Ponies

The Conductor’s Preakness Recap

Now that Conductor is back from a 3-day bachelor party and he’s been able to watch the Pimlico replays without 55 stews running through his veins, he has a few takeaways.

  1. The rail was where you wanted to be both Friday and Saturday.

On Thursday, almost every winner on dirt, including multiple longshots were winning with wide-sweeping swoop and pounce moves on the turn.  Friday and Saturday, that move wasn’t working at all.  The Conductor was ready to write off Win Win Win immediately after the Preakness, but anyone with the trip he got was coming up short in every race.  The Conductor will keep his eye on the horses that had wide trips to see where they end up next.

  1. War of Will ran huge, but he got a perfect trip.

He clearly ran the best, but he had to win with that trip. Saving all of the ground on a good rail, he sat behind the dueling leaders and the rail opened up for him perfectly at the top of the stretch. If he hadn’t won, he’d have 0 excuses.

  1. War of Will should have never gone off at 6/1

The Conductor’s biggest regret on Saturday is not having any saver bets on War of Will at that price.  The Conductor thought he was live, he was mostly against him because of the price he figured to be and race setup.  The Conductor thought he was going to go off at around 3/1.  With the way the track was playing and the odds he ended up at, there is no excuse for not using him. You must be on your toes and adapt on the fly to succeed in this game.  The Conductor bill blame his stew intake and lack of sleep, but he needs to keep it tighter on racing’s biggest days.

  1. The Conductor’s body is still rotting from the inside out today and he will be back proving us passengers winners tomorrow.

It feels like his bones are deteriorating while he sits.

5. Buy More Shirts so the Conductor can eat dinner.

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Ponies, Videos

Trachea Kick Tuesday: The Conductor’s Punts at Parx

The Conductor has it out for you today Parx.  You shall not survive. Let’s Ride

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. Clm 5000n2y

#8 Conscience (5/2) – This gelding’s last race slaughters this field.

Race 2: 7 Furlongs. F.MC 20000

#3 Helotes (6/1) – She’s plunging in class after running some decent early pace figures against much tougher.  6/1 would be stealing for these connections.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. S.Mdn 37k

*Never a Doubt Taco Tuesday Lock of the Day #4 G Daddy (8/5) – He set a very hot pace in his debut and is working like a rocket entering today.  He’ll blow them away today.

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Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 12500n4L

#3 Gator Girl (20/1) – Her last race was too bad to be believed and she’s coming back quickly for a high % barn 1st off the claim.  Her form prior to her last start gives her every chance.

Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 12500n3L

#8 Krissys Manicure (5/2) – She’s dropping in class and 1st off the claim for trainer Juan Guerreo, who is 35% with a +$0.26 ROI with new horses this year.

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 75001y

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 The Morning Guys (6/1) – This Ol’ gelding ran a solid 4th after prompting a hot pace going longer last start.  The Conductor loves the cutback to a sprint and he gets class relief.

jim kelly kick GIF by Warner Archive

Race 7: 1m70yds. Clm 7500n4L

#9 Bennylovespoker (5/1) – He caught a muddy track last start and didn’t pick up his feet.  He gets back to a fast track today and has the best recent speed figures of the bunch.

Race 8: 1m70yds. Alw 16000s

#1 Sanavi (8/5) – Chalk.

Race 9: 1m70yds. F.Alw 25000s

#1 Talkless Smilemore (5/1) – She hasn’t tried dirt in a long time, but her races on turf crush this field.  The Conductor has faith in these connections.

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. Clm 7500n4L

#8 I’m A Factum (8/1) – This gelding closed into a slow pace for a good 2nd at a monster number last start.  He drops in class today and has the speed figures to win.

Ponies

Massacre Monday: The Conductor’s Punts at Parx

The Conductor was out watching the NFL playoffs yesterday and didn’t get to see the races run.  He awoke from his slumber on his friend’s couch this morning after too many stews last night and his bank account told him his picks stunk yesterday.  That means he has no choice but to play Parx on this fine Monday.  This week’s journey starts today, Let’s Ride.

PT 12:25pm ET Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 20000n2x

*Never a Doubt Day and Week Starter Lock #2 Clever Sarah (9/5) – To say she’s been running against much tougher would be an understatement. Classic drop and pop.

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Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 16000n2L

#5 Shanhai Tootsie (3/1) – She was running in Southern California earlier this year and has shown some ability and progression.  She’s also facing much weaker competition today.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. Clm 25000n1x

#4 Vegas Tycoon (3/1) – He won comfortably to break his maiden last start.  The Conductor likes that he’s getting better with each race.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 5000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Nothin But Trouble (8/1) – She improved significantly last start and the Conductor believes that signaled a change in form.  She has multiple past performances that would crush this group.

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Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs. Clm 25000n3L

#2 South Sea (10/1) – This field has been running similar figures, but this gelding has been doing it against much tougher.  10/1 would be a treat.

Race 6: 1 Mile. F.Clm 16000n1x

#7 Clare’s Dowry (2/1) – She’s cycling upwards and consistently runs better figures than this field. Nothing creative.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. Clm 8000n1x

#8 Don’t Make it Easy (12/1) – He’ll show up and run his race, while the rest of these runners are sporadic.  Please make it easy for the Conductor

Race 8: 1 Mile. Clm 25000n2L

#10 Hidden Bamboo (3/1) – He showed subtle improvement last start and looks to be cycling up to a top effort today.  His best beats this group.

Race 9: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.Alw 12500n1x

#1A Axe Capital (12/1) – She took a step forward last race and has some of the best figures in the field in her back pocket.  The Conductor will bet she’ll run back to them here.

Race 10: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 12500n2L

#3 Evil Women (12/1) – Shipping in from Woodbine, she’ll try dirt for the first time.  If she can transfer her figures from the poly track she’ll be very competitive.

Ponies, Videos

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Santa Anita Park

The rain ruined the card at Santa Anita yesterday, with a lot of scratches and races taken off the turf.  The Conductor made due with a few short-priced winners including his Lock of the day, but we want big fields and big prices.  Without any precipitation in the forecast, the card should stay intact today.  C’mon California, you’re not allowed to rain, that’s why the Conductor plays your circuit. Stop being selfish, Let’s Ride.

PT 3:30pm ET Race 1: 1 Mile. (Turf) MC 50000

#3 Carbon Zero (7/2) – He’s taking a huge class drop and has just missed vs much tougher competition.  He’s run his best races with the Cajun in the saddle, who hops back in the irons today.

Race 2: 7 Furlongs. F.Clm 12500

*Never a Doubt Sunday Night Scary Preventer Lock of the Day #5 Duranga (4/1) – 1st off the claim for trainer Peter Miller, she’s dropping in class, working well and has recent figures that can beat this group.

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Race 3: 1 Mile (Turf) S.OC 80000n3x

#7 Shivermetimbers (7/2) – Dropping out of a G2 stakes race, this colt continues to progress and will show the adults whose boss.

Race 4: 6½ Furlongs. F.Kalookan Queen Stakes 75k

#1 Lake Time (6/1) – The obvious heavy favorite is #4 Selcourt (2/5), but this mare is steadily improving and is running very solid figures for this level. Ice cold 4/1 exacta with a little on the 1 to win if Selcourt stubs her toe.

Race 5: 6½ Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 40000

#5 Cimpl Man (5/1) – He’s been running quality races vs tougher and has good numbers down the hill.  His recent works are also very strong.

Race 6: 1 Mile. MC 30000

#5 Fortnite Dance (9/5) – The Conductor can’t come up with anything creative in here.  He’ll go with these damn kids do these days instead of betting ponies like men.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. Clm 6250

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Tomasino (15/1) – This Ol’ man has strong early pace figures and was only beaten 2 ½ lengths last start vs tougher.  He’s working well and can beat this field at a monster number.

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Race 8: 1 Mile. Alw 50000s

#1 Bea’s Boy (6/1) – This colt has been facing tougher and been running the highest speed figures in the field sprinting.  This will his 1st time stretching out to route, but his even running style suggests to the Conductor that he’ll appreciate longer.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. S.Mdn 55k

*Double Barreled Shotgun Slugs #7 Wild Bean (8/1) – He’s working like a rocket and his dam has produced 6 winners from 6 starters. Van Dyke also hops aboard for a lesser known barn.

#10 Toby Time (20/1) – This longshot’s workouts are impressive and he’s debuting for a barn that is hot.

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Ponies

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Plays at Santa Anita Park

A bunch of 2nds and 3rds yesterday at some decent prices made the day salvageable, but not what the Conductor or his passengers are looking for.  We want winners! However, some nice prices jumped of the page to the Conductor this morning, so we may be in for a treat.  Let’s make more money this weekend then we made at work this week, Let’s Ride.

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Race 1: 6½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Clm 40000

#7 Easy Grader (5/1) – She’s taking a big drop in class and should improve in her 2nd start off a layoff.  She has a win and a 3rd in two starts vs much tougher down the hill.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. OC 80000n1x

*Never a Doubt Ski Trip Lock of the Day Savagery (8/5) – This colt has blazing speed and has been facing stakes company.  He’ll appreciate the class relief and cutback to a sprint.

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Race 3: 7 Furlongs. MC 30000

#3 Sterling’s Temple (8/1) – He’ll step forward in his 2nd start off a layoff and 2nd off the claim trainer Genaro Vallejo.  He just missed vs similar three starts back and a repeat effort would give him every chance today.

Race 4: 6½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Mdn 55k

#7 Hollywood Girl (5/1) – The Conductor doesn’t like the runners with experience in here and this girl was $875k at auction and Mike Smith hops aboard for her debut.  This filly will run.

Race 5: 1 Mile. Clm 12500

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Carville (8/1) – He’s got the best early speed in a race devoid of pace.  This gelding also has the best figures at the distance and last time he was dropped to this class level he won.

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Race 6: 6½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.G3 Las Cienegas Stakes

#4 Belvoir Bay (5/2) – She’s 4/5 down the hill and has beaten tougher graded stakes fields.  The Conductor can’t play against her.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. Clm 12500n2L

#11 Impetu (4/1) – This gelding is trying dirt for the first time and is working like he loves it.  He’s dropping in class and has very strong early gas.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. F.G3 La Canada Stakes

#7 K P Wildcat (4/1) – She’s now in the Jeff Mullins barn after beating up on the competition in New Mexico.  She loves to win and has the best figures in the field at the distance.  She can handle this group.

Race 9: 6½ Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 25000

#9 Placido (4/1) – Exiting a nice win on dirt, he’s steadily progressing and has run two solid races over this turf course, including a victory.  The Conductor sees him as the one to beat.

Ponies

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Santa Anita Park

1/2 Lock, a 5/1 winner and a few decent underneath exactas made it a positive Thursday for the Conductor.  It’s time to get the train into 2nd gear and have it humming into the weekend.  Let’s have ourselves a Friday, Let’s Ride.

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Post Time 3:30pm ET Race 1: F.MC 30000

#6 Encountress (8/1) – She’s shown good early speed vs tougher and broke slowly last start when she dropped to this level for the first time.  She’s posting bullet works and should stay a nice number.

Race 2: 1 Mile. F.Clm 12500n2L

#4 Proper Drink (4/1) – Her numbers fit for this level and all the Conductor wants is the strongest, tallest drink in the world right now.

Race 3: 1 Mile. F.OC 80000n1x

#1 Boujie Girl (4/1) – She’s got serious early gas and has been battle tested vs Grade 1 company.  If you’re trying to beat the heavy favorite #2 Quahira (6/5), she’s your girl.

Race 4: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 55k

#3 Confidentially (6/1) – This filly has shown strong late pace figures on dirt in her first two starts and she’s bred to like the grass.  She will improve with the added distance and surface switch.

Race 5: 1 Mile. Clm 20000

*Never a Doubt Bottle Service Lock of the Day #5 Little Scotty (2/1) – In a race without much pace, she’ll dictate the race on the front end.  She’s been facing much tougher and will dust this group.

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Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs. MC 80000

#7 Platinum Nights (2/1) – He posted a very sharp work last week and is drawn well to the outside.  He was a good 2nd at this level last start trying to close into a slow pace.

Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) OC 80000n1x

#5 Eagle Song (6/1) – Shipping in from Ireland, he’s beaten a combined 26 horses in his last two starts with ease.  If Mike Smith is hopping aboard for his first start in the US, this boy can run.

Race 8: 1 Mile. F.62500n2x

#8 Blazinbeauty (8/1) – She returns to dirt, where she’s done her best running and is the only closer in the field.  They are going to fly in front of her and she’ll get a perfect trip today waiting at the back of the pack and making one run late.  She may not win, but will make the exacta pay nicely when she gets up for 2nd.

Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.Mdn 55k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Lucky Lately (6/1) – She was well bet and didn’t fire in her debut, but her workouts leading into today suggest this filly can really run.  The Conductor will give her another chance at a better number today.

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Ponies, Videos

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Santa Anita Park

The Conductor had eye surgery today after yesterday’s performance.  Hopefully now he can read the form.  Good lord, Santa Anita please save us today.  Us passengers need winners fast! Let’s Ride.

PT 3:30pm ET Race 1: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Clm 35000n3L

#3 Speakers (8/1) – This mare drops to the claiming ranks for the first time in her career and gets a massive rider upgrade to Prat.  This race is wide open.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 55k

#4 Mantaray Island (3/1) – He ran some serious early pace figures in his debut and is working well leading into today.  He can scamper away from this field.

Race 3: 1 Mile. F.Mdn 55k

*Never a Doubt Etched Stone Lock of the Day #1 Slewgoodtobetrue (1/1) – She’s stretching out for the first time having run two above par figures at this level sprinting.  She’s bred to be even better at this distance.

throwing black and white GIF by Bayerischer Rundfunk

Race 4: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Clm 25000

#3 Miss Boom Boom (5/2) – She’s taking a huge drop in class, out of a race that came back very live.  She gets a rider upgrade today and trainer Richie Baltas is 45% with a +$1.93 ROI 2nd off the claim this year.

Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs. MC 50000

#7 Dyf (5/1) – Dropping to the claiming ranks, cutting back in distance, going turf to dirt, adding blinkers and recently gelded, one of these things will make him win.

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Clm 40000n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Favorite Trip (8/1) – This filly is dropping in class, gets a rider upgrade to Rosario and gets back to the hill where she’s done her best running.

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Race 7: 6 Furlongs. Clm 40000

#1 Jan’s Reserve (12/1) – The Conductor doesn’t think he can win, but he’s going to key him underneath in the exacta and trifecta. He’s working well, dropping in class, and cutting back to his preferred distance.

Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.S. Alw 67000n1x

#4 S Y Sky (8/5) – She’s the fastest on paper, simple.

Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.Mdn 55k

#5 Oh Pretty Woman (4/1) – Her debut down the hill was her best and she’s run well in her two starts going longer as well.  The Conductor loves that Drayden is staying in the saddle.

Ponies

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday: The Conductor’s Plays at Gulfstream Park

The Conductor’s Lock of the Day got the job done at 7/2 yesterday and we don’t need to talk about the rest of the races, not important.  The train has rolled into Florida to pick up a nice lump of money mid-week and the Conductor has his eye on the prize.  Let’s Ride.

Race 1: MC 12500

*Never a Doubt Start the Day Odd With a Winner Lock #7 Alpha Orionis (5/2) – He ran against much tougher in his debut and was well bet at the windows.  This field is full of proven losers and he doesn’t have to do much to win.

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Race 2: 1 Mile. MC 50000

#1 Impunity (7/2) – Returning to dirt and the claiming ranks the Conductor is ignoring his last race.  He showed ability in his debut effort and that is what the Conductor is expecting today.

Race 3: 1 Mile (Turf) F.Clm 16000n1x

#4 Laur Net (12/1) – This Ol’ mare finally drops to a level where her figures are competitive.  She’s been racing against miles tougher recently.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. MC 35000

#5 Glory to Florida (7/2) – His workouts leading into today are eye catching.  Jose Ortiz hops aboard this debut claimer, which is also a great sign.

Race 5: 1 Mile (Turf) MC 20000

#4 Bolt Paynter (9/2) – He showed a strong late kick after a troubled trip in his first race on turf last start.  With more experience, he can beat this group.

Race 6: 1 Mile. F.Clm 62500n2L

#4 Peggity (5/2) – Her 2nd at this level last time would beat the field she’s facing today.

Race 7: 1 Mile (Turf) Mdn 50k

#1 Tintorretto (8/1) – Drawn way outside in his first two starts, he’ll finally get a ground saving trip today.  He’s shown solid late pace figures in his two efforts.

Race 8: 1 Mile. F.Clm 6250n3L

#1 Special Councel (3/1) – Lightly raced and steadily progressing with good early speed.  The Conductor is looking for this filly to win her 2nd in a row gate to wire.

Race 9: 5 Furlongs (Turf) F.OC 62500n2x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Dominance (6/1) – This filly set the pace, dueling in a stakes race last start.  Her early gas makes her very dangerous at this level and distance.

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Race 10: 5 Furlongs (Turf) F.MC 25000

#5 My Sweet Paynter (12/1) – This girl ran a much-improved last race, making an early move into a hot pace.  She’ll appreciate the shorter distance and the Conductor will key her in the trifecta.

Ponies

Trachea Kick Tuesday: The Conductor’s Punts at Parx

A 3/1 and 5/2 winner in 10 races isn’t what the Conductor ordered yesterday.  However, when his gullet shot gets bet down from 12/1 and 5/2 and wins, he at least knows his passengers are in their seats.  The train will stay in Philly today because it’s the Conductor’s only option.  Time to dig, Let’s Ride.

Post Time 12:25pm ET Race 1: 1 1/8 Miles. Clm 75000n2L

#7 Champagne Event (3/1) – He’s lightly raced compared to the rest of this group and ran a decent 4th off a long layoff last start.  He’ll step forward off of that effort and that will beat this group.

Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs. Clm 5000n1x

#2 Jack O Liam (10/1) – This old man hasn’t won in a long time, but he ran a decent figure last start against much tougher competition, finishing 5th.  The drop in class will be a huge help and the Conductor will key him in the exacta at a nice number.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 10000

#7 Undeniable Temper (5/1) – This group has been running similar numbers, but this gelding has been facing tougher.  The Conductor will be very angry if he loses.

Race 4: 7 Furlongs. F.Clm 75000n1x

*Never a Doubt Lunch Money Lock of the Day #3 Hide a Rose (2/1) – This mare is a hard knocker and just missed at this level last start.  A repeat effort will likely beat this group.

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Race 5: 6 Furlongs. MC 40000

#3 Vixsinsfantastkfox (4/1) – Dropping to the claiming ranks for the first time, his race two starts back beats this field.

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs. Clm 75000n3L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Drive On (6/1) – This gelding looks to be rounding into form in his last two starts and has past performances that would win at this level.

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Race 7: 7 Furlongs. F.Alw 41000n2x

#2 Pistol Andie (7/2) – She’s been the most consistent runner in the field as of late and the others will have to improve to beat her today.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. Clm 12500

#7 Ruble (20/1) – The morning line maker is disrespecting this grandpa, who is still consistently running competitive figures at this level.  The Conductor will take a swing with this 9-year-old.

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. OC 25000n2x

#4 Inky Dinky Do (15/1) – His win last start gives him every chance, the Conductor dares Parx to give him 15/1.

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 10000

#1 Jerseymooseisloose (6/1) – She’s got early speed and is steadily improving.  There’s not much else to like in this field.

Ponies

Massacre Monday: The Conductor’s Punts at Parx

Only one 7/2 winner and a couple of 2nds brought the train to a halt yesterday.  A bad end to an otherwise solid week.  Most conductors would leave the train in the station on this Monday to prepare for this week’s major tracks, but that’s not how the Conductor rolls.  He’ll provide us with winners to make the start of our workweek a little more bearable.  What a gentleman, Let’s Ride.

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Race 1: 1 Mile. F.Clm 75000n3L

#4 Hannah Due (6/1) – She returned to form and the winners circle last start.  She looks to be cycling up and has past figures that can beat this group.

Race 2: 7 Furlongs. Clm 5000

#2 Rings of Jupiter (10/1) – He’s dropping in class, getting a weight break and has early speed.  This gelding is also young and spry compared to the rest of these old men.

Race 3: 1 Mile. F.OC 50000n2x

#1 Gotta Be Strong (3/1) – She can beat the heavy favorite #6 Jennifer’s Dream (4/5) if she continues to progress.  She’s moving in the right direction.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 75000n3L

#1/1A Entry (20/1) – Both of these four-year-olds are exiting poor performances, but have recent figures that make them competitive against this group.  The Conductor will bet one of them wakes up at a big number.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 75000n4L

#6 Lucky Stash (6/1) – She ran the fastest last race in this field by a good margin last start.  At that price that’s all the Conductor needs to see.

Race 6: 1 Mile. Clm 8000n1x

#7 General Bellamy (6/1) – This old man returned to form last start and ran a much-improved race.  The Conductor will bet he’ll follow that effort up with another big one.

Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 16000n1x

#4 Buzzkillington (5/2) – His last race was much faster than the rest of this group’s and he has a hilarious name.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 16000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #10 King Koa (12/1) – He rebounded with a solid effort last start and the Conductor sees him building off that.  He has the back class and recent speed figures to give him every chance.

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Race 9: 7 Furlongs. F.Alw 46000n2x

*Never a Doubt Week Starter Lock of the Day #7 Norma’s Charm (2/1) – She looks to be too good for this field.

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 5000 n1x

#11 Rio Vista (10/1) – She ran a good 2nd at this level last start behind a heavy favorite. There are no standouts in this field to be worried about.