Tag: Ponies

Stephen Foster Late Pick 5 Plays at Churchill Downs

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Horses racing at the Kentucky Derby with spectators in the grandstands at Churchill Downs.

Stephen Foster night at Churchill is sneaky one of the Conductor’s favorite cards of the year. Always quality racing and he’s a sucker for the ponies under the lights. Let’s Ride.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mille. G3 Matt Winn Stakes

*Never a Doubt Saturday Twilight Racing Lock of the Day #2 Mr Money (2/1) – The Conductor loved him in the Pat Day Mile last time and he romped. Hog Creek Hustle came back to win last weekend who he beat by 5 lengths as well.  The Conductor will single to start the sequence.

Churchill

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) G2 Wise Dan

#4 Hot Springs (10/1) – 3rd off the layoff, he looks pointed perfectly for this spot and is 4/5 at Churchill.

#6 Siem Rep Riep (8/1) He’s the only one that wants the lead in here. His wire job last time was no fluke, he set a hot pace and finished well.

#9 Inspector Lynley (6/1) – He’s been facing classier runners than this group, the Conductor can’t leave him off his tickets.

#10 El Picaro (12/1) – He’s dominated in Chile and is shipping to America for the first time. He’s working well and if Castellano is taking the mount, he’s live.

 #11 March to the Arch (6/1) – 3rd off the layoff, he’s dropping out of G1 company.

#12 Admission Office (5/1) – The one to beat, he ran huge in the G2 Dixie last time out. The #12 post is the only concern.

Race 7: 1 1/8 Mile. F.G2 Fleur de Luis H.

#3 Elate (8/5) – The Conductor will use #2 She’s a Julie (2/1) as a backup but will heavily press Elate. This mare is a class above.

Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. G2 Stephen Foster Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Seeking the Soul (4/1) – If the Conductor gets 4/1 on this horse he’ll back the caboose up right to the windows.  He’ll use #6 Gift Box (3/1) and #7 Tenfold (12/1) as backups.

Churchill

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) F.G3 Regret Stakes

Let’s get this home with these girls: #4 Varenka (4/1), #5 Hard Legacy (8/1), #7 Bella Laura (8/1), #11 Princess Carolina (4/1)

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

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Jockeys and horses walking towards the racetrack at Belmont Park during a horse racing event.

8/1 Winner #3 Carlisle Belle in the 5th at Belmont yesterday made it a decent day for the Conductor. Thank god it’s Friday, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.S.MC 40000

#4 Fika (4/1) – The Conductor can’t take the favorite in here. This girl drops to the claiming ranks for the first time and trainer Joe Sharp is 22% with a +$0.47 ROI with runners off a layoff this year.

Race 2: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) S.OC 40000n2x

#2 Ghost Giant (12/1) – The last time he ran at this distance at Belmont, he won easy.  Getting back to what he wants, he offers value.

Race 3: 1 Mile. MC 30000

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Bottle Service Lock of the Day #4 Ari’s Naughty Luca (1/1) – The Conductor sees her winning with ease.

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Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) S.Clm 25000

#7 Big Thicket (8/1) – He’s only run once on the turf, and he ran a good 3rd.  His dirt form is competitive on numbers and trainer James Ferraro is 11% with a +$2.44 ROI switching runners from dirt to turf.

Race 5: 5 Furlongs. Mdn 80k

#5 Three Technique (5/2) – This colt can clog up two gaps nicely.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 80k

#1 Perceived (5/1) – One of the two Chad Brown horses will obviously win the race. The 1st timer on the rail is working very well by all counts.

Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs. S.Clm 40000

#2 Dr Lloyd (5/1) – He’s been working well so the Conductor isn’t concerned about the layoff, especially with these connections. He showed talent in his first two starts.

Race 8: 1 3/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.OC 62500n2x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 War Conoe (10/1) – This mare made up 4 lengths in the stretch, losing into a tepid pace last time. The Conductor will key her in the exacta and trifecta.

belmont

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.S.Alw 66000n1x

#1 Flush (5/1) – She’s bred to be better on the grass and has shown real ability on dirt. Getting to run on the lawn for the first time, the Conductor loves her.

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

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Two racehorses competing at Belmont Park, showcasing speed and agility during a thrilling horse race with jockeys in colorful attire.

That was sadly the best result for the Conductor at Belmont all day. Very sad indeed, Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 16000n2L

#5 Quest for Fire (5/2) – Drawn well to the outside, he just missed at this level last time and looks to get a perfect trip today.

Race 2: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.S.Mdn 62k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Running on Entry (8/1) – The Conductor liked her debut, closing into a moderate pace.  She should appreciate an added furlong.

belmont

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. Clm 12500

#4 Toohottoevenspeak (3/1) – With pace to run at, he should get a perfect setup to close into. The Conductor will key him in the exacta.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 80k

#2 Funny Flowers (8/1) – She had no chance in her debut, trying to close into the slowest of paces.  The Conductor will she what she is made of today.

Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 40000n2L

#3 Carlisle Belle (8/1) – Its tough to back a filly that is 1/16 lifetime, but you need to zig when others zag in this game. This race is going to have an extremely hot pace and she’ll be running late. The Conductor will key her in the exacta.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) MC 40000

#7 Solar (6/1) – He drops in class and adds blinkers today.  Castellano takes the mount, which is a good sign.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 82000n1x

#7 Go Rose (4/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she ran a strong late pace figure in her American debut and will take a step forward today.

Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Alw 82000n1x

*Never a Doubt US Open Lock of the Day #3 Mizzen Max (5/2) – 2nd off the layoff at Belmont and getting back to a fast track, her race two starts back at Saratoga buries this field.

belmont

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.S.MC 40000

#7 Traci’s Girl (6/1) – She set a wicked pace on turf last time and switches back to dirt today.  She has a pace edge and the Conductor is salivating at that price.

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday at Belmont Park

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Exciting start of the Belmont Stakes horse race with multiple horses and jockeys at the starting gate.

The Conductor hadn’t played Parx in a while and it showed the last two days with an absolute ass kicking. Thankfully, Belmont is back to on Wednesdays and there are a few decent opportunities on today’s card.  One month until Toga, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. MC 50000

#4 Soul Group (8/1) – He brushed the gate in his debut vs tougher and the Conductor likes that Rosario stays aboard. He has upside.

Race 2: 6½ Furlongs. F.S.Clm 40000

*Never a Doubt Humpday Lock #5 First Forever (4/5) – She looks to be too good for this group.

Belmont

Race 3: 5 Furlongs. F.Mdn 80k

#3 Sweet Kisses (3/1) – Well bred, her sire wins at a 25% clip with 1st time starters. She also has strong connections in her corner.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Clm 35000n3L

#5 Zap Daddy (9/2) – 2nd off the layoff, he’s dropping back into the claiming ranks for the first time in a while. The last time he ran for a tag, he won.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 16000n2L

#6 Eddy Dirt (7/2) – He’s dropping in class and has the best turf form in the field.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.MC 40000

#1 Galadriel’s Light (5/2) – She’s bred to be better on the grass and if she can stand up on turf, she’ll beat this group.

Race 7: 1 Mile. Alw 40000s

#2 Rucksack (4/1) – He took a long time to break his maiden, but his figures fit in here. The Conductor is using the old lightbulb angle.

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.OC 40000n2x

#2 Broken Border (9/2) – She’s 3/4 at this distance at Belmont Park.  Getting back to 7 furlongs, she’s the Conductor’s best bet of the day.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) Clm 40000n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Mend Up (15/1) – This colt is steadily progressing and will try turf for the first time. His dam has produced 2 grass winners and trainer Ubillo Rodrigo is 2/9 with a +15.00 ROI with 1st time turf runners.

Belmont

Trachea Kick Tuesday: The Conductor’s Plays at Parx

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Horses and jockeys at the starting gate during a race at Parx Racing, showcasing the excitement of horse racing.

How the hell is it only Tuesday? The Conductor doesn’t want to play 11 races at Parx, but he has no choice. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 15000

#3 Backcat (9/5) – Lightly raced, she has the most potential in  the field.

Race 2: 1m70yds. Clm 16000n2L

#4 Talking Point (4/1) – He’s the only horse in the field that is improving, and his barn has been hot lately.

Race 3: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 45k

#8 Cousin Pete (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff and trying turf for the 1st time, he took money in his debut at Saratoga. He has upside.

Race 4: 1 ¼ Mile. 7500n1y

#1 Charming Indy (3/1) – He’s the only one in the field proven at the distance and will get a favorable trip on the lead.

Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs. MC 20000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Risque’s Warrior (20/1) – This colt caught a sloppy track last time but has shown early speed vs miles tougher. On the class plunge, the Conductor has seen more ridiculous bombs win.

parx

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. Clm 5000n1y

#1 Return of a Giant (7/1) – He returned to form last start and when these old geldings do so, they usually rattle off a few good efforts in a row.

Race 7: 1m70yds. F.Alw Alw 25000

#3 Setubal (2/1) – She’s consistent and has been facing the strongest competition.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 25000s

#5 Bowspirit (12/1) – 2nd off the layoff, his Parx turf form gives him every chance.

Race 9: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) F.OC 35000n2x

Never a Doubt Taco Tuesday Lock of the Day #3 Richie’s Sister (8/5) – This girl can scoot.

Image result for eating taco gif

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. OC 35000n2x

#5 Chasing My Halo (15/1) – He’s stepping up in class but is in good form and has beaten tougher than this before.

Race 11: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 7500n4L

#3 Dialin (1/1) – Chalk

Moon Shot Monday: The Conductor’s Punts at Parx

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Group of jockeys riding horses during a race on a dirt track with dust being kicked up.

The 2019 Triple Crown season has come to an end and it was not the Conductor’s favorite. We must march on and arrive to Saratoga in peak form. As the old saying goes, “Don’t think, just throttle it to Parx” Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 Mile. Clm 5000

#6 Hauscaran (7/2) – Dropping in class and switching back to the dirt, he’s the lone speed in the race.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. Clm 7500n4L

#2 Hidden Bamboo (6/1) – His early pace figures give him an advantage in this spot.  He needs the lead to win, but he should have no problem getting it today.

Race 3: 1 Mile. S.Alw 41000n1x

#5 Amazing Start (8/1) – He’s lightly raced and trending in the right direction. The Conductor sees him taking a big step forward today.

Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 7500n2L

#7 Dancingthehnydaway (6/1) – She pressed a hot pace vs tougher last race for a good 3rd. 6/1 would be highway robbery on this filly.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. S.F.Clm 16000

#2 Barley Jack (9/2) – She returned to form last start. She has past performances that the get the job done.

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Alw 125000s

#6 Viva Forever (9/5) – Dropping out of Grade one company, she looks tough to beat.

Race 7: 7 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 20000

#3 Threeohtwocassle (2/1) – Looks like the chalk again.

Race 8: 1m70yds. Alw 12500s

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Grit’n’grind (20/1) – He fits on paper closing into a slow pace vs tougher last start. He’s tough to put on top with an 0/55 trainer this meet, but if he hits the board the trifecta will pay handsomely.

parx

Race 9: 1m70yds F.OC 50000n3x

#5 Trace of Grace (8/5) – If she runs back to her last effort, they won’t catch her.

Race 10: 1m70yds. MC 10000

*Never a Doubt Monday Pick Me Up Lock of the Day #4 Mount Olympus (8/5) – If he doesn’t win today against this Parx group, he never will.

parx

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Belmont Park

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A crowded horse racing event with multiple horses and riders on the track in front of an audience.

They always run the next day and there is always another race in 20 minutes. Belmont time, Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 16000n2L

#1 Ok Honey (4/1) – Plunging in class, she’s cutting back to a sprint and the rail was the place to be all yesterday.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Mdn 62k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 The Happy Giant (20/1) – 2nd off the layoff for a new barn, her race two back at Laurel gives her a major chance.  The Conductor will key her in the exacta and trifecta.

belmont

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. 150k Jersey Girl Stakes

#3 Break Even (3/5) – Chalk

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. S.F MC 25000

#7 Too Many Tales (7/2) – She has to graduate today or she never will.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) S.MC 40000

#2 Game Break (6/1) – He took money at the windows and set a hot pace before folding in his debut. He’ll take a big step forward today.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) Clm 40000

#8 Bold Daddy (6/1) – He moved early into a hot pace last time. He’s very dangerous in his 2nd start for Servis.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. Clm 32000

*Never a Doubt Lock From God #3 Flat Rate (4/1) – The Conductor liked his maiden breaker at Parx and that he shortens a furlong today.

belmont

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) S.Alw 66000n1x

#1 Everyonelovesjames (2/1) – He has a major early pace edge over this Belmont group.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) OC 80000n1x

#2 Honey Won’t (5/2) – The Conductor doesn’t have a strong opinion in this race.

Race 10: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) S.MC 40000

#6 Dove Shoot (5/1) – He pressed a hot pace vs tougher last start. He drops back to where he fits today.

The Conductors Belmont Stakes Day Plays

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A racehorse with a jockey wearing a red and white uniform, galloping on a racetrack.

Belmont Stakes Day, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. Alw 92000n1x

#2 Shadow Rider (8/1) – The Conductor is going to key him underneath in the exacta.  He has the strongest late pace figures and should get a decent pace to close into.

Race 2: 1 ¼ Mile. Mdn 90k

#2 Better Tapit (6/1) – This jockey/trainer combo hit with a 1st timer yesterday. This cold is well-bred.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. 150K Easy Goer Stakes

#4 Outshine (9/5) – He got wiped out in the Wood last time, his 2nd in the Tampa Bay Derby makes him the one to beat.

Race 4: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 Just A Game Stakes

#4 Rushing Fall (4/5) – She’s the Goods

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. F. G1 Ogden Phipps Stakes

#1 Come Dancing (6/5) – She has an early pace edge over the favorite #2 Midnight Bisou (1/1) and the rest of the field.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) G1 Jaipur Invitational Stakes

#8 World of Trouble (1/1) – He’s nails right now.

Race 7: 1 Mile. F.G1 Acorn Stakes

*Never a Doubt Under Card Lock of the Day #7 Guarana (2/1) – The birdies are chirping that she is a freak. Jose Ortiz also chose to jump off the Oaks winner #1 Serengeti Empress (5/2) to ride her.

belmont stakes

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. G1 Woody Stephens Stakes

#1 Honest Mischief (6/1) – Finally somewhat of a price to play. This colt’s maiden breaker at Keeneland last start dropped the Conductor’s jaw.

Race 9: 1 Mile. G1 Met Mile

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Pavel (20/1) – #2 Mckinzie, #3 Mitole, #4 Thunder Snow and #7 Firenze Fire should all be used on top, but the Conductor is going to key this bomb in the trifecta. He’s always wanted to go shorter in the Conductor’s opinion and he sees him getting a perfect stalking trip from the outside.

belmont stakes

Race 10: 1 1/4 Mile. (Inner Turf) G1 Manhattan Stakes

#3 Robert Bruce (6/1) – He gets back to firm turf today and also has tactical speed in a race devoid of pace. However, one of the Chad Brown runners will obviously win.

Race 11: 1½ Mile. G1 Belmont Stakes

#5 Bourbon of War (12/1) – The Conductor’s Belmont Stakes Preview

Race 12: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) OC 62500n2x

#5 Near Gold (8/1) – The Conductor isn’t impressed with any of the American runners so he’ll turn to the French import.

Race 13: 1½ Mile. G2 Woodford Reserve Stakes

#3 Sonateer (10/1) – He romped in his 1st try at the distance last start. Moreover, this may be what he’s wanted all along.

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

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A racehorse with a green and yellow jockey competing on a racetrack at KY Downs.

The Conductor had a shorty winner in the opener yesterday, then couldn’t hit the broad side of a barn. This week is a can’t lose Conductor! Tighten it up! We need money to play with tomorrow at Belmont, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 7 Furlongs. Mdn 90k

#2 Per Capita (8/1) – The “other” Chad in this race.  His dam has produced 3 stakes winners from 6 starters, he’s posting bullet works and will be a bigger price.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.S. Mdn 72k

#8 Lead Guitar (5/1) – 200k at auction, George Weaver can surprise with 1st time starters and the Conductor likes his work tab. His bullet work at Keeneland April 30th did not go unnoticed.

Race 3: 1 Mile. (Turf) OC 80000n1x

#1 Wild Medegliad’oro (5/1) – He took a little while to break his maiden, but he was very impressive stretching out on the grass for the 1st time.  This is what he’s wanted all along.

Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs. S.OC 40000n2x

#7 Fiery Opal (10/1) – The favorites look tough to beat, but the Conductor is going to key this gelding in the trifecta, mostly underneath. Cutting back to a sprint after racing last weekend, he will come running late.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. F.G3 Bed of Roses Stakes

#7 Separationofpowers (5/2) – Drawn well to the outside, she looks primed for this spot 2nd off the layoff.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) OC 100000n3x

#6 Gidu (8/1) – He has an early pace edge on this field and is working well entering today. The Conductor will root for him to get to the front and scamper away.

Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs. 150k Tremont Stakes

#2 Maven (7/5) – The son of American Pharoah, he looked great in his debut win last time.

Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs. G2 True North Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Do Share (5/1) – He ran solid last time closing into a moderate pace against Mitole, who we’ll see tomorrow in the Met Mile. The Conductor loves him in this spot, its his best bet on the card.

Belmont

Race 9: 1 ¼ Mile. (Inner Turf) F.G2 New York Stakes

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Bottle Service Lock of the Day #8 Homerique (6/5) – She’s too classy for this group.

Belmont

Race 10: 2 Miles. (Turf) G2 Belmont Gold Cup

#4 Red Knight (7/2) – He’s proven at the distance, 2nd off the layoff and does his best running at Belmont.

Race 11: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.Alw 40000s

#8 Queen Kahen (10/1) – 1st off the claim for Linda Rice, his win last time on dirt gives him every chance if he takes to the lawn.

The Conductor’s Belmont Stakes Preview

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Image displaying the entries for the 151st Belmont Stakes horse race with horse names and numbers.

The posts drew for the Belmont Stakes last night and now it’s time to go to work.  There is an inordinate number of deep closers in this race, and the Conductor hopes all the suckers fall for them because of the added distance. This race will favor those in the first flight like it has the last in the last decade.

 

Race 11: 1 1/2 Mile. G1 Belmont Stakes

#1 Joevia (30/1) – He caused the chaos in the Wood and came back for a gate to wire win in a prep race last start. He’s the bomb the Conductor is most intrigued about in this race.  He’s the lone horse that want the lead. If he breaks well and goes right to the front, he can get brave late and surprise everyone but the Conductor.  The Conductor will use him heavily in 2nd and 3rd in the trifecta and possibly a sprinkle on top.

#2 Everfast (12/1) – He road a gold rail and got a hot pace to close into in the Preakness, the Conductor won’t use him anywhere especially at that price.

#3 Master Fencer (8/1) – The Derby was a funky race with the track and he’ll be coming from way out of it.  He missed the break and ran well, but if he’s not double-digit odds the Conductor won’t use anywhere.  The Conductor will make him prove him wrong

#4 Tax (15/1) – The Conductor is drawing a line thru his Derby race.  If you do that he fits very nicely in this spot. The distance is a question, but he’ll get a perfect trip up close to a slow pace. The Conductor will use him heavily in 2nd and 3rd and maybe a few saver tickets on top.

*#5 Bourbon War (12/1)

– He ran a dud in the Preakness, but the Conductor will give him another shot taking the blinkers back off.  He can run all day and the Conductor thinks he may have the most potential of any runner in this group.  The Conductor will lean on that live Florida Derby form.

belmont stakes

#6 Spinoff (15/1) – Just copy and paste what the Conductor said about tax. He looks to get a dream trip and the Conductor sees him running well.

#7 Sir Wisnston (15/1) – He took a major step forward in the Peter Pan last start, but he helped with a hot pace to close into. The Conductor can’t see him any better than 3rd.

#8 Intrepid Heart (10/1) – He stumbled at the start in the Peter Pan and was prepping for this race all along.  He adds blinkers, will be forwardly placed and is very dangerous. The Conductor will use him in all 3 spots in the trifecta.

#9 War of Will (2/1) – He won nicely in the Preakness, but you can’t ask for a better trip.  Its hard to see him not running well here, but the stubborn Conductor will take a stand against him on top.  He’ll allow him to run 2nd or 3rd.

*#10 Tacitus (9/5) – The Conductor liked him a lot going into the Derby and he ran a solid race. He should be mid-pack and will grind all day like Belmont Stakes winners do. He’s the one to beat.

belmont stakes

A Contenders: #5 Bourbon War, #10 Tacitus

B Contenders: #8 Intrepid Heart

C Contenders: #1 Joevia, #4 Tax, #6 Spinoff