Tag: preakness stakes

Preakness Preview

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Horses and jockeys racing at the start of the Preakness Stakes event with starting gates in the background.

Its Preakness week and Keeneland, Santa Anita and Belmont are all running. The train will be tested at full speed right out of the gate, just the way the Conductor likes it. With the major tracks starting tomorrow, the Conductor will preview the Preakness today:

#1 Excession (30/1) – This colt is a wild card horse and the Conductor will likely use him in 3rd and 4th in the tri and super. Coming in off a long layoff, he ran his best race last time closing for 2nd behind an early derby favorite Nadal. He will need to significantly improve to be competitive, but 3-year-olds can mature a lot from the spring to fall and we haven’t seen what this boy has become. He looks to get a good setup with a hot pace in front as well

#2 Mr. Big News (12/1) – He ran a big race in the Derby and is probably the best closer in the race. He will have pace to run at, but the Conductor doesn’t like him to be better than 3rd again.

*#3 Art Collector (5/2)

The Conductor was going to bet this boy in the Derby, but he scratched due to a heel injury. His three recent works show the Conductor he’s feeling good and ready to roll. He looks to get a perfect trip sitting behind the early speed and he’ll be the Conductor’s win bet.

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*Swiss Skydiver (6/1) – This is a very talented filly and she ran well against the boys in the Blue Grass, but Art Collector was too much. Beaten by a bomb last time and up against the pace in here, the Conductor these waters are too deep.

#5 Thousand Words (6/1) – The “other Baffert” flipped in the paddock at the Derby and was scratched. The Conductor didn’t like him that day and doesn’t like him here as he will likely be contesting a hot pace vs superior horses. He will be over bet because of connections.

#6 Jesus’ Team (30/1) – The Conductor wasn’t a fan of the Jim Dandy and he doesn’t look like he can get the distance. Jesus should have picked a better squad.

#7 Ny Traffic (15/1) – He threw in the towel early in the Derby, but lost to the Derby winner, Authentic, by a nose two back in the Haskell. He has talent and shows solid work entering today, the Conductor doesn’t know what to do with him yet.

#8 Max Player (15/1) – He’s a grinder that can run all day, but not extremely talented. He can clunk up for 3rd or 4th.

#9 Authentic (9/5)

What a race he ran in the Derby, setting a hot pace and turning away Tiz the Law down the lane. His works exiting that effort lead the Conductor to believe he’s feeling good. However, the Ductor isn’t sold. That effort will be tough to repeat on a quick turnaround and while the Conductor won’t toss him. He thinks he’ll regress in the Preakness and run 2nd or 3rd.

*#10 Pneumatic (20/1) – This is the price horse that most intrigues the Conductor in here. He’s fresh, steadily progressing and looks to get a perfect stalking trip mid-pack. The Conductor has liked this horse every step of the way and ran well with troubled trips when he’s faced stakes company. He will be the Conductor’s key in the vertical wagers.

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#11 Liveyourbeastlife (30/1) – He’s on the improve and has strong late pace figures. However, he looks to be a cut below this group.

 

 

The Conductor’s Preakness Recap

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Horse named War of Will with a jockey wearing pink and black, adorned with yellow flowers after winning the Preakness Stakes.

Now that Conductor is back from a 3-day bachelor party and he’s been able to watch the Pimlico replays without 55 stews running through his veins, he has a few takeaways. Here is his Preakness recap.

  1. Preakness Recap: The rail was where you wanted to be both Friday and Saturday.

On Thursday, almost every winner on dirt, including multiple longshots were winning with wide-sweeping swoop and pounce moves on the turn.  Friday and Saturday, that move wasn’t working at all.  The Conductor was ready to write off Win Win Win immediately after the Preakness, but anyone with the trip he got was coming up short in every race.  The Conductor will keep his eye on the horses that had wide trips to see where they end up next.

  1. War of Will ran huge, but he got a perfect trip.

He clearly ran the best, but he had to win with that trip. Saving all of the ground on a good rail, he sat behind the dueling leaders and the rail opened up for him perfectly at the top of the stretch. If he hadn’t won, he’d have 0 excuses.

  1. War of Will should have never gone off at 6/1

The Conductor’s biggest regret on Saturday is not having any saver bets on War of Will at that price.  The Conductor thought he was live, he was mostly against him because of the price he figured to be and race setup.  The Conductor thought he was going to go off at around 3/1.  With the way the track was playing and the odds he ended up at, there is no excuse for not using him. You must be on your toes and adapt on the fly to succeed in this game.  The Conductor bill blame his stew intake and lack of sleep, but he needs to keep it tighter on racing’s biggest days.

  1. The Conductor’s body is still rotting from the inside out today and he will be back proving us passengers winners tomorrow.

It feels like his bones are deteriorating while he sits.

5. Buy More Shirts so the Conductor can eat dinner.

preakness recap

 

The Conductor’s Preakness Day Late Pick 5 Plays at Pimlico

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A group of horses racing at the Preakness Stakes, with jockeys in colorful silks and dust being kicked up from the track.

It was a chalky Friday at Pimlico, but if you listened to the Conductor you passengers at least Cashed the pick 5. The late pick 5 will be the Conductor’s focus Saturday as well. We are not in this game for little cashes. Let’s hit a monster and change our little lives. Its Preakness Day, Let’s Ride.

Race 9: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) F.100K The Very One Stakes

The Conductor is spreading. #3 Eye On Berlin (10/1), #4 Souper Echo (9/2), #6 Jo Jo Air (3/1), #7 Angel at War (12/1), #8 Misericordia (4/1), #9 Wild About Star (9/2) 

Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.G3 Gallorette Stakes

#1 I’m So Fancy (7/2) – Her European form can’t be denied, she’s quality.

#2 Inflexibility (3/1) – Chad Brown.

#3 Thewayiam (10/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she looks perfectly pointed for this spot. She’s Grade 1 placed and will be a nice number.

#4 Mitchell Road (6/1) – She’s steadily progressing and answering every test. The Conductor won’t get beat by her.

#9 Barkaa (6/1) – Chad Brown.

Race 11 6 Furlongs. G3 Chick Lang Stakes

#3 Malpais (3/1) – He’s in great form, the Conductor can’t knock her.

#6 Gladiator King (6/1) – When this colt is sprinting on dirt, he is dangerous.

#8 Preamble (5/2) – The Conductor will heavily press him. 2nd off the layoff, he’ll have him singled on some tickets.

Race 12: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) G2 Dixie Stakes

*Never a Doubt Preakness Lock of the Day #12 Catholic Boy – Tough post, but if he runs his race its over. He’ll either run 1st or last and the Conductor will bet its the first one.

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Race 13: The Conductor’s Preakness Preview

*Gullet Shot of the Day #13 Win Win Win (15/1) – We will find out if the Conductor was right all along.

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The Conductor’s Black-Eyed Susan Stakes Day Plays at Pimlico

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A group of women wearing colorful decorative hats at an outdoor event, smiling and enjoying the moment.

14 race card for Black-Eyed Susan Stakes Day, what a war. Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 10000

#2 Midnight Mass (5/1) – She pressed a hot pace vs tougher going a mile and is cutting back to a sprint. Easy winner to start the card.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) OClm 25000

#8 Family Tree (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, dropping in class, he showed good form across the pond. He also adds blinkers today.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 50k

#1 China Cat (4/1) – She bets this group and graduates today.

Race 4: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) MC 40000

#5 Ready to Run (15/1) – He’s the quickest early and with a name like that you know this boy is live.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.Alw 52000n1x

#8 The Aurelia Factor (6/1) – If Baffert is shipping in this filly, she’s ready to run.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 52000n1x

#7 Seeking the Sunset (6/1) – Her last two blowout wins have caught the Conductor’s eye. 2nd off the layoff there is no reason not to play her.

Race 7 – 11: Black-Eyed Susan Day Late Pick 5 Preview

Race 12: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) Turf Sprint Stakes 100K

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Lock of the Day #3 Bound for Nowhere (1/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he’s a class above.

whitey bulger drinking GIF

Race 13: 1 1/8 Mile. D.G3 Allaire DuPont Distaff Stakes

#5 Another Broad (7/2) – The fillies come and the fillies go.

Race 14: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.MC 25000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Go Amanda (10/1) – She’s run well on the dirt and her breeding suggests she’ll step forward on the turf. The Conductor will go for the throat to end Black-Eyed Susan Stakes Day.

black-eyed susan stakes

 

The Conductor’s Preakness Preview

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A racehorse with a jockey in yellow silks competing in a horse racing event.

The Conductor can feel the excitement brewing in his plumbs. Black-Eyed Susan Day tomorrow then the big Saturday in Baltimore and the 2nd leg of the Triple Crown. With the top finishers in the Derby not running, it makes for a very intriguing race and the Conductor sees prices in his crystal ball.  With speed horses drawn to the inside and outside, this pace is going to heat up. The Conductor will try to put himself in a similar situation as Derby day. Survive until the big race and try to get alive to all of King Midas’s silver. This is our time! Our Preakness! Let’s Ride. PS Buy a shirt.

Race 13: 1 3/16 Mile. G1 Preakness Stakes

#1 War of Will (4/1) – The horse most effected by the Derby chaos, he looked loaded before getting tangled with Maximum Security on the far turn.  He has a major chance, but will have to send from the rail, put away the frontrunners, hold off the closers and will be overly bet.  The Conductor will not use him on top.

*#2 Bourbon War (12/1) – No chance we get 12/1, but he’s one of the horses the Conductor really likes.  He had no shot in the Florida Derby closing into a slow pace and that race has come back very live. Code of Honor’s 2nd in the Derby gives the Conductor more confidence.

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#3 Warrior’s Charge (12/1) – He’s run solid figures in his last two blowout wins, but he’s been alone on the lead setting slow paces. This colt has never seen the pace and competition he will on Saturday. The Conductor won’t use him.

#4 Improbable (5/2) – This is a favorite the Conductor will love to bet against. He had favorable trip in the Derby and came up empty. He’ll likely run 2nd or 3rd, but the Conductor won’t allow him to win.

*#5 Owendale (10/1) – The Conductor must use him after his last performance at Keeneland.  He made a jaw dropping move on the far turn and engulfed the field on a speed favoring track.  Classic swoop and pounce move the Conductor loves so much.

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#6 Market King (30/1) – Get him out of here.

*#7 Alwaysmining (8/1)

– This gelding is no joke. He’s been throttling his competition at Laurel Park and will get the acid test Saturday, but the Conductor thinks he’s a monster.  He’s a must use on top.

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#8 Signalman (30/1) – He ran well in the Bluegrass, but the Conductor sees him as a notch below the Contenders. He doesn’t hate him underneath for 3rd or 4th though.

#9 Bodexpress (20/1) – He clearly doesn’t like the slop, so ignore his Derby effort.  He can sit behind the fronrunners and get a great trip.  The Conductor will use him in 2nd and 3rd.

#10 Everfast (50/1) – Ignore him.

#11 Laughing Fox (20/1) – The Conductor can see him closing for 3rd or 4th, but nothing more.  He narrowly beat much weaker with a good setup last start.

#12 Anothertwistafate (6/1) – He’ll show speed out of the gate and contribute to the hot pace.  He ran solid in the Lexington Stakes last start, but Owendale ran him down even though he had a more favorable trip. 3rd at best.

*#13 Win Win Win (15/1) – The Conductor’s great white buffalo. He had no chance after the start of the Derby to no fault of his own.  The Conductor’s eyes lit up when it was announced he was running back in the Preakness.  He should get a perfect setup Saturday and we’ll get to see what he is made of. Redemption will be served in the Preakness Tall, Neat and Strong, just the way the Conductor likes it. Win Contenders:

preakness

Win Contenders: #2 Bourbon War (12/1), #5 Owendale (10/1), #7 Always Mining (8/1), #13 Win Win Win (15/1)

Top Pick:

#13 Win Win Win (15/1)

Black-Eyed Susan Stakes Day Late Pick 5 Preview

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Jockey riding Stopchargingmaria during a horse race, wearing orange and blue silks, with a blurred background of spectators.

Props to Pimlico on putting together a great Friday card. Full 14 race plays will be up Friday, but the Conductor will preview the Black-Eyed Susan Stakes Day pick 5, which will get most of his attention. A big Friday means we can go for the jugular on Saturday and we know how much the Conductor like to kill. Let’s Ride.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F. Skipat Stakes 100k

 #3 Chalon (6/5) – Nothing like starting the pick 5 with a stone cold single.  We’ll find out if we’re alive or dead right from the jump. She looks like a clear stand out.

black-eyed susan stakes

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. F. G3 Adena Springs Miss Preakness Stakes

#2 Covfefe (7/2) – She’s the lone A for the Conductor and he’ll heavily press her. 2 of her 3 career races blow this field away.

#1 Iva (15/1), #6 Never Enough Time (6/1), #7 Miss Imperial (8/1), #10 By Bye Jay (12/1), #11 Fighting Mad (4/1), and #12 Midnight Fantasy (12/1) will be used as backups.

#12 Midnight Fantasy (12/1) – She’s undefeated sprinting and is the price the Conductor will key in the trifecta.

Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) F. Hilltop Stakes 100k

#2 Nova Sol (7/2), #5 Dogtag (9/2) – Chad Brown wins every turf race.

#12 Orra Moor (10/1) – If there is somebody that can beat Chad, it’s Todd.  This girl has run quality races on the dirt vs tough competition, if her form can translate to the turf she’ll be dangerous.

Race 10: 1 ¼ Mile. G3 Pimlico Special Stakes

This is going to be a spread race for the Conductor, this field is wide open and almost everyone has a chance.

#7 Just Whistle (20/1) – This is the Conductor’s favorite bomb in here and the one he’ll be keying in the exacta and trifecta. The distance will be no problem with his strong late pace figures and his last race was better than it looks, trying to close into a tepid pace on a speed favoring track. He can make the Conductor’s day.

black-eyed susan stakes

Race 11: 1 1/8 Mile. F.G2 Black-Eyed Susan Stakes

#7 Brill (5/1) – Making her 3rd start off the layoff, she looks to get a perfect trip sitting just behind the leaders.  She has loads of talent and her last race in the Fantasy stakes has come back live.

#8 Point of Honor (5/2) – Her late pace figures are thunderous.  If she gets any pace to run at she’ll be tough to beat.

#2 Off Topic (8/1) – She’s the price the Conductor likes most.  She’s a closer who caught a slow pace last start.  She won’t surprise the Conductor.