Tag: Raven Run Stakes

Keeneland Saturday Picks — October 21, 2023 | Best Bets & Full Card Handicapping

on By 1 Comment
Gulfstream Park Holy Bull

C’mon Ductor, you haven’t posted since Wednesday you slacker! Shut up passengers. Looks like a beautiful Saturday at Keeneland. They should be back on the turf with full fields and high quality racing. Nothing a weekend in the coal mines. Put on your hard hat and grab a shovel. Skip.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

#7 Red Sun Dress (6/1) – This filly took money vs maidens in her debut at Churchill. She broke slow that day and never had a chance. Now she plunges in class to the maiden claiming level, which usually is a negative sign. However, with her cheap 18k purchase price, connections still make money even if she’s claimed. Who doesn’t want to get her their picture taken at Keeneland? With 53 1st time maiden claimers this year, trainer John Ortiz is 23% with a +$1.04 ROI. The Conductor can smell that this filly is live.

Race 8: 1 1/16  Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 130000n3x

#1 Lovely Princess (5/1) – This race looks wide open on paper, but the Conductor thinks this filly fits perfectly in this spot and will lean on her. She looks to get an absolutely perfect ground saving trip sitting mid pack behind a quick pace. She’s 2/2 over this Keeneland turf course and has the best late pace figures in the field. 2nd off the layoff for McPeek, the Conductor will be surprised if she doesn’t score at a square price. 4/1 or better would be a treat.

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. F.G2 Raven Run Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Ancient Peace (10/1) – This filly showed talent routing earlier this year vs graded stakes company in California. She returned off the bench at Remington last time and ran a huge 2nd after a pressing a hot pace. She looks primed for a cutback to a sprint and has a class edge over most of this field. If she can’t pass the rightful favorite #7 Aliva Star (2/1) in the stretch, a 7/9 exacta will still pay nicely.

Keeneland

Keeneland: Raven Run Stakes Late Pick 5

on By
Two jockeys racing on brown horses during a competitive horse race, showcasing speed and athleticism in the sport.

The Conductor nailed the 7th race yesterday, then there was a head scratcher in the 8th that blew up his tickets. With the questionable weather in New York, the Conductor will do battle with Keeneland again for the Raven Run Stakes. Very competitive fields and great betting opportunities. The Conductor wants the finest cuts of meat still bleeding on his table tonight, not McDonalds. Let’s Ride.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. Alw 50000s

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Yankee Seven (10/1) – We haven’t seen this gelding since March, but he’s posting strong works for a barn that hits at 19% clip off the bench. He’s shown versatility and consistency in his young career and if he has matured during his time off, the Conductor can see him surprising the passengers.

Other Contenders: #1 Cool Bobby (2/1), #2 Jessup (5/2)

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. F.Mdn 70k

#6 Mia at Midnight (30/1) – You can make a case for all in here with many 1st time starters. The Conductor will include this bomb shipping in from Woodbine. She was green in her debut and was ridden like it was a prep. She has nice works coming into today.

Other Contenders: #2 Hippie Cowgirl (5/1), #4 Miss Dial (6/1), #10 Wicked Bisou (4/1), #11 Thinking (9/2)

Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Alw 75000n3x

#7 Corelli (5/1) – The Conductor will throw out her last race over soft turf. Her 3rd two back at Monmouth vs Grade 1 company beats this field.

raven run stakes

Other Contenders: #6 Bizzee Channel (15/1), #12 Sugoi (12/1) – Both are dangerous if left alone on the front end.

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. F.G2 Raven Run Stakes

This is a hell of a race as well. #2 Four Graces (5/2) and #5 Venetian Harbor (7/5) are obvious contenders, but there look to be many live prices as well.

#8 Fair Maiden (15/1) – This filly ran a huge late pace figure in her win last race. That was her first race of the year and also her first ever race on dirt. She showed she could run against Grade 1 company on turf last year and the Conductor loves her upside 2nd off the layoff.

#10 Secret Keeper (12/1) – A west coast dirt horse shipping east and cutting back to a sprint, the Conductor must use her. She’s beaten some nice Baffert horses sprinting and has talent.

Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 20000n2L

#9 El Supremo (7/2) – The Conductor doesn’t have a strong opinion in the finale. He was up close to a hot pace last time and is dropping in class today.

Other Contenders: #1 Why Why Paul Why (5/1), Quarterback Dak (5/2), #10 Czechmight (6/1)

Saturday’s Stocking Stuffers: Keeneland’s Keys to The Late Pick 5

on By
Three festive Christmas stockings in red and green filled with cash, showcasing holiday spirit and gift-giving.

Another great day yesterday as the Conductor handed out 4 winners including two 7/1 shots.  We’ll take our lump of cash and go for Keeneland’s jugular in the late pick 5.  Let’s have a weekend, Let’s Ride.

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Alw 69000n1x

#10 Trappezoid (10/1) – He ran some big figures on dirt as a 3-year-old and has only raced once this year.  With maturity he has room to step forward and his dam has produced a turf winner, so the new surface doesn’t concern the Conductor.  Trainer Bret Calhoun is 19% with a +$0.37 ROI this year with runners off a 3 month+ layoff and the favorites have tough posts in here.

Race 7: 1 Mile. F.Clm 50000b

*Never a Doubt Saturday Stone Cold Lock of the Day #7 Lil Vie (3/1) – She dueled and drew off in her last start in impressive fashion.  This race is devoid of early pace and she should be able to get on the early lead where she does her best running.  She’ll take them all the way around.

Keeneland

Race 8: 1½ Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 71000n2x

#2 Nigh Owl (6/1) – He should improve in the second start off the long layoff and his last start was very solid.  He’ll appreciate the added distance and the Conductor loves the Billy Mott/Leparoux combo going long on the turf.  The Kentucky Downs shippers have been winning the entire Keeneland meet.

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. F.RavenRun-G2

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Blamed (15/1) – She’s dominated her competition at Sunland and Zia Park and now gets a chance to take on the big girls.  The Conductor loves her steady progression, wins at multiple distances and trainer upgrade to Mott.  She’s as fast as any of these other girls on paper and the Conductor prays her price stays high.

You're Crazy Man GIF - OldSchool WillFerrell Shot GIFs

Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 67k

#1 Lady Leah (5/1) – Drawn well to the inside, she was heavily bet in her debut and ran a quality 2nd.  She figures to enjoy the added distance she gets today and the Conductor also loves that Jose Ortiz road her in her debut as well.