Keeneland: Sycamore Stakes Pick 3 for Thursday, October 15

A horse with the number 12 on its saddle walking in front of a crowd at Keeneland Racecourse.

A nice 9/2 winner on top in the 7th and late pick 4 that paid $334.10 for 50 cents is what the passengers ordered on Wednesday, and that’s what the Conductor delivered. As a happy passenger myself, I’ll certainly buy multiple t-shirts at the train station right away! Sycamore Stakes time, Let’s Ride.

The Good Ductor never settles, however. Keeneland is calling again, Let’s Ride.

Race 8: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Alw 73000n2x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Yes Its Ginger (10/1) – She presses a scorching pace and tired over a demanding Kentucky Downs turf course last time. Shortening back to 5 ½ furlongs today, her early gas will be more dangerous and she’s working like a rocket.

sycamore stakes

Other Contenders: #10 Violenza (5/1)

Race 7: 1 3/16 Mile. Alw 71000n1x

The Conductor thinks Ian Wilkes has a major chance to get off the schneid at Keeneland in this race with two live runners in here.

#1 Don Bourbon (9/2) – 2nd off the layoff today, he ran very well last race to finish 2nd with a troubled trip. The added distance will help him here and he’ll be in a good spot early up close to a slow pace.

#5 Letmeno (4/1) – He stumbled at the break and lost all chance last time. 2nd off the layoff today, the Conductor want to see the tactics used to cross the wire first in the Iowa Derby two back. Go right to the front in a race devoid of pace.

Other Contenders: #9 Spa City (7/2)

Race 8: 1½ Mile. (Turf) G3 Sycamore Stakes

#10 Ziyad (5/2) – His European form lays over this Grade 3 American field. 1st time Lasix for Motion, he’ll be very tough to beat. However, the Conductor likes two prices to include underneath

#1 Postulation (15/1) – Throw out his last race over soft turf last time and this old man fits with this group. He nearly wired the field two back against tougher over this turf course and has good tactical speed.

#5 Big Agenda (10/1) – The “Other Maker” in here, he unsurprisingly has taken big steps forward in the new barn. Winner of his last two, he will be forwardly placed and trending in the right direction.

Other Contenders: #2 Red Night (3/1), #6 Aquaphobia (5/2)

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

Horses racing at Keeneland during the spring meet with jockeys in colorful silks.

How in gods name is it only Thursday. Keeneland time, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 71k

#8 Ahsad (8/1) – Making his 3rd career start, he’s run well in his first two closing into slow paces. He’ll get a more favorable setup today.

#12 Strike Appeal (6/1) – This colt is bred to take a step forward on the lawn and he ran well vs one of the top 2-year old’s in the country, Maxfield, on dirt last time.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Clm 20000

#3 Daring (8/5) – It doesn’t take courage to bet this filly.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 30000

#2 Take Charge d’Oro (3/1) – 1st off the claim for Asmussen, this boy is exiting a win and should take a step forward.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 71k

#2 Law of the Land (3/1) – Closing for a good 3rd into a slow pace in his debut, he is very logical.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.Alw 50000s

#4 Peaches and Nuts (4/1) – Her debut win at Monmouth got the Conductor’s attention.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 75000n2x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 East Moon (6/1) – We finally saw that this is her preferred surface and distance last time. With her limited starts on turf, the Conductor likes her upside.

keeneland

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. OC 75000n2L

#4 Long Weekend (3/1) – This colt pressed a hot pace vs tougher at Keeneland last time and showed talent in his debut win prior. He’s working well into today.

Race 8: 1 ½ Mile. (Turf) G3 Sycamore Stakes

#4 Nakamura (7/2) – This gelding keeps getting tepid paces to close into and running big races. His win two back at Saratoga was very impressive.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

#3 Sweet Cocoa (6/1) – Nothings better then some hot chocolate in the fall at Keeneland….with a little stew mixed int.

Thursdays Trachea Kicks at Keeneland

Large crowd gathered at a horse racing event with spectators and participants visible.

This is the Conductor’s favorite card of the Keeneland meet thus far.  He is guaranteeing victory, Let’s Ride.

keeneland

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. MC 50000

#3 Yankton (3/1) – He drops out of a tougher race and should improve switching back to the dirt.  The one time he ran at this level, he was only beaten a length and his best figure.  This gelding should get a perfect trip today, up close or leading a slow pace.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. Clm 20000b

#5 Awesome Fu (6/1) – Finishing 3rd at this level last start.  He’ll appreciate the cutback to a sprint and his win two starts back can beat this group. Trainer Wesley Hawley is 24% with a +$0.09 ROI this year with horses going route to sprint.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. F. Clm 10000

#5 Kool Aid Girl (7/2) – She pressed a scorching pace off a year layoff last start and was only beaten two lengths.  She gets back to her preferred dirt surface today and trainer Tom Amoss is a sick 33% with horses 2nd off the claim this year.

Race 4: 7 Furlongs. F.Mdn 67k

#8 Gold Credit (8/1) – She’s posted three very fast works entering her debut today and Jersey Joe ships in to ride.  She was sold for 160k at auction and trainer Ignacio Correas can hit with prices in these spots.  He’s 13% with a +$0.96 ROI with first time starters this year.

Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 67k

*Never a Doubt Mortgage Lock of the Day #1 Souper Wish (5/1) – 5/1 is an asinine morning line, but even if the Conductor gets 2/1 he’ll be ecstatic. He’s been off since May, but the early fractions and speed figs he ran in his first two starts were ultra-impressive.  His work tab looks very solid and inside speed has been great so far this meet at Keeneland.  Call your parents to take a loan out and put it on this boy because he’s going to win for fun.

keeneland

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F. Alw 71000n2x

#3 Factorofwon (5/1) – She ran some wicked early fractions last start vs tougher and was still only beaten two lengths.  If she runs a repeat effort of last time she will likely beat this group, let alone if she steps forward.

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. F. Mdn 67k

#7 Eres Tu (4/1) – The Conductor doesn’t like any of the runners with experience in her besides the #8 Patsy at 4/1, so he’ll use only two here.  Eres Tu is debuting for top connections and her damn has produced two stakes winners from 3 starters.  Her work tab shows she’s ready to run and the Conductor has that feeling in his knee that she’ll put on a show.

Race 8: 1 ½ Mile. (Turf) G3 Sycamore Stakes

*Bonus Gullet Slit #9 Zulu Alpha (10/1) – The Conductor sees the most likely winner in this one to be #5 Arklow (5/2), but he gives this gelding a major chance.  He’s found his form this summer and you don’t see many horses win the way he did in his last star.  He’s got loads of potential and could surprise at a nice number.

Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 67k

#1 Chaps (9/2) – Well bet in his debut at Keeneland, something went wrong and he’s had some time off since. He’s been working like a freight train entering today and has the early speed to make him dangerous.

#4 Unmatchable (4/1) – 225k, top connections, electric work tab, he is the Conductor’s top pick.