Tag: valley view stakes

Keeneland Friday Picks — October 25, 2024 | Best Bets & Full Card Handicapping

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A racehorse galloping with a jockey in green attire at a horse racing event, showcasing speed and agility on the track.

Two for three with a 6/1 gullet shot winner Thursday is just what the Ductor ordered. Time to build momentum. Skip.

Race 5: 1 3/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 110000n1x

#4 The Ginger Wizard (6/1) – This weak field of American fillies looks ripe for a foreign invader. This mare has been steadily progressing across the pond and is a true turf marathoner. She has the upside to beat this group handily.

Race 7: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Alw 140000n4x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Judge Davis (10/1) – This gelding looks almost identical to yesterday’s gullet shot winner. The Conductor is hoping the rail draw produces the same result. He just missed last time at Kentucky Downs closing into a slow pace and looks to get a better setup today. He has a win over this Keeneland turf course and two of his three wins have come at this distance. Let’s make it back to back gullet whacks.

Keeneland Picks Today

Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G2 Valley View Stakes

#1 Opera Mundi (8/1) – Call the Conductor Benedict Arnold, but he’s turning to another European shipper here. #12 Simply in Front (8/1) really impressed him last time, but looks to get a poor trip today drawn to the far outside. Opera Mundi is exiting sprint races in France and has the early speed to put herself in a good position early. The Conductor thinks this is an evenly matched group and sees her sitting a dream pocket trip. In turf racing, that makes all the difference. Skip.

Friday’s Heist at Keeneland

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View of the Keeneland paddock area with spectators observing horses and handlers in a grassy setting.

Keeneland time, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 67k

#3 Urban Insight (4/1) – She has the highest early pace figs and is working well off a long layoff.  She showed ability in her debut and trainer Charles LoPresti is 19% with a +$2.56 ROI with runners off a 3 month+ layoff this year.

Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs. MC 15000

#6 Gambler’s Choice (3/1) – He’s lightly raced, working well, dropping in class and has run a figure above par for this level at Keeneland.  That’s good enough for the Conductor.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. OC75000n2L

#1 Preamble (7/5) – Tough to go against the heavy favorite in here.  His debut win was far superior to any race run by his competitors today.  He’s working well and looks like a cinch.

Race 4: 1 ½ Mile. (Turf) Alw 71000n2x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Altito (12/1) – With an impressive 4-length victory on dirt last time, this gelding switches back to the turf, where he narrowly missed two starts back.  He can get the distance, is in great form, and is a proven winner, he has every chance.

neck monk GIF

Race 5:  6 Furlongs. F.MC 75000

#6 Carry the One (20/1) – She drops in class today and has been posting bullet works while she’s been away from the track.  She also gets Lasix for the first time and the Conductor won’t be surprised when she wins at a monster number.

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs.  F.Clm 30000b

#5 No Cacha Na (4/1) – She should improve returning to dirt and is taking a major drop in class.  She has figures above par for this level and trainer Tom Amoss is 31% with a +$1.03 moving horses from turf to dirt.

Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F. Alw 69000n1x

*Never a Doubt Bottle Service Lock of the Day #9 Pocket Book (4/1) – She’s the speed of the speed in this sprint and is posting monster works.  She has the best speed figs in the field, shortens in distance, and drops in class.  Give the Conductor his money.

Keeneland

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. F. OC 100000n2x

#6 Jump Ruler (7/2) – This race of devoid of any pace and she should get the easiest of trips on or near the lead.  She was overmatched vs Grade 1 company last time, but her race two back smashes this field.  Another easy winner.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile (Turf) F. G3 Valley View Stakes

#7 Colonia (6/1) – The Conductor thought she ran sneaky well in the G2 Sands Point last start.  It was a moderate pace and she was closing strongly after being hung 7-wide in the turn.  This is a wide open race and she has a good a chance as any with a clean trip.

Race 10: 7 Furlongs. Mdn 67k

#8 Locally Owned (5/2) – 7f is a tough distance for 1st time starters at Keeneland to get.  This colt ran well in his debut, should appreciate the added distance and has experience.