Tag: belmont derby

Aqueduct Saturday Picks — Belmont Derby Invitational (G1) Day, July 6, 2024 | Best Bets

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Elderly man in vintage attire sitting on a stool at a train station, with a historic train in the background.

Again only the heavy chalk wins for the Conductor Friday. We need to get the best of Aqueduct while it lasts. Only two racing days left before the train heads upstate for the rest of the summer. He can’t wait for Saratoga. Skip.

Race 6: 1 3/16 Mile. (Outer Turf) G1 Belmont Derby Invitational

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Royal Majesty (6/1) – The Conductor is heavily against the morning line favorite #5 Endlessly (6/5) in this spot. He’s not a Grade 1 caliber turf horse on the east coast. This morning line is laughable if true. Royal Majesty is steadily progressing and should have beaten #1 Legend of Time (5/2) last time in the Pennine Ridge Stakes. He was sitting a great trip and was ready to explode entering stretch. However, he was boxed in, forced to check, lost momentum and got out too late. The Conductor likes this colt’s steady progression and thinks he’s the most likely winner in a race where he’ll be at least the 3rd choice by the betting public.

Aqueduct stakes picks

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. G2 John A. Nerud Stakes

#5 Mullikin (2/1) – This is an evenly matched 5 horse field on paper, but the Conductor believes you can rely on this colt to get the job done. He’s improved as a 4-year old and there isn’t any other early pace in this field. Mullkin looks to get a perfect trip setting a slow pace or 2-wide pressing, whichever Prat prefers. While there are many solid closers in this Aqueduct stakes, pace makes the race.

Belmont Derby Saturday Picks — July 8, 2023 | Belmont Derby Day Best Bets

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Keeneland Picks

2 for 3 with 8/5 and 7/1 winners with a 7/1 2nd at Belmont Friday is just what the Ductor ordered. I can’t believe these tickets are free, this is such a great ride. The generous Conductor has plenty more up his sleeve today too. Unbelievable. Skip.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Mdn 90k

#2 Romeinaday (12/1) – The Conductor was close to keeping this filly to himself, but I was able to talk him into sharing. Feel free to tip the scribe too, without me you passengers would get nothing. This filly ran like it was a prep in her Belmont debut last time. She closed from last to split the field and had a mammoth gallop out past the winner. She draws well to the inside today, will appreciate the added distance, and will take a massive step forward with that last race under her belt. Just like the Conductor’s Empire, Rome wasn’t built in one day.

Race 5: 1 1/4 Mile. G2 Suburban Stakes

#1 Tonal Impact (4/1) – Linda Rice and Jose Ortiz have been unbeatable during this Belmont meet. This gelding ran a huge figure last time and now stretches out from a mile. This is a weak field with a terrible favorite in #4 Charge It (3/5), who is much better going shorter. The distance will be no problem for Tonal Impact and the Conductor can see the bettors cursing Linda when he runs huge again.

Race 10: 1 1/4 Mile. (Inner Turf) G1 Belmont Derby Invitational Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #10 Redistricting (8/1) – The Conductor doesn’t see any bonified Grade 1 horses in this field, so he’s looking for a colt with upside in this year’s Belmont Derby. #11 The Foxes (7/2) is the class of the field, but an outside draw and making his first start in the US is a lot to ask at a short price. Redistricting was ultra impressive in his debut last time. He showed a serious turn of foot and freak potential. The Conductor will call him a certified mower. When’s the last time he did that? Oh wait that was yesterday when More Than Looks won easy at 7/1. Skip.

Belmont Derby

Belmont Park: Key Horses for Saturday, July 10

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A racehorse with a jockey in colorful attire competing in a horse race at a racetrack, showcasing speed and agility.

Weather ruined Friday, but it looks like the stakes at Belmont Park should hold up today. The Ductor loves the prices on the menu. Let’s close out the meet in style. Skip.

Belmont Park Race 7: 1 1/4 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.-G1 Belmont Oaks Invitational Stakes

#2 Cirona (12/1) – This shipper from France has been facing tougher competition and has been very consistent. She’s proven at the distance and over a soft surface. The Ductor is praying to the pony gods that her morning line holds up.

Race 8: 6½ Furlongs. F.G3 Victory Ride Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Souper Sensational (8/1) – This filly ran well last time stuck inside and up close to a quick pace. The Ductor likes that they keep her sprinting and she looks to get a beautiful stalking trip with a contested pace up. Add two bullet works entering today and the Ductor is salivating.

Belmont Park

Race 9: 1 1/4 Mile. (Inner Turf) G1 Belmont Derby Invitational Stakes

#7 Tokyo Gold (15/1) – #2 Bolshoi Ballet (7/5) lays over this field, but Aiden O’brien US shippers win at a dismal rate. The Conductor thinks this colt has the most upside coming in off a easy win over good going in Italy. The American runners are nothing special in here and he’s been running well vs tougher.

 

The Conductor’s Belmont Derby Day Plays

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A group of jockeys in colorful silks riding horses during a race on a grassy track.

A great late half of the card at Belmont on this fine Saturday. If the Conductor spends more time in the sun this weekend he’s going to be a part of the leather skin club. Time to head to the beach and pick up a lump of cash. This late pick 4 looks delightful headlined by the Belmont Derby. Let’s Ride.

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. G2 John A. Nerud Stakes

*Never a Doubt Late Pick 4 Single Lock of the Day #7 Do Share (7/2) – He had a troubled trip and no pace to run at last time. The Conductor has been awaiting to play him back.

belmont derby

Race 9: 1 1/4 Mile. (Inner Turf) G1 Belmont Derby

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Cape of Good Hope (10/1) – This is a spread race for the Conductor. This colt has very strong European form and had a troubled trip over soft ground last start. The Conductor will forgive that effort.

belmont derby

Also Use: 2,3,7,8,11,12,13,14

Race 10: 1 1/4 Mile. G2 Suburban Stakes

#2 Preservationist (5/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he’s steadily progressing and gets the acid test today. The Conductor is a little against #1 Catholic Boy (9/5) in this spot.

#7 Wooderson (12/1) – He looks to get a good trip up close to a slow pace and the Conductor likes his steady progression.

#11 Pavel (8/1) – If he doesn’t show up today, he’s dead to the Conductor. The Conductor is a suborn man and will give him one more chance.

Race 11: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 80k

#1 Downstream (12/1) – The Conductor will use her with the with the Chad Brown runners, #9 and #11. In her debut she contested the pace with Newspaperofrecord. That’s all the Conductor needs to see at a big price.