Tag: breeders cup

The Conductor’s Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint Preview

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Hamrock Rose, a racehorse, adorned with a floral blanket, stands with a jockey in yellow attire at the Breeders' Cup event.

Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint time, Skip.

Race 4: 7 Furlongs. F.G1 Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint

#1 Covfefe (2/1) – The rail is a tough draw she’ll get early pace pressure. The Conductor wants to be against her but there is a chance the circumstances don’t matter at all and she’ll bury them. She’s the most talented in the field.

#2 Danuska’s My Girl (20/1) – No chance.

#3 Heavenhasmynikki (20/1) – Too slow.

*#4 Come Dancing (5/2)

Drawn well to the outside of Covfefe, she looks to get a perfect trip stalking a hot pace. She’s the Conductor’s top pick and the one he’ll press most here.

Filly and Mare Sprint

#5 Lady Ninja (10/1) – Too slow.

#6 Bellafina (6/1) – She loves Santa Anita and another filly that looks to get a nice stalking trip. She pressed a hot pace last time and is cutting back in distance, a move the Conductor likes. However, her declining form gives him pause and she’ll likely be over bet.

*#7 Selcourt (10/1) – The Conductor liked her last year entering this race and she got cooked in a hot pace. That may be her demise again this year, but she’s drawn well and has a chance if Covfefe stubs his toe out of the gate. She’ll be a big number and has figures to run back to that make her competitive in here. The Conductor will use her defensively.

#8 Dawn the Destroyer (12/1) – She can run underneath with a hot pace to close into but is too slow to win.

#9 Spiced Perfection (4/1) – The Conductor won’t use her on the win end. Her figures are too slow for the price she’ll be.

The Conductor’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf Preview

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A racehorse with a jockey wearing red and white silks racing on a track.

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf time, Skip.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

#1 Living in the Past (15/1) – The Conductor didn’t like her finish last race.

#2 Croughavouke (20/1) – The west coast turf runners aren’t in this class.

#3 Shadn (10/1) – This filly has been very consistent across the pond and a good foundation. The Conductor won’t rule her out.

#4 Abscond (15/1) – She had a favorable trip last time up close to a slow pace. The Conductor doesn’t think she’s good enough.

#5 Daahyeh (5/1) – She’s the best of the Euros and is a definite contender with a good draw.

#6 Unforgetable (20/1) – The Conductor will forget about her.

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Crystalle (8/1)

She looks to be the Conductor’s best bet on Friday’s card if we get anything close to that morning line. This girl ran a monster late pace figure closing into a slow pace and looks to get a much better setup in this one. With a solid draw and Rosario aboard, the Conductor is licking his chops.

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

#8 Tango (10/1) – This filly is a seasoned vet at this point and has faced quality competition in Europe. Her blowout victory last time caught the Conductor’s attention.

#9 Albigna (9/2) – Another European contender.

#10 Fair Maiden (12/1) – She’s the other American that intrigues the Conductor. She’s obliterated fields sprinting and will get a firm turf course for the first time Friday, which the Conductor expects her to appreciate.

#11 Sharing (12/1) – The Conductor can’t knock her too much, but he doesn’t think she can win from this post.

#12 Sweet Melania (5/1) – She’s been impressive in her young career, but the Conductor doesn’t like her in this spot. She has a wide draw and will be contesting a hot early pace. She’ll be over bet in the Conductor’s opinion.

#13 Selflessly (8/1) – She beat #7 Crystalle, who the Conductor likes best, last time but she doesn’t look to get as favorable a trip here and will be heavily bet from the Chad Brown barn.

#14 Etoile (12/1) – This filly has talent, but the Conductor will fade her from out there.

The Conductor’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Preview

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Jockey in bright attire celebrating on a horse with a group of people at a race track.

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies time, Skip.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. F.G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies

#1 Donna Volce (3/1) – This group doesn’t have a heavy favorite and this girl may have the most upside. However, she is untested routing and will get heavy pace pressure at a short price.

*#2 Two Sixty (15/1) – In her first try routing last time, she was dominant and ran a very fast time for the distance. Normally, Gulfstream shippers running big numbers in restricted races will no be taken seriously by the Conductor, but at this price in an open race the Conductor is intrigued. He may mess around with her.

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies

#3 Perfect Alibi (10/1) – She doesn’t want to go this far.

#4 British Idiom (7/2) – This girl was visually impressive last time but had a perfect trip and didn’t run a huge number. She can win, but the Conductor doesn’t see a big step forward coming and she’ll be over bet.

#5 Lazy Daisy (12/1) – She can hit the board but can’t win.

#6 Bast (7/2) – Pressing a slow pace and barely gutting out a victory at 1/5 last time, this is another filly who will be over bet. A contender yes, but she’s no superstar.

*#7 Wicked Whisper (7/2)

Of the morning line favorites, she’s the one the Conductor likes best. She’s looked very professional in her two victories and has plenty more in the tank.

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies

#8 K P Dreamin (20/1) – She’s intriguing at a big price. The Conductor will use her underneath and if there is a pace meltdown, she has a punchers chance.

#9 Comical (8/1) – This filly returned to form last time after showing talent in the early summer. It’s a home game for connections and nothing would surprise the Conductor from her. She could finish 1st or last and the Conductor wouldn’t bat an eye. He’s leaning only using her underneath.

The Conductor’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Preview

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Dynamic horse race featuring jockeys in colorful silks, showcasing competitive racing on a lush track.

The Europeans have dominated the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf, but with tough draws this year they’re not a cinch. The Conductor isn’t in love with Chad Brown either.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf

*#1 Our Country (15/1) – The Conductor likes this colt at a big price in this spot. He’s run very strong late pace figures and has some troubled trips that have muddied up his form. He was hung very wide last time and will be able to save ground here from the rail. His maiden breaker was as good as you’ll see on turf.

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf

#2 Structor (5/1) – 2/2 in his 1st two career starts, he hasn’t done anything wrong, but hasn’t shown the Conductor anything special. At a short price for Chad Brown he is a contender, but will be over bet.

#3 Peace Achieved (10/1) – Winner of three in a row and steadily progressing, the Conductor can’t knock him, but doesn’t think he’s fast enough to win.

#4 Decorated Invador (4/1) – He’s shown versatility, winning convincingly over firm and soft turf. The Conductor likes him, but he may be over bet as well.

#5 Vitalogy (GB) (10/1) – The Conductor would take this colt 10/10 times over #3 Peace Achieved who held him off last start. He has a very strong late kick and the Conductor will absolutely be using him.

#6 Graceful Kitten (15/1) – He won’t be able to get the distance.

*#7 Andesite (12/1)

The Conductor likes him better than Structor in here. He showed fight in the Pilgrim and galloped out back in front of Structor by a mile after the wire. He’ll be a big price and will be tough to pass down the lane.

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf

#8 Billy Bats (20/1) – The Conductor won’t be using any California turf horses.

#9 Gear Jockey (20/1) – He can’t win going this far.

#10 War Beast (20/1) – No California horses.

#11 Proven Strategies (30/1) – This colt needs shorter.

#12 Arizona (5/2) – Undoubtedly the class of the field, this colt has been running against the best across the pond. Pinatubo would be odds on against this group and is a serious race horse. The wide draw will not make this an easy task, but the Conductor will absolutely be using him.

#13 Fort Meyers (12/1) – A tough draw, but with the success of the Europeans in this race, the Conductor can’t ignore him. His European form is strong and he has a lot of experience.

#14 Hit the Road (10/1) – No California turf horses.

The Conductor’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint Preview

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Thoroughbred horses racing with jockeys in colorful silks at a horse racing event, showcasing speed and competition.

The first BC race on Friday has a potential single for the Conductor. Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint time, Let’s Ride.

Race 5: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) G2 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint

#1 Chimney Rock (10/1) – This colt will be coming from the back of the pack, but the Conductor doesn’t give him much of a chance to win. If he couldn’t beat #7 Kimari (7/2) last time with that trip, he never will. The post position did him no favors as well.

#2 Band Practice (IRE) (12/1) – The Conductor’s mostly against the Euro shippers in these sprint races. This short of a sprint isn’t what they are used to. You must really impress the Conductor across the pond to make him respect you, and this filly doesn’t.

#3 Another Miracle (15/1) – This colt looks too slow for the Conductor.

#4 Dream Shot (IRE) (15/1) – He likes to run underneath at big prices, but isn’t good enough to win.

#5 Encoder (15/1) – This is a home game for this colt, and he’ll appreciate the cutback in distance after making an early move into a hot pace last time. Without the pace you would expect in here, the Conductor thinks he can only get up for minor awards.

#6 Alligator Alley (GB) (12/1) – Fade

*#7 Kimari (7/2)

The Conductor loved the new dimension he showed last time sitting off the pace. He’s shown brilliance in his young career and can dictate his own trip. The Conductor has a feeling that he is going to put on a show in this one.

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint

#8 Dr Simpson (FR) – Fade

#9 Four Wheel Drive (3/1) – The other Ward runner, he’s shown major ability in his first two starts with two easy victories. He looks to get a good trip up close to the pace, but the Conductor would never take him at a lower price than Kimari, who is much more proven.

#10 A’Ali (IRE) (6/1) – Of the Euro shippers, he’s the one the Conductor likes best. He has a nice burst when asked and will appreciate the firmer ground. The Conductor thinks he’s dangerous.

#11 King Neptune (15/1) – Fade

#12 Cambria (12/1) – She hasn’t done anything wrong, but has a tough draw and doesn’t have the early speed to give her a chance on the win end.

Kimari looks to be one of the runners the Conductor is narrowing in on this Breeders Cup.

Saturday’s Breeders’ Cup Recap

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A racehorse with a jockey wearing green and white attire competing in a horse race.

The Conductor needed to regroup after the Breeders’ Cup madness.  An up and down day Saturday didn’t lead us to glory, but the Conductor isn’t phased.  He’ll hop back aboard and continue to fire.  Life on the rails isn’t for the faint of heart.

Race 3: Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint Breakdown

Top Picks: 13-11-5-1

This race completely fell apart with the scorching pace set by #1 Selcourt. This led to 25/1 #14 Shamrock Rose getting the job done and the Conductor’s picks falling backwards.

Race 4: Turf Sprint Breakdown

Top Picks: 8-11-5-1-7

If you switched the 8 out with the 9, the Conductor handed out the ice cold superfecta.  #11 World Approval ran too good to lose and #9 Stormy Liberal surprised the Conductor at 7/1.

Race 5: Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile Breakdown

Top Picks: 10-1-6-2

#10 Catalina Cruiser didn’t fire, but #1 City of Light put on a show and #6 Seeking the Soul ran a huge 2nd to give the Conductor and us passengers a nice 22/1 exacta.

Race 6: Filly and Mare Turf Breakdown

Top Picks: 6-1-9-12-2

#6 Sistercharlie got the job done for Chad at 3/1 and #9 A Raving Beauty ran huge for 3rd.  The Conductor’s underneath key #14 Eziyra didnt show up for him.

Race 7: Breeders’ Cup Sprint Breakdown

Top Picks: 2-9-8-5

#9 Roy H was dominant in victory and the Conductor was correct to play against the favorite #5 Imperial Hint.

Race 8: Breeders’ Cup Mile Breakdown

Top Picks: 5-8-15-1

This was the hardest race to cap for the Conductor and it showed in his results.  #15 Divisidero gave the Conductor a brief glimmer of hope at 35/1, but other than that his opinions stunk.  #7 Expert Eye just got up at 5/1.

Race 9: Breeders’ Cup Distaff Breakdown

Top Picks: 2

This is the race that ruined the Conductor’s day. #2 Abel Tasman didn’t run a step and proved that her poor prep race was not an aberration.  Additionally, #11 Monomoy Girl won in style.

Race 10: BC Turf Breakdown

Top Picks: 2-5

The most thrilling race of the day and the Conductor’s best opinion.  Both fillies ran huge and the Conductor nailed the 13/1 exacta ice cold.

Race 11: Breeders’ Cup Classic Breakdown

Top Picks: 7-6-1-11

#1 Thunder Snow ran nicely for 3rd, but the Baffert runners didn’t show up for the Conductor.  The Conductor was also against the favorite #14 Accelerate, who was much the best and made him look like a fool.

The Breeders’ Cup held its own this time against the Conductor, but this war isn’t finished. Back to the grindstone, Let’s Ride.

Breeders' Cup

Breeders’ Cup Classic Breakdown

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Horses and jockeys starting a race at the Breeders' Cup World Championships event.

Breeders’ Cup Classic time, Let’s Ride.

1 1/4 Mile. G1 Breeders’ Cup Classic

The granddaddy of them all, a 14-horse field and a hell of a betting race.  You can make a case for just about every horse in the field and the Conductor wouldn’t throw you in the loony bin.  The Conductor is smarter than you though and he has this race nailed down tight. Tight!

*Gullet Shot #1 Thunder Snow (12/1) – The Conductor has always been a fan of this horse and he looks to be cycling up to a peak performance.  His Jockey Club Gold Cup effort was very strong, and it was a perfect prep for him.  He’s won races on different surfaces all over the world and he is the real deal.  The Conductor was alive to him in last year’s Kentucky Derby for all of King Midas’s silver, hopefully we don’t see the bucking bronco again.

Breeders' Cup Classic

 #6 Mckinzie (6/1) – He may go off favored with all the buzz surrounding him this week.  He looked phenomenal in the Pennsylvania Derby and received the highest figure on the conductor’s numbers.  This Baffert trainee is only 3 and will only get better, he’s the 2nd most likely winner.

*Top Pick #7 West Coast (5/1)

The other Baffert runner in here is the one the Conductor believes will get the job done.  If he runs back to his effort in the Pegasus, this race is over, plain and simple. In his prep race off the layoff he set a hot pace and tired late.  That’s all that he needed to do, and all Baffert wanted.  He looks poised to run his best and his best is better than the rest in this field.

#11 Mind Your Biscuits (6/1) – The Conductor will protect himself with this beast of horse.  A Grade 1 winner sprinting and going 1 1/8 Mile, you can’t say that about many.  His win last out came back very fast over this same Churchill Surface and he is hard to knock.  The Conductor will mostly use him underneath.

#14 Accelerate (5/2) – Toss!

Breeders' Cup Classic

Top Picks: 7-6-1-11

Breeders’ Cup Mile Breakdown

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A racehorse with a jockey wearing polka dots and a red cap competes on a grassy track, showcasing speed and athleticism.

Breeders’ Cup Mile time, Let’s Ride.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) Breeders’ Cup Mile

Talk about a crap shoot, this race is wide open. It will take an expert handicapper to narrow down the field. Somebody who has seen it all, somebody like the Conductor.

Breeders’ Cup Mile

#1 One Master (12/1) – This filly continues to improve as she steps up in class. Additionally, she has proven herself over soft turf.  She’s beaten a combined 28 horses in her last 2 victories. Not many others have shown they can navigate through traffic. The Conductor is absolutely using her.

*Top Pick #4 Polydream (5/1)

She’s the buzz horse coming from France. She has all the talent in the world and had a brutal trip last time. She has the connections that led Goldikova to three straight victories in this race and looks poised to show her best. There is a chance she puts on a show and annihilates this field.

#5 Oscar Performance (6/1) – The soft turf is the concern for the Conductor, but he’s won over it as a 2-year-old.  There is not a lot of pace signed on this race and he should get his preferred trip on the front end.  The Conductor won’t let himself get beat by the leader turning into the stretch.

 #8 I Can Fly (10/1) – She lost by a neck to the super star Roaring Lion last start.  This filly is progressing and may be peaking at the right time.  She’ll get the exact same circumstances as her last start going a mile on soft turf. Roaring Lions is certainly not in this field.

*Underneath Uppercut Below the Belt #15 Divisidero (30/1) – This old boy has had legitimate excuses all year, getting slow paces and tough trips.  The mile distance is a little short for him. But, he gets back to Churchill downs where he does his best running.  He has the class and past performances to beat this field on his best day. The Conductor with key him underneath and also a sprinkle on top.

Breeders’ Cup Mile

 

 

Breeders’ Cup Sprint Breakdown

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Breeders' Cup Sprint

Breeders’ Cup Sprint time, Let’s Ride.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. G1 TwinSpires Breeders’ Cup Sprint

This race is wide open, there are a core group of top contenders, but there not much faster than the rest.  This is a tough race to figure out, but thankfully we have the Conductor.

Winning Contenders

*Top Pick #2 Promises Fulfilled (6/1) – There is going to be a fast pace in this race, but this is the old speed of the speed angle.  This colt is lightning and will go guns blazing on the front end.  At 6 furlongs the Conductor thinks he can hold on.  He has the guts to hold them off and the Conductor can’t wait get him home.

Breeders' Cup Sprint

#5 Imperial Hint (9/5) – He’s a great racehorse and obviously has a chance to win, but the Conductor thinks Promises Fulfilled’s early gas will pose a problem.  He hasn’t seen a pace like this since his race at Churchill in May, his worst in the last few years.  The Conductor may toss him.

#8 Limousine Liberal (6/1) – 6/8 lifetime at Churchill Downs, you can’t leave this gelding off your tickets.  He should get a perfect setup with a hot pace to run at and should be poised to run his best in his 3rd start off the layoff.

#9 Roy H (5/2) – The winner of last year’s sprint will tough to beat again.  Drawn well to the outside, he can sit just off the leaders and get a perfect trip.  He’s the likeliest runner to take down Promises Fulfilled and is the class of the race.

*Underneath Uppercut Body Shot #7 Distinctive B (12/1)

This old boy likes to run 2nd, but that’s all the Conductor is asking for.  He’ll be forwardly placed and has some speed figures that make him competitive on his best day.  He’s a Del Mar specialist, but he’s in career form and who’s to say he won’t love Churchill? Please run 3rd.

Top Picks: 2-9-8-5

Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf Breakdown

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Exciting horse racing scene at the Breeders Cup with jockeys competing on thoroughbreds, showcasing speed and athleticism.

Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf time, Let’s Ride.

Race 6: 1 3/8 Mile. (Turf) Maker’s Mark Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf

The Breeders’ Cup really knows how to pick their sponsors.  Is there anything better than betting on the best ponies in the world and having a few too many whiskey’s? The Conductor thinks not.  The Conductor is not a fan of this race from a betting perspective however, with the best turf trainer in the country have 5 runners.  He can dictate how this race is run.

Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf

*Underneath Uppercut to the Adams Apple #14 Eziyra (15/1) – Her form in Europe is the best of the bunch and she will be the Conductor’s key in this race.  She draws a brutal position and has lesser known connections, but she is nails.  She has yet to miss the board in 11 career starts at different tracks, surfaces, distances and she’ll be a big price.  The Conductor gives her an outside chance to win, but will bet she’ll find a way to end up in the top 3.  He’ll key her with Chads runners in the exacta, trifecta, and superfecta.

Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf

Chad Brown Runners: #1 Fourstar Crook (5/1) #2 Thais (20/1) #6 Sister Charlie (3/1) #9 A Raving Beauty (10/1) #12 Santa Monica (15/1) – One of them will win, you figure out which one.  The Conductor is hoping for one of the bigger prices, but all the Conductor knows is you’ll see this mug in the winner’s circle.

Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf