Nothing like being ice cold heading into the Breeders’ Cup. However, it only takes one horse in these pools to make up for it and then some. All hands on deck, grab a shovel. Skip.
Friday
Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. F.G1 BC Cup Juvenile Fillies
#1 Candied (4/1) – The Conductor likes this filly quite a bit to start his Friday. She had a poor trip last time, wide around both turns. She still showed a thunderous turn of foot when Saez asked her, and she proved she can handle two turns with no problem. Candied will be a better price than the favorite, #7 Tamara (4/5), who will be trying two turns for the first time. No brainer.
Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile
#6 Locked (7/2) – Much like Candied in the Juvenile fillies, Locked overcame a wide trip around both turns on an inside speed favoring Keeneland dirt course last time. With two Bafferts and the Cox horse in here, you’ll get an overlay on the most likely winner.
Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf
*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 My Boy Prince (8/1) – The Aiden O’brian European shippers will be tough to beat. However, there is one North American price the Conductor likes. This colt is the only one horse in this field that wants to be on the lead. He’s improving with each start and proven over multiple distances and surfaces. He will be unpressured on the lead, and can step forward on a frim turf course for the first time. He’s very dangerous.
Saturday
Race 2: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) G2 Twilight Derby
#6 Webslinger (3/1) – This gelding lays over this field. He’s improved with every start this year and Castellano is the only reason he hasn’t won 4 in a row. Even with a poor trip like he’s had in his last few starts, the Conductor sees him beating this group.
Race 4: 1 1/4 Mile. (Hillside Turf)F.G1 BC Filly & Mare Turf
#8 Fev Rover (8/1) – The Conductor is running it back with the team of Casse/Castellano for his 2nd play Saturday (not something he’d ever thought he’d say). The short-priced European favorites are formidable, but the Conductor was really impressed with this mare’s last win. She had a poor turf trip and still won for fun. She does her best running over firm ground and she looks to get a perfect trip here, sitting just behind #1 In Italian (4/1). Fev Rover will be a square price and will get the jump on the closers.
Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 Breeders’ Cup Mile
#1 Shirl’s Speight (30/1) – This horse ran a solid 2nd in this last year in this race at 55/1, and the Conductor thinks he can light up the tote again. Atfield prepped him in the Woobine Mile just like last year and he looks to be sitting on a peak effort. He’ll get a nice ground saving trip and if Johnny V can find a seem at the top of the stretch, there is no reason history can’t repeat itself. Bombs away.
Race 9: 1‚ Mile. G1 Breeders’ Cup Classic
#3 White Abarrio (4/1) – The Conductor was all over this colt in the Whitney, and he didn’t disappoint. That was the best dirt race a horse has under their belt this year. Mr. Ductor doesn’t see any reason why he won’t repeat that effort for Dutrow. 4/1 would be a dream.
Race 10: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) G1 BC Turf Sprint
#11 Jasper Krone (12/1) – This Japanese shipper is an absolute speed demon and has been running monster races going 6 furlongs. Shortening to 5 furlongs will help his chances here and he’ll be an overlay compared to his talent. Beware of the Japanese horses all weekend, they are serious contenders.
Race 11: 6 Furlongs. G1 BC Sprint
*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Speed Boat Beach (3/1) – Baffert prepped this colt off a year layoff last time and he ran exactly as he would have liked. He was under a snug hold and traveled nicely while wide vs the track bias. He’s the lone speed in this race and the others won’t catch him in the stretch. Gate to wire.
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