Month: December 2018

Saturday’s Slaughtering: The Conductor’s Plays at Los Alamitos

on By
Two horses racing with jockeys in colorful silks during a horse race on a dirt track.

4/1 Lock of the day winners are always nice, but we didn’t have much other success yesterday at Gulfstream.  The Conductor likes the Los Alamitos card better on this fine Saturday, so we’ll take the train out west and look for gold. Let’s not have to go back to work on Monday, Let’s Ride.

Los Alamitos

Race 1: 1 Mile. F.Clm 12500n2L

#6 K P’s Smokin (9/5) – She’s just flat out faster than this group of proven losers.  The Conductor can’t make a case for anyone else winning.

Race 2: 5½ Furlongs. S.Mdn 40k

#3 Loud Mouth (6/1) – With mostly unknowns in this field, the Conductor will give this 1st time starter a look.  She’s working well for a barn that can win on debut and her dam has produced 3 winners from 4 starters.

Race 3: 5½ Furlongs. MC 20000

#6 The Bull Mouse (3/1) – He showed the best early pace figures in the group last start.  Natural progression in his 2nd career race will make him tough to beat.

Race 4: 5½ Furlongs. MC 20000

#2 Michael Mundo (7/2) – Dropping in class after attending the early pace and fading last start, the Conductor is salivating over the thought of 7/2.  His win two starts back buries this field.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. G1 Los Alamitos Cash Call Futurity

*Never a Doubt Bobby Baffert Lock of the Day #1 Improbable (6/5) – Pressing a hot pace then slaughtering the field at Churchill last start, he’s working well and can’t lose.

Los Alamitos

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. F.Alw 8000s

#1 Gemini Journey (4/1) – Facing much tougher last start, she ran a strong closing 3rd into a slow pace.  4/1 would be stealing.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. F.G1 Starlet Stakes

#1 Vibrance (5/2) – She made an early move into a hot pace and still ran a 3rd in the G1 BC Juvenile Fillies last start.  She’s been tested vs tougher and the Conductor loves her chances.

Race 8: 1 Mile. OC 40000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Goren (8/1) – He was impressive breaking his maiden two starts break and ran evenly sprinting at this level last time.  His running style suggests he’ll be even better routing and with a step forward he’ll have every chance.

Los Alamitos

Race 9: 1 Mile. MC 20000

#9 Sterling’s Temple (7/2) – Just missing by a neck at this level two starts back, she ran a dud last start.  Adding blinkers and 1st off the claim for a higher % trainer, he’s the only one with positives in this field.

Friday Night Funding: The Conductor’s Plays at Gulfstream Park

on By
Woman wearing a large black hat and a white dress with lace detailing at an outdoor event.

The Conductor hit the first two races at Gulfstream yesterday and we thought we were in for another robbery.  Only one short priced winner after that wasn’t what we were looking for, but we’re still in a good spot heading into the racing weekend. Let’s Ride.

Gulfstream Park

Race 1: 7 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 16000n3L

#8 Kikinboy (7/2) – 1st off the claim for Navarro at Gulfstream? That’s an easy start to the card.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. MC 50000

#5 Bronzed (7/2) – He’s steadily progressed over his first few starts and ran a solid 2nd behind Uncle Benny in his last race.  Uncle Benny almost won a Breeders’ Cup race last race.

Race 3: 1 Mile. F.Clm 6250

#9 Song of Melody (6/1) – Dropping in class, the Conductor has no idea why she ran such a dud last start.  However, she gets back to Gulfstream Park where she’s 5/7 lifetime and she’s beaten tougher handily in September.

Race 4: 1 Mile. Clm 12500

#5 Red Hot Randy (4/1) – Dueling and finishing a solid 2nd last start, he is steadily progressing and can turn the tables on his common rivals of the past today.

Race 5:  1 Mile. (Turf) MC 50000

#1 Gettinintomischief (8/1) – #4 King Orb (9/5) is the horse to beat, but the Conductor likes this boys chances at a number.  You won’t see stronger late pace figures than his first 2 starts and the added distance and switch to turf should suit his running style.  Low % connections will keep his price high.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. Alw 47000n1x

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Bottle Service Lock of the Day #7 Ercolano (7/2) – Pressing a scorching pace going a mile, this is an angle as old as time. Shortening in distance he’ll be tough to beat, he holds the fastest past figure in the field at 7 furlongs.

Gulfstream Park

Race 7: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Clm 16000n2L

#11 Sold On Salsa (5/1) – She’s got serious early speed and should be able to clear from the outside.  There isn’t as much speed as you would expect in a 5-furlong sprint and the front will be very dangerous.

Race 8: 1 Mile. OC 625000

#5 Third Day (5/1) – Going a mile at Gulfstream Park two starts back he ran a gaudy number.  His comeback race last time should set him up perfectly for this race and he’s going to win this race.

Race 9: 7 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Alw 47000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Riverside Walk (10/1) – Well bet at Keeneland in her 1st start in the states, she ran ok and that race came back very strong.  She’ll appreciate the added distance and is facing much softer competition today.

Gulfstream Park

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 45k

#7 He’s Smoking Hot (9/2) – He ran a strong closing 2nd last 2 race and will appreciate the extra ½ furlong.  Paco is also hot in the irons.

Thursday’s Throat Shots at Gulfstream Park

on By
Two hands exchanging various Euro banknotes, including 50 Euro notes, showcasing currency transaction.

6/5, 7/1, and two 7/2 winners yesterday gets the job done.  Is the Conductor satisfied? Never.  This is where we knock Gulfstream out. Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs. Clm 6250n3L

#4 Pokerist (2/1) – 2nd off the layoff and the only horse in the field in good dirt form, he should handle this group.

Race 2: 1 Mile. Clm 1200n3L

#2 Hookup (6/1) – Claimed off a low percentage trainer, he’s been facing much tougher and has the fastest speed figures in this group.  Let’s hope he doesn’t leave the bar empty handed.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. Clm 16000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Gator Fifty Two (15/1) – Only beaten a length at this level at Gulfstream last start, he made an early move into a blistering pace.  There aren’t any world beaters in this field and he has a big chance at a nice price.

Gulfstream Park

Race 4: 5 Furlongs (Turf) F.Clm 16000

#7 The Two Nancy’s (4/1) – Her last effort was fastest in the field on the Conductor’s numbers and she’s been in good form all year.  She’s drawn nicely and should get a perfect stalking trip.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.MC 50000

*Never a Doubt Car Payment Lock of the Day #5 That’s That (5/1) – She drops in class after pressing a blistering pace at Keeneland vs much tougher.  Her race two starts back slaughters this field and she’s the Conductor’s best bet of the day if she stays above 3/1.

Gulfstream Park

Race 6: 1 Mile (Turf) Clm 16000n2L

#2 Lookin Forevor (5/1) – He doesn’t like to win, which concerns the Conductor, but he’s dropping in class and the Conductor liked his last race.  Classic early move into a hot pace bet back.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 45k

#2 Double Medal (5/1) – Pressing a scorching pace vs the boys last start, she ran a hell of a 2nd.  The Conductor loves the cutback in distance and trainer Jonathon Thomas is 29% with a +$0.55 ROI this year switching runners from turf to dirt.

Race 8: 7 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Mdn 60k

#9 Niko’s Dream (8/1) – She closed into a moderate pace last start and just missed by a neck.  She should step forward in her 2nd start off the layoff and that will give her every chance.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. OC 25000n1x

#6 Brasstown (5/2) – In his first try routing on dirt last start at Gulfstream he won easy and a repeat effort would win again today.  The big sloppy track number doesn’t concern the Conductor, we are still at Navarro’s playground.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.MC 20000

*Atom Bomb of the Day #6 Kindhearted Kota (20/1) – She ran a very strong late pace figure last start, closing into a tepid pace.  With a solid pace, she has as good of a chance as any in here.  Let’s end the day with an atom bomb.

Gulfstream Park

Humpday Horses: The Conductor’s Plays at Gulfstream Park

on By
Two racehorses competing closely on a wet track at Gulfstream Park during a race.

They were bet down to short prices, but the Conductor’s lock and gullet shot of the day came thru at Parx yesterday along with another 3/1 winner.  A decent start to the week, but now it’s time to ramp things up.  The Conductor will get some sunlight to tan pasty body.  The train will be at Gulfstream thru Sunday, let’s hook some big fish. Let’s ride.

Gulfstream Park

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) MC 50000

#2 False Info (3/1) – This Pletcher colt ran well against tougher in his debut all things considered.  He had to steady multiple times and was only beaten 3 ½ lengths in the end.  With some experience under his belt he’ll be tough to beat.

Race 2: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 16000

#6 Mr French (10/1) – Winner of two in a row, he’s jumping up in class today, but his recent figures are competitive against this group.  He was also running well for a low % trainer and the Conductor would salivate for anything over 5/1.

Race 3: 1 Mile. F.S.OC 12500n1x

#6 Galileo’s Affair (6/1) – She’s steadily progressing and will appreciate getting back to the mile distance where she’s 3 for 5 life-time.  She should get a decent pace to run at today and will be flying late.

Race 4: 1 Mile. Clm 6250n2L

#6 More Illusions (12/1) – This a decrepit field and he should get an easy lead.  The front end will be very dangerous, and he’s run figures that would beat this group early in his career.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.MC 20000

#1 Rubellite (6/1) – She showed ability in her debut at the Maiden Special Weight level and plunges in class today.  She has good early speed and should sit a nice trip.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 6250

*Gullet Shot of the Day #10 Queen Roller (6/1) – She drops in class today and she’s run some blistering internal figures in her last few starts.  Last time she ran at this level she slaughtered the field.

Gulfstream Park

Race 7: 7½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Clm 16000n2L

#3 Princess Zoe (15/1) – She’s stepping up in class, but this group is not very fast on paper.  She has strong late pace figures and the Conductor will key her underneath in the trifecta.  She has a shot at a monster price.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. F.Alw 47000n1x

#5 Bodebabe (6/1) – She debuted at Gulfstream against the boys and was bet down to favoritism before losing all chance at the break.  She won her last start and the Conductor has that feeling in his right knee she’s going to run huge here.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 16000

*Humpday House Call #3 Paso a La Reina (12/1) – It took her a while to break her maiden, but only three tries on dirt.  Her win last time was the fastest last race in this field on the Conductor’s numbers and her price should stay high.

Gulfstream Park

Race 10: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) F.MC 25000

#10 Rachel’s Smokin (4/1) – If she had more proven connections, the Conductor would make her a lock.  She’s run very fast internal figures and to say she’s dropping in class is an understatement.

#1 Assume Control (15/1) – Tough post draw, but her last start on dirt was the fastest last race in this field.  She has never faced this low of a level on turf.

Look at all those juicy prices. MMMMMMMMMMMMmmmmmmmmmm.  Gulfstream better be ready for a fight, because the Conductor is swinging on a Wednesday.  Choooo!!! Chooooooo!!!!!!!

Tuesday’s Punts at Parx: The Conductor’s Plays

on By
Architectural rendering of the Parx Casino exterior featuring colorful triangular structures and a modern building design.

The Conductor’s already antsy after keeping the train in the station for a day.  Now we get to dive right into Parx for some Tuesday racing like a true sicko.  The Conductor will continue down south tomorrow to Gulfstream, where he will be mainly stationed until Santa Anita opens back up the day after Christmas.  Time to start the racing week off right. Let’s ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. F. 50000n1y

#6 Revolving Storm (3/1) – Good works, good early speed, she’s the only one in this field capable of beating the odds on favorite #4 Chorite (1/1).

Race 2: 1 1/8 Mile. MC 10000

#5 Border Agent (6/1) – He was well bet in his last race at this level and barely ran.  He is lightly raced and has shown to have some ability in his first few starts.  That’s at least something to latch on to against these other proven losers.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 10000

*Never a Doubt Lunch Money Lock of the Day #9 Brandon’s Law (9/5) – In her first start at this level last time she ran a solid 2nd with a troubled trip. Drawn well to the outside, she’s the class of the field and the one to beat.

Parx

Race 4: 1m70yds. OC 25000n2x

#4 King Koa (7/2) – Pressing a hot pace and driving home for an easy victory last start, the Conductor was impressed.  He continues to step forward with every race and the Conductor will back him today.

Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs. OC 25000n2x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Thomas Knight (6/1) – He loves the Parx surface, has won with multiple running styles and his last race was best on the Conductor’s numbers.

Parx

Race 6: 1 Mile. F.S. Alm 39000n1x

#5 Moon Chant (3/1) – She loves to run 2nd, which is always a concern for the Conductor.  However, she consistently runs figures that will beat this group.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 5000n1y

#1A One Sided (4/1) – He’s the only one in this field that can beat the odds on favorite #8 Charming Indy (4/5).  His last race was better than the figure suggests, closing strongly into a very slow pace.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. F.Alw 46000n1x

#6 Captain Sam (6/1) – She has an early pace advantage over this field and is working well.  The Conductor wants her sent right to the front and try to gut this field gate to wire.

Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 7500n2L

#12 Kion (8/1) – He has multiple past figures at Parx that would beat this group and he ran a decent 4th vs tougher last start.  The class drop is good enough for the Conductor.

Sunday’s Pocket Stuffers: Keys to the Pick 6 at Del Mar

on By
Two women wearing large hats and holding drinks at a social event with attendees in the background.

Three 2nds at Aqueduct and losers at Del Mar.  Hopefully some of you passengers made some money with #6 True Timber running 2nd at 30/1 in the Cigar Mile, but we still need better.  Need winners today, don’t want, need. Let’s Ride.

Race 4: 1 Mile. Clm 8000

*Atom Bomb Pick 6 Starter #9 Dedicated to You (20/1) – His last two starts have been dismal, but he’s run the fastest figures in this field and races that would beat this group in the summer.  He adds blinkers back on today, and if they wake him up, the Conductor is going to rip Del Mar’s throat out today.

Del Mar

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 50000s

#4 Lucky Knickers (15/1) – In his 1st start routing on grass last time he ran a solid 4th, finishing only ½ length behind #8 Foxtail (6/1), who the Conductor also likes.  He’s shown a nice natural progression and will have every chance with another small step forward.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. F.S.Mdn. 54k

#4 Kate’s Princess (5/1) – The Conductor liked her debut a lot, running a solid 3rd after breaking slowly.  She steps up in class today, but the Conductor sees it as a bode of confidence from trainer Dallas Craig.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 Matriarch Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Daddy is a Legend (20/1) – Ducking thru the rail in the stretch last start, he looked like he was going to win the Valley View Stakes at Keeneland.  He’s steadily progressing with a strong late kick, and he should get a perfect trip today with a hot pace to run at.

Race 8: 6½ Furlongs. OC 62500n2x

*Sunday Night Scary Preventer Lock of the Day #3 Captain Scotty (2/1) – Rounding into form, he’s run the fastest figures in this group and should run his best 2nd off a layoff and cutting back in distance.  He’ll be the Conductor’s key for the day.

Del Mar

Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 53k

#6 Leader of Men (8/1) – He broke slow and came from 14 lengths out of it in his debut. This showed some ability making up 11 lengths with a slow pace to run at.  He’ll step forward off of that effort and be very dangerous.

Cigar Mile to the Hollywood Derby: Saturday Stakes Plays

on By
A thoroughbred racehorse with jockey number 16 racing on a dirt track, showcasing speed and athleticism during a competition.

Only 3 short priced winners yesterday, another blah day for the Conductor.  It’s been a tough week, but there is no time to dwell on the past, the future is now.  We have an action-packed Saturday with stakes races across the county and the Conductor will play them all.  Strap in, the train is going to rack up some serious miles today. Let’s Ride.

Aqueduct’s Graded Stakes Keys to the Pick 6

Race 6: 1 Mile. F. G3 Go For Wand H.

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Come Dancing (10/1) – Pressing a hot pace going longer in a very tough Grade 1 race, she ran admirably last time.  She’ll appreciate the cutback in distance and is working well entering today.  Her best gives her every chance.

stakes

Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. G2 Remsen Stakes

*Never a Doubt Lock of the Sequence #5 Network Effect (7/5) – This looks like a two-horse race on paper and the Conductor will lean toward the Chad Brown runner.  He’s faced much tougher in his first two starts than #6 Maximus Mischief (6/5) and he’s run against much faster paces.

Race 9: 1 Mile. Grade 1 Cigar Mile

*Atom Bomb Shot of the Day #3 Pat on the Back (15/1) – After stumbling at the start, he ran huge to win easy in a state bred stakes last race.  That race was the fastest in the field on the Conductor’s numbers.  He’ll be a little farther back today, but with speed drawn to his inside and out, he’ll have a formidable pace to run at.  This is a weak Grade 1 field, and many have chances.  The Conductor will go for a price and key him in the exotics.

fight fighting GIF

Del Mar’s Keys to the Late Pick 4:

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. F.Alw 50000s

#8 Vallestina (5/1) – Drawn well to the outside, she has impressive early pace figures in a race without much speed signed on.  She is a consistent runner, switches back to the dirt today and has run her best over this Del Mar surface.

Race 7: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) G1 Hollywood Derby

*Double Barreled Shotgun Blasts #11 Carrick (8/1) – He didn’t run a step on soft turf last time, but the Conductor is throwing that race out.  He’s had some time off since, is a Grade 1 winner and has run well over multiple distances and surfaces in his young career.  He draws a tough post, nut the Conductor is trusting the Rajin Cajun to figure out a good trip.

#14 Californiagoldrush (12/1) – Another brutal post draw, but that’s the only knock against this horse.  He’s the class of the field and the horse the Conductor like most.  He has enough early speed to prevent being fanned too wide into the first turn.

stakes

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 53k

#7 American Camp (8/1) – This 325k colt is working like a rocket and his dam is 1/1 producing winners.  He’ll have good early speed and trainer Bob Hess Jr hits at a decent 10% clip with 1st time starters.

Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.S.OC 20000n1x

*Never a Doubt Lock of the Sequence #1 Marjorie (7/2) – She ran a decent 3rd off a layoff last start and should step forward off that effort.  She’s beaten much tougher open company in her young career and trainer Patrick Gallagher is 29% with a +$0.76 ROI with runners 2nd off the bench this year.

stakes