Tag: saratoga

The Conductor was on the rails for a few days, but thankfully we’re back in the train station for Travers week. After another Wednesday where the NYRA takes the races off the turf with no rain, the Conductor is ready to fire. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 90k

#10 Vehemente (6/1) – This filly was absolutely hammered at the windows in her debut last time, going off at 2/5. She broke slow from the rail that day and that was all she wrote. The Conductor thought she still ran well after the poor start. Now she returns to the track with a nice outside post and trainer Joe Sharp stakes the blinkers off her. He’s 21% with a +$0.16 ROI this year with this move. Vehemente has much more talent than she showed July 17th and we get to collect at a better price today.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.S.OC 45000n2x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Snowy Evening (10/1) – This group of New York bred fillies have taken turns beating each other in allowance races over the last few years. While Snowy Evening’s current form doesn’t look great, she beat the morning line favorite, #4 Overreacting (5/2), last fall. In her last race vs many of these same contenders, she had a trip from hell. She was fanned 4-wide and uncovered into the first turn and stayed there all the way around. The last time Snowy Evening got a fair trip at this level, she ran a good closing 2nd behind a slow pace. If Johnny V can give her another chance to run her race today, she’ll be right there when they hit the wire.

Saturday was a dud at Del Mar. The Conductor will lick his wounds and take the train back east where they’re finally back on the turf at Saratoga. There are plenty of opportunities to be had on this card. Let’s Ride.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) S.MC 40000

#2 Judge Rules (9/2) – This gelding has taken a step forward since switching to the turf. He’s run well despite two poor trips in his last two starts at this level. He finally draws a favorable inside post today and looks to get a nice ground saving trip for the first time. If Judge Rules doesn’t win this race vs this weak group, he never will.

Race 8: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) MahonyL150K Mahony Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Yellow Card (6/1) – This colt really took to the turf last time at Churchill. He got a good trip covered 2-wide, but won with ease and galloped out miles in front of the pack. He takes a step up in class today, but there aren’t any monsters in this stakes field. There will be a contested early pace and Yellow Card should be in a perfect spot stalking along the rail. The Conductor sees this colt mowing down the competition in the stretch.

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. Clm 25000n3L

#5 Dads Good Runner (10/1) – The Conductor thinks this gelding is a serious gate to wire threat. His last race looks like it came out of nowhere, but it was only two starts after switching to a much improved barn. He was previously trained by a 0% trainer. There isn’t much other early speed in here to pressure him early, and that makes him very dangerous over a speed favoring Saratoga dirt track.

Another beautiful Wednesday at Saratoga with a fast track and the races off the turf…Looks like Friday and Saturday will be off the turf too. We need to take advantage when we can. Skip.

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Mdn 100k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 And One More Time (6/1) – This filly was working bullets and bet to favoritism in her debut at Churchill this June. Too bad the bettors didn’t get the memo that it was a prep. She got a verrrrry patient ride by Jose that day and you could see she was still full of energy well after she crossed the wire. She’s bred to step forward on the turf and now Casse ships her to Saratoga to get her picture taken. The Conductor thinks we’ll see what And One More Time is really capable of Thursday. She’s ready to mow.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.OClm 35000

#6 Busy Morning (5/1) – The finale is a great betting race with many contenders. However, the Conductor has one trip note that stands out on this filly. Stretching out to a route in a NY Bred Allowance race last time, she was traveling nicely with a good trip covered 2-wide. She looked loaded behind horses entering the stretch and then…Irad never asks? Busy morning galloped out in front of the rest to boot. There was certainly more under the hood that day and maybe his brother will give her a more competitive ride here. Both of the Conductor’s Thursday plays are in the hands of Jose Ortiz.

Pegasus World Cup Preview for Saturday 1/25/2025 – The Pony Conductor

The Pegasus World Cup is here and the Conductor is ready to fire. He hasn't liked a card at Gulfstream this much maybe ever. Don't listen to this if you haven't signed up at Iron Bets yet with this link. You're not allowed. Skip.

1. Pegasus World Cup Preview for Saturday 1/25/2025 14:19
2. Del Mar Preview for Saturday 11/23/2024 07:22
3. Churchill and Del Mar Preview for Saturday 11/16/2024 08:27
4. Del Mar Preview for Saturday 11/9/2024 08:02
5. 2024 Breeders' Cup Preview 14:45

A 7/2 winner and a 7/1 2nd by a nose Sunday at Saratoga left the Conductor in the black, but also in pain. He thought Our Shot was going to get there up up the rail. With a rainy forecast this week, the cards will be dicey. We’re on the turf for today for now, so let’s take advantage while we can. Let’s Ride.

Race 3: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) S.MC 40000

#3 Braca (15/1) – This is a weak maiden claiming race and a good opportunity to take a shot with a bomb. Braca has run some solid races on dirt vs similar and now will try turf for the 1st time. His breeding suggests he’ll move forward on the turf and the Conductor likes that trainer Oscar Barrera has a plan to switch surfaces 1st off the claim. With a nice inside draw and Dylan Davis hopping aboard, the Conductor thinks Braca is live on the lawn.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.S.Mdn 90k

#11 Mangetsu (10/1) – The Conductor is praying this filly draws into the field. She’s working bullets at Turfway and has strong turf breeding. With 37 1st time turf starters this year, trainer Kelsey Danner is winning at a 14% clip with an enormous +$4.44 ROI. Double digit odds would make her a mandatory play for any smart passenger.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.De La Rose Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Be My Sunshine (10/1) – The Conductor likes this filly at a nice price in the feature race. She ran better than it looks last time, closing in a stakes race at Churchill with a merry go round flow. Now shortening to her best distance and Jose Ortiz hopping aboard, she looks poised to run her best today. There aren’t any monsters in this field and she will be flying late with a clean trip. She can certainly brighten the Conductor’s day.

Pegasus World Cup Preview for Saturday 1/25/2025 – The Pony Conductor

The Pegasus World Cup is here and the Conductor is ready to fire. He hasn't liked a card at Gulfstream this much maybe ever. Don't listen to this if you haven't signed up at Iron Bets yet with this link. You're not allowed. Skip.

1. Pegasus World Cup Preview for Saturday 1/25/2025 14:19
2. Del Mar Preview for Saturday 11/23/2024 07:22
3. Churchill and Del Mar Preview for Saturday 11/16/2024 08:27
4. Del Mar Preview for Saturday 11/9/2024 08:02
5. 2024 Breeders' Cup Preview 14:45