keeneland Picks

C’mon Ductor, you haven’t posted since Wednesday you slacker! Shut up passengers. Looks like a beautiful Saturday at Keeneland. They should be back on the turf with full fields and high quality racing. Nothing a weekend in the coal mines. Put on your hard hat and grab a shovel. Skip.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

#7 Red Sun Dress (6/1) – This filly took money vs maidens in her debut at Churchill. She broke slow that day and never had a chance. Now she plunges in class to the maiden claiming level, which usually is a negative sign. However, with her cheap 18k purchase price, connections still make money even if she’s claimed. Who doesn’t want to get her their picture taken at Keeneland? With 53 1st time maiden claimers this year, trainer John Ortiz is 23% with a +$1.04 ROI. The Conductor can smell that this filly is live.

Race 8: 1 1/16  Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 130000n3x

#1 Lovely Princess (5/1) – This race looks wide open on paper, but the Conductor thinks this filly fits perfectly in this spot and will lean on her. She looks to get an absolutely perfect ground saving trip sitting mid pack behind a quick pace. She’s 2/2 over this Keeneland turf course and has the best late pace figures in the field. 2nd off the layoff for McPeek, the Conductor will be surprised if she doesn’t score at a square price. 4/1 or better would be a treat.

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. F.G2 Raven Run Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Ancient Peace (10/1) – This filly showed talent routing earlier this year vs graded stakes company in California. She returned off the bench at Remington last time and ran a huge 2nd after a pressing a hot pace. She looks primed for a cutback to a sprint and has a class edge over most of this field. If she can’t pass the rightful favorite #7 Aliva Star (2/1) in the stretch, a 7/9 exacta will still pay nicely.

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