The forecast did not call for rain at Aqueduct, so the Conductor packed up the train and headed to NY for some hump day racing. Of course, the rain came, and the races got taken off the turf. Now we have scratches galore and the Conductor’s day is ruined. Whatever, Conductor will play anyway and make the Big A pay for his coal bill. Nobody makes the Conductor travel for small fields, nobody. Let’s ride.
Race 1: 1 Mile. F.Mdn 70k
#4 Captain Livi (4/1) – She lunged at the start in her debut and ran evenly for third, suggesting she’ll like the added distance. The winner of that race was the odds-on favorite, Chamber, and the Conductor thinks she’s much better than today’s heavy favorite, #3 Face It.
Top Picks: 5-3-7
Race 2: 1 1/8 Mile. F. Alw 75000n1x
#3 Tigalalu (4/5) – This is an odds-on favorite the Conductor won’t try to beat. Her last race beat this field by 50 lengths. This is a free square for the Conductor.
Top Picks: 3-2-6
Race 3: 7 Furlongs. Clm 40000
*Never a Doubt Hump Day Lock #5 Reed Kan (2/1) – You won’t see a race with a clearer lone speed than this. This boy has a monstrous pace advantage and will bury this field gate to wire.
Top Picks: 5-4-6
Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Off Turf) Clm 25000
#14 Missle Bomb (7/5) – Another heavy favorite that’s going to win with ease with the race taken off the grass. Screw this.
Top Picks: 14-12-13
Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 20000
*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Montana Skeptic (10/1) – Like many Maiden Claimers, this race is full of proven losers. Well bet in her debut this filly didn’t get a chance to run, being 7-wide around the track. She adds Lasix today, suggesting she may have bled, and she has potential unlike the others.
Top Picks: 5-1-7-8
Race 6: 1 Mile. (Off Turf) F.Clm 35000n3L
#1A My Girl Annie (20/1) – She’ll be around 8/5 with the scratches, but she’s run her best on an off track and has beaten the heavy favorite. Dueling, setting a hot pace last time going longer will help her chances today as well.
Race 7: 6 Furlongs. Clm 32000
*Best Bet of the Day #5 Blue Belt (9/2) He has the highest last out speed figure at Aqueduct on the Conductor’s numbers and is drawn well to the outside. He shortens up a furlong and should sit a perfect trip up close to a pace that shouldn’t be too quick.
Race 8: 6 Furlongs. (Off Turf) F.S.Alw 66000n1x
#15 Salty Smile (5/2) – Another Main track only horse, she will benefit from the sloppy track and hot pace to run at. This race will be a blitz to the front and she can wait comfortably and swoop by them all.
Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) S.MC 40000
*Wind Pipe Whack #10 Shuffling Madness (20/1) – By far her best race of her career was her debut on a sloppy track and maybe that’s what she’s wanted to do all along. A repeat of that race makes her competitive in here and the Conductor will take a swing at Aqueduct’s wind pipe in the last.
Top Picks: 10-9-15