. (OFF TURF) F.Alw 83000n2x

#2 Oh My (6/1) – Both of her wins have been in races taken off the grass and she has good early speed.

Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 20000n2L

#3 Soul of Discretion (8/1) – Only 1/19 lifetime, the Conductor will use this boy mostly underneath in the exscta and trifecta. He’ll be on the early lead and has an early pace edge.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. F.Mdn 79k

#7 Blip Says Bye (8/1) – She’s working well, her sire hits at 19% with 1st time starters and her dam has produced a stakes winner.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (OFF TURF) Alw 87000b

#1A Don’t Be So Salty (20/1) – 3rd off the layoff, the Conductor loves this boy on the main track. He has blazing early speed and loves to win.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. OC 75000n1x

#3 High Cime (6/1) – Pressing a hot pace vs G3 company last start, he still hung on for a good 4th. The Conductor likes the stretch out in distance.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) G3 Transylvania Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 The Black Album (10/1) – Drawn well to the inside, he’s run well with some cut in the ground. Additionally, he ran decent against miles tougher in the Breeders Cup last start.

Keeneland

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. Alw 81000n1x

#2 Chaps (12/1) – His early pace figures are overwhelmingly fast.

Throat Shot Thursday at Keeneland

on By 1 Comment
A large group of people posing together outdoors, some holding drinks and making gestures.

Opening day at Keeneland, the most beautiful place the Conductor’s eyes have ever seen. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 4½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 60k

#4 Quality H Two O (6/1) – Three sharp works for a barn that can surprise with 1st time starters. Trainer Teresa Connelly is 14% with a +1.15 ROI debuting runners this year.

Race 2: 7 Furlongs. F.OC 20000

*Never a Doubt Opening Day Lock #3 Honey Bunny (6/5) – They won’t beat her.

Keeneland

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. MC 30000

#3 Watch Cairo (8/1) – Stretching out for the 1st time, he’s lightly raced and has been well bet in his starts. He’s adding blinkers today and has also been clipped.

Race 4: 6½ Furlongs. OClm 10000

#3 Zaevion (5/1) – 2nd of the layoff, he won well last start and winning was no easy task at Oaklawn this meet.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 83000n2x

#5 Frankincense (20/1) – Steadily progressing and a winner of two in a row, he’s run even better than it looks closing into slow paces.  The Conductor will key him in the trifecta.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. F.OC 75000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Mo Gayle (12/1) – Any winner on debut for Dallas Stewart has talent.  Stretching out today after two sprints, the Conductor loves her.

Keeneland

Race 7: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Palisades Turf Sprint Stakes

#11 Strike Silver (12/1) – He had a brutal trip in the BC Juvenile trip last start. His win at Keeneland two back made the Conductor a fan for life.

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. F.Clm 20000n2L

#8 Tally Ho (4/1) – She showed guts last race winning a gutter war stretch duel.

Thursday’s Throat Shots at Keeneland

on By
A lineup of thoroughbred racehorses at the starting gate at Keeneland, featuring jockeys in colorful silks ready for the race.

Keeneland time, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. Clm 16000

#5 Wildwood Dancer (7/2) – He ran a solid 3rd last time out at this level and that performance mas much better than it looks on paper.  He made an early move into a hot pace and faded late.  He lost to a next out winner and gets a shorter distance today.  He’s an early single for the Conductor.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. Clm 20000

#4 Eternal Force (9/2) – He drops in class and should be ready for a peak effort in his 3rd start off a layoff.  This race is wide open, but the Conductor likes his upside.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F. Mdn 67k

#6 Celia’s Song (5/1) – This group stinks, heavily bet in her first few starts on dirt, she hasn’t lived up to the hype.  She’s working well, her breeding suggests she’ll like the grass and trainer Eddie Kenneally is red hot.  She has potential, unlike the others.

Race 4: 1 1/8 Mile. Clm 7500

#8 Tachi (9/2) – He has the highest last out speed figure in this group, even though it was on turf.  He’s in career form as a 7-year-old and most of these other runners are going in the wrong direction. C’mon Ol Boy.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. MC 50000

*Never a Doubt Dead Bolt Lock of the Day #1 Raising the Flag (5/2) – He’s showed speed against tougher at Keeneland and a repeat effort of his debut beats this group.  The drop in class and solid works are enough for the Conductor.

keeneland

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 67k

#8 Super Steed (9/2) – Posting bullet works for an 18% trainer with 1st time starters, he has a big shot.  His dam is also 1/1 with runners and he’s bred to sprint.

Race 7: 1 3/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 69000n1x

#2 Zumerdee (7/2) – The Conductor was very impressed with his last start at Keeneland, as he closed strongly into a slow pace.  He is bred to run all day, drops in class and the Conductor likes to see Jersey Joe stay aboard.

Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.OC 80000n3x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Grand Prix (10/1) – This speed ball hasn’t run since March, but she’s run well off the layoff before. Additionally, the Conductor loves that Jose hops aboard and her early speed is very dangerous.  She can gut this field.

Image result for gullet

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F. Mdn 67k

#2 Bee Balm (10/1) – Well bet in her first 3 starts, she’s ran ok, but hasn’t gotten a shot to route on a firm turf course. She has talent and potential to run a big one.

Power Ball Investments: Wednesday’s Winners at Keeneland

on By
A group of jockeys riding horses during a race at Keeneland, with trees in bloom in the background.

Wow, the Conductor is going to have to stop taking the train to Parx if he’s going to continue to put up goose eggs.  But we know there are no other alternatives, we need our Monday and Tuesday fix. Thankfully, we get back to Lexington today, where the Conductor has dominated the Keeneland meet.  Eight races, eight winners, and a train filled with loot heading into the back half of the week. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 50000

#8 Shackleford County (5/2) – Well bet in her Keeneland debut, she showed good early speed then faded late.  She drops in class today and gets to run on a fast dirt track for the first time.  The Conductor sees her taking it to this field.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. F.MC 50000

#1 Proud Emma (8/1) – She was bumped at the start and ran a distant 4th in her debut vs tougher.  She’s drawn well to the inside today, drops in class and should improve with the added distance.  Trainer Phillip Sims has a +$0.58 ROI stretching horses out for the first time this year and Lanerie will ride the pine to victory.

Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Alw 69000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Girls Night (15/1) – She pressed a hot pace vs tougher going 6 ½ Furlongs at Kentucky Downs last start and still held on for 4th.  She should step forward in her 2nd race off a short layoff and she’ll appreciate the cutback in distance.  They Conductor is praying for her to stay a big price.

Keeneland

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 67k

#3 Paynter Up Mauk (10/1) – She is posting absolute bullet works leading into today, including her last at 46 and change at 4 furlongs.  Her dam has 3 winners from 5 starters including a stakes winner and the low-profile connections should keep her price juicy.

Race 5: 1 1/8 Mile. Clm 20000n2L

#10 Al Taweel (8/1) – This gelding’s last start was much better than it looks on paper.  He showed good early speed, faced some trouble and dropped back, then rallied and finished strong.  He’s working well and has a win going 1 ¼ Mile, where most of these other runners haven’t shown they can run this far. He’s a must use.

Race 6: 1 3/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 69000n1x

#1 Kallio (4/1) – In a race without any pace, she should be able to work out a comfortable trip on, or near the lead.  In her last race, she pressed a hot pace and was still able to hang on at this distance.  A repeat effort wins this race.

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. OC 80000n3x

*Never a Doubt Etched in Stone Lock of the Day #6 Hot Shot Kid (3/1) – This 4-year-old continues to steadily improve, and the Conductor loves his chances today.  He was routing at this level last time and just came up short, running a solid 2nd.  Cutting back to a sprint he possess the early speed to dictate his own trip and the stamina to finish.

Keeneland

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 67k

#2 St Denman (7/2) – He crossed the wire 1st in his last start, but he was placed 2nd by DQ.  Don’t be selfish Keeneland, let this boy break his maiden.

 

Saturday’s Stocking Stuffers: Keeneland’s Keys to The Late Pick 5

on By
Three festive Christmas stockings in red and green filled with cash, showcasing holiday spirit and gift-giving.

Another great day yesterday as the Conductor handed out 4 winners including two 7/1 shots.  We’ll take our lump of cash and go for Keeneland’s jugular in the late pick 5.  Let’s have a weekend, Let’s Ride.

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Alw 69000n1x

#10 Trappezoid (10/1) – He ran some big figures on dirt as a 3-year-old and has only raced once this year.  With maturity he has room to step forward and his dam has produced a turf winner, so the new surface doesn’t concern the Conductor.  Trainer Bret Calhoun is 19% with a +$0.37 ROI this year with runners off a 3 month+ layoff and the favorites have tough posts in here.

Race 7: 1 Mile. F.Clm 50000b

*Never a Doubt Saturday Stone Cold Lock of the Day #7 Lil Vie (3/1) – She dueled and drew off in her last start in impressive fashion.  This race is devoid of early pace and she should be able to get on the early lead where she does her best running.  She’ll take them all the way around.

Keeneland

Race 8: 1½ Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 71000n2x

#2 Nigh Owl (6/1) – He should improve in the second start off the long layoff and his last start was very solid.  He’ll appreciate the added distance and the Conductor loves the Billy Mott/Leparoux combo going long on the turf.  The Kentucky Downs shippers have been winning the entire Keeneland meet.

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. F.RavenRun-G2

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Blamed (15/1) – She’s dominated her competition at Sunland and Zia Park and now gets a chance to take on the big girls.  The Conductor loves her steady progression, wins at multiple distances and trainer upgrade to Mott.  She’s as fast as any of these other girls on paper and the Conductor prays her price stays high.

You're Crazy Man GIF - OldSchool WillFerrell Shot GIFs

Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 67k

#1 Lady Leah (5/1) – Drawn well to the inside, she was heavily bet in her debut and ran a quality 2nd.  She figures to enjoy the added distance she gets today and the Conductor also loves that Jose Ortiz road her in her debut as well.

Friday’s Heist at Keeneland

on By
View of the Keeneland paddock area with spectators observing horses and handlers in a grassy setting.

Keeneland time, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 67k

#3 Urban Insight (4/1) – She has the highest early pace figs and is working well off a long layoff.  She showed ability in her debut and trainer Charles LoPresti is 19% with a +$2.56 ROI with runners off a 3 month+ layoff this year.

Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs. MC 15000

#6 Gambler’s Choice (3/1) – He’s lightly raced, working well, dropping in class and has run a figure above par for this level at Keeneland.  That’s good enough for the Conductor.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. OC75000n2L

#1 Preamble (7/5) – Tough to go against the heavy favorite in here.  His debut win was far superior to any race run by his competitors today.  He’s working well and looks like a cinch.

Race 4: 1 ½ Mile. (Turf) Alw 71000n2x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Altito (12/1) – With an impressive 4-length victory on dirt last time, this gelding switches back to the turf, where he narrowly missed two starts back.  He can get the distance, is in great form, and is a proven winner, he has every chance.

neck monk GIF

Race 5:  6 Furlongs. F.MC 75000

#6 Carry the One (20/1) – She drops in class today and has been posting bullet works while she’s been away from the track.  She also gets Lasix for the first time and the Conductor won’t be surprised when she wins at a monster number.

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs.  F.Clm 30000b

#5 No Cacha Na (4/1) – She should improve returning to dirt and is taking a major drop in class.  She has figures above par for this level and trainer Tom Amoss is 31% with a +$1.03 moving horses from turf to dirt.

Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F. Alw 69000n1x

*Never a Doubt Bottle Service Lock of the Day #9 Pocket Book (4/1) – She’s the speed of the speed in this sprint and is posting monster works.  She has the best speed figs in the field, shortens in distance, and drops in class.  Give the Conductor his money.

Keeneland

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. F. OC 100000n2x

#6 Jump Ruler (7/2) – This race of devoid of any pace and she should get the easiest of trips on or near the lead.  She was overmatched vs Grade 1 company last time, but her race two back smashes this field.  Another easy winner.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile (Turf) F. G3 Valley View Stakes

#7 Colonia (6/1) – The Conductor thought she ran sneaky well in the G2 Sands Point last start.  It was a moderate pace and she was closing strongly after being hung 7-wide in the turn.  This is a wide open race and she has a good a chance as any with a clean trip.

Race 10: 7 Furlongs. Mdn 67k

#8 Locally Owned (5/2) – 7f is a tough distance for 1st time starters at Keeneland to get.  This colt ran well in his debut, should appreciate the added distance and has experience.

Thursdays Trachea Kicks at Keeneland

on By
Large crowd gathered at a horse racing event with spectators and participants visible.

This is the Conductor’s favorite card of the Keeneland meet thus far.  He is guaranteeing victory, Let’s Ride.

keeneland

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. MC 50000

#3 Yankton (3/1) – He drops out of a tougher race and should improve switching back to the dirt.  The one time he ran at this level, he was only beaten a length and his best figure.  This gelding should get a perfect trip today, up close or leading a slow pace.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. Clm 20000b

#5 Awesome Fu (6/1) – Finishing 3rd at this level last start.  He’ll appreciate the cutback to a sprint and his win two starts back can beat this group. Trainer Wesley Hawley is 24% with a +$0.09 ROI this year with horses going route to sprint.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. F. Clm 10000

#5 Kool Aid Girl (7/2) – She pressed a scorching pace off a year layoff last start and was only beaten two lengths.  She gets back to her preferred dirt surface today and trainer Tom Amoss is a sick 33% with horses 2nd off the claim this year.

Race 4: 7 Furlongs. F.Mdn 67k

#8 Gold Credit (8/1) – She’s posted three very fast works entering her debut today and Jersey Joe ships in to ride.  She was sold for 160k at auction and trainer Ignacio Correas can hit with prices in these spots.  He’s 13% with a +$0.96 ROI with first time starters this year.

Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 67k

*Never a Doubt Mortgage Lock of the Day #1 Souper Wish (5/1) – 5/1 is an asinine morning line, but even if the Conductor gets 2/1 he’ll be ecstatic. He’s been off since May, but the early fractions and speed figs he ran in his first two starts were ultra-impressive.  His work tab looks very solid and inside speed has been great so far this meet at Keeneland.  Call your parents to take a loan out and put it on this boy because he’s going to win for fun.

keeneland

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F. Alw 71000n2x

#3 Factorofwon (5/1) – She ran some wicked early fractions last start vs tougher and was still only beaten two lengths.  If she runs a repeat effort of last time she will likely beat this group, let alone if she steps forward.

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. F. Mdn 67k

#7 Eres Tu (4/1) – The Conductor doesn’t like any of the runners with experience in her besides the #8 Patsy at 4/1, so he’ll use only two here.  Eres Tu is debuting for top connections and her damn has produced two stakes winners from 3 starters.  Her work tab shows she’s ready to run and the Conductor has that feeling in his knee that she’ll put on a show.

Race 8: 1 ½ Mile. (Turf) G3 Sycamore Stakes

*Bonus Gullet Slit #9 Zulu Alpha (10/1) – The Conductor sees the most likely winner in this one to be #5 Arklow (5/2), but he gives this gelding a major chance.  He’s found his form this summer and you don’t see many horses win the way he did in his last star.  He’s got loads of potential and could surprise at a nice number.

Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 67k

#1 Chaps (9/2) – Well bet in his debut at Keeneland, something went wrong and he’s had some time off since. He’s been working like a freight train entering today and has the early speed to make him dangerous.

#4 Unmatchable (4/1) – 225k, top connections, electric work tab, he is the Conductor’s top pick.

Wednesday’s Kill Shots at Keeneland

on By
A lineup of thoroughbred racehorses at the starting gate at Keeneland, featuring jockeys in colorful silks ready for the race.

Parx cancelled racing yesterday due to the jockeys not making weight. That was one of the strangest events the Conductor has seen in his 100 years playing the ponies.  Thankfully we get to take the train back up to Keeneland today where they would never allow such a thing to occur. Amateur hour.  The Conductor is angry his capping went to waste and I would be very scared if I were Keeneland today. He has fire in his eyes, let’s ride.

keeneland

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 15000

#2 Pinotage (8/1) – The Conductor hates that the favorites scratched in here because this is one of his favorite plays of the day.  Pressing a scorching pace vs tougher last start, she had no chance and the Conductor loves the cutback to a sprint.  She has past performances that can beat this level, including one on dirt and trainer Kellyn Gorder is 23% with a +$3.08 ROI moving runners from a sprint to route this year.

Race 2:  6 ½ Furlongs. F. Clm 16000

#2 Ivy’s College Fund (4/1) – Another filly dropping in class after pressing a hot pace last start, she looks like a clear stand out to the Conductor.  She shortens a furlong, likes Keeneland, and has early speed and back class.  She’ll help the Conductor’s college fund.

Race 3: 1 Mile (Turf) Mdn 67k

#9 Fake Solution (5/1) – This colt took money at the windows in his debut and ran an even 5th in a 12-horse field.  The pace was hot that day and this group is much weaker.  Maker’s horses get better with distance and the Conductor thinks this boy’s running style is perfect for a route.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Clm 7500

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Soaring Now (8/1) – She was up close to a hot pace in a race that collapsed behind her last start.  This race is devoid of pace and she should get a favorable trip up close to the lead.  Her speed figures fit for this level, she’s 1/1 at Keeneland and 2/2 at this distance.  Yum.

Image result for long neck animal

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 40000

#10 Jerrid (8/1) – It’s the first time he’ dropped in for a tag in his career and that exactly what he needs.  It’s his first start off a long layoff, but that’s not a concern coming from Brad Cox’s barn.  He is working well and if he steps forward now as a 4-year-old he’ll be right there in the end.

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs (Turf) Alw 71000n2x

*Never a Doubt Free Vacation Lock of the Day #10 Snapper Sinclair (4/1) – He’s by far the class of the field as he battled on the Kentucky Derby trail earlier this year.  Since then he’s rested and returns to the racetrack in a spot he likes most, sprinting on the turf. He’s 2/2 sprinting on the grass in his young career and will make it 3/3 today.

pool drinking GIF

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 75000n2L

#9 Midnight Karma (5/1) – First time in the Asmussen barn, the owners changed to a top trainer after she ran off the screen in her debut.  She didn’t try and ran a competitive figure against this group.  With any step forward she’ll leave them all in the dust.

Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Alw 5000s

Gullet Shot #7 Bacoli (20/1) – Exiting a win and the only runner in the field with a victory at this distance, the Conductor will take a swing with a bomb in the last.  He doesn’t have one favorite on the card today and Keeneland is about to pay dearly for Philly’s mistakes.

Friday’s Breathing Tube Snappers at Keeneland

on By
Horses with jockeys walking in a line at Keeneland Racecourse during an event.

A positive Thursday with a few winners lets the Conductor load up for the late pick 4 at Keeneland.  With a ton of big racing on the route tomorrow, the Conductor narrows his focus today.  What a smart man.  Let’s hit this thing and have a hell of a weekend, Let’s Ride.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 75000b

#1 Parlor (3/1) – Drawn well to the inside, he finished 3rd vs tougher last start.  He closed well into a tepid pace and has the strongest late kick in this field.  Another Kentucky Downs shipper that will win on the Keeneland turf.

Race 8: 1 1/6 Mile. Alw 69000n1x

*Never a Doubt Bottle Service Lock of the Day #6 Hollywood Star (5/1) – Exiting two sprint races at Saratoga, he should show some early speed in a race without much pace.  His best races have been routing and he was Grade 2 placed as a 2-year-old.  He’s working well and looks to be ready for a top performance.

Keeneland

Race 9: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) F. Buffalo Trace Franklin County Stakes – G3

#12 Ruby Notion (5/1) – Winner of her 1st Grade 3 last start, this mare has never been better.  She continues to improve in Darrin Miller’s barn.  She has enough early gas to stay close to the pace, along with the fitness to finish strong.  What a great betting race this is.

Race 10: 7 Furlongs. Clm 20000b

#11 Because It’s Time (4/1) – The long layoff is a concern for the Conductor with these low % connections, but his numbers stand out against this field.  If he shows up with a B effort that will be good enough to beat this group and at 4/1 its worth a bet.

#3 Come On Dover (4/1) – Taking a massive class drop, he showed good early speed before fading last start.  He looks to be rounding into form and has run multiple races early in the year that would blow this field away.

Thursday’s Throat Shots at Keeneland: The Keys to the Pick 6

on By
A horse with the number 12 on its saddle walking in front of a crowd at Keeneland Racecourse.

The rain thankfully missed Keeneland, so the Conductor is happy to see full fields and ample opportunities.  He’s planning on rolling into the weekend with deep pockets, so let’s build that bankroll. Let’s Ride

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. MC 50000

#9 Babeswildweekend (6/1) – Setting a scorching pace going a mile last start, the Conductor loves the cutback in distance.  He has the early speed to dictate good trip from the outside and the stamina to hold on after exiting a route.  Top jockey Shaun Bridgmohan hopping aboard is also a very positive sign.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. F.Clm 20000n2L

#9 Jukebox Money (4/1) – The Conductor likes the #9 again and for similar reasons.  Routing on turf last time, she set a blistering pace before fading late.  She’ll appreciate the cutback in distance and there is not much other speed signed on in here.  She can scamper away from this field.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 69000n1x

#4 Angel of Mischief (9/2) – She’ll be stretching out for the first time, but she has shown a strong finish in her first two starts.  She’s taken money at the windows, backed it up both times and the Conductor loves seeing two sprints to a route.

*Bonus Gullet Slit #2 Haniel (20/1) – Steadily improving, this filly ran a game 3rd setting the pace going longer last time at Kentucky downs.  She’s shortening in distance today and these Kentucky Downs shippers have been running great on the turf at Keeneland so far this meet.  The Conductor can smell a big effort.

Keeneland

Race 8: 1 Mile. OC 75000n2L

*Never a Doubt Speedboat Lock of the Day #4 Pole Setter (7/2) – In his first start last time in the Grade 3 Iroquois Stakes, he ran by far the best dirt race in this field.  He was bumped at the start, made a strong middle move and flattened out late for 3rd.  He’s been working well, shortens in distance and he will win for fun.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 69000n1x

#3 Art Collection (5/1) – The Conductor will play another Kentucky downs shipper on the grass here.  This colt has good early speed and pressed a hot pace to break his maiden last start.  Drawn well to the inside, he should get a perfect ground saving trip up close to the pace and the Conductor will bet KD made him fit enough to finish the job.

Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 7500

#6 Long On Luck (5/1) – Dropping off a win, this gelding is in great form winning two of his last 3 at Keeneland.  He is lightly raced and ran a few giant numbers very early in his career.  He seems to be pointing to one of those big efforts in the Jason Barkley barn and there is nothing special in this field.