Ponies

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Travers Day Plays at Saratoga

The time has come. The biggest day at the biggest meet. It’s put up or shut up time for the Conductor. Will Saratoga defeat him? Or will he come out on top? Only time will tell, but Toga best believe the Conductor is coming out swinging. Protect your neck Toga, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 Mile. (Inner Turf) OC 62500n2x

#8 Lemonist (4/1) – Last time was too long for him and he still ran a good 2nd at this level. 3rd off the layoff and shortening to his preferred distance, the Conductor gives him a major chance to upset the chalk.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 90k

7 Onward (7/2) – Drawn well to the outside for strong connections, this boy is well bred and working well.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 90k

#5 New York Charmer (15/1) – Stretching out to a route and trying grass for the first time, this filly can drastically improve for top connections. She gets a rider upgrade and the Conductor will key her in the exacta and tri.

Race 4: 6½ Furlongs. Alw 92000n1x

#2 Dark N Cloudy (20/1) – He ran 2nd vs similar last start and has past performances above par for this level. He has good early speed and doesn’t need the lead to win. If he can sit just behind a hot pace, he’ll be very dangerous.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. G1 Forego Stakes

#3 Mitole (4/5) – He was finally defeated last start after having a little trouble at the gate. The Conductor sees him rebounding today and putting on a show.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. F.G1 Ketel One Ballerina Stakes

#6 Minit to Stardom (8/1) – She’s become a new animal this year in the Camejo barn. She wired the field to upset the Honorable Miss last time and the Conductor sees her having a chance to do the same today.

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. G1 H. Allen Jerkens Stakes

#1 Shancelot (1/2) – The Conductor wanted to take a shot against him from the rail, but his early pace edge looks too much for this group to handle.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.G2 Woodford Reserve Ballston Spa Stakes

#7 Scottish Jig (10/1) – Shortening in distance, she’s the lone speed in the race. She’s a nice price and looks to get a favorable trip setting a slow pace. The Conductor will key her in the exacta and trifecta. This race is wide open on the win end.

Using ALL

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. G1 Personal Ensign Stakes

#5 Wow Cat (5/1) – The Conductor will use this mare along with #4 Elate (7/5). She needed that last race off a long layoff, and this has been the goal for Chad all along. The Conductor sees her running back to her Breeders Cup Distaff effort, which will give her every chance.

The Conductor will TOSS #1 Midnight Bisou (6/5)

Race 10: 1½ Mile. (Inner Turf) Grade 1 Sword Dancer Stakes

#7 Annals of Time (5/2) – This Grade 1 winner was dominant last time and has the most talent in the field. The majority of the Conductor’s play will go through him.

Backups: #6 Ya Primo (7/2), #5 Pillar Mountain (10/1)

Race 11: 1 1/4 Mile. Travers G1 Runhappy Travers Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Mucho Gusto (6/1) – The Conductor’s Travers Preview

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Race 12: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) S.OC 40000n2x

#11 Discretionary Marq (4/1) – Dropping out of open company, his early speed will put him in a great spot turning for home.

Race 13: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Mdn 90k

#1 Aymara (12/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she was favored last time and ran like a short horse. She has talent and the Conductor sees her running a big effort today.

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Ponies, Videos

The Conductor’s Travers Preview

The 2019 Travers doesn’t have any superstars in the field and is a wide-open betting race on paper. The Conductor was going to do a full breakdown on all the contenders, but to him there is only one. He doesn’t like a horse in this year’s Travers, he loves one. He’s logging into his 401k right now to withdraw it all and back the caboose up to the windows.

#7 Mucho Gusto (6/1) – This race has absolutely no pace on paper. The lone Baffert runner in the field, this colt is really progressing late in the 3-year-old season and working well at Del Mar. He gave Maximum Security a Run for his money last start:

and can dictate his trip on the front end. In a field full of closers, Talamo can take him right to the front, or press the pace behind a lower quality horse that sends. He’ll open up as they turn for home and the late runners will have too much work to do. The Conductor will single Mucho Gusto in all his bets Saturday and Saratoga better be wearing its neck brace. The Conductor is going straight for the jugular.

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Ponies

The Conductor’s Pacific Classic Day Late Pick 4 Preview at Del Mar

Pacific Classic Day tomorrow at Del Mar with a nice late card sequence the Conductor will look to exploit. It will be a hell of a day of racing across the country.

Race 8: 1 Mile. F.G3 Torrey Pines Stakes

#1 Into Chocolate (10/1) – This filly has taken a step forward in each of her 3 starts and she ran huge after stumbling last time. She adds blinkers today and Mike Smith stays aboard, which is a great sign.

#4 Hollywood Hills (12/1) – In her 1st start on dirt last time she beat a formidable favorite, #6 Sneaking Out (7/2) on the square.  She also loves to win with 6 victories in 11 starts.

#7 Fighting Mad (5/2) – The Conductor must use this Baffert colt stretching out for the 1st time. He’s posting bullet works.

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 Del Mar Oaks

*Never a Doubt Lock Chad Brown Leg Lock #1 Cambier Parc (5/2) – She looks like a clear standout to the Conductor and he will have the majority of his play going through her. Shipping in for Chad, her only 2 losses in her last 5 starts have come to Concrete Rose, who is the best filly in the country.

Charlotte Flair Figure8Leg Lock GIF - CharlotteFlair Figure8LegLock Carmella GIFs

Backups: 4,5,7,13

Race 10: 1 ¼ Mile. G1 Pacific Classic

#5 Seeking the Soul (3/1) – This isn’t the saltiest Pacific Classic, but the Conductor sees this colt as a cut above the rest. He’s really matured and has run well against the likes of McKinzie and City of Light.

#8 Campaign (6/1) – The Conductor is going to fade #3 Pavel (7/2) and will use this colt as his only backup.  He’s in good form, steadily progressing and has the strongest late pace figures in the field.

Race 11: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.OC 40000n1x

The Conductor will be spreading in the finale and he will not be using the M/L Favorite #8 Salsa Bella (7/2)

Using: 1,2,7,10,11

Ponies

The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Del Mar

Race 1: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) Mdn 61k

#4 Tomorrow Knows (3/1) – This 165k colt is bred to sprint on the grass and the Conductor likes his work pattern leading into today.

#1 Whispering Flame (20/1) – He’s a bomb but posted a quick work in his last and is bred for the grass. Trainer James Cassidy is 15% with a +$1.71 ROI debuting turf runners this year. The Conductor will try to get him in the exacta and trifecta to spice things up.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.Alw 50000s

#1 Diamond of Value (7/2) – The Conductor loves her steady progression and quick 3 week turn around.

Race 3: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 32000n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 War Chest (6/1) – He’s improved his speed figure in his last four starts and drops to his lowest career class level.

Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 20000

#3 Tell It Again (5/1) – Taking a big drop in class switching to dirt for the first time, trainer Jeff Mullins is red hot at Del Mar with 4 firsts and 4 seconds with 10 starters.

#8 Ma Bella (5/1) – 2nd off the layoff and 1st off the claim for Peter Miller. Miller’s barn is also scorching hot.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.OC 100000b

*Never a Doubt Lock of the Day #6 Toinette (7/5) – Its her return to the races this year, but she lays over the field in the Conductor’s eyes.

#4 Youngest Daughter (15/1) – She’ll be the biggest price in the field and the Churchill shippers have been outrunning their odds on the Del Mar turf. The Conductor will use her in 2nd and 3rd.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 12500

#2 For Him (5/1) – 3rd off the layoff and trending in the right direction, he still has room to improve as a four-year-old.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 61k

#2 Fravel (6/1) – This colt is working well and Prat hops aboard for Mandela

Ponies, Videos

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers in his Bed

The conductor needs a day of rest.

Ponies, Videos

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Whitney Day Plays at Saratoga

After a long day in all aspects of life, the Conductor had enough stew to kill an elephant last night. He can barely open his eyes this morning…..but that’s when he reads the form the best. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 90k

#1 Chimney Rock (8/1) – This colt ran well in his debut in a sprint rained off the turf. He is bred to be much better stretching out on the lawn like he is today.

Race 2: 1 1/8 Mile. Alw 92000n1x

#7 Uncle Sigh (6/1) – This old gelding is a warrior, exiting a troubled trip last time out he offers value today.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. Mdn 90k

#2 Dubai Bobby (8/1) – The Conductor bet this boy in his debut and he ran a decent closing 3rd. He should appreciate the added furlong and trainer Jonathan Thomas is 29% with a +$0.19 ROI switching horses from turf to dirt this year.

Race 4: 1 Mile. (Inner Turf) Clm 45000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Siding Spring (8/1) – Dropping in class and shipping in from Woodbine, he’s faced much tougher recently. Woodbine shippers have been running well on the lawn at toga.

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Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) G3 Troy Stakes

#1 World of Trouble (3/5) – He’s a monster.

Race 6: 6½ Furlongs. Mdn 90k

#4 Westport (12/1) – Previously trained by Baffert, he ran a dud in his debut but was well bet. Now in the Servis barn, the Conductor will bet he runs off the screen.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Lure Stakes 100K

#8 Ticonderoga (4/1) – Dropping out of G3 company, he ran a thunderous late pace figure closing into a slow pace last start. The Conductor has always liked his finish.

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. F.G1 Test Stakes

#2 Bellafina (2/1) – The Conductor sees her as a cut above these fillies.

Race 9: 1 ¼ Mile. G1 Whitney Stakes

*Feature Double Barreled Favorite Beater #4 Thunder Snow (3/1) – The Conductor will use two horses in the feature to try and beat the favorite #6 Mckinzie (7/5). Mckinzie is ultra-talented, but he must prove to the Conductor he can win a race of this caliber going this far at a short price. Thunder Snow is tough as nails and one of the Conductor’s favorite horses in training.

#8 Preservationist (3/1) – Improving with every start and added distance, his win in the Grade 2 Suburban last time against a good horse in Catholic Boy gained the Conductor’s attention.

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***Thunder Snow Has Scratched, All Aboard #8 Preservationist

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.De La Rose Stakes 100K

#5 Rock My Love (9/2) – Dropping out of Grade 2 stakes company where she ran well, the Conductor sees her taking a big step forward in her 2nd start off a long layoff.

Race 11: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) S.Alw 80000n1x

#6 Brockmoninoff (8/1) – Coming in off a long layoff, he broke his maiden impressively at Saratoga last year at this distance. George Weaver will break through at the Spa soon.

Ponies

The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Del Mar

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 40000

#2 So Much Happy (8/1) – She set a scorching pace last time and is cutting back to a sprint and switching back to dirt. Her early pace figures make her dangerous, she was able to get the lead vs maidens in her debut as well.

Race 2: 1 Mile. Mdn 61k

#7 C Falls (4/1) – Making his 3rd career start, he took a nice step forward last time. With natural progression the Conductor likes his chances.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. Alw 50000s

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Big Barrel (8/1) – He took a big step forward last start, but the Conductor doesn’t think it was a fluke. He showed ability last year and the Conductor sees it natural progression. He gets a weight break against this group as well.

Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 61k

#5 Beyonce (5/1) – Her last two works have been bullets for solid connections. She looks ready to roll. Slay Queen Slay.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Clm 25000

#1 My Aunt Tillie (6/1) – This mare is returning off a long layoff, but trainer Myke Puype brings them back ready and she’s run well fresh before. If she runs her race she’ll have every chance and Van Dyke taking the mount is a good sign.

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.S.CTBAB Stakes 100k

*Never a Doubt Lock of the Card #7 Cholula Lips (2/1) – If she runs her last race vs tougher at Churchill, it will tough for the others beat to jump up and beat her, let alone if she takes a step forward. Her works leading into today suggest she’s ready to run.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 50000s

#9 Honos Man (6/1) – Shipping in from Churchill after a nice win last start, the Kentucky invaders have run well on the turf this meet. The Conductor will load up the caboose if we get that price.

Ponies

The Conductor’s Thursday Plays at Del Mar

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. S.Mdn 61k

#5 Santanta (7/2) – The lone 4-year-old in the field taking on 3-year-olds, the Conductor likes his work tab.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Clm 32000

#1 Lifeline (10/1) – 2nd off a long layoff and taking a big drop in class, he gets a 7 lb weight break and has a nice inside draw.

Race 3: 5 Furlongs. F.MC 80000

*Never a Doubt West Coast Night Cap Best Bet of the Day #7 Foggy Bottom (6/1) – Drawn well to the outside, the Conductor loves her long works over a tiring Golden Gate surface. Trainer Bill McLean is 17% with a +$2.85 debuting maiden claimers this year.

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Race 4: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Mdn 61k

#2 Stylishly (5/2) – 1st time in the Simon Callahan barn is always dangerous. This filly has run well against tougher and looks to be ready to roll.

Race 5: 1 Mile. Clm 8000

#4 Excavation (4/1) – Dropping in class and getting a 7 lb weight break he looks to get a favorable trip on or up close to a moderate pace.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.S.OC 20000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Hot On the Trail (12/1) – Lightly raced and stretching out to a route, she looks to get a good trip with a hot pace to run at. Desormeaux doesn’t ride for Glatt often, but when he does, he’s usually live. They’ve won 3 of their last 4 starts together.

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Race 7: 1 Mile. MC 50000

#9 Lostinthemoment (10/1) – Van Dyke hops a board for an out of town barn and the shippers have been live this meet with the bonuses offered.

Ponies

The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Del Mar

The racing week starts tomorrow, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) OC 100000b

#4 Eddie Haskell (6/5) – 3rd off the layoff, he’s 5/6 at Del Mar with one 2nd and 8/11 at the distance. He’s the type of favorite that’s tough to bet against.

Race 2: 6 ½ Furlong. Clm 8000

#3 Twirling Tiger (5/1) – This old gelding gets back to Del Mar where he was last victorious and drops in class.  The weight break helps as well.

Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs. S.MC 500000

#2 Afternoon Heat (7/2) – She gets a 7 lb weight break as well and ran a good 2nd last time at this level in her debut.  With a natural step forward, the Conductor sees her in the winners circle.

Race 4: 1 Mile. OC 62500b

*Never a Doubt Best Bet of the Day #6 Hot Sean (4/1) – 3rd off the layoff, he made an early move into a hot pace last start and now stretches out to a route. Baffert is 44% with a +$1.04 ROI moving runners from two sprints to a route this year.

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Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 50000n2L

#5 Shanghai Truffles (3/1) – She’s lightly raced and took a nice step forward last time. The Conductor likes fillies on the incline.

Race 6: 1 ½ Mile. G3 Cougar Handicap

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Premium Forest (20/1) #7 Campaign (6/5) is the clear one to beat, but the Conductor will key this colt in the exacta and trifecta at a big number. A winner on synthetic, turf and dirt, he is versatile and on the improve. He looks to get a favorable trip up close to a slow pace and has the late pace figures to get the distance.

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Race 7: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Mdn 61k

#3 Miss Stormy (6/1) – She’s coming in off a long layoff, but with solid connections and a sprint distance that doesn’t concern the Conductor. She ran 2nd at this level last fall and with some maturity she has major upside.

Ponies

The Conductor’s Opening Day Plays at Del Mar

Talk about action, big work week starts tomorrow. Toga rolls right into Del Mar, what a treat. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 Mile. Alw 50000

#4 Surprise Fashion (10/1) – Stretching out to a dirt route for the first time, the Conductor sees him stepping forward. He will key him in the exacta as the likely highest price on the board.

Race 2: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) S.OC 62500n2x

#5 Starting Bloc (4/1) – The Conductor liked his finish last time having to wait behind horses. He is steadily progressing this year.

Race 3: 1 Mile. Clm 16000

#1 Oh Man (7/2) – Dropping back to the claiming ranks, he has the best races at this distance in the field.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. Clm 20000

#5 Giddymeister (5/2) – Winner of 3 of his last 4, he is in good form and keeps getting better.

Race 5: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) F.OC 40000n1x

#6 Kiana’a Love (6/1) – She moves into the Peter Miller barn and he takes the blinkers off, which is a positive ROI move for him this year. This filly showed real talent in her debut win.

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.S.MC 50000

#6 Golden Goddess (15/1) – The Conductor doesn’t have a strong opinion in this wide-open baby race. He likes this girl’s multiple 4F works.

Race 7: 5 Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 61k

*Never a Doubt Backstretch Birds Chirping Lock of the Day #3 Smiling Shirlee (3/1) – The word is out on this filly, just look at her work tab and you’ll see why.

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Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) Runhappy Oceanside Stakes 100k

#2 Roger That (30/1) – The Conductor likes #8 Gregorian Hunt (7/2), and if you like him you must like Roger That at 8 times the price. He was only beaten 1 ¼ lengths by Gregorian Hunt in Ireland and he stretches out to a route today for the 1st time. The Conductor will key him in the trifecta.

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. OC 40000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Jack Van Berg (20/1) – 1st time out for the Michael Puhich barn, he ran a good 3rd against a tough 12-horse field at Churchill last time. In this sprint without much pace, his early/turn pace figures make him very dangerous at a big number. The Conductor will key him in the exacta and trifecta.

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Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) S.Mdn 61k

#7 Unusually Handsome (8/1) – The Conductor like that Van Dyke takes the mount for the “other” Peter Miller entry in here.