Tag: keeneland picks

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The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Keeneland

The Conductor's Scribe

The Conductor will figure out Keeneland before its over. He hopes.

Race 1: 1 Mile. F.Clm 7500

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 War Eagle’s Love (10/1) – 3rd off the layoff, she took a step forward last time and the Conductor sees another one coming. She looks to get a favorable trip as well, up close to a slow pace.

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Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 50000

#3 Han Sense (9/2), #5 California Night (3/1) – One of these Maker runners will be victorious.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. F.Clm 25000

#5 Paint the Corners (7/2) – A young Conductor would put is 2 seamer right on the black.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. MC 30000

#1 Visual (7/2) – His 2nd last time was fast enough to beat most groups at this level.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 71k

#6 Party Goer (12/1) – She’s bred to relish the lawn and the Conductor loves her work tab. Catalano is 25% with a +$0.51 ROI this year debuting runners on turf.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 75000n2L

#5 Blood Curdling (5/1) – Cutting back to a sprint after facing G2 company last time, she showed she can sit and pass horses in her debut win.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 75000n2x

#2 Patriot Drive (8/1) – Chad Brown and #5 Emaraaty (7/5) will be tough to beat, but this gelding is in good form and hasn’t missed the exacta in his last 5 tries.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

#4 Book of Love (10/1) – She’s working well for solid connections and her sire is winning at a 16% with 1st time starters.

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Ponies, Videos

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Keeneland

The Conductor's Scribe

The Conductor needs to answer the bell. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. MC 50000

*Gullet Shot #4 Speed Effect (6/1) – Dropping to the claiming ranks for the first time, he set a wicked pace last time in a race that has come back live. He also adds blinkers today.

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Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. Mdn 71k

#6 Lucky Curlin (4/1) – He ran a very strong late pace figure last time and has already faced some of the best two-year olds in the country. The added blinkers should put him in a better position early.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 50000s

#3 Untraceable (5/1) – This gelding is a different animal routing on the turf. He set a hot pace and held on last time and the Conductor can see it happening again.

Race 4: 1 Mile. Clm 32000

#7 Hardly a Secret (2/1) – He’s the best on paper and looks to get a favorable trip.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. MC 30000

#8 Wicked Valentine (5/1) – She’ll rip their hearts out.

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs (Turf) F.Alw 75000n2x

#5 Stillwater Cove (5/2) – The Conductor doesn’t have an opinion here.

Race 7: 6½ Furlongs. Mdn 71k

#1 Telephone Walker (3/1), #3 Risk Profile (4/1) – One of the Chad Brown 1st timers will get the job done.

Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs (Turf) F.Alw 80000n2x

#6 On Probation (15/1) – She can’t leave the state, but the Conductor thinks she can hit the board at a big price.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. Alw 73000n1x

#3 Patagonia (6/1) – This colt ran very well in his debut and is stretching out for the first time. He’ll be in a favorable spot early without much pace signed on.

Ponies

The Conductor Late Pick 5 Play at Keeneland

The Conductor's Scribe

Race 6: 6½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 71k

#12 Flatoya (4/1) – She’s cutting back to a sprint after pressing a hot pace going longer last time. The Conductor will key her in the exacta.

Also Use: 4,7,8,10

Race 7: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Alw 75000n2x

#1/1A Entry (5/1) – The Conductor likes both Ward entrants.

Also Use: 1,2,3,4,10

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. Clm 50000

#4 Sevier (15/1) – This gelding set a wicked early pace vs tougher off a layoff last start and should take a step forward today. The Conductor will key him in the exacta and trifecta.

Also Use: 3

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup

#5 Castle Lady (7/2) – This filly is the only one that can beat #3 Cambier Parc (8/5) and the Conductor will take a stand that she will. The line in the sand has been drawn.

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 71k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #11 Frills (15/1) – This is a very tough maiden race to end the sequence. The Conductor likes this filly stretching out for the first time with Irad hopping aboard.

Also Use: 1,3,4,5,9

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Ponies

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

The Conductor's Scribe

The Conductor’s head hurts this morning very much. That always leads to a day filled with winners. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. MC 15000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Wrath (8/1) – He set a wicked pace vs tougher last start and he’ll be more fit today 2nd off the bench.

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Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 16000

#2 Cowboy Rhythm (5/2) – Nothing creative here.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. OC 100000n2x

#6 En Wye Cee (4/1) – This colt’s debut win at Saratoga got the Conductor’s attention. He could be a good one.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 50000

#3 Zabava (5/2) – She’s well drawn and looks to get a favorable trip.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 50000

#1A Ashley’s New Shoes (5/1) – Ashley will get her new footwear today and the Conductor will get a new house.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. F.MC 150000

#6 Raggedy Annie (5/1) – Throw out her last effort on turf, she’s dropping in class and will improve returning to dirt.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 73000n1x

#5 Bizzee Channel (8/1) – Stretching out after a good 2nd against a quality field, he looks to get a favorable trip on or near the lead. There is not a lot of pace signed on in here.

Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 71k

#9 Young Phillip (7/2) – Drawn well to the outside, he ran very well last time cutting out hot fractions. He’ll graduate today.

Race 9: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) Buffalo Trace Franklin County Stakes 150k

#11 Girls Know Best (6/1) – Her opinion is up for debate, but her early pace figures are not. Her early speed makes her very dangerous.

Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 7500

#1 Satellite (4/1) – This gelding returned to form last start and the Conductor sees him running a similar effort.

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Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

The Conductor's Scribe

Nothing you can do but hop back in the train and keep chugging. Let’s Ride

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 7500

#7 Served Cold (4/1) – She took a step forward last time and the Conductor sees her continuing her progression.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 71k

#3 Keepme in Thegame (7/2) – She adds blinkers today, which should help her be for forwardly placed. She’s run some extremely strong late pace figures.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Clm 30000

#5 Blunt Force (5/2) – She’s best and looks to get a good trip.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 15000

#9 Starvana (6/1) – Dropping back to the claiming ranks, the Conductor sees her taking a big step forward 2nd off the layoff.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 73000n2x

#5 Thanks Be (3/1) – Chad Brown.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. MC 150000

*Atom Bomb Shot of the Day #4 Jerzees One (20/1) – Only 15k at auction, the Conductor likes that this colt is debuting for this much money and that Rosario takes the mount for a barn he never rides for. He’s also working well.

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Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 73000n2x

#6 Dabinett (3/1) – Chad Brown.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. Clm 25000

#12 Drunken Fridays (12/1) – Nothing like a barrel of stew to start the weekend.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 80000b

#3 Sacred Life (5/2) – The Conductor sees her as a single against this field.

Race 10: 7 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 It’s a Ford (6/1) – Dropping in class and cutting back in distance after pressing the pace last time, the Conductor loves her here.

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Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday: The Conductor’s Spot Plays at Keeneland

The Conductor's Scribe

The racing week is upon us. Let’s Ride.

Full Card Top Picks: The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Keeneland

Race 1: Win #8, Exactas (8 / 5,7), (5,7 / 8)

Race 2: Win #3

Race 5: Win #2

Race 6: Win #9, Exactas (9 / 4,7), (4,7 / 9), Double (4,9 / 9)

*Gullet Shot of the Day Race 7: Win #9

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Ponies

The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Keeneland

The Conductor's Scribe

Elate let us down yesterday in the late pick 5 at Keeneland, in a sequence that the Conductor otherwise saw perfectly. Never too early to prep for Wednesday.

Race 1: 1 1/8 Mile. Clm 30000n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Treasure Trove (6/1) – Switching back to dirt 3rd off the layoff, this boy is also a 1st time gelding. Trainer Kellyn Gorder is adept with this move, being 28% with a +$0.29 ROI switching runners from turf to dirt this year.

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Race 2: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 71k

#3 Shared Legacy (6/1) – This colt bobbled at the start and pressed a hot pace last time and still ran well. He should step forward and appreciate the shorter distance here.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. Clm 50000n3L

#6 Senor Jobim (5/1) – The Conductor sees him rounding back to a peak effort.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 20000

#4 Dreaming Diamonds (4/1) – This filly stepped forward last start and the Conductor sees her continuing the progression.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 71k

#2 Ramsey Solution (4/1) – This colt is bred to be a good one and the Conductor doesn’t like the runners with experience in this group.

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs. Alw 73000n1x

#9 Breaking News (15/1) – #4 Honest Mischief (1/1) looks tough to beat, but the Conductor likes this colt to hit the board at a big price. 2nd off the layoff, he ran a monster late pace figure in his return to the races last start. The Conductor will key him in the exacta and tri.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.G2 JP Morgan Chase Jessamine Stakes

#9 Diamond Sparkles (6/1) – This filly ran very well last time vs Grade 1 company closing into a slow pace. She looks to get a much better setup in here with a hot pace to run at. Anywhere close to 6/1 would be glorious.

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. MC 30000

#12 New York Style (9/2) – The only concern is the post.

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Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Late Pick Five Play at Keeneland

The Conductor's Scribe

The Conductor needs to figure out Keeneland quickly. Let’s Ride.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Mdn 71k

#1 Blame Debby (8/1), #4 Glamour Girl (6/1) – Both these girls are stretching out for the first time and the Conductor sees them stepping forward with the added distance. They will be well-positioned in the first flight of horses today.

Race 7: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Indian Summer Stakes 200k

The Conductor scored in last year’s rendition in dramatic fashion:

#9 Chimney Rock (8/1) – The Conductor loves this colt at a price, he’s the only closer in the race. He should get a perfect setup with a scorching pace up front.

Also Use: #1 Old Chestnut (3/1), #2 Kimari (5/2)

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) G3 Dixiana Bourbon Stakes

#14 Vitalogy (4/1) – The Conductor is going to spread wide in this race, you can make a case for any contender. He will press this colt as he’s the best in the field, the post is a concern however.

Also Use: All

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. G1 Judmonte Spinster Stakes

#5 Elate (4/5) – The Conductor isn’t off her bandwagon; all his money will go through her.

Race 10: 6½ Furlongs. F.Alw 73000n1x

Use- #2,3,6,10

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Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

The Conductor's Scribe

The Conductor couldn’t see the ball at Keeneland on opening day, but he learned a few things with his scars. Its a great Saturday of racing ahead of us. The Conductor loves the card, prices everywhere. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 71k

#6 Miss Imperfection (15/1) – This filly’s work tab screams to the Conductor that she’s ready to roll and her sire wins at a 16% clip with 1st time starters. Trainer Kellyn Gorder has a positive ROI this year with debut runners as well.

Race 2: 1 Mile. F.OC 80000b

#6 Whoa Nellie (4/1) – This filly looks to get a perfect trip, stalking a hot pace and swooping on the turn.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. OC 62500n2x

#6 Major Cabbie (10/1) – Throw out his last race on turf, his two dirt efforts in the Miller barn give him every chance. He’s working well leading up to this one.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. Mdn 71k

#3 Portos (4/1) – This colt closed into a tepid pace and ran a huge late pace figure in his debut. The Conductor would love 4/1.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. OC 75000n2L

#7 Peruvian Boy (8/1) – He’s faced the toughest competition in the field and the Conductor sees him in a great spot when they turn from home. His works suggest he’s on the improve.

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) G2 Woodford Stakes

#3 Imprimis (2/1) – With a clean trip he towers over this field.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.G2 Thoroughbred Club of America Stakes

#4 Danuska’s My Girl (6/1) – West coast shippers are always dangerous in dirt sprints. This girl is steadily progressing and has a major chance to wire this field.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 First Lady Stakes

#7 Indian Blessing (12/1) – There is an abundance of pace signed on in here and this mare looks to get a nice setup. She’s hit the board in every start in America and the Conductor will key her in the exacta and trifecta. The Conductor sees #4 Uni (4/1) as the likeliest winner.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. G1 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity

#5 Enforceable (15/1) – #1 Tap It To Win (3/1) is the one to beat, but this colt will be the Conductor’s key to the race. He’s the only one proven he can go this far and will be closing late with a hot pace in front of him.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 Shadwell Turf Mile Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Vintager (10/1) – The Conductor isn’t impressed with the American contingent. Obviously Chad Brown can’t be ignored with #4 Valid Point (5/1), but he’s going to take a swing with this European shipper. He’s in good form and trainer Charles Appleby has had success in America.

chess GIF

Race 11: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 71k

#5 Further Lane (4/1) – She’s working like she’s a good one for top connections.

Ponies

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Opening Day Plays at Keeneland

The Conductor's Scribe

Opening day in the most beautiful place the Conductor’s eyes have ever seen. Belmont picks will be up before post time as well. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. OC 10000

#5 Got My Mo (5/1) – Mo Money, less problems.

Race 2: 7 Furlongs. Alw 77000n1y

#1 Knicks Go (4/1) – This colt is finally getting the cutback in distance and class relief he needs.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 30000n3L

#8 Lngtermrelationship (6/1) – Seems like a bad decision.

Race 4: 1½ Mile. (Turf) Alw 75000n2x

#5 Stella d’Oro (2/1) – She had no chance last time with the slowest of paces in front of her. She should handle this group.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 71k

#3 Boss Onthe Horizon (8/1) – You always need to know where your boss when you have your paycheck on the race right before a meeting.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. F.OC 75000n2L

#2 Fifthatnarraganset (8/1) – The Conductor liked both of her races at Arlington Park and she’s working well entering today.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 71k

#2 Urban Fairytale (8/1) – 2nd off the layoff, the Conductor sees this filly taking a big step forward stretching out to a route for the first time.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. G2 Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 American Pastime (12/1) – This gelding has had trouble staying on the track but has always possessed major ability. His last race shows he’s trending in the right direction and the Conductor sees him running to his potential today. He’ll key him in the exacta and trifecta.

groundhog day eating GIF

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. F. G1 Darley Alcibiades Stakes

#7 Perfect Alibi (5/2) – She hasn’t done anything wrong in her young career and looks to get a perfect setup in this one, staking a hot pace.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 71k

#10 Across (4/1) – She ran a good 2nd in her debut, closing into a slow pace. With natural progression she’ll be tough to beat.