Risen Star Stakes Saturday Picks — February 18, 2023 | Risen Star Day at Fair Grounds

Horses and jockeys starting a race at Fair Grounds Race Course with starting gates open.

The best card of the day is down in Louisiana for the Risen Star Stakes and the Ductor loves his gumbo and stew. He will have plenty to eat tonight after he gets through with this track Let’s Ride

Race 9: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Colonel Power Stakes

#9 Even Sing (5/1) – The best turf sprinter in the field draws in after scratches and his morning line price should hold. This gelding has a thunderous late kick and has run well despite slow paces and bad rides in his last few starts. He gets a major rider upgrade to Prat today and the Ductor will trust that he can work out a trip. Mo baby Mo!

risen star stakes

Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. G3 Mineshaft Stakes

#3 4/1 Tawny Port (4/1) – Making his first start as a 4-year-old, he’s the one that could throttle what looks like a competitive field on paper. He’s working well for the Cox barn, gets Lasix back on and faced much tougher last year. His Jim Dandy two back beats this group with ease. Cox says he wants longer leading up to race, but he can’t sneak one past the Ductor. Hopefully he doesn’t get killed at the windows and this morning line is close to accurate.

Race 13: 1 1/8Mile. G2 Risen Star Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #12 Crupi (15/1) – This is an insanely difficult Risen Start Stakes to cap. You could make a case for any in here and the Ductor wouldn’t fight you. Lesser cappers shy away from these type races, but that’s why they buy a ticket and sit while the Ductor drives. The Ductor is taking a shot with a maiden in this race. This colt broke incredibly slow of the layoff last time and  moved thru the field with ease. Then he was in a gutter war down the stretch and never threw in the towel. He ran the fastest brisnet figure this field has and a strong late pace figure. He’s going to relish the added distance and the Ductor will gamble he can work out a decent trip from the outside post.

Fair Grounds: Risen Star Stakes Day Key Horses

Horses and jockeys starting a race at Fair Grounds Race Course with starting gates open.

One shorty yesterday and another 24/1 shot running 2nd in the finale at Gulfstream. Big Risen Star Stakes Day of racing ahead of us and it looks like the late pick 5 at Fair Grounds will stay on the turf. Let’s Ride.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Albert M. Stall Memorial Stakes

#3 Pass the Plate (10/1) – This filly is in good form, running well on and off the turf in her last 3 starts. She’s run very strong late pace figures and hasn’t been aided by fast paces. She proved she can handle good turf last time as well.

Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. G3 Mineshaft Stakes

#6 Sonneman (8/1) – The Conductor is against #4 Maxfield (4/5) in this spot. He’s had too much trouble staying on the racetrack. Sonneman had a tough trip last time being wide on the turns and trying to close into a slow pace. He never stopped trying and should improve off that effort.

Race 11: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) G3 Fair Grounds Stakes

#6 Logical Myth (9/2) – This gelding continues progress in the Joe Sharp barn and is a ridiculous 5/6 at Fair Grounds. He’s proven over good turf and is working well. #4 Danceteria (6/1) also has a big chance in here as the class of the field.

Race 12: 1 1/16 Mile. F.G2 Rachel Alexandra Stakes

#8 Travel Column (2/1) – This filly looks like a good one. Single.

Race 13: 1 1/8 Mile. G2 Risen Star Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #10 Santa Cruiser (15/1) – He had a brutal trip last time. He was completely shut off at the break and then tried to close into a slow pace. The Conductor liked his effort after the beginning and ran fast to break his maiden two back. He can surprise at a big number.

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Risen Star Stakes Day Pick 5 Preview at Fair Grounds

Horses racing at a track with a grandstand in the background filled with spectators.

The Conductor loves this Risen Star Day sequence. Let’s Ride.

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Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. G3 Mineshaft Stakes

The Conductor is going to get bold right off the bat and TOSS the favorite #4 Sliver Dust (5/2) in leg 1. Can he win? Absolutely, but he’s nothing special and the Conductor wasn’t impressed with the Louisiana Stakes last time. He’s going to have to deal with a hotter pace than he’s seen in his last few starts as well.

The Conductor sees #6 Hofburg (4/1) as a standout in here and will press him on most tickets. The layoff and running style are the only things not making him a stone cold single.

#1 Mocito Rojo (8/1), #2 Sleepy Eyes Todd (10/1), #10 Cutting Humor (8/1) and #11 Pirate’s Punch (10/1) are all prices the Conductor will be using in here as well.

Race 10: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) G3 Fair Grounds Stakes

There is going to be a very hot pace in this one and the closers will have an advantage. #2 Synchrony (3/1) and #5 Dontblamerocket (9/2) are the most logical winners but can’t be completely trusted.

#6 Classic Covey (6/1), #9 Captivating Moon (10/1), and #12 Midnight Tea Time (12/1) are others that the Conductor likes and the will get great setups.

Race 11: 1 1/16 Mile. F.G2 Rachel Alexandra Stakes

The Conductor much prefers #6 British Idiom (8/5) to #7 Finite (2/1) and he will TOSS the #7. The Conductor will also use #3 Swiss Skydiver (8/1). His debut win was very strong and he should improve 2nd off the layoff.

Race 12: 1 1/8 Mile. G2 Risen Star Stakes Division 1

The Conductor’s Div 1 Risen Star Stakes Preview

Use: #2, #5, #11

Race 13: 1 1/8 Mile. G2 Risen Star Stakes Division 2

The Conductor’s Div 2 Risen Star Stakes Preview

Use: #8

Backups: #7, #10, #11

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The Conductor’s Div 1 Risen Star Stakes Preview

Two horses racing closely with jockeys in colorful silks during a horse race.

Its getting to that time of year, the first Saturday in May is going to be here faster than Conductor downing a tall glass of stew. The first major prep races are Saturday and the fields are drawn for the two divisions of the Risen Star Stakes. Last years races proved to be very key to the triple crown races. What will this year’s results bring? There are no certainties other than a lot of money going into the Conductor’s pocket. Let’s Ride.

Race 12: 1 1/8 Mile. G2 Risen Star Stakes Division 1

#1 Digital (6/1) – He had a very favorable trip last time up close to a very slow pace and couldn’t get the job done. He’s not for the Conductor.

*#2 Silver Slate (4/1) – The running styles in this race are very intriguing. You have a group that have only won gate to wire and many deep closers. The ones that can lay close to the pace and get first run will have the advantage and this boy looks like he’ll get the trip. He had trouble at the break last time and rallied for a strong 2nd in the G3 Lacomte stakes. His early pace figures sprinting show that he has enough tactical speed to be in a much for favorable position early.

#3 Ready to Roll (20/1) – His maiden win was a slow-paced gate to wire victory in the slop. Pass

#4 Perfect Revenge (20/1) – He has the most experience in the field and his last two efforts on dirt have been much improved. Another step forward and he could hit the board at a massive number.

#5 Moon Over Miami (10/1) – This colt’s maiden breaker was impressive, and he had a brutal trip last time. The Conductor won’t talk you off him.

#6 Sashaahakemeup (20/1) – No excuses last time, no chance.

#7 Blackberry Wine (5/1)

5/1 on a gate when he’s only proven he can win on the front end of slow paces? Suckers bet.

#8 Enforceable (7/2) – This colt is the class of the field, but do you really want a favorite that will be coming from dead last? He’s not for the Conductor.

#9 Mr Monomoy (6/1) – He should have done more with his trip in the Lecomte.

#10 Farmington Road (8/1) – He looks to get a favorable trip, but this may be asking a little too much. His win last start bodes well for #5 Moon Over Miami (10/1).

#11 Scabbard (12/1) – There is no chance this colt will go off at those odds. He’s another deep closer and will drop way back from the 12 post. That said, he has talent and upside 2nd off the layoff. If somehow he doesn’t take money at the windows the Conductor will include as a backup.

Risen star stakes

Esophagus Slice Saturday: Risen Star Stakes Day Plays

Five racehorses running on a dirt track during a competition with jockeys in colorful attire.

The Road to the Derby is officially upon us. Risen Star Stakes Day, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 55k

#3 Hard Not to Love (3/1) – Working well for strong connections, her dam is 2/2 producing stakes winners.

Race 2: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 20000s

#4 Independent Duty (4/1) – She’s the only runner in this field with a win at the distance.

Race 3: 1 Mile. Clm 32000

#2 Vangilder (5/2) – Plunging in class in his first start for Kent Desormeaux, he showed real ability in his debut.

Race 4: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 55k

#6 Mutineer (12/1) – He didn’t like the hill last start, but the Conductor won’t hold that against him.  He’s run well sprinting on dirt and is bred to be better on the lawn.

Race 5: 6½ Furlongs. S.Mdn 55k

#2 Curry (5/1) – He’s working well, and trainer Bruce Headley is 26% with a +$3.64 ROI with debut runners this year.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 55k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Live the Moment (20/1) – This 475k filly will get her first try going long on the grass, which is what she’s bred to do.

Risen Star Stakes

Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 18000

#4 Lucky Val (5/1) – She adds blinkers today and has the best figures at the distance.

Race 8: 6½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Wishing Well Stakes

*Never a Doubt Chiseled in Stone Lock of the Day #7 Belvoir Bay (5/2) – They can’t beat her on this turf course.

Risen Star Stakes

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. F.G2 Santa Monica Stakes

#4 Dream Tree (4/1) – The Conductor’s not sure what happened last race, but it was too bad to be believed.  He’s got talent and the Conductor will give him another shot.

Race 10: 6½ Furlongs. (Turf) MC 50000

#1 Kichiro (4/1) – He’s dropping in class and the race he’s exiting has come back very live.

Fair Grounds Race 12: 1 1/16 Mile. G2 Risen Star Stakes

#9 Country House (20/1) – Engulfing the field, closing into a slow pace to break his maiden last start, he’s working well and Saez ships in to ride for a reason.

Risen Star Stakes