I know, I know I’ve been getting your messages. “Mr. Ductor please I am broke after the holidays and can’t cap like you. Please save me, I need your help. You are the greatest, where have you gone?!” Now, now passengers, the Ductor hasn’t gone anywhere. Time off is needed in this game especially with how stinky winter racing has become in North America. The Ductor won’t play daily at NYRA until the spring, but he’ll start upping his play as Derby prep season comes upon us. For the next few weeks the Ductor is going to cap the sequences for the coast to coast pick 5 with a $1 minimum and 15% takeout. The Ductor likes that its solely at Gulfstream and Santa Anita and is going to back to longer form posts. He’ll have his breakdowns for both Saturday and Sunday up each week along with their corresponding podcast. Cheers to ripping out gullets the entirety of 2023. Skip
Gulfstream Park Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Ginger Brew Stakes
#3 Cairo Consort (7/5) – She’s the clear favorite exiting a 3rd place finish in the Breeders’ Cup and moving into a stronger barn. The Ductor can’t fault you if you single her in the Coast to Coast Pick 5. However, he doesn’t think she’s the cinch the morning line suggests.
#9 Erna (4/1) – This filly has shown gameness in her 1st two starts and has an early pace edge over this group. The outside post is no concern with Saez, who will take her right to the front. She’ll have the lead turning for home and will fight to the wire.
#5 Stephanie’s Charm (12/1) – In a stakes race off a layoff last time, she ran very well in just her 2nd career turf start at 30/1. She overcame some trouble and closed strongly into a slow pace, making up 3 1/2 lengths in the stretch. 2nd off the bencch today, she is improving and dangerous.
#7 Navy Goat (8/1) – She’s slow on figures, but be leery of the numbers. Her last two victories have been on synthetic and a quirky Kentucky Downs turf course. This filly beat a strong maiden field that day and her breeding screams turf. She posts a bullet work entering today and Rosario takes the mount for a top barn. She smells like a live one.
Santa Anita Park Race 4: 6½ Furlongs. (Hillside Turf) S.Alw 72000n1x
#7 Larry’s Legend (30/1) – The Ductor loves the hillside turf course and nothing leads you to more juicy winners than prior form down the hill. This colt was nailed at 81/1 in his lone start down the hill and that race gives him a mighty chance to beat this group without much hill experience. At this morning line, he must be on every ticket.
#1 Queen’s Code (8/1) – He had a no chance trip going 5-furlongs last time and now stretches out down the hill. He’s another contender who’s run well over this course with limited experience. He ran 2nd in his only try.
#3 Thorne House (5/2) – He made an early, wide move into a blistering pace last time and faded late. He’s logical.
#10 Moose Mitchell (4/1) – This gelding had a good trip last time going 5-furlongs. The Ductor would usually be against a horse like this, but again he’s one of the few that have experience on this hillside course. He ran a good 3rd in his only try down it three starts back.
Gulfstream Park Race 11: 7½ Furlongs. (Turf) Mdn 84k
#6 Moon Cat (4/1) – This gelding ran well on debut despite having to shuffle badly early in the race. Making his 2nd career start for top connections and switching to the surface he’s bred for, he’s the Ductor’s top pick.
#12 Jamestown (10/1) – This colt has major upside and is a price that could knock many tickets out. He broke slow and ran evenly going 5-furlongs in an off the turf race on debut. That was a clear prep for this spot. He’s bred to relish the lawn and that sprint put enough speed into him where he should be able to clear from the outside post.
Santa Anita Park Race 6: 6½ Furlongs. (Hillside Turf) F.S.Sunshine Millions Filly and Mare Turf Sprint Stakes
#3 Alice Marble (5/2) – Unlike race 4 at Santa Anita, almost all of the fillies and mares in here have shown an affinity for this turf course. You could make a case for any and the Ductor wouldn’t knock you. He hates taking a short price in a race like this, but this mare has a significant class edge. 2nd off the layoff for top connections, she looks like the winner.
#2 La Deuxieme Etoile (6/1) – This filly set a hot, contested in her first try down the hill and held on nicely last time. Any horse that wins their first race over this surface has the Ductor’s respect.
#5 Eddies New Dream (7/2) – She was in an impossibly tough spot last time and now cuts back to her best distance. She beat #3 Alice Marble down the last year.
Santa Anita Park Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.S. Leigh Ann Howard California Cup Oaks
*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Carole Lombard (8/1) – The Ductor is planning on singling this filly to end the Coast to Coast Pick 5. The two favorites #8 Sell the Dream (2/1) and #9 Cast Member (5/2) draw to the outside and have yet to win on turf at this distance. Carole Lombard broke her maiden at Del Mar decisively last time. She was up close to a quick pace and was able to finish strongly. A step forward off that effort puts her in the winners’ circle today, especially with a nice ground saving trip.
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